Hopefully weather doesn't factors into the outcome of these races at Aqueduct but looking at the forecast it certainly could...anyways
R1: #7 looks like he'll be tough to beat off last where he was off slow and made a big late run, could get a nice setup behind early speeds #1,#2,#5....I also will be using #6 who in last race was forced to take back at the start, forced out top of stretch and made a nice late run and it's not like race collapsed as winner was wire to wire winner and 3rd place finisher was sitting 2nd...Trakus says he ran furthest distance 25 ft more than winner.
R2: I like #2 and #4 the best....#2 is off the claim for great off the claim owner and trainer is on hot streak winning 2 on Thurs and the Fri finale and good move for him, 24% dirt sprint off claim....#4 2nd off claim for Jacobson, beaten neck in last vs wire to wire winner and ran 13 ft further (Trakus)
R3: can make a case for all 5 and the main question here is who is the early speed, who ever is could be dangerous. Value seems to be with #3 and #5
R4: if on turf #4 will be tough but #10 best race was only turf race (2 back) and could have pace advantage here if forwardly placed, #1 also a contender off layoff with good back races.
R5: #1 and #7 are my top picks, both ran wide vs inside bias in last...#1 (20-1 ML) covered most ground in last running 33 ft more than wire to wire winner and #7 ran 2nd furthest distance 26 ft more than winner....#2 could certainly win 2 for 4 distance and 2 for 2 at Aqueduct.
