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#3DownNation
1* Edmonton +7 -110
I was hoping a 7 would pop on this game because the public is all over Montreal's nuts right now and not without reason. They have looked exceptionally good through the first 2 games.
But there are a few reasons I think the Elks compete here.
First Montreal is on a 6 day week with travel out west on B2B road games. That is always a tough spot. Edmonton is at home and off a bye and had a lot of time (and plenty of film) to prepare for this game. Looking at ticketmaster, the lower bowl looks 80-90% sold and its been years since that happened in Edmonton. I think this team will have a bigger HFA than they've enjoyed recently.
Second, even though Montreal has looked dominant, who have they played? A revenge game vs Toronto without their starting QB and a close road game vs Ottawa without their starting QB. Not exactly a murders row. Even though the Elks are a middling or even below avg team, I think they will put on a better showing than either of those 2.
Third, I think the Elks have more talent than they showed in week 1 vs BC. That was a tough spot travelling in week 1 with a ton of new pieces on defence especially but also on offence. I would hope they look substantially better after they've had the chance to clean some things up over the bye week. Its a bit early to expect them to be as good as I expect they can be later on, I still think they will look better than week 1.
EDM also gets back RT Brett Boyko from injury which will help bolster the OL (not that Tre Ford needs an OL at all).
My line on this game was EDM +4.5 so I will take a 7 all day. Not that 7 is a key number in the CFL, its not but that was my target for a bet here.
Good luck too all and I'll see ya later in the in-game.
I was hoping a 7 would pop on this game because the public is all over Montreal's nuts right now and not without reason. They have looked exceptionally good through the first 2 games.
But there are a few reasons I think the Elks compete here.
First Montreal is on a 6 day week with travel out west on B2B road games. That is always a tough spot. Edmonton is at home and off a bye and had a lot of time (and plenty of film) to prepare for this game. Looking at ticketmaster, the lower bowl looks 80-90% sold and its been years since that happened in Edmonton. I think this team will have a bigger HFA than they've enjoyed recently.
Second, even though Montreal has looked dominant, who have they played? A revenge game vs Toronto without their starting QB and a close road game vs Ottawa without their starting QB. Not exactly a murders row. Even though the Elks are a middling or even below avg team, I think they will put on a better showing than either of those 2.
Third, I think the Elks have more talent than they showed in week 1 vs BC. That was a tough spot travelling in week 1 with a ton of new pieces on defence especially but also on offence. I would hope they look substantially better after they've had the chance to clean some things up over the bye week. Its a bit early to expect them to be as good as I expect they can be later on, I still think they will look better than week 1.
EDM also gets back RT Brett Boyko from injury which will help bolster the OL (not that Tre Ford needs an OL at all).
My line on this game was EDM +4.5 so I will take a 7 all day. Not that 7 is a key number in the CFL, its not but that was my target for a bet here.
Good luck too all and I'll see ya later in the in-game.
