WGC --FedEx St Jude Classic

[bull]

Two years ago this had a normal size field. But last year it became some sort of an invitational. Only 63 players. This year it has 78 players according to information that popped up on my tv screen. Am I correct about all of this ??

 

[B.A.R.]

Two years ago this had a normal size field. But last year it became some sort of an invitational. Only 63 players. This year it has 78 players according to information that popped up on my tv screen. Am I correct about all of this ??

Yes.

It is a WGC event now (World Golf Championship)

 

[crawdads]

Going to likely be hot. Real hot. Brooks has to be hurt, he referenced it recently.

Curious what Alex Noren does this week. Been a rough 3 weeks for Rose, i would think he'd be peaking about now. I'm sure a lot of people will be on Rahm, who opened up last year with a 62 here.

 

[B.A.R.]

Renamed thread and we will use this for discussion this week.

 

[HUNT]

I've been horrific with futures last few weeks. Let's get some winners..none of this Michael Thompson bullshit.

 

[aplous]

Had a decent week with Werenski Top 10 carrying the load for me. This will finally be the week I get 6/6 through to the weekend on DK (there is no cut)

 

[DaddyMcIlhon]

I've been horrific with futures last few weeks. Let's get some winners..none of this Michael Thompson bullshit.

Unlikely we get a weird winner at a WGC. 78 player field. Top guys usually win these.

 

[DaddyMcIlhon]

Two bets in so far. I’ll probably have a top heavy card this week and roll with these two and maybe 1 or 2 others.

I read something that said in the past 9 years the winner has been Top 20 in SG:OTT and SG:APP. There are two guys that are playing very well and fit those two categories:

Xander Schauffele 24-1
Viktor Hovland 28-1

Sign me up!

 

[Ryno14]

I’m definitely liking Hovland this week

 

[Ryno14]

Like JT a decent amount as well

 

[B.A.R.]

Two bets in so far. I’ll probably have a top heavy card this week and roll with these two and maybe 1 or 2 others.

I read something that said in the past 9 years the winner has been Top 20 in SG:OTT and SG:APP. There are two guys that are playing very well and fit those two categories:

Xander Schauffele 24-1
Viktor Hovland 28-1

Sign me up!

All over X this week

 

[aplous]

X shoots 79 round 1 whenever I bet him so I'll lay off for yall's sake

 

[ScopeY]

Was doing well then got flattened last sunday in golf

Top 10 Ball Strikers
Viktor Hovland
Bryson DeChambeau
Collin Morikawa
Corey Conners
Joaquin Niemann
Xander Schauffele
Justin Thomas
Sergio Garcia
Abraham Ancer
Bubba Watson

 

[DaddyMcIlhon]

This is kind of a Webb Simpson track but not betting it. Probably use him in DK.

 

[gps_3]

Berger's course history can't be overlooked. I think this is the Tour stop with the most water balls year to year, so it's understandable why good ball strikers do well here. Maybe fade Euros because it's gonna be hot and humid

 

[DaddyMcIlhon]

Berger's course history can't be overlooked. I think this is the Tour stop with the most water balls year to year, so it's understandable why good ball strikers do well here. Maybe fade Euros because it's gonna be hot and humid

Berger should be fun but he won here in much weaker fields. He is playing well and should have a comfort level though.

 

[bull]

Please explain the enthusiasm for X.
He really hasn’t done much this year. Thanks

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1287876937956749312

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1287856355051745280

 

[DaddyMcIlhon]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1287856355051745280

That Simpson, McIlroy, Spieth group would be an interesting follow. Simpson short, Mcilroy long and Spieth all over the place.

 

[DaddyMcIlhon]

Koepka is just a fade right now right? That 33-1 number sure is enticing.

 

[B.A.R.]

That Simpson, McIlroy, Spieth group would be an interesting follow. Simpson short, Mcilroy long and Spieth all over the place.

Definitely not cart golf.

 

[B.A.R.]

Sungjae locked at 60-1

X number for me has dropped to a point where I am going to wait a bit.

Gary is worth a shot.

Brooks number obviously making me stare at it..

More to come.

 

[B.A.R.]

Bookmaker still with awesome lines for PGA

 

[gps_3]

Billy Ho also has a pretty sterling history here

 

[ScopeY]

Same Story, bolded is the ball strikers, categories are SGApp/Bogey Avoidance/BorB%/SGoffTTee/SGATGreen/Scrambling - removed anyone under 1 unless top 10 striker and Im, who touches a ton of boxes.

 

[DaddyMcIlhon]

Final card:

Rory 12-1
Xander 24-1
Hovland 28-1

Rory played well here last year but didn’t get it done on a Sunday. I don’t normally go up this high but this is a good number for him thanks to Rahm’s play honestly. I’d have expected a number closer to 8-1 on him for this. Rory has a great track record at WGCs.. two wins and like 10 top 10s I think. Top guys usually win these things.. so I could certainly see a Rory breakthrough here.

 

[RBTrojan]

Weather report looks pretty dicey... leaning to play against guys who seem “hurt”.... DJ and BK topping my list so far as fades

 

[DaddyMcIlhon]

Please explain the enthusiasm for X.
He really hasn’t done much this year. Thanks

I’ll give it a whirl..

Since the restart:
T13
T14
T20
T64
T3

No-cut events:

2017 Tour Championship - Won
2018 Tour Championship - T2
2019 Tour Championship - 2nd
2018 WGC HSBC - Won
2019 WGC HSBC - 2nd
2018 BMW Championship - T3

SG:APP - 16
SG:OTT - 7

 

[DaddyMcIlhon]

Bookmaker still with awesome lines for PGA

Love BM for golf. You can catch great lines early on a Monday. Got Xander at 24 and everywhere else was 20.

 

[Ryno14]

Weather report looks pretty dicey... leaning to play against guys who seem “hurt”.... DJ and BK topping my list so far as fades

Would love to fade DJ in some H2H this week - though DK not offering any currently. I’m not sold on fading Brooks though. He actually hit the ball extremely well last week - just couldn’t putt the ball into a hula hoop. Not that he’s a great putter anyways, but certainly not that bad. However, will his knee hold up 4 rounds? I’m not saying I’m playing him, but I’m not running out to fade him either. Especially with Ian Poulter (only one I’m being offered)

 

[bull]

Thanks for that info re X, Daddy. I’m sure I probably had him in that T64.
I think he is due to compete so I,m going to back him this week. Good luck.

 

[DaddyMcIlhon]

Someone mentioned weather earlier... it’s not looking good. Tee times pushed back to 12:00 eastern. Gonna be a soft golf course.

 

[aplous]

Brooksie could be a nice contrarian DFS play....his ball striking numbers were good last week just couldn't putt it

 

[gps_3]

Someone mentioned weather earlier... it’s not looking good. Tee times pushed back to 12:00 eastern. Gonna be a soft golf course.

Probably going to be some stop and start, maybe a good chance to fade guys with injuries. Though I like to tread lightly in these events with no cuts. Nothing like an early morning 64 on Sunday to ruin a good bet

 

[bull]

Asking mr. SnopeY. Can you tell me in brief, no need to tell me how you derived these numbers, what they translate into. For example , Does Thomas at 4.5 represent your to choice for strong performance and Watson at 0.5 your weakest. Any response is welcome, including a simple ‘yes’ or ‘no’ Thanks so much.

 

[DaddyMcIlhon]

Brooksie could be a nice contrarian DFS play....his ball striking numbers were good last week just couldn't putt it

DJ is gonna be like 2% owned. I think this is the best contrarian play for DK this week. Takes balls to play him though.

 

[ScopeY]

Asking mr. SnopeY. Can you tell me in brief, no need to tell me how you derived these numbers, what they translate into. For example , Does Thomas at 4.5 represent your to choice for strong performance and Watson at 0.5 your weakest. Any response is welcome, including a simple ‘yes’ or ‘no’ Thanks so much.

I can change the metric, i just have those numbers to visually see it better.... but if you're top 10 in any of those categories, I gave them 1, 11-15 received .5, 16-20 received .25, just outside top 20 was the "~" ...... so Thomas in these categories SGApp/Bogey Avoidance/BorB%/SGoffTTee/SGATGreen/Scrambling, was 3/5/4/19/14/7 respectively.

I've also bolded him as he is currently top 10 in ball striking since the restart.

Let me know if that makes any sense

 

[bull]

Thanks, mr ScopeY. I think I got it. We have our draft late this afternoon and that will be helpful. My picks don’t have to win although that would be frosting on the cake, but I need at least 8 plaiyers to play well.

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1288461773251772416

 

[Ryno14]

Just played:

Hatton -125 vs DJ
Rickie 100 vs Day

Full Tournament at DK

 

[bull]

Good luck, mr Ryno

 

[Ryno14]

Good luck, mr Ryno

Thanks, Bull. May be back with one or two more and some R1.

 

[crawdads]

 

[crawdads]

Did anyone get odds on Will Gordon on the opposite field?

 

[Ryno14]

Did anyone get odds on Will Gordon on the opposite field?

Are you asking what odds I see at my book?

 

[B.A.R.]

Did anyone get odds on Will Gordon on the opposite field?

That's Hunts favorite golfer.

 

[RBTrojan]

I'll play live and some round match ups as the weekend progresses... fading DJ is just too steep of a price for me to jump on. Good luck guys...

 

[bull]

Did anyone get odds on Will Gordon on the opposite field?

He is +130 v Griffin at 5Dimes

 

[HUNT]

PGA WGC Golf 7102 Billy Horschel (1st Rnd) -160* vs Michael Thompson (1st Rnd)