Tuesday Discussion Thread
- Thread starter VirginiaCavs
- Start date
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Oh there no chance I’m not playing o’s, Irvin might get tagged but Flaherty pitched for o’s 2ns half last year, once you know Flaherty you should know how to get under his skin and beat him. He has ace stuff but he never had an ace personality or the ability to consistently perform like one. Over might be a good secondary option cause it will certainly be tough for Irvin to get thru lad lineup a second time without damage but thus number just too big not to play O’s.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Might as well look at Flaherty u17.5 outs +115 as well, I truly believe a team that has been around him should easily get a understanding of what he wants to do and what pitches to lay off. He just ain’t that dude, I watched him for several years as cardinal nation all tried convincing me he was a ace. It takes more than world class stuff to be an ace and he has never has the mental makeup to be that guy. O’s taking a few games vs stros and the manner they won I think will install a new confidence in this team. Leeds to another obvious play fo me o’s Ff tt ov 1.5 only -105, they will get 2+ off this guy.
TheDodgers
Pretty much a regular
Won both if the NRFI yesterday. Headed to beach in an about an hour. Last day of beach and drinking. Looking to see if I can find one NRFI possibly.
TheDodgers
Pretty much a regular
2daBank
Voice of Reason
this was one my more embarrassing 1st 5 unders in a long rlomg time. It don’t really matter how they lose but 4-1 after 1st and 8-1 after 2na I felt like a god damn retard harbing that under 4.5!! Thank god Cabrera did his thing! Not cause the money I can afford to take a hit one day but my self confidence might have been totally gone had he got blown up in coors! Him hitting his number then the alt numbers reminded me I can actually do this shit!! lol.
I’m scared to even look to at pitchers or think bout this under. I have no clue how atl scores so much? Their lineup looked like nothing special!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I can’t believe I managed to be up like 76 bucks, still feel like i lost after having 3-4 games/props loss in llikr 15 min to start the night! I didn’t know wtf was goinb on!! I knew all was right with the world when Cabrera did his thing and hit both his alt numbers! How crazy is it my guy is the most inconsistent pain in the ass in baseball but every time he goes to Coors he is filthy?!!!!! If Rox had any sense they be doing everything in there power to get him on their team!!! I’d think he would be cheap!!
Glad it worked out for you brotha, im
Not trying to be your daddy here but stay away from 2 things, scratchers and the side of Casino with the games!! You know how much discipline it took for me to almost never even walk in the vasino side when I was betting everything at the brick and mortar?? Maybe 2-3 times I played some roulette, actually made money and left real quick 2 of them! But every dollar you bet over there is less you could be making on one these soft props!! I remember after I got out of prison and had a real job trying to make wife happy one night I went to casino and dropped I dunno something like 1800. Before prison that shit didn’t matter it was drug money and I made a lot so who cares I drop 5-10k all the time. Anyways this was different cause I worked hard for thar mimey. I was so pissed off at myself all way home I did the math in my head how long I would have to stop smoking to pay off what I lost, came out to like a year and 4 months. I didn’t smoke a cig for a year and 4 months. Day it was over I bought a carton!! ((How dumb am I not to just quit ar that point!), anyways that was my big on leaening self discipline years and figuring out a punishment for throwing that money away before I got home was only thing that stopped me from either walking down street punching windows in cars out or going back to selling drugs the next day to get it back!! I guess ppl are right I am one fuvked up Mfer!!
Wish we woulda alt prop miller also, I knew after 2 innings he was gonna punch out 10!!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Damn, they had JV ov 4.5 k’s last night, wrote it down but not like I was driving across river at night to jump on his 2nd game back, good chance I woulda played but see he up to 5.5 now at plus money so I’ll still take a look. Tempted to play stris also if bregs and Yordan play
2daBank
Voice of Reason
We already losing money on some the things I brought up last night. Cards Ff tt u 1.5 was +105 now -105. I have no clue if I should be in a hurry to go grab it or if maybe it move back? Im the worst at predicting where these prop lines will move, 80% the time I’m baffled by which way they go but I’m usually the one who right! Predicting which way full game ml’s will move didn’t used to be hard I usually knew when one of those would move a bunch one way or other but I never found it very predictive, matter a fact there were several years I was betting overnights and it sure seemed like anytime I beat a close by 20 cents or more I lost like 70 freaking percent so needless to say I stopped betting overnights ?
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Think I like brewers pitcher Tobias whatever to go over his out total. The thing is I watched him pitch in stl and I kinda ageee with the analytics on him he pitching over his head, if cardinals offense wasn’t a bunch of broken down losers they would have easily score 4-5 off him!!! That said giants lineup isn’t that good and they have a tendency to let mediocre rhp go pretty deep in games against them so this one has potential. Guess I should actually do some math before betting it tho! Lol
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Mfer, I done cleaned up the house, took quick shower, made another stop on way to casino and nobody has posted anything else yet?!?!??? You guys trying to do me like 2 years ago when this thread was pretty much me talking to myself?!?!?! So many ya’ll stepped up this year on days I couldn’t post cause the wife stuff but when I ready to rock and roll not a peep???
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I'm actually gonna try today. Think I crashed at 5am and woke up at 7 so there's that
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
Day 2, called out of work, (and I work remote) so you can imagine what that means. Just woke up, sore as fuck, head is in a fog. Hopefully this coffee helps and will try to dig in with ya.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Call log says I did 15+ minutes with 8 different people last night and I know I'm three naps into the day so I'm either fired up or flaming out again
Sunday night might have ruined me for a couple days
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Did a couple hours in 108 heat on Sunday before the concert debauchle so still in recovery mode. Not burned at least!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I called out of work 3-4 years ago when I decided I thought I could do this full time! Matter fact don’t think I even called
That not totally accurate cause I have a partner e a concrete business just does driveways and porches, shit like that, and I can and usually do help him do few things a week, less when it hot, lol, and less lately cause Theresa but at some point I couldn’t stomach how much my money the punk government took like I was rich taking fucking 400 and leave me 800 on a normal week!! I can do 2 jobs that might take 4-6 hours and take home at least same in cash if not more! Fucjing unions are only good for dumb lazy ppl, they fuck ppl who are good at the job and can know what they worth!! So I don’t get insurance or pension, my wife job gives me insurance (not sure after she dies, lol), my pension is stuffed in bags hidden around house! Lol
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I actually thought you smoked weed for a livingI called out of work 3-4 years ago when I decided I thought I could do this full time! Matter fact don’t think I even called
That not totally accurate cause I have a partner e a concrete business just does driveways and porches, shit like that, and I can and usually do help him do few things a week, less when it hot, lol, and less lately cause Theresa but at some point I couldn’t stomach how much my money the punk government took like I was rich taking fucking 400 and leave me 800 on a normal week!! I can do 2 jobs that might take 4-6 hours and take home at least same in cash if not more! Fucjing unions are only good for dumb lazy ppl, they fuck ppl who are good at the job and can know what they worth!! So I don’t get insurance or pension, my wife job gives me insurance (not sure after she dies, lol), my pension is stuffed in bags hidden around house! Lol
2daBank
Voice of Reason
So I’m sold on Tobias Meyers, or at least sold he can get outs on the giants offense.
Meyers ov 15.5 outs -110
The juice in JV k’s was nuts on over 4.5k’s. I thought he looked stronger as his 1st start went, there a chance his second start don’t go great in Philly band box but there also a chance he looks good., could pay -175 so I did
Jv 6+ k’s +125
Think o’s Ff tt ov 1.5 gonna go up get it while it cheap
O’s Ff tt ov 1.5
Meyers ov 15.5 outs -110
The juice in JV k’s was nuts on over 4.5k’s. I thought he looked stronger as his 1st start went, there a chance his second start don’t go great in Philly band box but there also a chance he looks good., could pay -175 so I did
Jv 6+ k’s +125
Think o’s Ff tt ov 1.5 gonna go up get it while it cheap
O’s Ff tt ov 1.5
2daBank
Voice of Reason
That as far off as my bald assumption bout you! I don’t even smoke, I eat gummies! Amd very small doses, I’ve smoked maybe 4 stains in my life that didn’t paranoid me. I’ve never been big on weed high, I’m learning micro dosing is nice for me. I’ve always love weed, trafficked weed, though lots of ppl had much better lives w weed. Love the way it looks, smells. But unfortunately for me it’s the hard drugs that make me functional! I dunno how ppl smoked and work! I couldn’t even smoke when I did landscaping and that job like made for pot heads!! lol. Not me tho, I had to have addy in morning (I learned much smarter to do prescription speed than meth! lol) , oxy during day to make me happy and keep me working my ass off, zanny ar night to go to sleep. Or what I used to call the hitler diet. I wish weed did it but I can maybe smoke and watch movie but I can’t get any life shit done or work!! The eating it in small doses has been good tho, keeps me off the opiates which I prefer, I mean I’m still gonna snort one her oxy every now and then cause I’m a drug addict! (Just a functional one not a piece of shit that gives drugs bad name!), but overall the opiates will own ya if you let them. I was very cocky bout cause I a control freak but even I let it get away after she got sick, I’m back under control now tho, that where the small doses of weed come in!
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
When it became legal here I lost interest lol
Haven't smoked in maybe 3 years and dispensaries are everywhere. I see what it does to chicks, they don't remember last night conversation so not my thing.
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
DET FF -0.5 -118
KC FF +0.5 -110
OAK/CIN o9.5 -105 @ FD
Gerrit Cole records Win -125 (feel like this is an easier, cheaper way of betting NYY FF RL, at -1.5) never bet it before, we'll see. Won his last 3 starts.
Corbin u15.5 outs -20
ATL/MIN FF u4.5 -128
SD FF -0.5 -110
KC FF +0.5 -110
OAK/CIN o9.5 -105 @ FD
Gerrit Cole records Win -125 (feel like this is an easier, cheaper way of betting NYY FF RL, at -1.5) never bet it before, we'll see. Won his last 3 starts.
Corbin u15.5 outs -20
ATL/MIN FF u4.5 -128
SD FF -0.5 -110
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I guess since you still feeling rough we will let you slide without some kinda commentary as to why we playing these!! Dont ever say im not a nice guy!!
If you can pull yourself together for just a min I would kinda like to hear thoughts on the under in minny since I’ve pretty much ignored both those pitchers all year,
And I get the Corbin under outs but where do you have him? My concern is nats know coming in he prob give up 5-6 runs I doubt he has a quick hook and vet lefties have given yanks a little trouble recently, a few of them in Bomx bandbox, here id think long as he can stay away from the 2 giants from right side id think he can keep ball in park vs rest of lineup, gotta think he will have much longer leash long as he doesn’t have a inning where he simply can’t get outs.
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
Just think the Yanks line up is operating differently now with Stanton in there, and finding life at the top with Gleyber hitting lead off. Corbin has nothing to sneak outs from the middle of this line up IMO.
The ATL/MIN under is just a play on both pitchers having electric stuff and neither team seeing it, and a reverse from yesterday's output.
DET FF is a play of a few of their lefties being able to snag a few off Cueto's crap, Kerry Carpenter, etc.
3 out of last 4 starts for Williams have not been great, and he struggles vs righties. Lorenzen had no trouble navigating similar/same line up earlier this year.
Lodolo has no trouble giving up runs at home, and Mitch Spence hasn't shut down much of anyone on the road
SD/STL are completely different teams going in completely different directions. Mikolas as you called out last week, snuck out with a houdini act against the Brewers, that is not going to happen against SD, period.
Corbin was able to navigate SF and COL line ups for 6 innings for example, but didn't make it past 4 innings against PHI and LAA, last few outings. Not sure how he goes past 5 against this line up either.
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peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
Fri and Saturday involved a lot of those... and I think that is contributing to the complete destruction of my immune system right now. Wife is making that lemon ginger drink, which seems to help a lot during these times. She's a gem. Hope you can make it for the games later, fun card tonight.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Look at my going above and beyond while sick! Royce Lewis and Buxton could learn a thing from your work ethic! Then again if I was able to get some sucker to give me a contract that says I get all my money no matter what they have a real hard time finding me when it was time for work also!! That shit on the owners and gm’s, and once again those damn unions I was talking bout! I understand the usefulness cause most ppl to gutless to get theirs alone and stand on merit but then it just breeds and rewards cock suckers like these who can only be bothered to show up for work 60% the time at best! With a job that only requires 162 days to begin with! And not even that long of days!!! Better believe if the baseball union wasn’t so strong owners would find a way not to pay these bums and im all for it!!
Totally agree w pads, I have the ml in several parlays and will look at Ff tt before I go back. Mikolas might have got a Ff push against the trash brewers but he ain’t shutting down pads lineup. I considered cards Ff tt u1.5 but it so fucking hot I don’t want to back king or any pitcher here today.
I agree bout yanks lineup but just saying Freeland who another grizzly lefty vet that doesn’t exactly possess big time stuff was able to hold them down for 5+. I agree he has to keep guys off bases in front of judge and Stanton but honestly like I was saying I think he has a long leash here, nats gotta know he giving up 4-6 runs, bringing the pen in early isn’t gonna make things much better!! Just not sure, I think you woulda been better off playing yanks Ff tt ov 2.5 even at -140, I can’t imagine any world where Corbin fails to go 5.1 but yanks don’t have 3+.,
Do both those pitchers in minny have real good stuff? I seriously hwnt capped or watched either one, that interesting I’ll check them out, I really don’t look at Braves lineup anything like the powerhouse it once was so of course they hang 9 in 2 innings against a solid pitcher!! I would like to get my money back there tho!
Williams has the stuff he just seems like he hasn’t learned how to consistently use his arsonal effectively. You would think they get him right in cle! He really needs a 3rd pitch he trust and can get swings and misses with, to often he fastball/curve, unless you Spencer strider not gonna be able to consistently get thru big league lineups multiple times without a 3rd offering.
Lodolo hasn’t been good even games he has his best stuff he finds ways to give up runs,
Gl buddy
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
NYM/AZ FF o4.5 -118
Total has gone over 65% of the time in AZ this season. AZ seen Manaea once already and lit him up. Strong correlation of runs scored vs each hand here. Mets can hit Pfaadt's pitch mix well.
Game over 8.5 seems like a real certainty. Mets line up plays very well into Pfaadt's mix.
Total has gone over 65% of the time in AZ this season. AZ seen Manaea once already and lit him up. Strong correlation of runs scored vs each hand here. Mets can hit Pfaadt's pitch mix well.
Game over 8.5 seems like a real certainty. Mets line up plays very well into Pfaadt's mix.
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peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
Appreciate the follow up thoughts on my sickly plays lol... The Corbin thing is, I can see the Yanks smacking him 65-70% of the time, and that's enough for me.
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
Whats the juice on that though? Gotta be like -165?
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
OK, finally just woke up in my bed after a few sofa naps so ready to light this candle.
Final dream was in a drive thru at McD's and ordered 16 quarter pounders...but ordered them as 4 lbs of beef and they didn't like that. Called the cops to escort me home. And of course the cop that drove me home was eating a quarter pounder. Dreams have been hilarious lately. I was Mormon in one of them.
Final dream was in a drive thru at McD's and ordered 16 quarter pounders...but ordered them as 4 lbs of beef and they didn't like that. Called the cops to escort me home. And of course the cop that drove me home was eating a quarter pounder. Dreams have been hilarious lately. I was Mormon in one of them.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I just looked at Corbin vs yanks, collectively they own a .750 slug vs him! What’s crazy is the biggest offender has been DJ Lemehiue who has 22 hits, 6 of the bombs and 3 triples in 50 something at bats!! Corbin has actually handled judge and Soto in much smaller sample but still crazy. Stanton has good numbers and Glaybor has smashed him also.
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
Without looking, Yanks seemed to have played down to opponents this year, so maybe they fall asleep here.. not sure. But you're right about leaving Corbin in even if he's getting smashed, certainly wouldn't be the first time. He's been their punching bag for awhile.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
If I dreamed some shit like that I be going to that temple in that dumb Leo movie inception! You never to wake me up! Of course if it was my dream I woulda got out the cop car and slapped him silly for eating my burger then I woulda fucked his wife (told ya this no pussy thing killing me!).
2daBank
Voice of Reason
That my only concern, obviously if he runs into a inning where he just can’t get off the field they have no choice I could just sss a world where he is going into this game already knowing they need 5+ out of him regardless. They have seen a crazy number of lefties in a row which id think helps your cause, I can’t remember if Fox started any rhp over weekend, I don’t think so, now this 2nd in row vs nats. Odd situation as I can’t remember last time a team saw 5+ lefties in a row. They should feast off them cause Soto doesn’t have any problem handling lhp and I’m sure Stanton, DJ , Volpe should all have bigger numbers vs lhp, just a guess tho I didn’t look.
peelpub94
More Guards Than Shawshank
Jazz his hit him too, HR, 2 hits
