2023 KY Derby Thoughts

[BringInTheLefty]

For real?

Yes he took a awkward step yesterday morning

 

[Two Utes]

Joseph Jr. Suspended until they investigate. Not sure how I feel about that one.

 

[Gandolf]

God damn, this is like trying to figure out who’s playing in the NBA in April…..

 

[CPA-hole]

Forte is tacked up ready to gallop this morning.

 

[CPA-hole]

 

[CPA-hole]

Guys we put a little syndicate together out at my golf club. $100 share and we got $2100 to work with. We had a handicapping session today and forged ahead with our strategy and money management. It was an interesting process and obviously tougher with the committee approach but we did a pretty good job I think of staying on point and still listening to everyone. Anyway who gives a fuck, we have some action and I think the folks loved it overall. Our plays fwiw...

Syndicate Tickets

Derby $1 Superfecta Box on 3.5.6.14.15.17 $360
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 2,3,5,6,14,15 $360
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 5,9.11.15 $24
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 1,5,8,15 $24
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 4.5.15.19 $24
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 5.14.15.17 $24
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 1.4.5,15 $24
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 1.2.5.15 $24
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 5,15,17,19 $24
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 2.5.9.15 $24
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 4.5.11.15 $24
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 2.5.15.17 $24
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 5,8,15,19 $24
Derby $1 Superfecta Box 1,5,11,15 $24

Derby $2 Triple Box 3,5,6,14,15,17 $240
Derby $1 Triple Box 5.9.11.14 $24
Derby $1 Triple Box 1.5.8.14 $24
Derby $1 Triple Box 4,5,14,19 $24
Derby $1 Triple Box 1,4,5,14 $24
Derby $1 Triple Box 1,2.5.14 $24
Derby $1 Triple Box 5.14.17.19 $24
Derby $1 Triple Box 2,5,9,14 $24
Derby $1 Triple Box 4.5.11.14 $24
Derby $1 Triple Box 2.5.14.17 $24
Derby $1 Triple Box 5,8,14,19 $24
Derby $1 Triple Box1,5,11,14 $24
Derby $1 Triple Box 5.14.17.19 $24

Derby $2 Exacta Wheel 3.6.14.17 $304

Oaks/Derby $12 Double 4,6.7/3,5,6,14,15,17 $216

Derby Win Ticket 11 $44

GL to you guys. Fun strategy.

 

[aplous]

Forte looks good warming up on the track this morning...

 

[CPA-hole]

Forte looks good warming up on the track this morning...

He looked like a million bucks schooling in the paddock on Weds.

 

[BringInTheLefty]

Forte did a morning stretch
A few said he favored his front right
I do believe if TAP feels he’s not 100% he won’t run him

 

[Timh]

19 Lord Miles scratched, and our group replaced him on all bets with 22 Mandarin Hero.

 

[Gandolf]

Skinner is out now too. Down to nineteen horses.

 

[Gandolf]

They might as well name these horses Embiid, Giannis, LeBron and SGA.

 

[Gandolf]

Possibility that the horses to the left of Skinner move OUT one gate to use gates 2-20. Have to check on that.

 

[KJ]

Forte did a morning stretch
A few said he favored his front right
I do believe if TAP feels he’s not 100% he won’t run him

Is Pletcher known as TAP now on the inner circles?

 

[KJ]

These are small wagers early

R3: $5 11 W/P

Leggo Canadian Narm!

 

[KJ]

This the kind of day I need the muscle milk and celery just to stay awake up

Fuck with the load, it's early

 

[KJ]

Can't wait for the hour and 55 minutes between races later

 

[Timh]

 

[Timh]

 

[Timh]

 

[Timh]

 

[Timh]

 

[aplous]

BOL has a bunch of Derby 3 horse matchups that I bet some of....good + odds

 

[Timh]

BOL has a bunch of Derby 3 horse matchups that I bet some of....good + odds

Above from BM. What do you like in the matchups Aplous?

 

[skanless13]

Yes he took a awkward step yesterday morning

Hasn’t scratched yet right?

 

[Capaholic]

not playing any chalk. Really like Mandarin Hero. Tossing some on Reincarnate as well

 

[BringInTheLefty]

Two Phils over Verifying +105 max bet
Two Phils over Angel of Empire +150
Two Phils over Derma Sotagake +120

 

[aplous]

Above from BM. What do you like in the matchups Aplous?

I’ve got Derma, 2 Phil, Hit Show and Reincarnate all +150 to +170 range against 2 similar priced horses on each ticket

 

[BringInTheLefty]

Derby Time:
Due to the abundance of scratches I changed my exactas,triples & supers




3-Two Phils $80WP
saver:
18-Rocket Can $40WP
$20 exacta key box: 3/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22
$10 straight exacta: 18/3,5,8,11,14,15,17,22




$4 triple:
3/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22/5,8,9,11,14,15,17,18,22




$2 triple: 18/3,5,8,9,11,14,15,17,22/3,5,8,9,11,14,15,17,22




$1 super:
3/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22





$1 super
18/3,5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22/3,5,8,11,14,15,17,18/3,5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22









LOST $50 Oaks Derby Daily Double:
4,6/3,18

 

[aplous]

Forte OUT

 

[L8kersFan74]

 

[BringInTheLefty]

Two Phils over Verifying +105 max bet
Two Phils over Angel of Empire +150
Two Phils over Derma Sotagake +120

won all 3 of these…

 

[BringInTheLefty]

Only thing that concerns me about Two Phils is Jareth Loveberry
He might freeze in the moment…

This quote came to fruition
Jareth hit the gas pedal about 150 yards to early

 

[Gandolf]

$1 super:
3/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22

Holy shit that was sooooo close. Probably would've paid about12k. 8 over 3 paid 15k.

 

[BringInTheLefty]

Derby Time:
Due to the abundance of scratches I changed my exactas,triples & supers




3-Two Phils $80WP
saver:
18-Rocket Can $40WP
$20 exacta key box: 3/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22
$10 straight exacta: 18/3,5,8,11,14,15,17,22




$4 triple:
3/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22/5,8,9,11,14,15,17,18,22




$2 triple: 18/3,5,8,9,11,14,15,17,22/3,5,8,9,11,14,15,17,22




$1 super:
3/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22/5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22





$1 super
18/3,5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22/3,5,8,11,14,15,17,18/3,5,8,11,14,15,17,18,22









LOST $50 Oaks Derby Daily Double:
4,6/3,18

SO darn close to a great score…
ended up with the exacta for $20
IF the 3 wins I hit a $4 triple and $1 super
and $80 to place…

 

[BringInTheLefty]

Holy shit that was sooooo close. Probably would've paid about12k. 8 over 3 paid 15k.

I’m frustrated….

 

[Gandolf]

Loveberry was why I didn't like Two Phil's to win. Deshawn Parker used to ride rings around him at Mountaineer.