4/9 Horse Racing

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
I'll be in attendance at Aqueduct for the Wood Memorial and there are plenty of other big races at Aqueduct and around the country including two other Kentucky Derby prep races, Keeneland has the Blue Grass and in California the Santa Anita Derby.

Wood Memorial probables:

Cadeyrn (J. Englehart)
Matt King Coal (Rice)
Shagaf (C.Brown)
Flexibility (C. Brown)
Adventist (Gyramati)
Cherry Wine (Asmussen)
Cards of Stone (Pletcher)
Tale of S'avall (Tagg)
Outwork (Pletcher)

possibly:
Dalmore (Desormeaux)
Trojan Nation (Gallagher)
Awesome Speed (Goldberg)


Blue Grass probables:

American Dubai (Richards)
Brody's Cause (Romans)
Donegal Moon (Pletcher)
Hint of Roses (Maker)
Laoban (Guillot)
Pinson (Maker)
Star Hill (Arnold)
Twizz (Maker)
Zulu (Pletcher)
My Man Sam (C. Brown)


Santa Anita Derby probables:

Danzig Candy
Exaggerator
Uncle Lino
Smokey Image
Iron Rob
Denman's Call
More Spirit


All three races are for 3 year olds and will be run at 1 1/8
 
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Keeneland

G1 Ashland 3yo fillies 1 1/16

Carina Mia (Mott)
Cathryn Sophia (Servis)
Rachel's Valentina (Pletcher)
Weep No More (Arnold)


G2 Shakertown 4yo and up 5 1/2 F (turf)

American Sailor (Sharp)
Bye Bernie (Walsh)
Power Alert (B. Lynch)
Something Extra (G. Cox)


G1 Madison F&M 7F

Birdatthewire (Proctor)
Fioretti (Hamilton)
Sarah Sis (Mason)
Spelling Again (B. Cox)
Sunday Rules (D'Amato)
Super Majesty (Asmussen)
Thirteen Arrows (L. Jones)
Wavell Avenue (C. Brown)


G3 Commonwealth 4yo and up 7F

Ami's Flatter (J. Carroll)
Barbados (Tomlinson)
Departing (Stall)
Holy Boss (Asmussen)
Limousine Liberal (Colebrook)
Salengo (Engler)
Viva Majorca (Wilkes)
 
Aqueduct

G1 Carter 4yo and up 7F

Dads Caps (Rodriguez)
Sassicaia (Rodriguez)
Salutos Amigos (Jacobson)
Always Sunshine (Allard)
Anchor Down (Pletcher)
Green Gratto (Grant)
Majestic Affair (C. Brown)
Roxbury N Overton (R. Preciado)

possibly:
Red Vine (Clement)
Calculator (P. Miller)
 
G2 Gazelle 3yo fillies 1 1/8

Behrnik's Bank (Kazamias)
Clair de Lune (C. Brown)
Lewis Bay (C. Brown)
Clipthecouponannnie (Pletcher)
Mo d'Amour (Pletcher)
Dreams to Reality (Dilger)
Flora Dora (Coffey)
Royal Obsession (Asmussen)


G3 Bay Shore 3yo 7F

Awesome Gent (Pletcher)
Awesome Speed (Goldberg)
Cocked and Loaded (Rivelli)
King Kranz (Terranova)
Richie the Bull (Scott)
Sallisaw (McLaughlin)
Unified (Jerkens)

possibly:
Morning Fire (Nations)
Never Gone South (C. Lynch)
Ready Dancer (Pletcher)


G3 Excelsior 4yo and up 1 1/4

Good Luck Gus (Rodriguez)
Kid Cruz (Rice)
Madefromlucky (Pletcher)
Norumbega (McGaughey)
Turco Bravo (Contessa)

possibly:
Adirondack King (Servis)
Backsideofthemoon (L. O'Brien)
Our Caravan (Rodriguez)
 
From Twitter:

When asked if Zulu was confirmed for Blue Grass, Pletcher responded "The only confirmed Blue Grass starter for us now is Donegal Moon."
 
[h=2]From DRF:

Santa Anita: Six Santa Anita Derby candidates have final works[/h]Saturday was a busy morning for several leading hopefuls for the $1 million Santa Anita Derby. Five of the seven candidates for the Triple Crown prep had workouts at Santa Anita.
At five furlongs, Danzing Candy, winner of the Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes on March 12, was timed in 1:00.60. Exaggerator, third in the San Felipe, worked the same distance in 1:02.80, while Uncle Lino, fourth in the same race, worked in 1:02.40.
At six furlongs, Smokey Image, who was fifth in the San Felipe, was timed in 1:13.40. Iron Rob, winner of the San Pedro Stakes at six furlongs on March 20, was timed in 1:14.20.
At a mile, Denman's Call worked in 1:43.20, the only horse with a recorded time at the distance.
Only Mor Spirit, a two-time stakes winner who was second in the San Felipe Stakes, did not have a workout among Santa Anita Derby hopefuls. Trained by Bob Baffert, Mor Spirit is scheduled to work on Tuesday.
 
Keeneland twitter:

Toyota Blue Grass (G1) contender AMERICAN DUBAI worked 5F in 1:01.40 over a fast track this morning. Galloped out 6F in 1:16.
 
Welsch twitter:

As of now looks like Cherry Wine to Wood Brody's Cause to Blue Grass Unbridled Outlaw to Arkansas Derby
 
Grening twitter:

Anchor Down, the 3-1 2nd choice in SAT Sir Shackleton at GULF, will scratch to run in next SAT Grade 1 Carter at AQU, per Pletcher
 
Welsch twitter:

Romans works his Derby trio Brody's Cause the star of show 5/8 from1/2 in 59.79 with huge gallop out into wind 6f 112.07 up mile in 140.15!
 
Welsch twitter:

Also Romans Cherry Wine 5 from 1/2 100.55 out 113.84 Unbridled Outlaw 101.10 up 113.81 the latter got pretty hot all 3 going on cut up track
 
Grening twitter:

Outwork looked tremendous in 5-8ths move in 1:00.48, beating Decorated Soldier by about 6 lengths. Out 3-4s in 1:13.92.
 


TOP SPRINTERS WORK TOWARD NEXT SATURDAY’S COMMONWEALTH
Jerry Durant’s Holy Boss and Katherine Ball’s Limousine Liberal, who finished fourth and 11th, respectively, behind champion Runhappy in last fall’s TwinSpires Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1), both worked before the break Saturday morning.
Both 4-year-olds are nominated to next Saturday’s 30th running of the $250,000 Commonwealth (G3) at seven furlongs in what would mark their 2016 debuts.
A three-time stakes winner including a victory in the Amsterdam (G2), Holy Boss covered five furlongs in 1:00.40. Holy Boss is trained by Steve Asmussen.
Limousine Liberal, who finished second to Runhappy in the NYRA.com King’s Bishop (G1) and two lengths ahead of Holy Boss in that race, worked a half-mile in :46.60 with an opening quarter in :23.60 and out five furlongs in 1:00.20.
“It was a little fast, but good horses work fast,” trainer Ben Colebrook said. “I think we are going to run (in the Commonwealth).”
 
Wood day might be the premier sporting event in the country that can be attended for free. Great day of racing across the country, plus Master's Saturday. Gonna have to earn my couch potato credentials this week with the wife.
 
Zulu "probably" headed to Blue Grass, per Pletcher, who said Castellano rides if he goes there
 
Grening twitter:

Outwork, the Tampa Bay Derby runner-up, confirmed for Wood Memorial, per Mike Repole. That likely means Zulu to Blue Grass
 
Central Bank Ashland (G1) contender CATHRYN SOPHIA works 1/2 mile in :48.20 after the renovation break; out 5/8 in 1:01.
 
Probable Toyota Blue Grass Field Swells to 13
The list of probable entrants into Saturday’s 92ndrunning of the $1 million Toyota Blue Grass (G1) rose to 13, according to Keeneland Racing Secretary Ben Huffman on Sunday morning.
New faces expected to pass the entry box Tuesday morning include Xpressbet.com Fountain of Youth (G2) runner-up Zulu. Trained by three-time Toyota Blue Grass winner Todd Pletcher, Zulu has won two of three starts and is owned by Michael Tabor, Mrs. John Magnier, Derrick Smith and Stonestreet Stables.
Lloyd Madison Farms IV LLC’s Zapperini, fifth in the Veterans Ford Risen Star (G2) at Fair Grounds, is expected to join the field. Trained by Greg Foley, Zapperini has won one of three starts.
Paul Van Doren’s Crescent Drive, who did not draw in to the Horseshoe Casino Cincinnati Spiral (G3) on Saturday from the also-eligible list, never has been out of the money in four career starts racing on grass and synthetic surfaces. Tom Amoss trains the Kentucky-bred son of Flower Alley.
Also expected to be entered are Sheep Pond Partners, Newport Stables and Jay Bligh’s My Man Sam, a maiden winner in New York for trainer Chad Brown, and Calumet Farm’s Goats Town, a maiden trained by two-time Toyota Blue Grass winner D. Wayne Lukas.
Other runners expected to contest the Toyota Blue Grass, which carries 170 points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby with 100 going to the winner, areAmerican Dubai, Brody’s Cause, Donegal Moon, Hintof Roses, Laoban, Pinson, Star Hill and Twizz.
 
Forever Darling and Mokat, candidates for the Grade I, $400,000 Santa Anita Oaks a week from Saturday, April 9, each worked six furlongs Friday forRichard Baltas, the former going in 1:13.40 and the latter in 1:14.20. Also likely to tackle undefeated champion Songbird in the Oaks are Bellamentary, Kay Kay, She’s a Warrior andKiss N Scat, who, like Songbird, is trained by Jerry Hollendorfer and also possible for the Grade III Providencia Stakes at 1 1/8 miles on turf April 9
 
From Nyra.com:


Trainer Todd Pletcher has shored up his contingent for the Grade 1, $1 million Wood Memorial on April 9 at Aqueduct Racetrack, confirming both Grade 2 Tampa Bay Derby runner-up Outwork and standout allowance winner Cards of Stone on the final New York stop on the Road to the Kentucky Derby.

Outwork and Cards of Stone each turned in their final works for the Wood at their respective training bases on Saturday morning. Cards of Stone, owned in a partnership led by Highclere America, breezed five furlongs at the Belmont Park training track, covering the distance in 1:02 2/5. Saturday's breeze was his third regular workout since beating a group of optional-claimers by 13 lengths on the Aqueduct inner track on March 4 to earn a personal-best 92 Beyer Speed Figure.
The New York-bred son of Bustin Stones broke his maiden and ran second against state-breds going two turns while under the care of trainer H. James Bond before being purchased privately and transferred to Pletcher in January. Cards of Stone's connections opted to skip the Grade 3 Withers on January 30 and aim instead for the mile-and-70-yard Gander for New York-breds, where the dark bay gelding finished a troubled fifth.
Outwork, meanwhile, breezed five furlongs in 1:00 2/5 for the trainer at Palm Beach Downs in south Florida, only the colt's second breeze since running a game second in the Tampa Bay Derby to his Kentucky Derby-bound stablemate Destin.
Repole Stable's lightly raced Outwork broke his maiden at first asking last April at Keeneland, wiring the field in a 4 ½-furlong maiden special weight to draw off by 2 ¼ lengths. The Uncle Mo homebred returned fresh as a 3-year-old, revamping his initial effort with a 4 ¼-length optional-claiming score against sprinters in February at Tampa Bay Downs en route to his two-turn stakes debut the following month.
"He's a big, strong colt," said Pletcher. "I thought he was surprisingly precocious last year when he won the 4 ½-furlong race. He got some time off after that and everything's gone really well this winter. He stepped up off one six-furlong race and ran a really key race in the Tampa Derby and we hope that that race and the works he's had since then will move him forward."
The 1 1/8-mile Wood virtually guarantees its first and second-place finishers a starting spot in the May 7 "Run for the Roses," offering 100 qualifying points to the winner as part of the "Road to the Kentucky Derby" system, 40 points to second, 20 to third and 10 to fourth.
* * *
From trainer Barclay Tagg's winter base at Palm Meadows Training Center in Boynton Beach, Florida, Tale of S'avall continued his final preparations towards next Saturday's Grade 1, $1 million Wood Memorial, breezing five furlongs in 1:00.05 Sunday morning.
"He's doing great," said Tagg. "It was a very nice work in company and we're happy with it. Going a minute, it was just what we were looking for."
A homebred for owner Charles Fipke, who campaigned Tale of S'avall's sire, 2008 Wood Memorial winner Tale of Ekati, also trained by Tagg, the pair hope to repeat their previous effort with another victory in the Wood, which comes with 100 qualifying points, securing a berth in the Kentucky Derby.
With only three career starts including a pair of fifth-place finishes in his last two - over a sloppy track in the Grade 1 Champagne last October at Belmont Park and, most recently, in his first start of the year on March 5 in the Tampa Bay Derby - Tale of S'avall is left with one shot in New York to make a "Run for the Roses" on the first Saturday in May.
"Our backs are [kind of] to the wall here," said Tagg. "We had to run him in the Tampa Derby since it was the only place we could go at the time to try to get him some points and he couldn't do it, so now we're running in the Wood. He kind of bruised his feet in the Champagne and we tried to get him to the Breeders' Cup [Juvenile]. We took him down there to Kentucky and we had slop the whole week. For a while, we've had to deal with a series of minor issues with him, just baby stuff. We took our time getting him back, got him all fixed up.
"The Derby's very difficult to get into," he added. "I'd like to get there the right way and we've had to shift around a little bit to try to make that happen. We're up against it but, anyway, that's where we are."
Tale of S'avall is expected to arrive in New York on Thursday by plane.
 
Grening twitter:

Zulu confirmed for Blue Grass with Javier Castellano. Pletcher also running Donegal Moon in that race with Martin Garcia.
 
Plans have changed for Cards Of Stone. He has been re-routed to the G1 Bluegrass Stakes Saturday
 
Looks like a lot of early speed in the Blue Grass with Donegal Moon, Zulu, Laoban, Twizz, American Dubai, Cards of Stone....I'll be looking at Brody's Cause, Cherry Wine and My Man Sam who should get good setups
 
More work to do in Commonwealth but maybe Barbados gets a nice stalking trip and outside post should help positioning behind early speeds No Hiding Place and Ready for Rye and Far Right could be an interesting cutback...probably chasing because I needed Barbados three back vs Runhappy but think 7F could be his best distance.
 
Tons of early speed in the Shakertown, I'm looking at the two that ran 1-2 in Woodbine last yr...Summation Time and Bye Bernie...Undrafted may need a race but the set up will certainly be there
 
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Big A and Keenelsnd are teaming up for an all stakes pick 4 featuring the Bsyshore, Madison, Wood and Blue Grass.
 
Santa Anita Derby (GI)
1. Denman's Call
2. Exaggerator
3. Danzing Candy
4. Mor Spirit
5. Smokey Image
6. Iron Rob
7. Dressed in Hermes
8. Rare Candy
9. Diplodocus
10. Uncle Lino
 
From Nyra.com:

A familiar face, sporting a new look, looks to do what no other horse has done in the past 115 runnings of the Carter Handicap - win the race for a third time.

Dads Caps, the victor of the last two runnings of Aqueduct's Grade 1, $400,000 Carter, is among eight entered in Saturday's seven-furlong race for older males.
A 6-year-old homebred for Vincent Scuderi, millionaire Dads Caps has disappointed in his last two starts, which were preceded by a six-month layoff to recuperate from knee surgery to remove a chip.
In hopes of shaking things up a bit, Dads Caps' trainer, Rudy Rodriguez, has orchestrated a jockey change, replacing Jose Ortiz with his older brother, Irad Ortiz Jr., and will remove the blinkers the horse has worn in his last six starts, including the 2015 Carter.
"I'm switching up everything, and I'm hoping it works," said Rodriguez on Wednesday morning at his Aqueduct barn.
In two starts this year, Dads Caps, a son of Discreet Cat, finished seventh in the Grade 3 Toboggan Handicap and ninth in the Grade 3 Tom Fool Handicap. Both those races were run on Aqueduct's inner track.
"He likes the main track better," said Rodriquez, who has trained Dads Caps since the horse began his racing career in February 2013, "but I think those two races on the inner will move him up for this race.
"When we ran him the first time off the layoff, he made a nice move and he got to [pacesetter] Green Gatto," he added. "But at the sixteenth pole, he flattened out. In his last race, he got the lead too easily, and it looked like he was going to win, but he flattened again."
Rodriquez has already given Dads Caps' new rider specific instructions.
"I told Irad I would like to see him three or four lengths off the early lead," Rodriquez remarked. "I think he has one move only, a quarter-mile or less. If the pace moves along up front, Irad can put the horse in a good position. I'm told Irad to wait. Last year when he won the Carter, he was still behind horses at the quarter-pole. When Jose asked him, he took off pretty good."
Dads Caps drew post 3 and was listed at 8-1 on the morning line.
Rodriguez will also saddle Sassicaia, 10-1, in the Carter. The Robert LaPenta-owned 5-year-old recorded his first stakes victory in the six-furlong Toboggan on January 30. He is unraced since then, as Rodriguez said the son of Bernardini typically runs his better races with space in between starts.
The Chad Brown-trained Majestic Affair, an improving 4-year-old, offers intrigue. The gelding, who is owned by Thomas Coleman and Doheny Racing Stable, exits a sharp second-place finish in the Grade 3 General George at Laurel Park in mid-February. Preceding that, Majestic Affair won the two-turn Jazil Stakes over a muddy track inner track at Aqueduct. There is a 50 percent chance of rain on Saturday.
""He ran terrific and a good horse beat him," Brown said of Majestic Affair's second to Page McKenney in the seven-furlong General George. "I figure he fits in the Carter field. Once this horse got older, we tried him going longer, and he won. I think this horse's future this year will be going a little longer than seven-eighths, but given the opportunity to run in a Grade 1 with a horse who is currently in good form, makes it worth a shot."
Kendrick Carmouche has the mount on Majestic Affair, who breaks from post 2 at 5-2 on the morning line.
Millionaire Salutos Amigos, the morning-line favorite at 2-1, usually always shows up ready to answer the challenge. The 6-year-old millionaire won the Grade 3 Tom Fool Handicap for the second year in a row in stylish fashion at Aqueduct last month. Trainer and co-owner David Jacobson flirted with the idea of taking the gelding to Dubai to run in the Group 1 Golden Shaheen, a race he finished eighth in last year, but the logistics of getting him there proved difficult, so the Carter came onto the table. A multiple graded stakes winner, Salutos Amigos seeks the first Grade 1 victory of his career in the Carter.
Cornelio Velasquez, aboard for both of Salutos Amigos' Tom Fool wins, rides from post 2.
Jacobson has also entered Stallwalkin' Dude, a former claimer who is in search of his first graded stakes win.
Calculator, the 2015 Grade 3 Sham Stakes winner, makes his first start outside of the Golden State. Trained by Peter Miller, who shipped Comma to the Top from his Southern California home base to Aqueduct to win the 2013 Tom Fool, Calculator finished third in last month's Grade 2 San Carlos Stakes at Santa Anita.
Completing the Carter field is Anchor Down, who was disqualified from third in his stakes debut and placed fourth for interference in last month's Grade 3 Gulfstream Park Handicap, and the likely pacesetter, Green Gratto, who won both the 2015 Grade 3 Fall Highweight and 2016 Gravesend at Aqueduct in gate-to-wire fashion.
 
Have full card pp's for Sat Kee and Aqu and going through Aqu already...if anyone wants to go over any of these races or has any questions, I'll be around all night.
 
Appreciate all the twitter updates, it is so hard to stay up to date. I am starting Saturday capping tonight.
 
AQU Late Pick 4:
2, 6, 7/ 2, 4, 5, 6/ 1, 2, 5/ 2, 3, 4

R8: (2) Lewis Bay is the class of the field for Chad Brown, who is 41% for the year at AQU and same % in dirt routes. (6) Behrnik's Banker and (7) Flora Dora could be decent value. 6 is stepping up big time and stretching out, and 7 might be a cut below, but on a sloppy track they may have a chance if the race falls apart.

R9: (4) Awesome Gent and (5) Unified are the logical choices. I'll also use (6) Cocked and Loaded, who was only 3 3/4 lengths behind Nyquist in the Juvenile and has been working lights out. I'll use (2) Awesome Speed too, who had a bad trip in the Fountain of Youth.

R10: (1) Shagaf is the one to beat. I will throw out (8) Outwork, who I just don't think is fast enough. I'll also use (2) Adventist, who could still be getting better and (5) Flexibility.

R11: Wide open. (4) Green Gratto is my longshot pick to get loose on a sloppy track and wire them. Also will throw in (2) Majestic Affair and (3) Dads Cap.
 
AQU Late Pick 4:
2, 6, 7/ 2, 4, 5, 6/ 1, 2, 5/ 2, 3, 4

R8: (2) Lewis Bay is the class of the field for Chad Brown, who is 41% for the year at AQU and same % in dirt routes. (6) Behrnik's Banker and (7) Flora Dora could be decent value. 6 is stepping up big time and stretching out, and 7 might be a cut below, but on a sloppy track they may have a chance if the race falls apart.

R9: (4) Awesome Gent and (5) Unified are the logical choices. I'll also use (6) Cocked and Loaded, who was only 3 3/4 lengths behind Nyquist in the Juvenile and has been working lights out. I'll use (2) Awesome Speed too, who had a bad trip in the Fountain of Youth.

R10: (1) Shagaf is the one to beat. I will throw out (8) Outwork, who I just don't think is fast enough. I'll also use (2) Adventist, who could still be getting better and (5) Flexibility.

R11: Wide open. (4) Green Gratto is my longshot pick to get loose on a sloppy track and wire them. Also will throw in (2) Majestic Affair and (3) Dads Cap.

R8: I like #2 the best off 2nd place finish vs Ashland fav Cathyrn Sophia and two back won Aqu main and distance and should get a good setup behind early speeds #1 and #6. I'll also use #5 who raced against bias, wide in last on inside favoring track....and I agree and will be using 10-1 ml shot #7, outside draw could be an advantage for position and covered most ground of all in last, ran 46 ft more than winner (Trakus) and three back vs #2 Lewis Bay ran 10 ft further and only beaten 3 lengths.

R9: #2 and #3 are likely to scratch and run at Laurel. I like #6 the best, should get nice stalking trip behind early speeds #4 and #5....of those two I like #4...#5 is 1st vs winners but see how Mutaraamy (2nd place finisher in last) does in R4 at Keeneland on Saturday but Jimmy Jerkens is 0 for last 11 with 2nd time starters that won their debut.

See ya at Big A tomorrow but I'll be back with more in a bit
 
R10 Aqu: 1,2,5,6,8 all with a chance imo, I wouldn't throw out #8 off 2nd place finish in TB Derby and recent monster work (see Grening).

R11: maybe use #4 but he won't have it easy up front with #6 who I may use but also like 1,2,7...5 will be tough but better going 6F than 7F
 
Hopefully weather doesn't factors into the outcome of these races at Aqueduct but looking at the forecast it certainly could...anyways

R1: #7 looks like he'll be tough to beat off last where he was off slow and made a big late run, could get a nice setup behind early speeds #1,#2,#5....I also will be using #6 who in last race was forced to take back at the start, forced out top of stretch and made a nice late run and it's not like race collapsed as winner was wire to wire winner and 3rd place finisher was sitting 2nd...Trakus says he ran furthest distance 25 ft more than winner.

R2: I like #2 and #4 the best....#2 is off the claim for great off the claim owner and trainer is on hot streak winning 2 on Thurs and the Fri finale and good move for him, 24% dirt sprint off claim....#4 2nd off claim for Jacobson, beaten neck in last vs wire to wire winner and ran 13 ft further (Trakus)

R3: can make a case for all 5 and the main question here is who is the early speed, who ever is could be dangerous. Value seems to be with #3 and #5

R4: if on turf #4 will be tough but #10 best race was only turf race (2 back) and could have pace advantage here if forwardly placed, #1 also a contender off layoff with good back races.

R5: #1 and #7 are my top picks, both ran wide vs inside bias in last...#1 (20-1 ML) covered most ground in last running 33 ft more than wire to wire winner and #7 ran 2nd furthest distance 26 ft more than winner....#2 could certainly win 2 for 4 distance and 2 for 2 at Aqueduct.
 
Also R5 no clue about #8, Irad gets on but watch last race replay...I'm a bit confused with possible effortless ride at end or just empty?
 
R8: I like #2 the best off 2nd place finish vs Ashland fav Cathyrn Sophia and two back won Aqu main and distance and should get a good setup behind early speeds #1 and #6. I'll also use #5 who raced against bias, wide in last on inside favoring track....and I agree and will be using 10-1 ml shot #7, outside draw could be an advantage for position and covered most ground of all in last, ran 46 ft more than winner (Trakus) and three back vs #2 Lewis Bay ran 10 ft further and only beaten 3 lengths.

R9: #2 and #3 are likely to scratch and run at Laurel. I like #6 the best, should get nice stalking trip behind early speeds #4 and #5....of those two I like #4...#5 is 1st vs winners but see how Mutaraamy (2nd place finisher in last) does in R4 at Keeneland on Saturday but Jimmy Jerkens is 0 for last 11 with 2nd time starters that won their debut.

See ya at Big A tomorrow but I'll be back with more in a bit

Great trip notes for the 8th! We'll definitely have to keep an eye on that Keeneland race, #5 is the ML favorite in the 9th. Mutaraamy should be a good barometer of how serious to take him.
 
R6: if turf I like #4 (8-1 ML) Motion is 19 for 69 28% with foreign shippers over the last four years and 7 for last 19 (37%) and $3.16 ROI with foreign shippers in turf routes off 180+ day layoffs.

R7: #7 (15-1 ML) had an awful trip in debut and still ran well, very slow start spotted field several lengths then steady taken up, steady again top of stretch and forced to steady again after that, strong gallop out and training forwardly since so don't see any reason why he can't take a step forward.

R12: if turf #2 is a contender, 1ster for Clement who's capable 1sters going two turns on grass, 17% turf sire and is a half 3 turf winners...#6 ships in from California for Jacobson....#8 had to overcome bad post and slow pace in last, adds blinkers and should get a nice setup. Chad Brown is 34% Nyra turf races 100+ day layoffs last 5 years with a $2.35 ROI
 
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