2025 Golf Handicapping Thread....

[B.A.R.]

GL on Min Woo @B.A.R. He should cruise to his maiden win.

If you throw a masters contest, count me in for $50 towards pot/winner.

Masters Contest will be up and running this week!

I know someone also committed money to it as well.

 

[B.A.R.]

Can’t help myself- rd.4 Houston

Pendrith top 10, ties paid +100 5u (FD)

Poorer round yesterday and think he keeps pace with first page leaderboard

Nice work on Pendy

 

[B.A.R.]

I'm a sick degen.

So I have those MW, Wyndbag and Knapp futures.

I took Scottie early on Sunday at +600 just in case.

Then took Gary at +2400

Smaller, but just in case.

Then here's comes Clark.

My only worry was Valimaki.

Man, I almost had a 3 man playoff with a guaranteed winner. I'm glad I didn't but wow.

I've had super FOMO on M.W. For awhile. But, I've picked my spots.

As I said earlier today -- locked him in for Augusta 80-1

 

[B.A.R.]

 

[laopadak]

1-0 Rd.4 Houston +5, +23.2u total for Houston.

YTD:
January: -38u (6 tourneys counted)
February: +14.75u (3 tourneys)
March: +53.1u (4 tourneys)

Back in the positive big time. Good mix of over/unders, birdies or better and the occasional round match-ups and ERL (rd.1's). Live action is a good option, if you have the time / around watching. Need to figure out outrights, never had much luck with those...

Onto Valero

 

[B.A.R.]

1-0 Rd.4 Houston +5, +23.2u total for Houston.

YTD:
January: -38u (6 tourneys counted)
February: +14.75u (3 tourneys)
March: +53.1u (4 tourneys)

Back in the positive big time. Good mix of over/unders, birdies or better and the occasional round match-ups and ERL (rd.1's). Live action is a good option, if you have the time / around watching. Need to figure out outrights, never had much luck with those...

Onto Valero

What a March!

Let's roll into the spring!

Already capping this morning myself.

 

[B.A.R.]

 

[B.A.R.]

The above from our guy Ron Klos.

 

[B.A.R.]

More from Klos...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1906724260258656557

 

[B.A.R.]

I like this read early Mondays to get the wheels turning...

DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS Picks: Horse For The Course - 2025 Valero Texas Open

Todd McGill's DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2025 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio. Picks for daily fantasy golf based on course history

www.rotoballer.com

 

[B.A.R.]

Good Valero Primer

 

[laopadak]

Thanks for the links big guy. Always helpful to get an early read/start for the week.

 

[B.A.R.]

Likely some LIV Miami action as well.

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1906768223888093192

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1906718676889243982

 

[aplous]

Finally got off the schnide with Min Woo last week. First clicks this week, Spieth 25 and Tom Kim 40.

Jordan has great history here and playing better, Tom great approach numbers lately.

 

[B.A.R.]

Finally got off the schnide with Min Woo last week. First clicks this week, Spieth 25 and Tom Kim 40.

Jordan has great history here and playing better, Tom great approach numbers lately.

Spieth on my radar for sure.

Kim was on my long list, so I'll look closer.

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1907459350668415253

 

[RBTrojan]

Valero full tourney match ups:

Woodland +105 vs Fitzpatrick: I think he may be turning the corner. I still think Fitz is lost. I’ll take the plus money in this spot.

Knapp -115 Va Rickie Fowler: going with my gut on this one…

Best of luck with your plays this week…

 

[B.A.R.]

Valero full tourney match ups:

Woodland +105 vs Fitzpatrick: I think he may be turning the corner. I still think Fitz is lost. I’ll take the plus money in this spot.

Knapp -115 Va Rickie Fowler: going with my gut on this one…

Best of luck with your plays this week…

You gotta keep the Woodland magic going.

Huge step for him last week -- he loved being back in the mix. I expect he will be again.

Rickie has one top 20 all year -- the cognizant

GL RBT!

 

[B.A.R.]

LIV Doral Top 10

Bryson Top 10 +100

Valero Open FRL:

Fisk +12,500 (.1 units)

Valero Open Outrights

Berger +3500
Griffin +4500
Hoey +6500
Gerard +7000

(All outrights are between .25 and .75 units)


That's what I have so far. I honestly like WAY too much on outrights. With that being said, I'm not pushing it after last week's win...

I like Corey as does most of the world. No value.

Spieth and Si Woo are on the short list as well.

Cauley and the Postman are intriguing but value is gone.

Hoge and Smalley are close as well...

I'll play some totals either afternoon wave at Valero or Friday...

GL everyone

 

[laopadak]

GL this week fellas, liking those plays and names thru the week.

Rd.1 Valero, early wave.

McCarthy under 70.5 -120 5u (FD)

 

[Jarrett75]

Good morning, enjoy checking all you guys plays. Throwing one out I just placed.

Cauley (-111) over Burns 1st round (Bookmaker)

Took some of those outrights as well. Great luck to everyone.

 

[laopadak]

Late wave, Rd.1 Valero-

Connors under 70.5 -120 5u(FD)
McNealy under 71.5 -150 5u(FD)

 

[laopadak]

1-2 rd.1 -6.7u. Connors should’ve come in, 2 under going into his last hole, par 5 but decided he forgot how to chip.

Rd.2- Hoey under 71.5 -135 5u (DK)
Add- Connors under 70.5 -125 5u (DK)

FD has it -125 but giving me a ridiculous limit this morning.

Par 4 scoring they say is key on this track, keep an eye on it.

Will add, hopefully a match up or with some MLB

GL today

 

[B.A.R.]

1-2 rd.1 -6.7u. Connors should’ve come in, 2 under going into his last hole, par 5 but decided he forgot how to chip.

Rd.2- Hoey under 71.5 -135 5u (DK)
Add- Connors under 70.5 -125 5u (DK)

FD has it -125 but giving me a ridiculous limit this morning.

Par 4 scoring they say is key on this track, keep an eye on it.

Will add, hopefully a match up or with some MLB

GL today

Very nice. I came to post Corey as well

Under 70.5 -120 PPH

 

[B.A.R.]

Luddy driving the green on a par 4 with his driver head flying off was impressive yesterday.

 

[laopadak]

Two early lip outs by Connors isn't helping. Keep your head down and they'll start falling. Leggo Canada.

 

[B.A.R.]

Shaky first 5 holes Corey

Birdie but then pars easiest hole and backs that up with a bogey

 

[Inspekdah]

Shaky first 5 holes Corey

Birdie but then pars easiest hole and backs that up with a bogey

F'n Canada

 

[Inspekdah]

Saved PAR after water on 18 from 19 feet. Let's get some mo going

 

[laopadak]

Rd.2 Add- Kirk -150 v. Schenk / Tigers ML +129 4.14u

Kirk a meh round yesterday whereas Schenk played decently. Fade on Schenk mostly.

 

[laopadak]

0-3 rd.2 Valero -14.15. 1-5, -20.85 total. Trash fade material thus far. Will see if anything pops up this morning but not gonna press.

Wind suppose to be up today. GL on your plays.

 

[laopadak]

Cold and snowing, little league canceled so gonna be watching early.

Rd.3 Valero EVR -115 v. Svensson 5u(FD)
Add- Mitchell over 70.5 -160 4u (DK)

 

[B.A.R.]

Cold and snowing, little league canceled so gonna be watching early.

Rd.3 Valero EVR -115 v. Svensson 5u(FD)
Add- Mitchell over 70.5 -160 4u (DK)

GL bud, I'm sure a bounceback is coming.

 

[laopadak]

lol EVR, might shoot highest score today.

Rd.3 add- Harman ERL -110 4.5u (MGM). +1 thru 2

 

[B.A.R.]

LIV Doral Top 10

Bryson Top 10 +100

Valero Open FRL:

Fisk +12,500 (.1 units)

Valero Open Outrights

Berger +3500
Griffin +4500
Hoey +6500
Gerard +7000

(All outrights are between .25 and .75 units)


That's what I have so far. I honestly like WAY too much on outrights. With that being said, I'm not pushing it after last week's win...

I like Corey as does most of the world. No value.

Spieth and Si Woo are on the short list as well.

Cauley and the Postman are intriguing but value is gone.

Hoge and Smalley are close as well...

I'll play some totals either afternoon wave at Valero or Friday...

GL everyone

Bryson up 2 on the field at Doral.

I believe he's up 6-7 on 10th place.

I was going to take his outright too but lost the value.

So, this makes sense.

Love the momentum (possibly) heading into next week!

 

[laopadak]

2-1 rd.3 modest +1.6u, -19.5 tourney.

Several early round guys out there looking like lol, Texas 50 weather just hits different I suppose.

rd.4 Velero-
Ramey under 73.5 3.5u (DK)
Adds:

Carson Young +295 live v. Phillips, down 1 thru 6. 2u (DK)

 

[laopadak]

Rd.4 add

McNealy-145 v Mitchell, up 1, thru 1 -145 / Brewers under 9 / Giants under 9 +307 2u (DK)

 

[B.A.R.]

Bryson up 2 on the field at Doral.

I believe he's up 6-7 on 10th place.

I was going to take his outright too but lost the value.

So, this makes sense.

Love the momentum (possibly) heading into next week!

Bryson took a shit today but at least he placed top 10.

 

[laopadak]

For good record keeping and a reminder that with the good, comes the bad. 0-3 Rd.3 Valero -7.5, -27u total.

Onto Masters, a clean slate and a fresh thread for the week.

 

[laopadak]

RBC Heritage- starting to dig in today. Weather supposed to be decent. No cut signature event.

https://www.thelines.com/rbc-heritage-odds-pga-golf-betting-2025/

 

[laopadak]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1911941304298197087

 

[B.A.R.]

Let's get back into it!

Classic course and the signature status has made this a bit more interesting since last year.

Very guy feeling on Mr Spieth this week and played him at +3300

 

[gps_3]

Let's get back into it!

Classic course and the signature status has made this a bit more interesting since last year.

Very guy feeling on Mr Spieth this week and played him at +3300

Took him at +4000, LFG!

 

[Inspekdah]

Took him at +4000, LFG!

Yeah let’s manifest this dude home!

 

[jimmymo]

My longshot play of the week is Billy Horschel at +11000

 

[B.A.R.]

My longshot play of the week is Billy Horschel at +11000

Very solid, I might join myself.

 

[RBTrojan]

Sitting this one out for full tourney plays, may join in some single round plays over the weekend. Good luck this week guys:

 

[B.A.R.]

Let's get back into it!

Classic course and the signature status has made this a bit more interesting since last year.

Very guy feeling on Mr Spieth this week and played him at +3300

Billy Ho @ +10500
Si Woo @ +8500
Matt Fitzpatrick @ +7000
Glover @ +11000

Small fun plays.

Should we fade Rose? Likely. But I remember trying to fade guys after the Masters with varying success years back.