Leans , games of interest :
ATS :
San Diego : Take away the OAK running game (SD 3.8 YPC L3 and 3.9 YPC at Home ) , while SD is terrible running the ball (less then 100 yds per game and only 85 L3) the OAK defense is soft vs the run (4.3 away and 4.8 L3). The SD OL has not played well at all and neither has LT while at less then 100% is no suprise really . OAK L8 games 94 pts but 31 came at Denver so 63 pts other 7 games or 9pts per . Funny I said OAK will score 10pts and I can see 21-10 finish....Its not SD defense which allwoed more then 23 points only in London and lows 20 just 3 of the past 9 games otherwise keeping teams in the teens. SD off consecutive SU home losses as favs is now still a FAV....play on teams like this IMO.
How bout this stat : OAK WR 's vs KC TOTALed 1reception for ZERO yards. At home OAK had the ball just 24 minutes
OAK is 1-10 L11 ATS vs SD . It's now or never does it really take much to make fold ?? The Raiders avg 5.2 Pts in the 1st H on the road.
Jags +7 ? Honestly how can I entertain this ? Seriously looking at what CHI has done L10 games what is much different for these teams ? Bears are 5-5 have 2 gift wins vs Philly on a goal line stand and Minny 48-41 with like 3 or 4 defensive and ST TDs . Dont see how this is more then -4.5 which was actually the lowest number I originally expected .
What killed Jax on Monday ? Execution on offense IMO and playcalling . Just cant dig CHI with 2 wins vs DET and another vs STL plus 2 fluky ones. Which means that opening day might have been their peak . ANy thoughts to Orton not being healthy as well ? he was fairly shitty @ Minny , unproductive @ STL , fairly terrible @ GB .
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=yspsctbg align=middle><TD class=ysptblhdr align=left width="20%" colSpan=3 height=18>
Season Outlook</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg noWrap width=1 rowSpan=8>
<SPACER width="1" height="1" type="block"></TD><TD class=ysptblhdr colSpan=10>
Passing</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg noWrap width=1 rowSpan=8>
<SPACER width="1" height="1" type="block"></TD><TD class=ysptblhdr colSpan=6>
Rushing</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg noWrap width=1 rowSpan=8>
<SPACER width="1" height="1" type="block"></TD><TD class=ysptblhdr colSpan=3>
Sacked</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg noWrap width=1 rowSpan=8>
<SPACER width="1" height="1" type="block"></TD><TD class=ysptblhdr colSpan=3>
Fumbles</TD></TR><TR class=ysptblthbody1 align=right height=16><TD class=yspdetailttl align=left></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
G</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
QBRat </TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Comp</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Att</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Pct</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Yds</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Y/G</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Y/A</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
TD</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Int</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Rush</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Yds</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Y/G</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Avg</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
TD</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Sack</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
YdsL</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
Fum</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>
FumL</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>
Last 4 Games</TD><TD class=yspscores>
4</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
64.2</TD><TD class=yspscores>
49</TD><TD class=yspscores>
97</TD><TD class=yspscores>
50.5</TD><TD class=yspscores>
526</TD><TD class=yspscores>
131.5</TD><TD class=yspscores>
5.4</TD><TD class=yspscores>
3</TD><TD class=yspscores>
3</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
4</TD><TD class=yspscores>
6</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1.5</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1.5</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
6</TD><TD class=yspscores>
42</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>
Week 9 (DET)</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
81.8</TD><TD class=yspscores>
8</TD><TD class=yspscores>
14</TD><TD class=yspscores>
57.1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
108</TD><TD class=yspscores>
108.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
7.7</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
2</TD><TD class=yspscores>
7</TD><TD class=yspscores>
7.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
3.5</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>
Week 11 (@GNB)</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
65.1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
13</TD><TD class=yspscores>
26</TD><TD class=yspscores>
50.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
133</TD><TD class=yspscores>
133.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
5.1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
8</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>
Week 12 (@STL)</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
84.2</TD><TD class=yspscores>
17</TD><TD class=yspscores>
28</TD><TD class=yspscores>
60.7</TD><TD class=yspscores>
132</TD><TD class=yspscores>
132.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
4.7</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
-1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
-1.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
-1.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
6</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>
Week 13 (@MIN)</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
39.1</TD><TD class=yspscores>
11</TD><TD class=yspscores>
29</TD><TD class=yspscores>
37.9</TD><TD class=yspscores>
153</TD><TD class=yspscores>
153.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
5.3</TD><TD class=yspscores>
2</TD><TD class=yspscores>
3</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
3</TD><TD class=yspscores>
28</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
0</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>
2008 Year to Date</TD><TD class=yspscores>
11</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
83.3</TD><TD class=yspscores>
192</TD><TD class=yspscores>
327</TD><TD class=yspscores>
58.7</TD><TD class=yspscores>
2195</TD><TD class=yspscores>
199.5</TD><TD class=yspscores>
6.7</TD><TD class=yspscores>
13</TD><TD class=yspscores>
7</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
15</TD><TD class=yspscores>
44</TD><TD class=yspscores>
4.0</TD><TD class=yspscores>
2.9</TD><TD class=yspscores>
1</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
20</TD><TD class=yspscores>
125</TD><TD> </TD><TD class=yspscores>
5</TD><TD class=yspscores>
4</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Bears lose Dvoracek to kill the run defense when the pass defense was already suffering. Vasher is now done as well . Mathis OUT for Jax....
Lions +10-120 :
The familiar opponent comment by Steve Young just continues to echo in my hollow head ! Mike Furrey being pissed about going on IR makes me wonder do some Lions actually have a Heart ? Does Dan O possible return at QB? The extra rest vs shorter rest ? The near upset @ Minny??
Eagles +7.5 -120 :
Longer rest and less drama actually might pay off here . As many have said in this division a TD is alot to give away ....
Saints -3 buy to -2.5 -120 :
Bengals +14-120
Denver -9.5
Buffalo -1 think Miami close the fav though
SF +4
Boys +3.5 -120 or +3
Carolina -2.5 -120/-125 Locking this is in wont close -3 IMO ..
Ravens -5
Thinking about:
CLE +14 switch to this because wont to see what the CLE defense can do here . (16-7 game ?). CLE is just odd defensively . Why ? So far 5x they allowed 14 or less points and include the 16 and 17 in 2 other games they have only allowed more then 17 pts in 5 games so far . Problem is once you get past 17 the next lowest allowed is 27points.
So 7 of 12 games they allowed 17 or less that means if this happened again we need 3 pts to PUSH . Think CLE will avoid a shutout and pretty certain of that for some reason. Titans before DET were scoring 19 (OT WIN) , 21 , 24 , 13. So really 16 and 13 last home games if we use the regulation score vs GB . Which GB defense has been exposed and NYJ defense has holes . So why couldnt CLE keep them around 17 points ? They did @ Jax , Cincy and Wash. Not great tests but not much seperation either consider ing Jax and Wash potential on the ground .
After losing to NYJ and playing on TV for Turkey Day whats the motivation here ? Decent game @ Tenny next week followed by Pitt and @ Indy . You know Dorsey is starting and just seems like the perfect game to coast and take it easy .
Winslow is OUT and CLE is 2-0 SU when he does NOT PLAY !!! The players to my suprise are rallying around Romeo !!
Funny thing is while it was preseason I thought Dorsey actually looked liek a QB most of the time and probably was the best QB in preseason . Did he figure something out ? Chad Pennington has a weak arm and is a solid NFL QB so why not the former Heisman winner ?
Last start ? 11 pt loss @ Tenny ...it was 2005 but still some familiar names ..
<TABLE class=yspwhitebg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=ysptblthbody1 align=right><TD class=yspdetailttl align=left width="20%" height=18>
Tennessee</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl width="8%">
Tack</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl width="8%">
Ast</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl width="8%">
Sack</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl width="8%">
Yds</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl width="8%">
FFum</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl width="8%">
FumR</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl width="8%">
PD</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl width="8%">
Int</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl width="8%">
Yds</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl width="8%">
IntTD </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD align=left>
K. Bulluck</TD><TD>
7</TD><TD>
5</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
2</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
16</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD align=left>
P. Sirmon</TD><TD>
6</TD><TD>
2</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD align=left>
R. Hill</TD><TD>
6</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
2</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
14</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD align=left>
L. Thompson</TD><TD>
5</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD align=left>
K. Vanden Bosch</TD><TD>
4</TD><TD>
2</TD><TD>
2.0</TD><TD>
5.0</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD align=left>
A. Haynesworth</TD><TD>
4</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD align=left>
A. Woolfolk</TD><TD>
3</TD><TD>
3</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD align=left>
P. Jones</TD><TD>
3</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
3</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD align=left>
T. LaBoy</TD><TD>
2</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD align=left>
R. Boiman</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD align=left>
R. Starks</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD align=left>
R. Reynolds</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD align=left>
T. Williams</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD align=left>
B. Kassell</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
2</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD align=left>
A. Odom</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0.0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
1</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0</TD><TD>
0 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Looking at who Dorsey faced he had some tough teams to face @ NE to end 2004 ..
Think I am a BROWNIE , damn you Joe Public !!
Houston and GB ? NE @ SEA ? STL @ ZONA ??
Those 3 games no opinions now leaning GB and 2 pups flipping to STL possibly in the Zona game ....possibly only:shake:
TOTALS only quick leans really not much research
Under Oakland ?
Under Cleveland?
Over Minnesota ? depends on who QBs Det
Over Bears ?
Over Colts?
Over GB?
Under Denver ?(28-17?)
Under Seattle??
Over Buffalo ?
Under SF 45 lock it in !
1st H over STL?
Under 36 Wash ??
Dig in .......
illow: