Western Conference First Round Discussion

[B.A.R.]

Alright, it is playoff time.

The West certainly is always fun come playoff time as the lower seeds can be somewhat dangerous. Overall, this still feels like a lot of the LA teams and perhaps a pesky Rockets team as the contenders overall.


LA Lakers vs Portland

LA Clippers vs Dallas

Utah vs Denver

Houston vs Oklahoma City


Lets discuss series prices, any prop bets and strategies as the series goes...

 

[B.A.R.]

I said it in the other thread but the Lakers series price is CHEAP.

I will also say, I think there is a bit of value in the Nuggets price as well.

I like this OKC team quite a bit but there is no value in their price at all.

 

[Ryno14]

I expect to be on Lakers pretty heavy G1

 

[braves]

I expect to be on Lakers pretty heavy G1

You may like Lakers to win G1 and series -225

 

[Ryno14]

You may like Lakers to win G1 and series -225

Oooooh. I do like that

 

[Ryno14]

Oooooh. I do like that

I’m seeing -250 to win G1 though so doesn’t seem like much value on the win G1 and series

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1295058300413685760

 

[Ryno14]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1295058300413685760

Love me some Zubac

 

[skanless13]

I said it in the other thread but the Lakers series price is CHEAP.

I will also say, I think there is a bit of value in the Nuggets price as well.

I like this OKC team quite a bit but there is no value in their price at all.

Oh, awesome. Looks like I need to rethink my plays lol since port and okc were 2 I was thinking.
I know Portland has terrible D, but LAL D isn't great, and I feel they are hot and more balanced than LAL.

 

[guaranteeed]

Kinda crazy that every west g1 fav is 6 points or less

 

[guaranteeed]

No conley for jazz whole series right?

Even if hes back in a few days he has to quarantine for a while no?

 

[skanless13]

No conley for jazz whole series right?

Even if hes back in a few days he has to quarantine for a while no?

I believe that's correct. Maybe if series goes to game 5 or so he might be able to play....

 

[Big daddy naught]

I believe that's correct. Maybe if series goes to game 5 or so he might be able to play....

he was actually starting to play better too. Puts way more pressure on Mitchell.

 

[Ryno14]

I know I missed the early line here but took some Nuggets -278 series

 

[Big daddy naught]

I know I missed the early line here but took some Nuggets -278 series

yea that’s a steep line and both teams can be offensively challenged at times but den definitely has more guys who are capable

 

[B.A.R.]

Kinda crazy that every west g1 fav is 6 points or less

Pretty wild.

 

[wizardofodd]

Going with a day one 5 unit ML parlay of the favs: Denver-Clippers-Celtics

Denver is deep imo and without Conley, you can double up on Mitchell if he gets hot. Inside Jokic can handle himself. Denver has a more talent
Celtics should make the ECF. Better team all around, top to bottom. They dont mess around
Clippers have veterans and are more talented, deeper, way more playmakers and much better defense.

GL fellas

 

[aplous]

Going with a day one 5 unit ML parlay of the favs: Denver-Clippers-Celtics

Denver is deep imo and without Conley, you can double up on Mitchell if he gets hot. Inside Jokic can handle himself. Denver has a more talent
Celtics should make the ECF. Better team all around, top to bottom. They dont mess around
Clippers have veterans and are more talented, deeper, way more playmakers and much better defense.

GL fellas

I went with Denver, Raps, Celtics

 

[B.A.R.]

I did play Lakers Series as well (-547)

 

[B.A.R.]

I did play Lakers Series as well (-547)

Add Denver -292 series as well.

 

[wizardofodd]

I went with Denver, Raps, Celtics

GL but Raps game 1's in playoffs,:headscratch: I gotta go points, especially double digits.

 

[Ryno14]

GL but Raps game 1's in playoffs,:headscratch: I gotta go points, especially double digits.

Think he was simply talking about a ML parlay - maybe I read it wrong

 

[wizardofodd]

Think he was simply talking about a ML parlay - maybe I read it wrong

yes he is talking about ML. But they have lost SU game 1's

I still wouldnt play Nets ML, but I might take those points

 

[Ryno14]

Juwan Morgan starting in place of Mike Conley

 

[Inspekdah]

Raps different animal this year. Nets been playing at their peak all bubble. There’s no next gear for them. Tremendous pressure on LaVert to be a 35-40 point guy to keep them in games and I just don’t see it.

 

[Inspekdah]

Nuggets line seems low considering Conley out. It is 3 points stronger than when they matched up over a week ago. I had Jazz and they dominated early, before getting worked late. Took spider a few miracles to keep them in it. Rudy was completely dominated by Jokic.

 

[wizardofodd]

if Mitchell is off, like under 40% shooting, Utah will lose by double digits easy

 

[2daBank]

I said it in the other thread but the Lakers series price is CHEAP.

I will also say, I think there is a bit of value in the Nuggets price as well.

I like this OKC team quite a bit but there is no value in their price at all.

I havnt looked at series prices but I heard okc was actually favs? I was sure thinking we would get a little plus money on them!

 

[2daBank]

if Mitchell is off, like under 40% shooting, Utah will lose by double digits easy

He balled out. Us nugs backers lucked out with ot to cover. I think that may have been jizz best chance tho and this be a short series.

 

[Ryno14]

I havnt looked at series prices but I heard okc was actually favs? I was sure thinking we would get a little plus money on them!

Unless it was a big shift since I looked this morning, Houston is series favorites. OKC is G1 fave though

 

[2daBank]

Unless it was a big shift since I looked this morning, Houston is series favorites. OKC is G1 fave though

Well that makes sense with Westbrook out. Guessing only -120 or so for series?

 

[Ryno14]

Well that makes sense with Westbrook out. Guessing only -120 or so for series?

Think I saw -180ish this morning

 

[2daBank]

Think I saw -180ish this morning

Oh wow. That might be little value on okc!! I dunno wtf these ppl were talking bout on radio about okc being favs? Musta just been game 1 but they were sure making it sound like okc were favs to win series which I thought was pretty crazy!

 

[2daBank]

Gotta think cp3 would love nothing more than to stick it to rockets for giving up on him!

 

[Ryno14]

I’ve seen nothing but OKC love. Even Cowherd picked them as his only “upset”

 

[Inspekdah]

That’s going to be a great series. Bubble ball is interesting AF. Love the games on all day.

 

[twinkie13]

Gotta think cp3 would love nothing more than to stick it to rockets for giving up on him!

Worst big game player. His career baffles me

 

[2daBank]

Worst big game player. His career baffles me

I dunno bout all that. Rockets had GS dead to rights that one year until he got hurt.

 

[twinkie13]

I dunno bout all that. Rockets had GS dead to rights that one year until he got hurt.

As far as PGs go he was so complete for what a PG supposed to do. His tendencies when the lights get bright aren’t why they should be. I’ve watched him forever.

 

[B.A.R.]

Oh that Lakers offense...

 

[skanless13]

Oh that Lakers offense...

I was surprised at how well Portland played and hung in the interior.

 

[B.A.R.]

I was surprised at how well Portland played and hung in the interior.

Yes, I only saw maybe 50-60% of the action but that was surprising.

 

[emkee]

1st time in 37 straight games a Blazers opponent hasn't scored 100+ points.

Lakers offense is broken.

 

[skanless13]

Yes, I only saw maybe 50-60% of the action but that was surprising.

I watched most of it. I thought that's where LAL had the edge, but Whiteside, Nurkic, and a couple others came up big.

 

[skanless13]

1st time in 37 straight games a Blazers opponent hasn't scored 100+ points.

Lakers offense is broken.

Sad if u can't get 100 vs them. Portland also really showing huge heart.

 

[skanless13]

1st time in 37 straight games a Blazers opponent hasn't scored 100+ points.

Lakers offense is broken.

Em. After game 1, who you have winning this series?

 

[divol]

Only two good things about Lakers series, they can't play worse than game 1 and Barkley calling it a sweep...

 

[2daBank]

I was surprised at how well Portland played and hung in the interior.

Bron has always been uncomfortable when a team has a legit big rim protector and lakers lineup along with now healthy blazers gives them the opportunity to not only play 2 7 footers but clog the lane with 2 of them! They don’t have to respect Howard or Magee, barely have to respect AD sitting on the 3 point line! Lakers in a world of trouble if bron continues to attempt getting everyone else involved with his “right play” wussy attitude! When lakers were up 6 he should have put his head down and started attacking and they probably win that game imo. I don’t know if it was the 7 footers lurking in paint that persuaded him or just his gst everyone involved loser mindset? Either way if that continues it blazers in 5!

 

[Ryno14]

Something to keep in mind for G2 tomorrow night

https://twitter.com/x/status/1296120401072812032

 

[2daBank]

They missed a ton of put back bunnies too!! They scared of blazers size! Apparently they only effective when up against 6’7 guys! Lol