2016 NBA Playoffs: First Round Discussion

<header class="entry-header" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 20px; color: rgb(103, 103, 103); font-family: 'Open Sans', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;">[h=1]Referee Assignments[/h]April 16, 2016
</header>Referee assignments are posted at approximately 9:00am ET each game day.
[TABLE="class: table, width: 315"]
<thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">[TR="bgcolor: #222222"]
[TH="class: tableTitle"]Game[/TH]
[TH="class: tableTitle"]Official 1[/TH]
[TH="class: tableTitle"]Official 2[/TH]
[TH="class: tableTitle"]Official 3[/TH]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">[TR]
[TD]Indiana @ Toronto[/TD]
[TD]Scott Foster[/TD]
[TD]Tony Brothers[/TD]
[TD]Josh Tiven[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Boston @ Atlanta[/TD]
[TD]James Capers[/TD]
[TD]Derrick Collins[/TD]
[TD]Rodney Mott[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Houston @ Golden State[/TD]
[TD]Danny Crawford[/TD]
[TD]Ron Garretson[/TD]
[TD]Mark Lindsay[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Dallas @ Oklahoma City[/TD]
[TD]Monty McCutchen[/TD]
[TD]Tony Brown[/TD]
[TD]John Goble[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

Replay Center: Brian Forte, Tom Washington




Foster AND brothers in Toronto. Sorry Raptors fans.

Pondering buying off my parlay.
 
<header id="header" style="box-sizing: border-box; height: 49px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 5px 0px 0px; background-color: rgb(44, 55, 66); background-image: none; position: relative; z-index: 905; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 'Open Sans', Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;">
Live Help
Messages
Logout

</header><section id="widget-grid" class="" style="box-sizing: border-box;">
[h=1]<select class="form-control ng-pristine ng-untouched ng-valid" id="select-1" ng-model="params.sportId" style="color: rgb(85, 85, 85); font-family: inherit; font-size: 13px; font-style: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; line-height: 1.42857143; margin: 0px; display: block; width: 365px; height: 32px; padding: 6px 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); background-image: none; border-color: rgb(204, 204, 204); -webkit-transition: border-color 0.15s ease-in-out, box-shadow 0.15s ease-in-out; transition: border-color 0.15s ease-in-out, box-shadow 0.15s ease-in-out; border-top-left-radius: 0px !important; border-top-right-radius: 0px !important; border-bottom-right-radius: 0px !important; border-bottom-left-radius: 0px !important; -webkit-box-shadow: none !important; box-shadow: none !important;"> <option value="2" style="box-sizing: border-box;">NBA</option> <option value="3" style="box-sizing: border-box;">MLB</option> </select>[/h]

<article class="col-sm-12 col-md-12 col-lg-12" style="box-sizing: border-box; position: relative; min-height: 1px; padding-left: 13px; padding-right: 13px;"><header style="box-sizing: border-box; height: 34px; padding: 0px; line-height: 40px; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); border: 1px solid rgb(44, 55, 66); background-color: rgb(44, 55, 66) !important;">
​
[h=2]Officials[/h]</header>4/16/2016
[TABLE="class: table table-striped table-bordered table-hover, width: 100%"]
<thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">[TR="bgcolor: #EEEEEE"]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]DAL @ OKC(-11.5-110)[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]Monty McCutchen[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]Tony Brown[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]John Goble[/TD]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]Away Record(ATS)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[0].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]283-258 (52.31%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[1].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #DFF0D8"]278-249 (52.75%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[2].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]275-280 (49.55%)[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Under Record[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[0].TotalRecordPercent > 52.38}"]271-269 (50.19%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[1].TotalRecordPercent > 52.38}"]273-255 (51.7%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[2].TotalRecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #DFF0D8"]291-264 (52.43%)[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]


[TABLE="class: table table-striped table-bordered table-hover, width: 100%"]
<thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">[TR="bgcolor: #EEEEEE"]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]BOS @ ATL(-5.5-110)[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]Rodney Mott[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]Derrick Collins[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]James Capers[/TD]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]Away Record(ATS)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[0].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]239-248 (49.08%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[1].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]282-261 (51.93%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[2].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]233-257 (47.55%)[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Under Record[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[0].TotalRecordPercent > 52.38}"]243-241 (50.21%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[1].TotalRecordPercent > 52.38}"]273-270 (50.28%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[2].TotalRecordPercent > 52.38}"]247-247 (50%)[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]


[TABLE="class: table table-striped table-bordered table-hover, width: 100%"]
<thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">[TR="bgcolor: #EEEEEE"]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]HOU @ GS(-13-110)[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]Ron Garretson[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]Dan Crawford[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]Mark Lindsay[/TD]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]Away Record(ATS)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[0].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]264-277 (48.8%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[1].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]269-282 (48.82%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[2].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]236-275 (46.18%)[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Under Record[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[0].TotalRecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #DFF0D8"]294-245 (54.55%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[1].TotalRecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #DFF0D8"]297-256 (53.71%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[2].TotalRecordPercent > 52.38}"]255-258 (49.71%)[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]


[TABLE="class: table table-striped table-bordered table-hover, width: 100%"]
<thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">[TR="bgcolor: #EEEEEE"]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]IND @ TOR(-6.5-110)[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]Scott Foster[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]Tony Brothers[/TD]
[TD="class: ng-binding"]Josh Tiven[/TD]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]Away Record(ATS)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[0].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #DFF0D8"]309-241 (56.18%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[1].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #DFF0D8"]296-234 (55.85%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[2].RecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #F9F9F9"]183-179 (50.55%)[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #ECF3F8"]Under Record[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[0].TotalRecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #ECF3F8"]260-300 (46.43%)[/TD]
[TD="class: {success: event.Officials[1].TotalRecordPercent > 52.38}, bgcolor: #ECF3F8"]264-273 (49.16%)[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]






</article>
</section>

 
MUST READ....

[h=1]2016 NBA Playoffs: Most Profitable Referees[/h]Almost a decade ago, former NBA referee Tim Donaghy pleaded guilty to betting on games in which he officiated. According to reports, Donaghy had been betting on games for two seasons and had ties to organized crime. Although former commissioner David Stern insisted that Donaghy was a “rogue official,” this scandal certainly impacted the public’s opinion of the league.
There were several changes made following Donaghy’s arrest including the announcement of the three-man official crew being moved from 90 minutes before tip-off to 9:00 AM eastern on game day. This was intended to reduce the value of the information to gamblers, but there have clearly been certain referees who provide an additional edge for bettors.
Several weeks ago we introduced a new officials page which tracks the record for NBA referees and MLB umpires. Historically home teams have covered the spread at a 49.1% rate and, as a result, the most profitable refs have favored road teams. Unfortunately, some of those trends have varied drastically between the regular season and playoffs.
For example, road teams have gone 308-241 ATS (56.1%) with +54.06 units won in regular season games officiated by Scott Foster. However, when Foster has officiated postseason games, visitors have gone just 35-35 ATS (50%) with -1.67 units lost. This trend can partially be explained by the changes to the sports betting marketplace when transitioning from regular season to playoffs.
During the regular season there has been historical value betting underdogs and visitors, but that trend completely changes during the postseason. Our research shows that in regular season games, road teams have covered 51% of the time and underdogs have covered 50.1% of the time. During the playoffs those numbers drop to 48.9% and 48.7%, respectively.
In the playoffs, the number of bets placed on every game increases dramatically with much of the action from recreational bettors who place wagers based on instinct rather than data and analysis. During the regular season these bettors are prone to overwhelmingly taking favorites and home teams, but they are far more likely to take road teams and underdogs during the playoffs. Oddsmakers can accurately anticipate the behavior of public bettors and will typically shade their opening lines accordingly.
This shifting tide means that many referees who are profitable during the regular season aren’t necessarily profitable during the postseason. For that reason, we wanted to analyze the most profitable postseason refs for the spread and total and determine whether those edges also existed in their regular season games.
The tables below display the five most profitable umpires for home teams, road teams, overs and unders since the start of the 2005 season.
Best Home Refs
Ed Malloy35-20+13.02284-268+1.82
Tony Brown10-1+8.60249-275-40.36
Derrick Collins9-3+5.57262-281-33.02
Dick Bavetta5-0+4.73188-198-19.17
Ken Mauer34-28+4.40256-267-23.90

<thead style="max-width: 100%;">
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Official[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Postseason Record[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Units Won[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Regular Season Record[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Units Won[/TH]

</thead><tbody style="max-width: 100%;">
</tbody>

Best Visitor Refs
Zach Zarba26-14+10.95284-266+5.12
Joe Crawford37-30+5.73247-215+21.77
BIll Spooner22-16+4.90247-219+16.55
Mike Callahan34-28+4.76265-248+5.00
Bennie Adams8-3+4.50257-242+4.94

<thead style="max-width: 100%;">
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Official[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Postseason Record[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Units Won[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Regular Season Record[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Units Won[/TH]

</thead><tbody style="max-width: 100%;">
</tbody>

Best Under Refs
Marc Davis34-19+12.91302-254+34.69
Dan Crawford37-26+8.76297-257+26.75
Dick Bavetta5-0+4.80206-183+13.54
Jason Phillips29-23+4.34282-261+7.68
Tony Brothers29-23+4.22263-273-20.89

<thead style="max-width: 100%;">
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Official[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Postseason Record[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Units Won[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Regular Season Record[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Units Won[/TH]

</thead><tbody style="max-width: 100%;">
</tbody>

Best Over Refs
Derrick Stafford33-22+10.09238-257-31.65
Joe Crawford38-28+8.77234-230-5.91
James Capers27-18+8.06248-247-10.30
Zach Zarba25-16+7.92289-286+8.02
Scott Foster38-31+5.88300-259+26.41

<thead style="max-width: 100%;">
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Official[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Postseason Record[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Units Won[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Regular Season Record[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0235294)"]Units Won[/TH]

</thead><tbody style="max-width: 100%;">
</tbody>

It’s interesting to note that the five most profitable home refs during the playoffs have performed extremely poorly during the regular season. On the flip side, the top five road refs during the playoffs have been similarly profitable during the regular season.
If you’re planning on betting the total, you should definitely be familiar with Marc Davis. The veteran official is the most profitable under referee in our database with +34.69 units won during the regular season and +12.91 units won during the playoffs. This is also interesting because Davis was voted as the league’s third-worst ref in an anonymous survey.
Since the officials for each game are comprised of three-man teams, it’s obviously preferable to have multiple referees with the same bias. We would also recommend narrowing focus onto the officials who have been profitable during both the regular season and postseason.
 
Have the raptors in a ml parlay. Leaning 1st quarter under in Toronto and Dallas ATS
 
Last edited:
kjohnson109 said:
Still think Warriors defense when it matters is incredible and that certainly could keep a total down but they will score a lot. Possibly chase that, and work with it live if I have to
Click to expand...

Warriors have a great D when needed: problem is, it won't be needed. If your opponent is allowing you to score (as Houston is odds-on to here), then you don't fear letting your opponent score (cue not playing your best D), because you feel - as the superior team - like you can make up any little deficit you might concede the moment you concede it. It's human nature not to do work you don't feel like you have to do, and Houston conceding points like water rushing down a waterfall should mean GS will feel no need to put up 'a dam' of an effort in return. Of course that's not to say GS won't: they probably will for 1 period in the 2nd half when they feel like putting the game away (if Houston are still hanging around), but I wouldn't expect any extensive defensive efforts on their part (only & unless Houston comes with a superhuman stopping effort of their own, odds of that being next to nil).

For me as a preferred under player, Houston is the worst type of team going in a playoff situation. Their desire to score matched with little-to-no consistent desire for intensive defensive work means the scenario I just outlined exists for every game they play. No matter how good their opponent is on D, they simply play in a way that doesn't invite their opponent's best effort (at least over an extended period of the game).

This game could total 250 or it could total 190. It's all about what Houston does, and what that telegraphs to GS re what they're expected to do in return. GS is the dominant team, but Houston's approach is going to dictate how the game's total pans out imo.
 
pip2 said:
Somebody mentioned Warriors going under tomorrow -- this query would support that. If you take the previous wins down to 2, you get a better sample size and still a strong percentage:

http://killersports.com/nba/query?s...+PPP:W+and+season+>+2010&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++
Click to expand...


I played under, based on these:
http://killersports.com/nba/query?s...and+team=Warriors+and+HF&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

http://killersports.com/nba/query?s...+and+team=Rockets+and+AD&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++
 
Totals between Houston & GS since the beginning of last season (those in red = @GS)...

185
198
237
239
216
197
195
243
194
204
224
233

Not one total between 217-232 pts @GS, and the line for this game sits almost exactly between those 2 numbers (& overall only 1 score between those 2 numbers).

Interesting to note is that there's as many totals below 200 pts as there are over 223 pts.
 
Dubs are still a 15-point better team even if they play half-ass defense.

btw, Lang is on the Under for 50 Dimes.
 
wowwwwwww at Lowry


These refs are allowing these guys to play and the raptors are not doing a good job of dealing with the physical play on Indy
 
Remembering Wittman schooled Casey last postseason. Raps pucker-up harder than any come the playoffs.
 
I like how you watch this nonsense for six months and determine the Raptors could beat Cleveland in a series.
 
Was hard to figure how the Raps would respond why I laid off. Figured they would come out fired up after all their misfires in the playoffs.

Guess it's the same old Raptors.

Still a home team / favorite is not expected to win under Scotty Foster, throw Brothers in there and it's virtually impossible.
 
Corey Brewer will start at small forward and Trevor Ariza moves to power forward for the Rockets. JB Bickerstaff is looking for more defenders on the floor. James Harden, Dwight Howard and Pat Beverley are the other starters.

[h=1]Calvin WatkinsESPN Staff Writer [/h]
 
Cavs haven't won in Indiana since great lizards walked the earth.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

Administrator
<<< $10,000 NBA Playoff Bracket Contest >>>
Replies
2
Views
129
B.A.R.
B.A.R.
Frank Costanza
Week 1 - TV Schedule and Broadcaster Listing
Replies
5
Views
133
Frank Costanza
Frank Costanza
2daBank
Round 2 discussion thread
4 5 6 7 8
Replies
382
Views
8K
2daBank
2daBank
VirginiaCavs
Game 5 Mavericks vs. Celtics Preview Article
Replies
11
Views
349
Stew Baker
Stew Baker
STEED
★ NBA PLAYOFF SERIES PICK'EM CONTEST! ★ *** CASH PRIZE! ***
2 3 4
Replies
165
Views
3K
B.A.R.
B.A.R.
Back
Top