2024 Golf Discussion - Playoff Time -- East Lake

[laopadak]

Rd.3 add: English under 68.5 -155 4u(DK)

 

[B.A.R.]

Gl.

Doing a quick cap now.

 

[B.A.R.]

Going back to well on JT o67.5 +105.


Took some Mori+1000 as well.

 

[KJ]

Crazy this isn't on tv and have to go to streaming. Wtf?

 

[peelpub94]

Crazy this isn't on tv and have to go to streaming. Wtf?

Early tee times are always on ESPN+ until the leading groups.

 

[KJ]

Early tee times are always on ESPN+ until the leading groups.

I have it on, didn't realize the leaders don't tee off until after Wimbledon does

 

[peelpub94]

Is Aberg +180 a dumb bet for someone who didn't make the cut last year but playing out of his mind right now?

 

[KJ]

Is Aberg +180 a dumb bet for someone who didn't make the cut last year but playing out of his mind right now?

Nope. He will be the #1 golfer in the world within the next couple years, never feel bad about backing him.

 

[KJ]

What makes it great is he's Texas Tech so there's a built in rivalry with Scottie already and Tech guys use Longhorns as targets

 

[laopadak]

Rd.3 live add: Fleetwood over 65.5 -165 3u(DK). Currently 1 under thru 2.

 

[laopadak]

Is Aberg +180 a dumb bet for someone who didn't make the cut last year but playing out of his mind right now?

Very possible, thus the closest odds to even, but a lot of good guys right behind him. Very difficult to maintain 4 solid rounds, even harder to keep the lead, then win the tourney. Who knows for certain but gonna wait, post rd.3, if we’re lucky he has a meh round, couple of guys catch up and we get better odds tomorrow. In all, just don’t see the value

 

[KJ]

Very possible, thus the closest odds to even, but a lot of good guys right behind him. Very difficult to maintain 4 solid rounds, even harder to keep the lead, then win the tourney. Who knows for certain but gonna wait, post rd.3, if we’re lucky he has a meh round, couple of guys catch up and we get better odds tomorrow. In all, just don’t see the value

If he shoots 66-67 today as the odds suggest he might well be minus starting the day tomorrow

He was already the favorite of a lot of golf handicappers before the week started

 

[KJ]

By the way this is why this place is better than some other random site. This kind of discussion is simply not something you find anywhere else on the interwebs and I can promise you I'm not getting a paycheck from CTG. It's just smart people saying smart things most of the time.

 

[KJ]

That said sometimes we're just complete assholes and that's what keeps it fun. It's 5:30am and I'm waiting for tennis.

If you told me this would be my life 30 years ago it's likely I'd challenge you to a match

 

[laopadak]

If he shoots 66-67 today as the odds suggest he might well be minus starting the day tomorrow

He was already the favorite of a lot of golf handicappers before the week started

True KJ, just personally don’t see the value at +180 when there’s a lot of golf left. I’d lay -200 comfortably if I was confident he’ll lift the trophy tomorrow noonish. Just think it’s too early.

But if anyone likes him to win, might try to catch it live, at better odds as rd.3 progresses. Surely the gap can close, even if it’s just for a short period.

 

[B.A.R.]

Very possible, thus the closest odds to even, but a lot of good guys right behind him. Very difficult to maintain 4 solid rounds, even harder to keep the lead, then win the tourney. Who knows for certain but gonna wait, post rd.3, if we’re lucky he has a meh round, couple of guys catch up and we get better odds tomorrow. In all, just don’t see the value

So many guys packed at top...

Agree with this post

 

[B.A.R.]

I have it on, didn't realize the leaders don't tee off until after Wimbledon does

Remember next week om Saturday and Sunday leaders won't tee off until 920-950 eastern.

British/Scottish summer ftw

 

[KJ]

So many guys packed at top...

Agree with this post

I seriously thought the leaders teed off at 3am

This is mind blowing, I mean Wimbledon

 

[B.A.R.]

Meanwhile Reno just polished off two breakfast sandwiches in the parking lot.

16 mins till tee off.

 

[KJ]

Remember next week om Saturday and Sunday leaders won't tee off until 920-950 eastern.

British/Scottish summer ftw

I'm in Denver and on gummies

This will be the most interesting Open Championship of my life

 

[CPA-hole]

Meanwhile Reno just polished off two breakfast sandwiches in the parking lot.

16 mins till tee off.

My man.

 

[laopadak]

Meanwhile Reno just polished off two breakfast sandwiches in the parking lot.

16 mins till tee off.

Have a great round Reno. Playing 27 tomorrow, teeing off at 6:30.

 

[KJ]

So many guys packed at top...

Agree with this post

I don't see one person outside of Collin that scares me. I guess the case can be made for Rory but not really for me.

None of anyone else has remotely finished anything in the last 15 years outside a hooker maybe

 

[Timh]

Meanwhile Reno just polished off two breakfast sandwiches in the parking lot.

16 mins till tee off.

We have had 4.7" of rain in last two days and my tournament got wiped out. I think I watched 12 hours of various golf yesterday, and then went to baseball. Cabin fever in the middle of fucking July.

 

[KJ]

We have had 4.7" of rain in last two days and my tournament got wiped out. I think I watched 12 hours of various golf yesterday, and then went to baseball. Cabin fever in the middle of fucking July.

That actually sounds incredible

 

[CPA-hole]

Drought here in GA can't get any rain at the course. Our fairways are baked

 

[laopadak]

Last play for today- rd.3 live add Rai under 69.5 -140 5u(FD). Currently +1 thru 2.

 

[Inspekdah]

Last play for today- rd.3 live add Rai under 69.5 -140 5u(FD). Currently +1 thru 2.

Is the app broken? Says +2 thru 2 and birdie on 3. Seems broken.

 

[Timh]

Drought here in GA can't get any rain at the course. Our fairways are baked

We had major drought going on, and then this all in two days. The flooding on the golf course is unbelievable.

 

[KJ]

Drought here in GA can't get any rain at the course. Our fairways are baked

The whole thing is exhausting. In this place we know it's gonna suck with heat but even swimming the last couple days has sucked. It's hot, dry, scorched, you name it. Thing is this is supposed to be the time of year we get some killer rain and it's not happening.

 

[KJ]

Silver lining is your 270 yard drive rolls out to 330

 

[laopadak]

Is the app broken? Says +2 thru 2 and birdie on 3. Seems broken.

Not broken Spek, was +1 thru 1, didn’t see his bogey on 2, either way play was submitted correctly, need him to come thru

 

[Inspekdah]

Not broken Spek, was +1 thru 1, didn’t see his bogey on 2, either way play was submitted correctly, need him to come thru

View attachment 85827

I got it -165 when it was clear he was about to birdie the 3rd.

Getting 2 back with the easier back 9 should be doable.

He's a solid 3rd round guy. Not 4th recently...

 

[laopadak]

I got it -165 when it was clear he was about to birdie the 3rd.

Getting 2 back with the easier back 9 should be doable.

He's a solid 3rd round guy. Not 4th recently...

Leggo!

 

[laopadak]

Scottish recap- -20u posted. Hurts but can't win every week. Might be back for more Rd.4 if something pops but it won't be a chase. GL rest of the way fellas and be back next week, fresh for the Open.

Rd1: 1-3, -8
Rd2: 2-2-1 -1.77
Rd3: 1-4 -10.2

 

[Inspekdah]

I dislike Rai, a lot.

 

[laopadak]

I dislike Rai, a lot.

A couple of saves and opportunities for him to finish 1 under, should’ve had it but it happens. All good

 

[Inspekdah]

A couple of saves and opportunities for him to finish 1 under, should’ve had it but it happens. All good

Yeah he made me follow longer than I normally would have...

Right play.

 

[B.A.R.]

We have had 4.7" of rain in last two days and my tournament got wiped out. I think I watched 12 hours of various golf yesterday, and then went to baseball. Cabin fever in the middle of fucking July.

Yeah, we received the 5 inches. Brutal.

 

[B.A.R.]

Going back to well on JT o67.5 +105.


Took some Mori+1000 as well.

JT and Aberg been terrific for myself.

Mori bogey on 18 coupled with Ludgod wild finish definitely took some steam away.

 

[laopadak]

The whole nation behind you rooting for you to win, how do you react?

Rd.4 Bobby Mac under 68.5 -165 8.5u(DK)

Splitting with my bro in law

Hard to follow up a 63, 2 behind and up against the Nordic stud. He’ll hang in there, runner up last year too, winner this year already. Might lay more..

 

[KJ]

No one in Scotland or England will give a shit about golf tomorrow

People are already begging for England to bring the trophy home, those of us not there are pulling for Spain

 

[Timh]

Aberg ML Post Round 3 -134 1*

 

[B.A.R.]

3M time!

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1815310907750113460

 

[laopadak]

Mid/late Summer housecleaning to see where I'm at YTD. For my own tracking, I need to do a better job of recapping each tourney for quick calculations so there are some gaps there, PGA Championship and RBC specifically for May. I know I won in both tourneys, just didn't record the # of units. All other tourneys are/were recapped on Sundays.

Will be gone for the better part of August, home for week of BMW (volunteering) and out again. Crazy how a whole month can just disappear that like.

Jan +13.55u
Feb -8.5u
Mar +26.95u
April -7u
May -11.2u
June +53.27u
July (less 3M) -26.5u

YTD: +40.5u golf posted plays.

Leggo 3M, should be quite the contrast from Scottish golf.

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1815408709331202231

 

[B.A.R.]

Capping today.

Non Scottie etc events have the value. Mise well find some!

 

[laopadak]

3M Rd.1 plays, likely to add for the afternoon wave but getting these in early as price likely goes up. Weather should be good, course is gettable.

C Davis under 68.5 -110 3u(FD)
Pendrith under 68.5 +100 3u(FD)

GL this week fellas

 

[B.A.R.]

Outrights:

Bhatia 2200 (PPH)
Mitchell 4000 (BOL)
Griffin 5500 (PPH and BOL)


Rd one totals to come later...