Stunk it up in the NFL but hit Heat and Under yesterday...
Memphis @ Wash
1) Wiz were -2 in memphis and lost 95 -80 when they were really struggling but now they are playing some real good ball. On the flip Mem has improved now that Gasol is back and shaping into form. Arenas was 1 for 12 with 3 pts which doesnt seem possible. Have a feeling a guy like Arenas is well aware of that performance. Weird game Wix get called for 29 fouls send Grizz to the line 36 times and they hit 30.
2) Basically after defeating the Suns you would think Wash short term could be overvalued. Being that Mem is improving and they are 2-14 away it would seem that 7.5 is probably a fair # here...So dont see much value in a side. However with Wash the Over is always worth a look. The Wiz have scored 106 ++ the past 10 games and only 2 home games ATL & NJ did they not break 110 previous to this stretch. Both teams shot alot of three and FTs at high pct..they last 5 starts are skewed with both having 2 OT games. While Mem has a defensive reputation the past 4 games they have allowed 100+ and 98 and 97 the first two Gasol games. Seems like they are scarificng a little defense to gain some offense...Going back last 9 they have allowed at least 100 in 5 and 96 +in the others but this is Wash....
Over 201.5 -114 (XLarge)(203 would be fine)
Leans :
Pistons -6.5 : The Nets just got smoked in MILW catching 4.5 making me feel this is fair. Only knock is DET just win in NJ so revenge?? Kristic lost should be felt here and I would expect a lower scoring game but the total seems tight.
Bulls +1 -105 / Und 189.5 -105 : This time Chi has revenge and despite there record on the road have actually played decent ball. I think expectations early on where just ahead ofhow they were playing...lots of small numbers and road chalk for them...I am thinking this line is tight so depending on movement it should create value. chi defense away has been below avg and Minny scores alot more at home then away...
Bucks +9.5 -106 / Ov 201.5 +100 : Well Milw is hot and SA has failed to cash past 3 at home. Basically its a real high number for a SA hoem game but look at the stats its really about avg...SA offense really picked I up since Ginobili returned...and Bucks Offense is on fire of late.....
Char @ Dallas: Why get involved with Charlotte at this time? Look ahead for Dallas? Maybe team under Char and team over Dallas??
Bos @ Den: You couldnt have two worse teams on 3 + days rest then these two...curious to see a total in the 212 range we could have an Under play....I cant lay points with Den now...
Portland @ Pho : Line seems soft to me since Wash was +10.5. Now Blazers are playing well of late and sound defensively but Suns trashed them already in Port. Look ahead for PHO but this is still a bad team IMO..WIth improved defense the 208 looks real low..might play Ov 208 -120 before I go to sleep..
NO @ SEA: Hornets return to Seattle after losing as 3.5 pt dogs by 20. Sea has swapped Ray Allen for Rashard Lewis recently. BAsically I like how NO has traveled of late in Orl and Miami. Lets face it SA was a bad spot for the yooungsters...Its seems like NO is playing uptempo so an over loosk attractive.
LAC @ Utah : My how things have changed after consecutive 20 pt defetas this season LAC moves from -1 in Utah to +8!! I really dont trust LAC but I wonder did the comeback wake then up. The beat Hou for one erason and that was Ming's injury....LAC hasnt played much defense especiallyon the road and Utah has topped 105 in both meetings. Just wonder if they look ahead to the game @ SA?? They see LAC limping in and own 2 blowout wins already do they take LAC lightily? Would have to lean Ov 198 ...also Utah home aftre long , grueling trip..
Philly @ GS : The Warriors also return home after a long eastern swing where Philly ahs won a pair now. Looks like GS is banged up Ellis , Roberson , Murphy , Pietrus are doubtful..Thinking 7 is alot for a Philly team rounding into form and playing a shorthanded Warior squad...
Memphis @ Wash
1) Wiz were -2 in memphis and lost 95 -80 when they were really struggling but now they are playing some real good ball. On the flip Mem has improved now that Gasol is back and shaping into form. Arenas was 1 for 12 with 3 pts which doesnt seem possible. Have a feeling a guy like Arenas is well aware of that performance. Weird game Wix get called for 29 fouls send Grizz to the line 36 times and they hit 30.
2) Basically after defeating the Suns you would think Wash short term could be overvalued. Being that Mem is improving and they are 2-14 away it would seem that 7.5 is probably a fair # here...So dont see much value in a side. However with Wash the Over is always worth a look. The Wiz have scored 106 ++ the past 10 games and only 2 home games ATL & NJ did they not break 110 previous to this stretch. Both teams shot alot of three and FTs at high pct..they last 5 starts are skewed with both having 2 OT games. While Mem has a defensive reputation the past 4 games they have allowed 100+ and 98 and 97 the first two Gasol games. Seems like they are scarificng a little defense to gain some offense...Going back last 9 they have allowed at least 100 in 5 and 96 +in the others but this is Wash....
Over 201.5 -114 (XLarge)(203 would be fine)
Leans :
Pistons -6.5 : The Nets just got smoked in MILW catching 4.5 making me feel this is fair. Only knock is DET just win in NJ so revenge?? Kristic lost should be felt here and I would expect a lower scoring game but the total seems tight.
Bulls +1 -105 / Und 189.5 -105 : This time Chi has revenge and despite there record on the road have actually played decent ball. I think expectations early on where just ahead ofhow they were playing...lots of small numbers and road chalk for them...I am thinking this line is tight so depending on movement it should create value. chi defense away has been below avg and Minny scores alot more at home then away...
Bucks +9.5 -106 / Ov 201.5 +100 : Well Milw is hot and SA has failed to cash past 3 at home. Basically its a real high number for a SA hoem game but look at the stats its really about avg...SA offense really picked I up since Ginobili returned...and Bucks Offense is on fire of late.....
Char @ Dallas: Why get involved with Charlotte at this time? Look ahead for Dallas? Maybe team under Char and team over Dallas??
Bos @ Den: You couldnt have two worse teams on 3 + days rest then these two...curious to see a total in the 212 range we could have an Under play....I cant lay points with Den now...
Portland @ Pho : Line seems soft to me since Wash was +10.5. Now Blazers are playing well of late and sound defensively but Suns trashed them already in Port. Look ahead for PHO but this is still a bad team IMO..WIth improved defense the 208 looks real low..might play Ov 208 -120 before I go to sleep..
NO @ SEA: Hornets return to Seattle after losing as 3.5 pt dogs by 20. Sea has swapped Ray Allen for Rashard Lewis recently. BAsically I like how NO has traveled of late in Orl and Miami. Lets face it SA was a bad spot for the yooungsters...Its seems like NO is playing uptempo so an over loosk attractive.
LAC @ Utah : My how things have changed after consecutive 20 pt defetas this season LAC moves from -1 in Utah to +8!! I really dont trust LAC but I wonder did the comeback wake then up. The beat Hou for one erason and that was Ming's injury....LAC hasnt played much defense especiallyon the road and Utah has topped 105 in both meetings. Just wonder if they look ahead to the game @ SA?? They see LAC limping in and own 2 blowout wins already do they take LAC lightily? Would have to lean Ov 198 ...also Utah home aftre long , grueling trip..
Philly @ GS : The Warriors also return home after a long eastern swing where Philly ahs won a pair now. Looks like GS is banged up Ellis , Roberson , Murphy , Pietrus are doubtful..Thinking 7 is alot for a Philly team rounding into form and playing a shorthanded Warior squad...
