Books prop and play

[booksbestfriend]

+14.4875 in previous thread

AZ/MN over 1.5 FG 1H (-140) 1*

Wanted to get this in before it got too juicy. Will update later and add once did releasing of player props hit.

 

[gsro]

you looking to target anything book?

looking at AP under and Johnson over today...also thinking of rudolph over

 

[booksbestfriend]

Rudolph over is on my wish list. Young QB & TE are like PB&J. I would be careful w/ AP. Bad performances tend to lower numbers based on average. I use a 4 game average for props and weigh it on season average. If performance has dropped off or the player is in a lull. WRs are different. Obviously, gameplans play a major factor.

Palmer over TD - believe we will see 2 or hopefully a juiced 1.5

AP receiving if I can get 2-2.5 (reasonable)

Still looking at the stats. Will try to get back with some others.

 

[gsro]

thanks,

thinking this arizona cardinals team can limit AP in what I think will be a lopsided victory for the cards; too many injuries in that secondary for vikings to which they will eventually have to abandon the run and go pass first.

 

[booksbestfriend]

AP over 2.5 rec (+110) .5*

 

[booksbestfriend]

AP over 2.5 rec (+110)
K Rudolph over 3.5 rec (+130) &
Over 36.5 rec yards (+115)
D Johnson under 77.5 rush (-110)
.5* each

 

[The Farm]

I loaded up on brown over 62 yards.. Thoughts??

 

[KJ]

Thing that would frustrate me with John Brown is that he beats DBs and ends up getting a bunch of PI flags, which unfortunately don't show up in the stats

 

[booksbestfriend]

If the Vines backfield is as beat up as I am reading, all AZ WRS could go over. 4 is an easy number with a safe push. Think I will join. I am going w/ Fitz too. This is the lowest total he has had since I can remember. Only concern is he hot 1000 last week. So, the urgency may be gone.

L Fitzgerald over 6.5 rec (-145)
T Bridgewater over 207.5 pass (+110)
AP over 15.5 receiving (-135)
J Brown over 4 rec (-135)
T Mathieu over 5.5 tackles + assist (-125)
.5* each

 

[The Farm]

BOL tonight... BA runs the score up tonight. Overs looking good

 

[booksbestfriend]

Just doing some clean-up. If you stop in, that was a good call Farm. I see that I have AP for a full unit on the over receptions prop. I thought the post was lost, so reposted. I will count it as a loss for the full.

AZ/MN over 1.5 FG 1H (-140) 1*
AP over 2.5 rec (+110)
K Rudolph over 3.5 rec (+130) &
Over 36.5 rec yards (+115)
D Johnson under 77.5 rush (-110)
.5 * each
L Fitzgerald over 6.5 rec (-145)
T Bridgewater over 207.5 pass (+110)
AP over 15.5 receiving (-135)
J Brown over 4 rec (-135)
T Mathieu over 5.5 tackles + assist (-125)

+1.5 Units on the night.

 

[booksbestfriend]

Big Ben over 309.5 passing (-105) &
over 2 TD passes (-105)
A Dalton under 267.5 passing (-115)
T Taylor over 215.5 passing (-115)
S Bradford under 230.5 passing (-115)
M Ryan under 279.5 passing (-120)
J Jones under 92.5 receiving (-105)
T Ginn over 45.5 receiving (-110)
P Garcon over 42.5 receiving (EV)
J Cutler over 234.5 passing (-115) &
over 20 completions (-110)
M Stafford over 1.5 TD (-150)
T Gurley over 69.5 rushing (-115)
J Cook over 30.5 receiving (-115)
.5 units each

 

[booksbestfriend]

Det scores 1st (-125)
Det/StL over 4.5 sacks (-125)
SD/KC no score in first 6:30 (EV)
SD/KC first score other than TD (+140)
.5each

ALT Line
Pitt -3.5 (+170)
Buff -7.5 (+270)
Atl +3.5 (+155)
SF -7.5 (+260)
NO -3.5 (+280)
Den -3.5 (-150)
.25 each

TY Hilton over 5 rec (-140)
V Jackson over 3.5 rec (-130)
D Martin over 96.5 rush (EV)
J Winston over 243.5 pass (-115) &
over 19 completions (-130)
M COlston over 2.5 rec (-130)
T Kelce over 4.5 rec (-140)
M Floyd over 42.5 receiving (-110)
.5 each

 

[The Farm]

:shake:V. Jackson over prop ... Agreed and hammered. Took Evans over 4.5 for smaller due to juice.
Like Pitt and SF alternate lines
BOL today

 

[booksbestfriend]

Thanks Farm. Good to see you agree with a few. My guy had Evans above my comfort zone, so backed off it. Think it is a winner, if he holds on to the damn ball. Just have a personal issue with juicing over 150.

 

[Play2win]

BOL today

 

[booksbestfriend]

Thank P2W. Same to you bro.

 

[booksbestfriend]

A Boldin over 5 rec (+105)
T Benjamin over 4 rec (-115)
K Britt over 40.5 receiving (EV)
.5*

A Hurns over 4 rec (-115) 1*

 

[booksbestfriend]

D Carr Under 268.5 pass (-130)
B Osweiler over 226.5 pass (-145) &
Over 1.5 TD (-115)
L Murray over 56.5 rush (+105)
.5* each

 

[booksbestfriend]

Just a little clean-up.

Big Ben over 309.5 passing (-105) &
over 2 TD passes (-105)
A Dalton under 267.5 passing (-115)
T Taylor over 215.5 passing (-115)
S Bradford under 230.5 passing (-115)
M Ryan under 279.5 passing (-120)
J Jones under 92.5 receiving (-105)
T Ginn over 45.5 receiving (-110)
P Garcon over 42.5 receiving (EV)
J Cutler over 234.5 passing (-115) &
over 20 completions (-110)
M Stafford over 1.5 TD (-150)
T Gurley over 69.5 rushing (-115)
J Cook over 30.5 receiving (-115)
.5 units each
Det scores 1st (-125)
Det/StL over 4.5 sacks (-125)
SD/KC no score in first 6:30 (EV)
SD/KC first score other than TD (+140)
.5each
+3.25 Units in this block. Should have stopped here.

ALT Line
Pitt -3.5 (+170)
Buff -7.5 (+270)
Atl +3.5 (+155)
SF -7.5 (+260)
NO -3.5 (+280)
+.6 units to this point

Den -3.5 (-150)
.25 each
-.375

TY Hilton over 5 rec (-140)
V Jackson over 3.5 rec (-130)
D Martin over 96.5 rush (EV)
J Winston over 243.5 pass (-115) &
over 19 completions (-130)
M COlston over 2.5 rec (-130)
T Kelce over 4.5 rec (-140)
M Floyd over 42.5 receiving (-110)
.5 each
A Boldin over 5 rec (+105)
T Benjamin over 4 rec (-115)
K Britt over 40.5 receiving (EV)
.5*
A Hurns over 4 rec (-115) 1*
-4.925 in this block. Like i said above, should have stopped with the first set of plays.

D Carr Under 268.5 pass (-130)
B Osweiler over 226.5 pass (-145) &
Over 1.5 TD (-115)
L Murray over 56.5 rush (+105)
.5* each
D McFadden over 19.5 rec yards (+110)
D Adams over 39.5 rec yards (+120) &
Over 4 rec (+110)
A Rodgers under 22.5 rush (-115)
R Rodgers under 4 rec (-115)
M Cassell over 212.5 pass (-145)
T Brady longest comp over 41.5 (-115)
B LaFell over 51.5 receiving (-140)
B Hoyer under 265.5 pass (-125)
N Washington over 3.5 rec (-120)
T Brady -30.5 vs B Hoyer (-120)
.5* each
Total FG made over 3.5 (+110)
Yes, score in 1st 6:30 (-110)
1st H over 1.5 FG made (-130)
1st H NE 1-3 (+700)
1st H NE 4-6 (+800)
.5* each
-6.225 units for the late adds.
-7.225 for the day.

Elite under 282.5 pass (+110) &
Over 2 TD (+115)
ODB over 6.5 rec (-150)
R Randle over 3 rec (-105)
S Varney over 2.5 rec (-140)
R Tannehill under 265.5 pass (+105)
L Miller over 19.5 receiving (-130) &
Over 68.5 rush (-125)
J Landry under 6.5 rec (-115)
D Parker under 3.5 rec (+125)
K Stills over 2 rec (-110)
J Cameron over 21.5 receiving (EV)
R Tannehill over 7.5 rush (-105)
Elite under 39.5 attempts (-115)
.5*each
Over 4.5 sacks (-105)
1st score other than TD (+130)
Total FG made over 3.5 (+105)
1st H over 1.5 FG (-140)
1st H under 2.5 TD (-110)
1st H NYG 1-3 (+700)
1st H NYG 4-6 (+800)
.5*
W Tye score 1st TD (+1600) .25*
L Collins over 5.5 tackles + assist (-135) 1*

+1.8 units on Monday Night
-5.425 for the week

 

[booksbestfriend]

D McFadden over 19.5 rec yards (+110)
D Adams over 39.5 rec yards (+120) &
Over 4 rec (+110)
A Rodgers under 22.5 rush (-115)
R Rodgers under 4 rec (-115)
M Cassell over 212.5 pass (-145)
.5* each

 

[booksbestfriend]

T Brady longest comp over 41.5 (-115)
B LaFell over 51.5 receiving (-140)
B Hoyer under 265.5 pass (-125)
N Washington over 3.5 rec (-120)
T Brady -30.5 vs B Hoyer (-120)
.5* each

 

[booksbestfriend]

Total FG made over 3.5 (+110)
Yes, score in 1st 6:30 (-110)
1st H over 1.5 FG made (-130)
1st H NE 1-3 (+700)
1st H NE 4-6 (+800)
.5* each

 

[booksbestfriend]

F-it, go down in a blaze of glory.

Elite under 282.5 pass (+110) &
Over 2 TD (+115)
ODB over 6.5 rec (-150)
R Randle over 3 rec (-105)
S Varney over 2.5 rec (-140)
R Tannehill under 265.5 pass (+105)
L Miller over 19.5 receiving (-130) &
Over 68.5 rush (-125)
J Landry under 6.5 rec (-115)
D Parker under 3.5 rec (+125)
K Stills over 2 rec (-110)
J Cameron over 21.5 receiving (EV)
R Tannehill over 7.5 rush (-105)
Elite under 39.5 attempts (-115)
.5*each

 

[booksbestfriend]

Over 4.5 sacks (-105)
1st score other than TD (+130)
Total FG made over 3.5 (+105)
1st H over 1.5 FG (-140)
1st H under 2.5 TD (-110)
1st H NYG 1-3 (+700)
1st H NYG 4-6 (+800)
.5*

 

[booksbestfriend]

W Tye score 1st TD (+1600) .25*

 

[Timh]

BOL Book.

 

[booksbestfriend]

Thanks Timh. One last play.

L Collins over 5.5 tackles + assist (-135) 1*

 

[booksbestfriend]

D Martin over 2 rec (-120) &
Under 86.5 rush (-110)
M Evans under 76.5 receiving (-115)
C Keenum under 31.5 attempts (-110)
T Gurley over 1.5 receptions (-150) &
Over 12.5 receiving (-115) &
Over 77.5 rush (-135)
J Cook over 3 rec (+125)
T Gurley +5.5 vs D Martin (-110)
K Britt over 3 rec (+130)
.5 each

 

[booksbestfriend]

R McLeod over 4.5 tackles + assist (-130) 1*

 

[booksbestfriend]

First score other than TD (EV)
Longest TD over 40.5 (-105)
NO score in 1st 6:30 (-135)
Total QB sacks over 4.5 (+105)
.25* each

Bucs win 1st H 1-3 (+700) .5*

 

[booksbestfriend]

A Seferin over 37.5 receiving (+110)
5*

 

[The Farm]

I also hit Martin over 2 grabs pretty big. Hopefully JW stays smart with multiple dump offs. Martin has been targeted at least twice in ten out of 13 games . Here's to him holding on to those grabs:shake:.

I hope this cashes early first half for us.

I also like TB over 10 and 20 1H and game..
BOL book

 

[booksbestfriend]

D Martin over 2 rec (-120) &
Under 86.5 rush (-110)
M Evans under 76.5 receiving (-115)
C Keenum under 31.5 attempts (-110)
T Gurley over 1.5 receptions (-150) &
Over 12.5 receiving (-115) &
Over 77.5 rush (-135)
J Cook over 3 rec (+125)
T Gurley +5.5 vs D Martin (-110)
K Britt over 3 rec (+130)
.5 each
R McLeod over 4.5 tackles + assist (-130) 1*
First score other than TD (EV)
Longest TD over 40.5 (-105)
NO score in 1st 6:30 (-135)
Total QB sacks over 4.5 (+105)
.25* each
Bucs win 1st H 1-3 (+700) .5*
A Seferin over 37.5 receiving (+110)
5*

R Fitzpatrick under 20.5 rushing (-120)
C Ivory over 2.5 rec (+175) &
over 15.5 receiving (EV)
B Marshall under 6.5 rec (-125) &
under 90.5 receiving (-125)
D Davis over 4.5 tackles + assist (-135)
M Cassel over 17.5 comp (+105) &
under 31.5 attempts (-145)
DMC over 60.5 rush (+115) &
over 21.5 receiving (EV)
Dez over 5 rec (+150)
Cole Beasley over 2.5 rec (+130)
.5 each
1st H over 1.5 FG (-140)
.5 unit

-1.875 Units throughout the week. Been on a slide recently.


J Cutler under 240.5 passing (-125)
J Cutler over 1.5 TD passes (+105)
M Forte over 26.5 receiving (-115)
A Jeffery under 87.5 receiving (-115)
T Bridgewater over 197.5 passing (-110)
K Rudolph over 3.5 rec (+110) &
over 32.5 receiving (-115)
M Wallace over 34.5 receiving (-115)
D Freeman over 69.5 rush (-110) 1*
M Ryan over 1.5 TD (-140)
A Hurns over 4 rec (+110) &
over 59.5 receiving (-120)
F Gore under 62.5 rush (-120)
TY Hilton over 5 rec (EV)
A Smith over 212. pass (-120)
T Kelce over 4.5 rec (-105)
K Cousins under 255.5 pass (-135)
A Morris over 37.5 rush (+110)
S Watkins over 68.5 receiving (+110) &
over 4.5 rec (+105)
L McCoy over 30.5 receiving (-120) 1*
.5* each unless indicated

Alt Lines
Atl -3.5 (+195)
Den +3.5 (+130)
.25 each

I will be adding more as they come in. As always, GL CTG.

T Ginn over 53.5 receiving (+110)
Gronk under 75.5 receiving (-140)
T Brady under 297.5 pass (-115)
M Mariota under 247.5 pass (-120)
M Mariota under 21.5 comp (-125)
R Randle over 3.5 rec (-110)
ODB under 97.5 receiving (-135)
.5* each

1st score others
Chi/MN (+120)
KC/Balt (+110)
Buff/Was (+125)
Car/NYG (+155)
.25* each

I Crowell over 32.5 rush (+115)
R Wilson over 237.5 pass (-135)
D Baldwin over 4.5 rec (-130) 1*
T Lockett over 3.5 rec (EV) 2* &
Over 45.5 receiving (-115) 1*
D Adams over 29.5 receiving (-115)
.5* each unless indicated
+10.975 on Sunday
+9.1 in this frame
+18.3375 on props total till 12/21

 

[booksbestfriend]

R Fitzpatrick under 20.5 rushing (-120)
C Ivory over 2.5 rec (+175) &
over 15.5 receiving (EV)
B Marshall under 6.5 rec (-125) &
under 90.5 receiving (-125)
D Davis over 4.5 tackles + assist (-135)
M Cassel over 17.5 comp (+105) &
under 31.5 attempts (-145)
DMC over 60.5 rush (+115) &
over 21.5 receiving (EV)
Dez over 5 rec (+150)
Cole Beasley over 2.5 rec (+130)
.5 each
1st H over 1.5 FG (-140)
.5 unit

 

[booksbestfriend]

J Cutler under 240.5 passing (-125)
J Cutler over 1.5 TD passes (+105)
M Forte over 26.5 receiving (-115)
A Jeffery under 87.5 receiving (-115)
T Bridgewater over 197.5 passing (-110)
K Rudolph over 3.5 rec (+110) &
over 32.5 receiving (-115)
M Wallace over 34.5 receiving (-115)
D Freeman over 69.5 rush (-110) 1*
M Ryan over 1.5 TD (-140)
A Hurns over 4 rec (+110) &
over 59.5 receiving (-120)
F Gore under 62.5 rush (-120)
TY Hilton over 5 rec (EV)
A Smith over 212. pass (-120)
T Kelce over 4.5 rec (-105)
K Cousins under 255.5 pass (-135)
A Morris over 37.5 rush (+110)
S Watkins over 68.5 receiving (+110) &
over 4.5 rec (+105)
L McCoy over 30.5 receiving (-120) 1*
.5* each unless indicated

Alt Lines
Atl -3.5 (+195)
Den +3.5 (+130)
.25 each

I will be adding more as they come in. As always, GL CTG.

T Ginn over 53.5 receiving (+110)
Gronk under 75.5 receiving (-140)
T Brady under 297.5 pass (-115)
M Mariota under 247.5 pass (-120)
M Mariota under 21.5 comp (-125)
R Randle over 3.5 rec (-110)
ODB under 97.5 receiving (-135)
.5* each

1st score others
Chi/MN (+120)
KC/Balt (+110)
Buff/Was (+125)
Car/NYG (+155)
.25* each

 

[Timh]

BOL Book.

 

[Timh]

Like the Ted Ginn ydg. prop.

 

[booksbestfriend]

Thank TIMH. GL to you today. Only takes one catch w/ Ginn. He is a premier deep threat, just has cases of the dropsies.

Update on thread value. +8.2375

Lost a little over 6 Units since starting new thread. Hoping for a big day. Will run this thread until the units deplete. Obviously hoping that doesn't happen, as I rather enjoy playing props. It is a little bit different approach than your normal wager, but has put less white hair in my head not watching the final 2 minutes of the game, praying for my wagered team to hold or score.

 

[Timh]

Agree Book, prone to drops but likely to hit a big play. Figure Car to have to throw a little more today anyway, with Stewart out and NYG secondary is vulnerable.

 

[booksbestfriend]

I agree and saw this as the safest way to play the prop game for CAR. Couldn't lay Cam rush under, as it was juiced at -170. Cam passing props are always hit or miss (Dart toss).

 

[The Farm]

bol as always book

 

[booksbestfriend]

I Crowell over 32.5 rush (+115)
R Wilson over 237.5 pass (-135)
D Baldwin over 4.5 rec (-130) 1*
T Lockett over 3.5 rec (EV) 2* &
Over 45.5 receiving (-115) 1*
D Adams over 29.5 receiving (-115)
.5* each unless indicated

 

[booksbestfriend]

Not in love with either, but have to take them on principle. Megaton nursing an ankle and the season is all but over for the Leos.

A Abdullah over 42.5 rush (-140) .5*
Megaton over 5.5 rec (-150) .25*

 

[booksbestfriend]

M Stafford under 38.5 attempts (-105) & under 290.5 pass (-110) &
Over 7.5 rush (-115)
G Tate over 5.5 rec (-145)
D Brees under 301.5 pass (EV) &
Over 2.5 TD (+120) &
Under 39.5 attempts (-110)
T Riddick under 4.5 rec (+155)
K Forbath over 7.5 points (-125)
K Vaccaro over 6.5 tackles + assist (+110)
G Tate -6.5 vs W Snead (-135)
D Brees -12.5 vs M Stafford (-115)
.5 each

1st H over 1.5 FG (-130)
Longest TD over 45.5 (EV)
Total FG over 3.5 (+105)
.25* each

 

[booksbestfriend]

Over 4.5 sacks (-140) .5*

 

[booksbestfriend]

just some clean-uo

A Abdullah over 42.5 rush (-140) .5*
Megaton over 5.5 rec (-150) .25*
M Stafford under 38.5 attempts (-105) &
under 290.5 pass (-110) &
Over 7.5 rush (-115)
G Tate over 5.5 rec (-145)
D Brees under 301.5 pass (EV) &
Over 2.5 TD (+120) &
Under 39.5 attempts (-110)
T Riddick under 4.5 rec (+155)
K Forbath over 7.5 points (-125)
K Vaccaro over 6.5 tackles + assist (+110)
G Tate -6.5 vs W Snead (-135)
D Brees -12.5 vs M Stafford (-115)
.5 each

1st H over 1.5 FG (-130)
Longest TD over 45.5 (EV)
Total FG over 3.5 (+105)
.25* each

Over 4.5 sacks (-140) .5*
+2.0625 for MNF

1st H FG over 1.5 SD/Oak (-120) 1*
P Rivers under 298.5 pass (-115)
M Floyd over 3 rec (-120) &
Over 48.5 receiving (+120)
A Gates under 62.5 receiving (-115)
A Cooper over 5 rec (-105)
M Crabtree over 5 rec (EV)
L Murray over 2.5 rec (+120)
D Carr +28.5 vs P Rivers (-110)
.5* each

+1.525 For Thursday
+3.5875 for the week
+21.925 on props total

K Cousins under 23.5 comp (-125) &
under 262.5 pass (EV)
A Morris over 45.5 rush (-115)
P Garson over 45.5 receiving (-115)
J Reed under 6 rec (-115)
S Bradford under 258.5 pass (-115)
J Mathews under 5 rec (-135)
.5* each
D Sproles over 56.5 rush + rec (-120)
J Crowder under 29.5 receiving (-115)
K Cousins under 36.5 attempts (-115)
N Agholor over 2.5 rec (EV) &
over 27.5 receiving (-115)
.5*each
1st score other (+140)
Total FG made over 3.5 (+105)
.5 each
Skins +3.5 1*
-.7 on Saturday night

J Cutler under 259.5 pass (-120)
M Forte over 55.5 rush (-115) 1* &
over 29.5 receiving (-115)
A Jeffery under 89.5 receiving (-135)
D Martin under 91.5 rush (+110)
M Evans over 6 rec (EV)
D Martin over 2 rec (-140)
M Ryan under 273.5 pass (-115)
J Jones under 94.5 receiving (-125)
R White over 3 rec (EV)
T Ginn over 58.5 receiving (-125) &
over 3.5 rec (-120)
G Olsen under 68.5 receiving (-115)
S Watkins over 68.5 receiving (-130) &
over 4 rec (-135)
K Moore over 200.5 pass (EV)
DMC under 75.5 rush (-115)
J Whitten over 4.5 rec (-145)
G Tate over 60.5 receiving (-135) 1*
T Smith over 34.5 receiving (-115) &
over 2 rec (+110)
A Boldin over 4.5 rec (-135)
JFF under 246.5 pass (-125)
G Barnidge over 4.5 rec (-130)
A Smith over 209.5 pass (-115) 1*
T Kelce over 4.5 rec (-110) 1* &
over 57.5 receiving (-115)
Gronk over 79.5 receiving (-115) .25*
E Decker over 73.5 receiving (-115)
F Gore under 67.5 rush (-130)
TY Hilton over 4.5 rec (EV)
D Parker over 2.5 rec (-120) 2*
Big Ben over 309.5 pass (-130)
H Miller over 4 rec (EV) 1*
T Lockett over 3.5 rec (-150) 1*
J Kearse over 3.5 rec (+105)
C Palmer over 22.5 comp (-115)
Ha Ha over 6.5 tackles + assist (-120)
A Rodgers under 37.5 attempts (-105)
.5* on others
Elite under 289.5 pass (-130) &
Under 23.5 comp (-120)
S Vareen over 3.5 rec (-150) 2*
W Tye over 4 rec (-110)
AP over 2 rec (+110) 1*
M Wallace over 36.5 receiving (EV)
K Rudolph over 3 rec (-120) &
Over 32.5 receiving (EV) 1*
.5* unless otherwise stated
-12.525 on Sunday
+8.7 on the year

 

[booksbestfriend]

1st H FG over 1.5 SD/Oak (-120) 1*

Like this to be an over game for props. Both sets of receivers should get theirs. Will be back when I get some releases.

 

[booksbestfriend]

P Rivers under 298.5 pass (-115)
M Floyd over 3 rec (-120) &
Over 48.5 receiving (+120)
A Gates under 62.5 receiving (-115)
A Cooper over 5 rec (-105)
M Crabtree over 5 rec (EV)
L Murray over 2.5 rec (+120)
D Carr +28.5 vs P Rivers (-110)
.5* each

 

[ksimpsc]

going to join you on a few of these books BOL tonight