Wimbledon 2013

Toronto_Mike

Scent of a Woman
Lets get this show on the road.
Mens side will be a bit shaken up because Ferrer has received the 4th rank which means Roger Federer and Nadal are set to clash in the Quarter Finals. Djokovic has an easy draw and will face no real threat until at least the Quarters where it's just big servers who he can eat up alive. Andy Murray is coming off an injury and there will be high expectations for him as always. Just think he maybe a bit rusty.

Prop bets:
Rafael Nadal to win Wimbledon @ 5.90 (2u)
Novak Djokovic/Rafael Nadal Final? Yes @ 3.7 (1u)
Martin Del Potro to win 3rd Quarter @ 3.72 @ (1u)
Who will last longer? Nadal vs Murrary. Nadal @ 2.47 (5u)

if Nadal overcomes Federer, this title is his. He's currently 43-2 on the year, just an incredible run since returning from his injury. As mentioned above the possibility of a Nadal/Federer match in the Quarters will be his only real challenge. I can see Nadal being a favourite and maybe a good time to make a bit of a middle. Djokovic endured quite an emotional tournament at Roland Garros with the death of his mentor and childhood tennis coach. Murray can win this but just worried about his conditioning at this time. Fedex, as much as I love the guy he's going to play out of his mind to beat Nadal and lets say he does, Nadal will mentally challenge him and drain him, making him a victim for the next round.

On the Women's side, again this is a 2 horse race between Serena/Sharapova. To make this tournament more interesting, there's been a bit of personal battle between the two ladies with Serena making some comments about Sharapova's personal life and Masha lashing out back. Serena isn't the brightest gal out there but she can damn well play tennis. Crushed Sharapova in French, had only one game where she choked a bit but consumed everyone. Like Nadal, Serena is 43-2 this year and don't see why she should not tally another victory here. WOmen's tennis has taken a major step back and it's even worst then the men with only 3 players in this tournament that can be considered a threat. Outside Sharapova/Serena, Azarenka is one you'll see making a run. She's made the Semi's the last 2 years and could be a 3rd time running, she is in a relatively easier quarter with only Kvitova and Jankovic as her primary threat. From a betting prospective, the only real options you have that seem remotely valuable is to tail Azarenka and Sharapova, they both have quite a clear cut field, no real threat there. Radwanska's field is a landmine and I want to really avoid getting stuck there.

Props:
Victoria Azarenka to make Finals @ 3.15 (2u)
Maria Sharapova to make Finals @ 3.00 (2u)
Top British Ladies? Samantha Murray @ 14.5 (0.5u) Heather Watson @ 3.0 (1u)
 
1st Round Mens:
Ernests Gulbis -6 @ 2.12 (3u)
Baghdatis/Cilic o36.5 @ 1.93 (3u)
Jo Wilfred Tsonga -7.5 @ 2.02 (5u)
Isner/Donskoy o41.5 @ 1.98 (2u)
Jerzy Jankowicz -5.5 @ 2.01 (2u)
Jurgen Melzer +4.5 @ 1.94 (2u)
Jurgen Melzer ML @ 3.00 (0.5u)
Rafael Nadal -8.5 @ 1.98 (5u)

1st Round Womens:
Eugenie Bouchard ML @ 2.06 (5u)
Stephens/Hampton o22 @ 1.95 (2u)
Ana Ivanovic -5.5 @ 2.02 (3u)
Ayumi Morita +4 @ 1.95 (3u)
Ayumi Morita ML @ 3.11 (0.5u)

Will add accordingly
 
A pox on the beotch (thou I'm not inclined to fade her yet)
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BOL w/the rest.:shake:
 
Danger signs for Ivanobitch: her usual uselessness looks like its cost you be4 the 1st set is even done (written heading into the tiebreak).

I got Puig +400 live up 3-2 in the 1st. My book was extremely slow to adapt to what was unfolding on court. After 5 games it was obvious she had the power and presence of mind to beat Errani & her injury. At the moment she's putting a beatdown on the Italian screamer.
 
Danger signs for Ivanobitch: her usual uselessness looks like its cost you be4 the 1st set is even done (written heading into the tiebreak).

I got Puig +400 live up 3-2 in the 1st. My book was extremely slow to adapt to what was unfolding on court. After 5 games it was obvious she had the power and presence of mind to beat Errani & her injury. At the moment she's putting a beatdown on the Italian screamer.

Nice way to star tthe tourney! Great work on Puig there. Which book are you using for in game?
 
Nadal is toast. Can't believe it. Did a 13 team Favorites Parlay. 10 have won just waiting on Nadal/Murray/Mahut. Paid 2-1. Looking at that match I noticed Darcis had beaten Nadal and got worried but then looked into it and Nadal was up 6-1 1-0 and got injured. Wish I didn't look into it hahaha
 
Darcis -2.5 sets would have been???

I think I saw him +2100 to +3400 depending on which book to win....

Wishing I would have threw 100 on him just for kicks...
 
Just unbelievable. Perfect storm there. Darcis playing outta his mind, Nadal not taking his 1st round as serious as he should, not playing well at all and possibly even re aggravating the knee
 
Well we could wish let's be honest how many of us would of seen this coming? 43-2 and lose first round in a major? Time to move on, takes one player out of the picture
 
They fuck up in many ways beyond just odds (their problems with start times re Nth American games, esp. around daylight savings time changes, have been a fun thing to witness), but I only know of one instance they didn't honour their mistake (they had a WNBA game closing start time actually closing at half-time, & a guy I know bet 5k on the Liberty up 9 pts. 9 pts is nothing in the WNBA, but they didn't make a refund available until after the match finished so they had their bite at the cherry of the Liberty losing, before they took their 2nd bite & refunded. I think that episode of shadiness on their part led to a policy of always copping to their errors. The book is owned by the NZ Govt. so the kind of BS you hear some other books indulging in isn't really on the cards with these guys).
 
Might be a bit of Watson mania out there, also. I've seen her line vs. Keys drop 15 cents since last night (my time). A guy I respect at blankets is on her, too.
 
Mens:
Novak Djokovic -8.5 @ 1.96 (3u)
Tomic/Querry o42.5 @ 1.99 (2u)
Juan Martin Del Potro -8 @ 1.92 (5u)
Zemija/Russell o36 @ 1.88 (2u)
Istomin/Seppi o40.5 @ 1.90 (5u)

Womens:
Serena Williams -9 @ 1.98 (3u)
Mattek-Sands +3.5 @ 2.05 (3u)
Mattek-Sands ML @ 3.01 (1u)
Cepelova ML @ 2.34 (2u)
Pliskova/Cepelova o22 @ 1.92 (1u)
Meusburger +7 @ 1.98 (3u)
Meusburger ML @ 11.75 (0.5u)
Hantuchova -1.5 sets @ 2.37 (2u)
Paszek -3.5 @ 1.97 (3u)
Peng -2.5 @ 1.94 (3u)
 
What a weird 1st round, did well on women's first day then shit the bed day 2, vice versa for mens, shit the bed day one then had a great day today.

1st Round Mens:
Ernests Gulbis -6 @ 2.12 (3u)
Baghdatis/Cilic o36.5 @ 1.93 (3u)
Jo Wilfred Tsonga -7.5 @ 2.02 (5u)

Isner/Donskoy o41.5 @ 1.98 (2u)
Jerzy Jankowicz -5.5 @ 2.01 (2u)
Jurgen Melzer +4.5 @ 1.94 (2u)
Jurgen Melzer ML @ 3.00 (0.5u)

Rafael Nadal -8.5 @ 1.98 (5u)
Kamke/Bennetteau o38 @ 1.90 (2u)
Novak Djokovic -8.5 @ 1.96 (3u)
Tomic/Querry o42.5 @ 1.99 (2u)
Juan Martin Del Potro -8 @ 1.92 (5u)
Zemija/Russell o36 @ 1.88 (2u)
Istomin/Seppi o40.5 @ 1.90 (5u)


1st Round Womens:
Eugenie Bouchard ML @ 2.06 (5u)
Stephens/Hampton o22 @ 1.95 (2u)
Ana Ivanovic -5.5 @ 2.02 (3u)
Ayumi Morita +4 @ 1.95 (3u)
Ayumi Morita ML @ 3.11 (0.5u)

Jelena Jankovic -5.5 @ 2.01 (2u)
Serena Williams -9 @ 1.98 (3u)
Mattek-Sands +3.5 @ 2.05 (3u)
Mattek-Sands ML @ 3.01 (1u)

Cepelova ML @ 2.34 (2u)
Pliskova/Cepelova o22 @ 1.92 (1u)
Meusburger +7 @ 1.98 (3u)
Meusburger ML @ 11.75 (0.5u)

Hantuchova -1.5 sets @ 2.37 (2u)
Paszek -3.5 @ 1.97 (3u)

Peng -2.5 @ 1.94 (3u)

Mens:
8-6 -1.46u

Womens:
5-11 -6.12u

Terrible, I made some poor calls on my unit range which cost me dearly. I'm convinced I can do much better 2nd round
 
What a weird 1st round, did well on women's first day then shit the bed day 2, vice versa for mens, shit the bed day one then had a great day today.

1st Round Mens:
Ernests Gulbis -6 @ 2.12 (3u)
Baghdatis/Cilic o36.5 @ 1.93 (3u)
Jo Wilfred Tsonga -7.5 @ 2.02 (5u)

Isner/Donskoy o41.5 @ 1.98 (2u)
Jerzy Jankowicz -5.5 @ 2.01 (2u)
Jurgen Melzer +4.5 @ 1.94 (2u)
Jurgen Melzer ML @ 3.00 (0.5u)

Rafael Nadal -8.5 @ 1.98 (5u)
Kamke/Bennetteau o38 @ 1.90 (2u)
Novak Djokovic -8.5 @ 1.96 (3u)
Tomic/Querry o42.5 @ 1.99 (2u)
Juan Martin Del Potro -8 @ 1.92 (5u)
Zemija/Russell o36 @ 1.88 (2u)
Istomin/Seppi o40.5 @ 1.90 (5u)


1st Round Womens:
Eugenie Bouchard ML @ 2.06 (5u)
Stephens/Hampton o22 @ 1.95 (2u)
Ana Ivanovic -5.5 @ 2.02 (3u)
Ayumi Morita +4 @ 1.95 (3u)
Ayumi Morita ML @ 3.11 (0.5u)

Jelena Jankovic -5.5 @ 2.01 (2u)
Serena Williams -9 @ 1.98 (3u)
Mattek-Sands +3.5 @ 2.05 (3u)
Mattek-Sands ML @ 3.01 (1u)

Cepelova ML @ 2.34 (2u)
Pliskova/Cepelova o22 @ 1.92 (1u)
Meusburger +7 @ 1.98 (3u)
Meusburger ML @ 11.75 (0.5u)

Hantuchova -1.5 sets @ 2.37 (2u)
Paszek -3.5 @ 1.97 (3u)

Peng -2.5 @ 1.94 (3u)

Mens:
8-6 -1.46u

Womens:
5-11 -6.12u

Terrible, I made some poor calls on my unit range which cost me dearly. I'm convinced I can do much better 2nd round

Good luck today!
 
Going to add a bit more to the Del Potro prop

2nd Round Mens:
Isner/Mannarino o41 @ 1.94 (3u)
Jerzy Janowicz -2 @ 1.92 (5u)
Jurgen Melzer -3 @ 1.94 (5u)
Dustin Brown +6 @ 2.04 (3u)
Dustin Brown ML @ 6.87 (0.5u)
Tsonga/Gulbis o40.5 @ 1.91 (2u)
Verdasco/Benneteau o41 @ 1.93 (2u)

2nd Round Womens:
Eugenie Bouchard +5 @ 2.06 (5u)
Eugenie Bouchard ML @ 4.77 (0.5u)
Su Wei Hsieh -2 @ 1.93 (3u)
Monica Puig -4.5 @ 1.99 (3u)
Cetkovska/Wozniacki u21 @ 2.02 (1u)
Sharapova/Larcher De Brito u16.5 @ 2.02 (1u)
Marion Bartoli -4 @ 1.85 (5u)
 
well looks like Azarenka is out....there goes another prop bet...fuck
Pennetta apparently W.O.

[video=youtube;X6qU1gswWow]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X6qU1gswWow[/video]
 
I wrote down a list of dogs last night before bed....Wish I had bet a few.

Bouchard, Brown and Cetskova....as well as Sjisling tomorrow.

could have had a nice parlay going....
 
Fed out. Imagine the odds you coulda got before the tourney if you said Nadal would be out in 1 and Fed, Pova and Aza would be out by 2. Unreal now Murray has straight shot to finals
 
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