GameHunter
Pretty much a regular
<style> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:"ＭＳ 明朝"; mso-font-charset:78; mso-generic-font-family:auto; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-536870145 1791491579 18 0 131231 0;} @font-face {font-family:"Cambria Math"; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:auto; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-536870145 1107305727 0 0 415 0;} @font-face {font-family:Cambria; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:auto; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-536870145 1073743103 0 0 415 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin:0in; margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"ＭＳ 明朝"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"ＭＳ 明朝"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} @page WordSection1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.25in 1.0in 1.25in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.WordSection1 {page:WordSection1;} --> </style> Interesting day at Belmont and an interesting Belmont Stakes. The most likely winner is Exaggerator. You don’t need to be a rocket scientist to figure that out. That’s the reason he is the favorite but handicapping horse races is not necessarily about picking the most likely winner; rather about seeking value in who will outperform their odds. It’s not much different than capping baseball. Today, Jake Arrieta is approximately -300 against the Braves. If he was -500, the Braves would have value. If he was -180, the Cubs would have value. At -300, it’s a toss up. As such, similarly, Exaggerator has to be used in mix but is vulnerable, will be overbet and at that price, the value is elsewhere. I want to give a shout out to my man @FairwayJay, a knowledgeable capper across the board. He had an in depth Belmont preview and I used his notes as background info in my post.
#1 GOVERNOR MALIBU – Won[FONT=&] 2 straight at Aqueduct over the winter then finished first in the Federico Tesio but was DQ’d to 2nd. He followed that up with with a 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] in the Peter Pan Stakes about a month ago. Has shown consistent development from start to start and ran a new top in his last, which was here at Belmont. Similar pattern that trainer Clement used with Tonalist. Definite contender.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#2 DESTIN[/FONT][FONT=&] - After winning one of two races as a 2-year-old, Destin struggled when fourth in his stakes debut in the Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes in January at Fair Grounds. Destin rebounded in a big way in the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis Stakes when posting a new career-best 110 Equibase Speed Figure in a 2 ¼-length win. He then followed with a clear win in the Tampa Bay Derby. Destin came into the Kentucky Derby with eight weeks of rest and ran a solid sixth in the race. In the Belmont, Destin will be coming in off of a five-week layoff, which is closer to the layoffs he had during his wins at Tampa Bay Downs. He also has a very impressive pedigree: Destin is by three-time leading sire Giant’s Causeway out of Grade 1 winner Dream of Summer, which makes him a full-brother (same sire [father], same dam [mother]) to Grade 1 winner Creative Cause, who finished third in the 2012 Preakness and fifth in that year’s Kentucky Derby. Seems sound and has the best single race figure in the race a nice stalking style. Definite contender.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#3 CHERRY WINE[/FONT][FONT=&] - Has really started to come into his own in the last six months. He won back-to-back races by a combined margin of 15 ¼ lengths before finishing fourth in the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes and third in the Grade 1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes. He was beaten by just a head for second in the Blue Grass, which cost him a spot in the Kentucky Derby field. After sitting on the Kentucky Derby also-eligible list, Cherry Wine was rerouted to the Preakness where he closed from 10[SUP]th[/SUP] to beat Nyquist for the second spot by a nose at odds of 17.30-to-1. He’ll be one of two horses trainer Dale Romans runs in the Belmont. Has developed a lot since last year and ran a new top in Preakness. I don’t expect as good of an effort. Probably not using.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#4 SUDDENBREAKINGNEWS[/FONT][FONT=&] - Was one of the more impressive closers in the Kentucky Derby, rallying from nearly 28 lengths back at the second call of the race to finish fifth, 4 ¾ lengths behind Nyquist. During the Kentucky Derby prep season, Suddenbreakingnews was impressive at Oaklawn Park, winning the Southwest Stakes and finishing second in the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby. Suddenbreakingnews’ unraced dam is by 2005 Preakness and Belmont winner Afleet Alex and his grandam (maternal grandmother), Party Cited, is a Grade 2 winner who produced multiple Grade 1 winner Composure. One thing to keep in mind is that while it seems like closers in the Kentucky Derby should love the added distance of the Belmont Stakes, the last time a true closer won the Belmont (Summer Bird was ninth at one call in 2009 but spent most of the race between fourth and fifth) was Jazil in 2006. Would need his best race yet but definitely in the mix and could hit ticket. [/FONT]
[FONT=&]#5 STRADIVARI[/FONT][FONT=&] - Made his debut in early November, finishing fourth. He subsequently was ultra-impressive in two starts with a combined margin of victory of 25 ¾ lengths. Stradivari won at 1 1/16 miles and 1 1/8 miles, and the colt appeared to be getting better the farther he goes. For his first stakes attempt, Stradivari was thrown in the deep end by racing in the Preakness Stakes and, facing a sloppy track for the first time, the colt ran a credible race, finishing half a length behind Nyquist in fourth. Stradivari is by Medaglia d’Oro, who finished second in the 2002 Belmont Stakes and both the 2002 and 2003 Breeders’ Cup Classic, and he is out of multiple graded stakes winner Bending Strings. Had reasons to bounce in the slop in the Preakness but ran a strong race with a difficult trip. Has tactical speed to get good early position. Pletcher has better results in Belmont than in Derby and Preakness. Major player.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#6 GETTYSBURG[/FONT][FONT=&] - A $425,000 purchase as a yearling, Gettysburg earned his first victory going 1 1/8 miles on the dirt in his third start. After finishing fifth in the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis Stakes, he finished second to Collected in the Sunland Park Festival of Racing Stakes. A fifth place finish in the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby kept Gettysburg out of the Kentucky Derby and a month later he finished third in an allowance optional claiming race at Belmont. On the back of that win, and due to the lack of speed in the Belmont Stakes, the decision was made to enter the colt in the Belmont. Gettysburg is by the same sire (father) as 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah. Should be on or near the lead early on but figures just aren’t good enough to be there in the end. Not using.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#7 SEEKING THE SOUL[/FONT][FONT=&] - Broke his maiden on May 29 at Churchill Downs and is one of two entries for owner Charles Fipke in this race with his other, Forever d'Oro, also breaking his maiden on that date. Seeking the Soul was second in his debut and fifth in a maiden race on Kentucky Derby day before winning by a neck in his victory. Seeking the Soul's dam (mother) is a graded stakes winner who is a granddaughter of the champion Personal Ensign. His sire is the Canadian champion Perfect Soul, who also sired 2013 Kentucky Derby runner-up Golden Soul. Trainer Dallas Stewart has finished second in the Kentucky Derby twice and was second in the Preakness last year with Tale of Verve but has never finished on-the-board in the Belmont Stakes or won a classic race. Improved dramatically when they removed the blinkers in his last. Tall task trying to go a mile and a half less with less than two weeks rest. Not for me.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#8 FOREVER D’ORO[/FONT][FONT=&] - Breaking his maiden at Belmont Park on May 29 in his third start, Forever d'Oro is coming back in two weeks to run in the Belmont Stakes as his fourth start. The colt made his debut on April 9 at Keeneland and made his second start on Kentucky Derby day, so he will have made four starts in a little over two months if he runs in the Belmont. His sire is Medaglia d'Oro, who finished second in the 2002 Belmont Stakes and his dam is 2006 Kentucky Oaks winner Lemons Forever. He is also a half-brother to Grade 1 winners Forever Unbridled and Unbridled Forever. Trainer Dallas Stewart has finished second in the Kentucky Derby twice and was second in the Preakness last year with Tale of Verve but has never finished on-the-board in the Belmont Stakes or won a classic race. TOO SLOW![/FONT]
[FONT=&]#9 TROJAN NATION[/FONT][FONT=&] - Dam is champion and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies winner Storm Song, who also is the grandam (maternal grandmother) of Irish classic winner Order of St George. Based in California, Trojan Nation made his first trip outside of California for the Wood Memorial Stakes a very profitable one, finishing second at 81.50-1 odds in his stakes debut to earn $190,000. The runner-up finish gave him sufficient points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby Leaderboard to qualify for the Derby despite not having a single victory on his resume. Trojan Nation finished 16[SUP]th[/SUP] in the Kentucky Derby and is looking to become the first maiden since Prince Eugene in 1913 – and only fourth in history - to win the Belmont Stakes. Best races have been aided by ground saving trips and doesn’t seem fast enough. [/FONT]
[FONT=&]#10 LANI[/FONT][FONT=&] - By two-time leading U.S. sire Tapit out of the elite Japanese racemare Heavenly Romance, by 1989 Kentucky Derby-Preakness winner Sunday Silence. Bred in Kentucky, Lani made the first five starts of his career in Japan, where he won twice before shipping to Dubai and winning the United Arab Emitrates Derby. Lani made a name for himself at Churchill Downs for his high-spirited temperament and finished ninth in the Kentucky Derby. He was the first Japanese-based horse to run in the Preakness Stakes and finished fifth. When he runs in the Belmont Stakes, he’ll be the only Japanese-based horse to run in all three legs of the Triple Crown. Has shown steady improvement in his US races and ran a new top in his last. 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] start in 5 weeks having raced in all three Triple Crown events. Could be used on bottom of ticket. [/FONT]
[FONT=&]#11 EXAGGERATOR[/FONT][FONT=&] - Has faced elite competition since early in his 2-year-old season, winning the Grade 2 Saratoga Special Stakes in his third start before a runner-up finish in the Grade 1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity and a fourth-place finish in the Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He delivered a visually stunning victory in his final prep for the Kentucky Derby, when he closed from last to first in the Santa Anita Derby and powered clear to win by 6 ¼ lengths. He lived up to his billing as a consistent horse who always runs his race in the Kentucky Derby to make an impressive late run for second place. Exaggerator had finished behind Nyquist in four races, including his debut last June, but the big Curlin colt emulated his sire in the Preakness Stakes when defeating the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile/Kentucky Derby winner. In Curlin’s Preakness he beat Street Sense, who was the first – and only other – horse to accomplish that double. Tough to knock. Has improved on or matched his previous last race figure in 10 of his 11 races. Was aided by great trips in a few of his most recent wins including the Preakness. Third race in 5 weeks having finished 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] in Derby and winning the Preakness. Solid contender but beatable. His figures aren’t necessarily better than some of the other top contenders and he is a very vulnerable favorite. Have to use in mix but value is elsewhere. [/FONT]
[FONT=&]#12 BRODY’S CAUSE[/FONT][FONT=&] - returned to the site of his greatest triumph for the Blue Grass Stakes and delivered another terrific effort at Keeneland Race Course, closing from 11[SUP]th[/SUP] to take command in the stretch before pulling away to win by 1 ¾ lengths. He won the Grade 1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland last October and also finished third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Keeneland later that month. Brody’s Cause returned to Churchill Downs, the site of his maiden victory, to run in the Kentucky Derby and finished seventh. A $350,000 auction purchase, Brody’s Cause is out of 2006 Labatt Woodbine Oaks runner-up Sweet Breanna. Brody’s Cause probably will be joining fellow Dale Romans trainee Cherry Wine near the back of the field during the early part of this race. Has paired his top in his last two races including the Derby where he had a bad trip but would need to improve a lot to win this. Could hit the board closing from far back.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#13 CREATOR[/FONT][FONT=&] - Was a $440,000 purchase as a yearling and is out of Morena, Peru’s champion 2-year-old filly, 3-year-old filly and older female in 2006, 2007 and 2008. After finishing second in four of his first five races, Creator broke through with a powerful 7 ¼-length win. He then finished third in the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes in his stakes debut before winning the $1-million Arkansas Derby by 1 ¼ lengths. Running near the back of the pack for most of the Kentucky Derby, Creator was never a threat, finishing worse than third for only the second time in his career. Ricardo Santana Jr. has been on Creator for six of his nine starts – including the last four – but Irad Ortiz Jr. will be taking over the mount for the first time in the Belmont. Will improve off Derby effort but even if he runs like he did in the Arkansas Derby, he may not be fast enough to win but could definitely hit the ticket.
Going to key the 2 and 5 and hope one of them is 1st or 2nd.
Exactas:
2,5/1,2,4,5,11
1,4,11/2,5
Triples:
2,5/1,2,4,5,11/1,2,4,5,10, 11,12,13
1,4,11/2,5/1,2,4,5,10,11,12,13
2,5/10,12,13/1,2,4,5,11(Small Saver)
Supers:
2,5/1,2,4,5,11,12,13/1,2,4,5,10,11,12,13/1,2,4,5,10,11,12,13
1,4,11/2,5/1,2,4,5,11,12,13/1,2,4,5,10,11,12,13
[/FONT]
#1 GOVERNOR MALIBU – Won[FONT=&] 2 straight at Aqueduct over the winter then finished first in the Federico Tesio but was DQ’d to 2nd. He followed that up with with a 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] in the Peter Pan Stakes about a month ago. Has shown consistent development from start to start and ran a new top in his last, which was here at Belmont. Similar pattern that trainer Clement used with Tonalist. Definite contender.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#2 DESTIN[/FONT][FONT=&] - After winning one of two races as a 2-year-old, Destin struggled when fourth in his stakes debut in the Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes in January at Fair Grounds. Destin rebounded in a big way in the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis Stakes when posting a new career-best 110 Equibase Speed Figure in a 2 ¼-length win. He then followed with a clear win in the Tampa Bay Derby. Destin came into the Kentucky Derby with eight weeks of rest and ran a solid sixth in the race. In the Belmont, Destin will be coming in off of a five-week layoff, which is closer to the layoffs he had during his wins at Tampa Bay Downs. He also has a very impressive pedigree: Destin is by three-time leading sire Giant’s Causeway out of Grade 1 winner Dream of Summer, which makes him a full-brother (same sire [father], same dam [mother]) to Grade 1 winner Creative Cause, who finished third in the 2012 Preakness and fifth in that year’s Kentucky Derby. Seems sound and has the best single race figure in the race a nice stalking style. Definite contender.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#3 CHERRY WINE[/FONT][FONT=&] - Has really started to come into his own in the last six months. He won back-to-back races by a combined margin of 15 ¼ lengths before finishing fourth in the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes and third in the Grade 1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes. He was beaten by just a head for second in the Blue Grass, which cost him a spot in the Kentucky Derby field. After sitting on the Kentucky Derby also-eligible list, Cherry Wine was rerouted to the Preakness where he closed from 10[SUP]th[/SUP] to beat Nyquist for the second spot by a nose at odds of 17.30-to-1. He’ll be one of two horses trainer Dale Romans runs in the Belmont. Has developed a lot since last year and ran a new top in Preakness. I don’t expect as good of an effort. Probably not using.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#4 SUDDENBREAKINGNEWS[/FONT][FONT=&] - Was one of the more impressive closers in the Kentucky Derby, rallying from nearly 28 lengths back at the second call of the race to finish fifth, 4 ¾ lengths behind Nyquist. During the Kentucky Derby prep season, Suddenbreakingnews was impressive at Oaklawn Park, winning the Southwest Stakes and finishing second in the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby. Suddenbreakingnews’ unraced dam is by 2005 Preakness and Belmont winner Afleet Alex and his grandam (maternal grandmother), Party Cited, is a Grade 2 winner who produced multiple Grade 1 winner Composure. One thing to keep in mind is that while it seems like closers in the Kentucky Derby should love the added distance of the Belmont Stakes, the last time a true closer won the Belmont (Summer Bird was ninth at one call in 2009 but spent most of the race between fourth and fifth) was Jazil in 2006. Would need his best race yet but definitely in the mix and could hit ticket. [/FONT]
[FONT=&]#5 STRADIVARI[/FONT][FONT=&] - Made his debut in early November, finishing fourth. He subsequently was ultra-impressive in two starts with a combined margin of victory of 25 ¾ lengths. Stradivari won at 1 1/16 miles and 1 1/8 miles, and the colt appeared to be getting better the farther he goes. For his first stakes attempt, Stradivari was thrown in the deep end by racing in the Preakness Stakes and, facing a sloppy track for the first time, the colt ran a credible race, finishing half a length behind Nyquist in fourth. Stradivari is by Medaglia d’Oro, who finished second in the 2002 Belmont Stakes and both the 2002 and 2003 Breeders’ Cup Classic, and he is out of multiple graded stakes winner Bending Strings. Had reasons to bounce in the slop in the Preakness but ran a strong race with a difficult trip. Has tactical speed to get good early position. Pletcher has better results in Belmont than in Derby and Preakness. Major player.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#6 GETTYSBURG[/FONT][FONT=&] - A $425,000 purchase as a yearling, Gettysburg earned his first victory going 1 1/8 miles on the dirt in his third start. After finishing fifth in the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis Stakes, he finished second to Collected in the Sunland Park Festival of Racing Stakes. A fifth place finish in the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby kept Gettysburg out of the Kentucky Derby and a month later he finished third in an allowance optional claiming race at Belmont. On the back of that win, and due to the lack of speed in the Belmont Stakes, the decision was made to enter the colt in the Belmont. Gettysburg is by the same sire (father) as 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah. Should be on or near the lead early on but figures just aren’t good enough to be there in the end. Not using.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#7 SEEKING THE SOUL[/FONT][FONT=&] - Broke his maiden on May 29 at Churchill Downs and is one of two entries for owner Charles Fipke in this race with his other, Forever d'Oro, also breaking his maiden on that date. Seeking the Soul was second in his debut and fifth in a maiden race on Kentucky Derby day before winning by a neck in his victory. Seeking the Soul's dam (mother) is a graded stakes winner who is a granddaughter of the champion Personal Ensign. His sire is the Canadian champion Perfect Soul, who also sired 2013 Kentucky Derby runner-up Golden Soul. Trainer Dallas Stewart has finished second in the Kentucky Derby twice and was second in the Preakness last year with Tale of Verve but has never finished on-the-board in the Belmont Stakes or won a classic race. Improved dramatically when they removed the blinkers in his last. Tall task trying to go a mile and a half less with less than two weeks rest. Not for me.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#8 FOREVER D’ORO[/FONT][FONT=&] - Breaking his maiden at Belmont Park on May 29 in his third start, Forever d'Oro is coming back in two weeks to run in the Belmont Stakes as his fourth start. The colt made his debut on April 9 at Keeneland and made his second start on Kentucky Derby day, so he will have made four starts in a little over two months if he runs in the Belmont. His sire is Medaglia d'Oro, who finished second in the 2002 Belmont Stakes and his dam is 2006 Kentucky Oaks winner Lemons Forever. He is also a half-brother to Grade 1 winners Forever Unbridled and Unbridled Forever. Trainer Dallas Stewart has finished second in the Kentucky Derby twice and was second in the Preakness last year with Tale of Verve but has never finished on-the-board in the Belmont Stakes or won a classic race. TOO SLOW![/FONT]
[FONT=&]#9 TROJAN NATION[/FONT][FONT=&] - Dam is champion and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies winner Storm Song, who also is the grandam (maternal grandmother) of Irish classic winner Order of St George. Based in California, Trojan Nation made his first trip outside of California for the Wood Memorial Stakes a very profitable one, finishing second at 81.50-1 odds in his stakes debut to earn $190,000. The runner-up finish gave him sufficient points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby Leaderboard to qualify for the Derby despite not having a single victory on his resume. Trojan Nation finished 16[SUP]th[/SUP] in the Kentucky Derby and is looking to become the first maiden since Prince Eugene in 1913 – and only fourth in history - to win the Belmont Stakes. Best races have been aided by ground saving trips and doesn’t seem fast enough. [/FONT]
[FONT=&]#10 LANI[/FONT][FONT=&] - By two-time leading U.S. sire Tapit out of the elite Japanese racemare Heavenly Romance, by 1989 Kentucky Derby-Preakness winner Sunday Silence. Bred in Kentucky, Lani made the first five starts of his career in Japan, where he won twice before shipping to Dubai and winning the United Arab Emitrates Derby. Lani made a name for himself at Churchill Downs for his high-spirited temperament and finished ninth in the Kentucky Derby. He was the first Japanese-based horse to run in the Preakness Stakes and finished fifth. When he runs in the Belmont Stakes, he’ll be the only Japanese-based horse to run in all three legs of the Triple Crown. Has shown steady improvement in his US races and ran a new top in his last. 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] start in 5 weeks having raced in all three Triple Crown events. Could be used on bottom of ticket. [/FONT]
[FONT=&]#11 EXAGGERATOR[/FONT][FONT=&] - Has faced elite competition since early in his 2-year-old season, winning the Grade 2 Saratoga Special Stakes in his third start before a runner-up finish in the Grade 1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity and a fourth-place finish in the Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He delivered a visually stunning victory in his final prep for the Kentucky Derby, when he closed from last to first in the Santa Anita Derby and powered clear to win by 6 ¼ lengths. He lived up to his billing as a consistent horse who always runs his race in the Kentucky Derby to make an impressive late run for second place. Exaggerator had finished behind Nyquist in four races, including his debut last June, but the big Curlin colt emulated his sire in the Preakness Stakes when defeating the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile/Kentucky Derby winner. In Curlin’s Preakness he beat Street Sense, who was the first – and only other – horse to accomplish that double. Tough to knock. Has improved on or matched his previous last race figure in 10 of his 11 races. Was aided by great trips in a few of his most recent wins including the Preakness. Third race in 5 weeks having finished 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] in Derby and winning the Preakness. Solid contender but beatable. His figures aren’t necessarily better than some of the other top contenders and he is a very vulnerable favorite. Have to use in mix but value is elsewhere. [/FONT]
[FONT=&]#12 BRODY’S CAUSE[/FONT][FONT=&] - returned to the site of his greatest triumph for the Blue Grass Stakes and delivered another terrific effort at Keeneland Race Course, closing from 11[SUP]th[/SUP] to take command in the stretch before pulling away to win by 1 ¾ lengths. He won the Grade 1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland last October and also finished third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Keeneland later that month. Brody’s Cause returned to Churchill Downs, the site of his maiden victory, to run in the Kentucky Derby and finished seventh. A $350,000 auction purchase, Brody’s Cause is out of 2006 Labatt Woodbine Oaks runner-up Sweet Breanna. Brody’s Cause probably will be joining fellow Dale Romans trainee Cherry Wine near the back of the field during the early part of this race. Has paired his top in his last two races including the Derby where he had a bad trip but would need to improve a lot to win this. Could hit the board closing from far back.[/FONT]
[FONT=&]#13 CREATOR[/FONT][FONT=&] - Was a $440,000 purchase as a yearling and is out of Morena, Peru’s champion 2-year-old filly, 3-year-old filly and older female in 2006, 2007 and 2008. After finishing second in four of his first five races, Creator broke through with a powerful 7 ¼-length win. He then finished third in the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes in his stakes debut before winning the $1-million Arkansas Derby by 1 ¼ lengths. Running near the back of the pack for most of the Kentucky Derby, Creator was never a threat, finishing worse than third for only the second time in his career. Ricardo Santana Jr. has been on Creator for six of his nine starts – including the last four – but Irad Ortiz Jr. will be taking over the mount for the first time in the Belmont. Will improve off Derby effort but even if he runs like he did in the Arkansas Derby, he may not be fast enough to win but could definitely hit the ticket.
Going to key the 2 and 5 and hope one of them is 1st or 2nd.
Exactas:
2,5/1,2,4,5,11
1,4,11/2,5
Triples:
2,5/1,2,4,5,11/1,2,4,5,10, 11,12,13
1,4,11/2,5/1,2,4,5,10,11,12,13
2,5/10,12,13/1,2,4,5,11(Small Saver)
Supers:
2,5/1,2,4,5,11,12,13/1,2,4,5,10,11,12,13/1,2,4,5,10,11,12,13
1,4,11/2,5/1,2,4,5,11,12,13/1,2,4,5,10,11,12,13
[/FONT]
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