Let's get em today Kyle... Hopefully we can talk some about the GT game. I made more money on that team this year than any other by leaps and bounds. I do have some concerns though...
As I talked about in regards to the Wake/Navy game the triple option is less effective IMO when the opposing team has additional time to prepare. The motivational aspects of the game may be the largest margin of any bowl game this season. Going from winning a Nat'l Title a year ago to playing in a pre-new years day bowl and being about 3 weeks too late playing in the GA Dome WILL certainly be a major factor in this game. GT is essentially at home and will be very well represented. Living in ATL I have gotten a great feel for GT with all of the local media and what not I am privy to. I also see quite possibly the largest gap in coaching in this game. I've argued till I was blue in the face that Paul Johnson is a Top 10 coach in CFB. Lester Miles on the other hand is an imbusul(sp? maybe I'm the imbusul). The guy just makes some of the worst coaching decisions that I personally have ever seen. They worked out for him last season and not this season and I think that's a big difference in why they went from BCS champs to 7-5 in one season. Johnson's offense usually starts a bit slow as I think he puts out lots of "feelers" in the first half meaning he sees what the defense is giving him and is the best coach at making 2H adjustments in the nation IMO. LSU has them out athleted at every position except QB and the RB's are prob a wash as Grant and Dwyer are both terrific.
Some concerns as I have about backing GT:
1. Public perception.. The nation finally learned about CPJ and GT late in the season and I saw some value diminish in their lines... LSU never once showed well on Nat'l TV with UGA, UF and Bama all being CBS games. They didn't look overly impressive in any of those games except Bama made them look a bit better than they are.
2. LSU's speed on defense. While their D line has under performed they are still one of the top units talent wise in the nation. They have been very solid against the run keeping opponents to 105 rypg. If they force GT into 3rd and longs then GT will be in a world of hurt. Some of GT's play calling towards the end of the year on first downs was really poor IMO. If LSU stifles GT's run can GT pass the ball effectively. Thomas has been their big play WR and is a great talent but I'm unsure how much success that he and the pass will have on a talented secondary.
3. Depth.. GT has had some serious injuries on the OL and I believe they will be starting a 250/260 lb Tackle. Dwyer and Nesbitt have been injury prone this season dealing with leg injuries. My main concern is Nesbitt. If he gets banged up, i'm not confident in Shaw to do the job, and god forbid Booker gets in for another Gardener Webb bonanza. Roddy Jones will spell Dwyer and he is a good RB so that is not so much a concern of mine.
4. Gt's defense trending the wrong way.. This is one of the more under rated defenses. However, they did allow 24, 28, 28, 23 and 42 to close out the season. I still think the strength of this team is their DL but the secondary has been erratic but that should be nullified with as many times as the LSU QB's will throw it to them. GT MUST penetrate with their front 4 and force LSU to make poor decisions throwing the football.
5. It's not usually wise to back a favorite in the Peach Bowl/Chic Fil A Bow.. I believe the dog has cashed something like 12 of the last 15.. I'm a firm believer in backing GT as a dog but weary to lay points with them, especially with the recent defensive mishaps.
These are just some of my quick thoughts.. Hopefully you can tell me where I'm wrong and let me know where you're coming from on backing GT..