Week 17 Westgate Lookahead Lines/ BetOnline Openers and Discussion

[austinhous]

At least one team pondering a head-coaching change is considering calling the Ravens to inquire about Harbaugh if Baltimore doesn't advance to the postseason Sunday, league sources told ESPN. The Ravens have an 82 percent chance of winning their first AFC North title in six years, but they know from recent history that nothing is a given.

The team that is considering a coaching change believes that Baltimore would be more apt to part ways with Harbaugh if the Ravens fall short of the postseason, according to sources. The Ravens will win the AFC North if they beat the Browns in their season finale. But a Ravens loss at home to Cleveland, combined with a Steelers win over the last-place Bengals, would give Pittsburgh the division crown and knock Baltimore out of playoff contention.

The Ravens announced earlier this month that they are working on a contract extension for Harbaugh, who is scheduled to be headed into the last year of his current deal next season.

 

[KJ]

He's 2nd best to Peyton imo in the Shield

 

[austinhous]

Ravens can only be eliminated from the playoffs today if they lose to Browns and the Steelers beat Bengals. So, Baltimore can land anywhere from the No. 2 seed (and a first-round bye) to being out of the postseason. This will be a drama-filled day for Ravens and rest of NFL.

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Dude already beat Jets, Panthers, and Jaguars who at the time were allowing 211, 257, 193 passing yards per game, respectively. Those were all home games though.

He came in vs Jets who hadn‘t gameplanned for him
Panthers are trash on the road
Browns didnt play Jax

Vs top 10‘defenses: 188 yds on 31 pass attempts vs broncos 2 td 1 int and broncos secondary was injury ridden and keenum passed a lot killing denver top
52.6 passer rating vs chargers at home

 

[austinhous]

Also - for what it's worth - this was the headline from week 17 last season:

Bengals oust Ravens from playoff hunt with 31-27 victory
The Baltimore Ravens (-8.5) were ousted from the playoff hunt in stunning fashion Sunday when Andy Dalton threw a 49-yard touchdown pass to Tyler Boyd with 44 seconds, giving the Cincinnati Bengals a 31-27 victory.

Ravens were given a 93% chance to win that 2017 regular season finale versus Andy Dalton. I'm just sayin..

 

[austinhous]

Browns didnt play Jax

You're right I should have said Ravens there. They were allowing 193 passing yards per game when Mayfield beat them 12-9 in W5.

 

[KJ]

Also - for what it's worth - this was the headline from week 17 last season:Ravens were given a 93% chance to win that 2017 regular season finale versus Andy Dalton. I'm just sayin..

So revenge in play. Perfect!

 

[VirginiaCavs]

You're right I should have said Ravens there.

Browns scored 12 points including ot tho. Ravens didnt have a run game then their offense is basically new

 

[austinhous]

Browns 2018:

• 0-5 ATS allowing more than 28
• 9-1 ATS allowing fewer than 28

• 0-7-1 SU allowing 21 or more
• 7-0 SU allowing fewer than 21

 

[austinhous]

Opponent margin of victory vs Browns this season: 3,3,3,15,16,16,24

 

[austinhous]

Sagarin's top-5 teams:

1  New Orleans Saints      =  28.23
2  Baltimore Ravens        =  25.15
3  Los Angeles Rams        =  24.98
4  Kansas City Chiefs      =  24.91
5  New England Patriots    =  24.06

Didn't realize Raves were so strong fuck is that about? lol

 

[emkee]

 

[emkee]

Lang on the Colts -3 for 150 Dimes.

 

[austinhous]

Lang on the Colts -3 for 150 Dimes.

What are you reading between the lines on this game? I was "late to the party" when the Mariota news broke (read the news like 4 hours after he'd been ruled out), and was surprised when I didn't see a line move. I'd have been content to see the 5.5 immediately, but it looks like it took all day to get there, as if wagers just slowly trickled in and the line adjusted at the same pace. Usually on key injuries in high profile games (national TV, literally the only game in town tonight, play-in game situation) I'd expect the move to be immediate as Ham & Egg Joe hears the news and frantically pulls his car over to the side of the road to call the bookie and unload on the favorite.

 

[austinhous]

temp indoors/below 80°F: 0-6

Dolphins finish 0-7 in that spot, losing by a combined margin of 131 points. Simplistic view and there's probably more to it, but that situation is pretty clean.

 

[austinhous]

Browns 2018:

• 9-1 ATS allowing fewer than 28
• 0-7-1 SU allowing 21 or more

Congrats Browns ATS backers.

 

[austinhous]

:rolleyes: I sold 7 and bought Bills -13/Browns pk +760 so close

 

[Big daddy naught]

FOR THE BOYS!!

 

[Capaholic]

Gruden coaching mismatch vs Reid.

Kc magic is over- 4 games vs good teams all losses.

Carr and company dominate chiefs. Mahomes magic is over now.

:daman:

 

[Sammy Meatballs]

:daman:

Missed the mark on that one!!!

 

[GWarner27]

Sagarin's top-5 teams:

1  New Orleans Saints      =  28.23
2  Baltimore Ravens        =  25.15
3  Los Angeles Rams        =  24.98
4  Kansas City Chiefs      =  24.91
5  New England Patriots    =  24.06

Didn't realize Raves were so strong fuck is that about? lol

Defense and TOP

 

[B.A.R.]

Lions will win because it would kill draft position.

Mutha

 

[2daBank]

I suggest you do a bit more research. TEN and specifically Henry have been incredible lately. He yanked the job from highly paid Dion Lewis and there’s some truth to bruised teams not being able to tackle 250-pound backs in the final weeks

None needed. Colts were a slam dunk as suspected. Henry had no influence and Mack out rushed him.

 

[austinhous]

Defense and TOP

Sagarin ranks were strong AF national championship 2015 Ohio State. He had Buckeyes ranked like multiple spots #1 over Oregon. And Ducks were super public that game too.