HAM@SSK-1 47
I could really see this game going either way but Hamilton's abysmal record ATS at Sask means I could only bet this one way. They are something like 4-12 ATS there. So how about Sask? Well I think Fajardo is in line for a bounce back season after having an off year in 2021. He finally has a legitimate deep threat receiver in Duke Williams and with some improvement from an OL that was below avg LY, he should be in line for a 4000+yd season. Defensively they suffered some losses in the secondary and DL so I think they could go be an over team this year.
I also think Hamilton could be an over team with their offense looking potent and their defense having to retool the line. I think the new hash marks will give Simoni Lawrence fits trying to cover to the sideline. Their front 7 is getting older and they will struggle to get pressure.
I bet 1 unit on the over 44.5.
EDM@BC-3.5 48
I took the over 46.5. I like the over because these two teams look like the worst defenses in the league to my eyes.
BC tried to upgrade their DL in the offseason but then lost 2 of the 3 players they signed. Stove Richardson was their big free agent signing and he is gone for the year. Woody Barron has not reported to the team yet due to a personal matter. So they will start pretty much the same DL that couldn't get pressure last year. Their back eight are world class with all stars all over the place but they can only cover for so long. If the Lions can't find ways to get pressure, they will give up a lot of points. Offensively, I really like what I've seen out of Nathan Rourke. He looks to have all the tools to be a star. He's young and the mistakes will come but I think he could be something special. He is surrounded by speedy weapons and great hands. Probably the best receiving group in the league.
Edmonton figures to be the worst team in the league this year. At least on paper anyway. They have major weaknesses at OL, DL and secondary and their starting QB, Nick Arbuckle has yet to really prove himself. They just signed a DB and traded for another so they are obviously not happy with the look of the secondary and thats a scary thing 6 days away from your first game. I know Chris Jones is a winner but this looks like a rebuilding year for this team.