Week 4 Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Sep 30 Thu 2021

7:20 PM
101Jacksonville Jaguars+7½
-105
+280O 45
-112
102Cincinnati Bengals+1 Markets-7½
-115
-350U 45
-108
Oct 3 Sun 2021

12:00 PM
253Detroit Lions+3½
-112
+151O 44
-110
254Chicago Bears+1 Markets-3½
-108
-171U 44
-110
12:00 PM
255Tennessee Titans-7½
-107
-330O 46
-110
256New York Jets+1 Markets+7½
-113
+275U 46
-110
12:00 PM
257Cleveland Browns-1
-110
-119O 52
-115
258Minnesota Vikings+1 Markets+1
-110
-101U 52
-105
12:00 PM
259Indianapolis Colts+1½
-110
+105O 43½
-105
260Miami Dolphins+1 Markets-1½
-110
-125U 43½
-115
12:00 PM
261Carolina Panthers+4½
-115
+180O 50
-110
262Dallas Cowboys+1 Markets-4½
-105
-210U 50
-110
12:00 PM
263New York Giants+8
-105
+295O 43½
-110
264New Orleans Saints+1 Markets-8
-115
-365U 43½
-110
12:00 PM
265Kansas City Chiefs-6
-105
-250O 55
-110
266Philadelphia Eagles+1 Markets+6
-115
+210U 55
-110
12:00 PM
267Houston Texans+17
-110
O 47½
-117
268Buffalo Bills+1 Markets-17
-110
U 47½
-103
3:05 PM
269Arizona Cardinals+6
-110
+225O 53
-115
270Los Angeles Rams+1 Markets-6
-110
-265U 53
-105
3:25 PM
273Baltimore Ravens+1
-104
-103O 45
-105
274Denver Broncos+1 Markets-1
-116
-117U 45
-115
7:20 PM
277Tampa Bay Buccaneers-6
-110
-242O 49
-112
278New England Patriots+1 Markets+6
-110
+202U 49
-108
Oct 4 Mon 2021

7:15 PM
279Las Vegas Raiders+3
+102
+160O 52½
-110
280Los Angeles Chargers-3
-122
-180U 52½
-110
 
Mia and Wash for me at first glance. Probably Denver too although Tucker might kick one from 76 yds at Mile High
 
Cincy should be fine vs Jags. Really great teaser partner at the very least. Jags have not even threatened a win yet and they played Houston (projected to be worst team if you go by RSW totals) and two home games. Cincy on the rise.
 
NO/TEN teaser for starters. Parlayed them small also because when I win teasers I generally don't need the points.

BAL looks like a viable teaser option to +7.5. This will be the first real team DEN has faced. Just unsure of the status of BAL D. I believe they were missing 7 starters Sunday.
 
Weird week for TV coverage

The only battle of unbeatens will be a 4:05 regional game shown only in southern Cal/Arizona area

The main CBS doubleheader game will feature 2-1 Packers and 1-2 Steelers possible mismatch while at the same time the 2-1 Ravens are playing at the 3-0 Broncos in what should be a very competitive game.
 
Bengals coming off biggest road win in years, watch out for an early letdown. That said, they should put up plenty against Jags.

WFT/ATL no idea.

Lions have been playing better than the Bears yet the Bears have to lay the hook? Smells like we need to take the Bears.

Titans laying a big road number is tough to swallow. Teaser play looks nice though.

Browns/Vikes could go either way.

Miami/Colts could go either way.

Cowboys short week against Panthers extra long break. Talk about effing Dallas over. Panthers or nothing.

No way I can back Jameis laying 8. Teasing Giants up looks good.

Chiefs should score, but running QB might be a problem for them.

Bills are good enough it may be worth laying the 17. Teasing to 11 might be better.

Rams/Cards smells like a FG game to me. Cards would be the play.

Niners and Hawks were both embarrassed last week, hard to say who bounces back better.

Can see Ravens/Denver going either way.

Packers should score at a pace the Steelers can't keep up with.

I expect Brady, Gronk and AB to carve their old team up.

Raiders/Chargers goes either way.
 
Is anyone hitting openers(If you set your own lines) or does seem the lines stagnate for a few days?
In other words, waiting for a few days to get covid/injury results ?
I'd rather hit early, but seems there is a small movement, if any, over a couple days.
 
Is anyone hitting openers(If you set your own lines) or does seem the lines stagnate for a few days?
In other words, waiting for a few days to get covid/injury results ?
I'd rather hit early, but seems there is a small movement, if any, over a couple days.
Hitting early lines usually works against me. Doesn't stop me, just doesn't always pan out. Slept on teasing BAL to +7.5 when the line was 1.5, now I'm seeing the line at 1 so it goes both ways. Was holding off to hear news about the inactives from last week.
 
Green Bay will Kill Pitt.
I may be on an island here but I feel this is the type of game Pitt can win or at least stay within the number. They won week one, OTR as a TD-ish dog, then dropped two as a fave. GB coming back home after a big SNF win & Pitt hitting the road as a big dog after being embarrassed. I see it's juiced towards GB so I'll hold out hoping for a 7.
 
Yeah Zeke. If Pit wins this game they will be sitting at 2-2, possibly in a tie for first place in the division at the end of the day (although I doubt Cincy loses) and pretty good considering their injury situation. At the beginning of the season I would’ve expected them to be 2-2 after four games, just obviously not in this fashion. There is a chance they will get Watt, Highsmith and Johnson back this week. We know they can get to the quarterback when their defense is healthy. They will need to do that to have a chance against the Packers. I don’t know if they have enough to pull it off, but I do expect Pit to compete in this game and if it gets to +7 I’ll bite.
 
I may be on an island here but I feel this is the type of game Pitt can win or at least stay within the number. They won week one, OTR as a TD-ish dog, then dropped two as a fave. GB coming back home after a big SNF win & Pitt hitting the road as a big dog after being embarrassed. I see it's juiced towards GB so I'll hold out hoping for a 7.
I just don't think PITT can score with GB.
 
Saints are 3rd vs the run. Seems all the Giants can do….G Men down on the O line.

Saints don’t seem to be rushing people back, but the atmosphere should be pretty wild. Could be a bloodbath
 
I just don't think PITT can score with GB.
Oh don't get me wrong. I have zero faith in their offense. Just thinking if their D is healthy, maybe they limit GB enough to allow Ben to be Ben. Correlated parlay here perhaps, Pit/Under & GB/Over.
 
The Steelers OC has said that offensively they are going to "Stick to what we're doing." Which, if Ben is really going to throw 58 times a game suggests Ben's arm should fall off completely round about Week 8.
 
The Steelers OC has said that offensively they are going to "Stick to what we're doing." Which, if Ben is really going to throw 58 times a game suggests Ben's arm should fall off completely round about Week 8.
Time for the Quack Attack!
 
Hope to be back posting some football this week, Ryno.

Just dealing with some crazy, crazy shit offline.

NBA in 19 days or thereabouts...
All good man! Hope everything gets sorted out. Just checking on you is all
 
Hope to be back posting some football this week, Ryno.

Just dealing with some crazy, crazy shit offline.

NBA in 19 days or thereabouts...

Tell. Me. More.

Also, if you need an alibi, I've got you. And if you need a place to put a body, Steed says he has a place, but it's out in the woods. And that for some reason, you should wear some loose fitting clothing when you show up. Oh, and bring some wine coolers.

Look, I'm just relaying the message.
 

Wonder if Tomlin used this as bulletin board material? It’s a big deal when when your opponent accuses you of quitting in the NFL. That’s a low blow as these guys have a lot of pride.
 
AJ and Julio both ruled out against the Jets

Seems like a total business decision by the Titans. Suggests the under may be worth a look. The Jets haven't really been able to score and the Titans seem like they want to control the game on the ground tomorrow.
 
Seems like a total business decision by the Titans. Suggests the under may be worth a look. The Jets haven't really been able to score and the Titans seem like they want to control the game on the ground tomorrow.
Yeah both are hammy injuries, no reason this early in the season to push it against that motley crew
 
Despite being new personnel in Houston Josh Allen is treating this as a revenge game for the playoff loss a couple of years back. No letdown performance here and plenty of tape on Mills.
 
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Speaking of defensive TD, saw a prop on DK, O/U 4.5 TD's by DST. Probably a sucker bet but over is tempting.
 
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