Tuesday 01/20/15 NBA discussion thread

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The Spurs can suck my manhood
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[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL BASKETBALL - TUE 1/20[/h][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MORE[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Tue 1/20[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]501[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Oklahoma City Thunder[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-7.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.312[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 199 1.943[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]502[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Miami Heat[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+7.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 3.810[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 199 1.961[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Tue 1/20[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]503[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]San Antonio Spurs[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-8 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.270[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 203.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]06:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]504[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Denver Nuggets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+8 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 4.220[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 203.5 1.952[/TD]
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Luol Deng (illness) missed this morning’s team shootaround and is listed as questionable for tonight’s #HEATgame vs OKC.
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) January 20, 2015
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Dwyane Wade (hamstring) went through this morning’s team shootaround and remains questionable for tonight’s #HEATgame vs OKC.
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) January 20, 2015
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Killer Sports had an 0-10 ATS trend for Nuggets and a 0-10 ATS trend for Miami. 7 point teaser to just lock it up is certainly possible but will think about it more
 
I like the way OKC matches up here.

Got Serge down low to cover Bosh and Deng even at 100% would struggle with Durants length/speed. Who exactly is gonna guard Russell for Miami? Rio, Shabazz? Cole aint that bad of a defender, but still....

Gonna be tough for Miami to match that speed and athleticism esp coming back off a long west coast trip.
 
was almost back to even for the nba then took it in the nuts yesterday..... that memphis total still stings...

okc game over 199 - medium
spurs 1h over 97 - xl
 
Found 2 props I like tonight. Would like your guys thoughts on them.

KD Over 2.5 3point Goals -110
T Parker Over 18.5 pts+ast -105
 
twardowki did everything he could in the 2nd and 3rd quarters to get that game over. Without his constant whistle blowing , that game doesn't sniff 180 points

I expected a lot of free throws, but more from memphis..... Their efficiency sucked - Conley 1st game back from injury (which i forgot) and learning to play Green off of Gasol in the 4th - Green had open looks (as did C. Lee) but when your 2 and 3 shoot a combined 10-28 (1-11 from 3 - team 3-22) your not going to score enough points..
 
Found 2 props I like tonight. Would like your guys thoughts on them.

KD Over 2.5 3point Goals -110
T Parker Over 18.5 pts+ast -105
The thing about the Parker prop is that he hasn't really been logging major minutes since his return from injury (looks like around 24, 25 MIN a night), so you're asking for a fair amount of production within a (potentially) condensed timeframe. On top of that, he's only gone over 18.5 once in the seven games since his return (12.6 AVG), so unless the minutes go up, it might be a tough ask.

Admittedly, his lifetime scoring average vs. the Nuggets is 16.2 PPG (although that dipped to 12.7 in the 3 games last season) and you would expect a fast pace in this one, so you never know. Just have to be wary of a blowout either way, as Pop obviously won't hesitate to sit him.

Good luck.
 
The thing about the Parker prop is that he hasn't really been logging major minutes since his return from injury (looks like around 24, 25 MIN a night), so you're asking for a fair amount of production within a (potentially) condensed timeframe. On top of that, he's only gone over 18.5 once in the seven games since his return (12.6 AVG), so unless the minutes go up, it might be a tough ask.

Admittedly, his lifetime scoring average vs. the Nuggets is 16.2 PPG (although that dipped to 12.7 in the 3 games last season) and you would expect a fast pace in this one, so you never know. Just have to be wary of a blowout either way, as Pop obviously won't hesitate to sit him.

Good luck.

solid points
 
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