bookieassassin
Pretty much a regular
Last 8 bowl seasons 183-105
* one unit plays 73-29
* smaller 110-76
2023 reg season 130-112
* one unit 46-42
* smaller 84-70
> 1H 16-16
> 2H/live 15-4
one unit
Wyoming -1'
Boise +2/3
Auburn -1'
NW +7'
Hokies -4'
Fla St +14'
UTSA -8'
SJSU -9
OU +3'
AF +3'
Okie St +3
Rice +5
Iowa St -5 live
smaller
Iowa +7'
Wisky +10'
WVirg -3
Rutgers +3'
Ga St -2'
USF +3'
Miami, O +7
Boise / UCLA 1H under 24
A Jeanty over 25.5 receiving
J Ott over 104 rushing
D Pavia over 47.5 rushing
R Amos over 85 rushing
NMSU -1/2 2H
Byrum Brown over 45 rushing
Cuse/ USF 1H under 28
GT +6'
Jamal Haynes over 86' rushing
NIU +3
SJSU -3' 2H
Kansas -7 1H
Darius Taylor over 106 rushing
Minny -1
USC +7
SMU / BC 1H under 24
Mizzou +6
Ray Davis over 64' rushing
Silas Bolden over 58 receiving
PSU / Ole Miss 1H under 25
Bama ML
T Mordecai over 28' rushing
JJ McCarthy over 13' rushing
Washington +4
R Odunze over 98 receiving
M Penix over 37' attempts
Iowa TT over 13'
Michigan -2' 1H
M Penix OVER rushing (if it pops up)
B Corum OVER 2TD's (+120)
Polk OVER 53' receiving
Westover OVER 28' receiving
JJ over 201' passing
Penix TD (+350)
Washington +6
ML
1.0
Bama
0.75
AF
OU
0.50
GASO
Okie St
Rutgers
RICE
0.25
Miami, O
Boise
Wash
GT
USF
NW
NIU
010
BG
NCST
Beavs
Fla St ha
Iowa haha
* to simplify - I'll list as if I didn't make a side play already - meaning say I've already played Miami, O +7 for 1 unit - I think they win SU so I might also play them small on the ML. I'll list a bit higher here, as if it were a standing alone play. NOTE some are favorites, that I like to win - maybe not cover
leans/waiting
LOUISVILLE
Boston College
*Oregon State*
Penn St
Liberty 1H? >
Ducks live/2H
GASO?
NIU
Irish / Beavs a great example of profitable bowl strategy ....
>> Irish are the obvious choice right? - BUT you're telling me the SUN BOWL is where the Irish wanted to be? What this means is that their bowl prep will be total, absolute shit. Beav situation is chaotic sure - but they're playing NOTRE DAME. They should be at a serious athletic disadvantage but will play their ass off, and getting (13/14 probably) in a meaningless bowl.
What I try and do - is restrict one unit plays to those with the motivational edge - the team that is clearly there to win. This game is HUGE for them, not so much for their opponent. I may like a play a lot, but if I don't see a strong motivational edge, I make it a smaller play. Looking back, my losses have been when I stray from this strategy.
Will have much more later, but for now recall;
>> pick the SU winner, esp. in early games - spread matters more in later games - so don't get in a hurry to grab early lines - unless you're confident who is gonna coach and play! Note I like to guess myself - but this is not recommended ha. Play the shorter dog, and a few big ones on the ML, esp in the early games. Don't have the updated numbers, but typically dogs win about 25% during the regular season / 35-40% in bowls.
All the best this holiday season boys ........ :shake: :shake:
* one unit plays 73-29
* smaller 110-76
2023 reg season 130-112
* one unit 46-42
* smaller 84-70
> 1H 16-16
> 2H/live 15-4
one unit
Wyoming -1'
Boise +2/3
Auburn -1'
NW +7'
Hokies -4'
Fla St +14'
UTSA -8'
SJSU -9
OU +3'
AF +3'
Okie St +3
Rice +5
Iowa St -5 live
smaller
Iowa +7'
Wisky +10'
WVirg -3
Rutgers +3'
Ga St -2'
USF +3'
Miami, O +7
Boise / UCLA 1H under 24
A Jeanty over 25.5 receiving
J Ott over 104 rushing
D Pavia over 47.5 rushing
R Amos over 85 rushing
NMSU -1/2 2H
Byrum Brown over 45 rushing
Cuse/ USF 1H under 28
GT +6'
Jamal Haynes over 86' rushing
NIU +3
SJSU -3' 2H
Kansas -7 1H
Darius Taylor over 106 rushing
Minny -1
USC +7
SMU / BC 1H under 24
Mizzou +6
Ray Davis over 64' rushing
Silas Bolden over 58 receiving
PSU / Ole Miss 1H under 25
Bama ML
T Mordecai over 28' rushing
JJ McCarthy over 13' rushing
Washington +4
R Odunze over 98 receiving
M Penix over 37' attempts
Iowa TT over 13'
Michigan -2' 1H
M Penix OVER rushing (if it pops up)
B Corum OVER 2TD's (+120)
Polk OVER 53' receiving
Westover OVER 28' receiving
JJ over 201' passing
Penix TD (+350)
Washington +6
ML
1.0
Bama
0.75
AF
OU
0.50
GASO
Okie St
Rutgers
RICE
0.25
Miami, O
Boise
Wash
GT
USF
NW
NIU
010
BG
NCST
Beavs
Fla St ha
Iowa haha
* to simplify - I'll list as if I didn't make a side play already - meaning say I've already played Miami, O +7 for 1 unit - I think they win SU so I might also play them small on the ML. I'll list a bit higher here, as if it were a standing alone play. NOTE some are favorites, that I like to win - maybe not cover
leans/waiting
LOUISVILLE
Boston College
*Oregon State*
Penn St
Liberty 1H? >
Ducks live/2H
GASO?
NIU
Irish / Beavs a great example of profitable bowl strategy ....
>> Irish are the obvious choice right? - BUT you're telling me the SUN BOWL is where the Irish wanted to be? What this means is that their bowl prep will be total, absolute shit. Beav situation is chaotic sure - but they're playing NOTRE DAME. They should be at a serious athletic disadvantage but will play their ass off, and getting (13/14 probably) in a meaningless bowl.
What I try and do - is restrict one unit plays to those with the motivational edge - the team that is clearly there to win. This game is HUGE for them, not so much for their opponent. I may like a play a lot, but if I don't see a strong motivational edge, I make it a smaller play. Looking back, my losses have been when I stray from this strategy.
Will have much more later, but for now recall;
>> pick the SU winner, esp. in early games - spread matters more in later games - so don't get in a hurry to grab early lines - unless you're confident who is gonna coach and play! Note I like to guess myself - but this is not recommended ha. Play the shorter dog, and a few big ones on the ML, esp in the early games. Don't have the updated numbers, but typically dogs win about 25% during the regular season / 35-40% in bowls.
All the best this holiday season boys ........ :shake: :shake:
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