time to post my week 4 card so far

alan.. I hope you are right. I am a horns fan so I really just want to avoid the polish fan middle of ok st winning but not covering
 
Add

VT/ECU under 52

I occasionally like to take my chances on what loks like a good weather under situation and 10-13 mph winds in the rain forecast a day from the event qualifies.
 
Alan Tongue said:
If Riley was still coach than this would be a good spot for the Beavers. He always had them up when a big team came to town and they played for him. Don't think Andersen has it in him yet

Not sure the status of Hogan (haven't looked).
Click to expand...

:nonofinger:
 
clowncar said:
Some of my bad lines are just painful.
Click to expand...

Tell me about it. I picked a few good ones but some of my bad ones are so bad that it has me wondering if playing these opening lines are really in my best interests. If nothing else I just need to flat out get better.

Seeing BYU +7, Okie St. -3, UCLA -3, GT -7 straight up hurts.
 
clowncar said:
alan.. I hope you are right. I am a horns fan so I really just want to avoid the polish fan middle of ok st winning but not covering
Click to expand...

It's funny that I called those rare occasions when I had to back off a play at a worse number a "Polish Middle" for many years before I knew that that was the commonly accepted slang for that situation, lol.

BOL this week, and remember that confidence has nothing to do with winning at sports betting -- otherwise 95%+ of all sports bettors would be winners. :fingerscrossed:
 
p unit - cheers
cub - hehe you aren't impressed yet?
phife - ya a polish middle usually refers to the lay 4 take 2 situation. You do alright i have a feeling.
blood- best of luck, as always.
 
[TABLE="width: 1269"]
<colgroup><col><col><col><col><col><col><col span="4"><col></colgroup><tbody>[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]ctg posted only[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Investment[/TD]
[TD]In [/TD]
[TD]Current/Close[/TD]
[TD]Variance[/TD]
[TD]Final Score[/TD]
[TD]Result[/TD]
[TD]Win[/TD]
[TD]Loss [/TD]
[TD]Tie[/TD]
[TD]Notes[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[TD]Kansas +13[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]14[/TD]
[TD]-1[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2[/TD]
[TD]App St -7[/TD]
[TD]-7[/TD]
[TD]-8[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[TD]Ok St -5[/TD]
[TD]-5[/TD]
[TD]-3[/TD]
[TD]-2[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]cal favorite over okst neutral? No. Don't get it.[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD]Tcu -7 [/TD]
[TD]-7[/TD]
[TD]-6[/TD]
[TD]-1[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD]ga southern -16[/TD]
[TD]-16[/TD]
[TD]-16[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]6[/TD]
[TD]nevada +2[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD]ball st 18.5[/TD]
[TD]18.5[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]-1.5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]8[/TD]
[TD]auburn -2.5[/TD]
[TD]-2.5[/TD]
[TD]-3[/TD]
[TD]0.5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]9[/TD]
[TD]Boston College -4[/TD]
[TD]-4[/TD]
[TD]-4.5[/TD]
[TD]0.5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]10[/TD]
[TD]Fresno st 5.5[/TD]
[TD]5.5[/TD]
[TD]4.5[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]11[/TD]
[TD]Bearcats +10[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]7.5[/TD]
[TD]2.5[/TD]
[TD]cin 46 mem 53[/TD]
[TD]winner[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]GK injured/out first qtr, offense couldn't be better with him[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]12[/TD]
[TD]FAU -10 -115[/TD]
[TD]-10[/TD]
[TD]-10.5[/TD]
[TD]0.5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]13[/TD]
[TD]Navy -6.5[/TD]
[TD]-6.5[/TD]
[TD]-7[/TD]
[TD]0.5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]2nd time facing option[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]14[/TD]
[TD]Army/EMU over 55.5 (sigh)[/TD]
[TD]-55.5[/TD]
[TD]-56.5[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]15[/TD]
[TD]Rice 35.5[/TD]
[TD]35.5[/TD]
[TD]34.5[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]16[/TD]
[TD]ten/flor under 53.5[/TD]
[TD]53.5[/TD]
[TD]48[/TD]
[TD]5.5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]17[/TD]
[TD]moh/wku under 67.5[/TD]
[TD]67.5[/TD]
[TD]67[/TD]
[TD]0.5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]18[/TD]
[TD]umass/ndame over 56.5[/TD]
[TD]-56.5[/TD]
[TD]-59[/TD]
[TD]2.5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]19[/TD]
[TD]csu/utsa over 58.5[/TD]
[TD]-58.5[/TD]
[TD]-57[/TD]
[TD]-1.5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]20[/TD]
[TD]cal/wash under 61[/TD]
[TD]61[/TD]
[TD]60[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]21[/TD]
[TD]tosu/western mich over 58[/TD]
[TD]-58[/TD]
[TD]-61[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]22[/TD]
[TD]Indiana -3.5[/TD]
[TD]-3.5[/TD]
[TD]-3[/TD]
[TD]-0.5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]impatient?[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]23[/TD]
[TD]ga southern/Idaho over 68.5[/TD]
[TD]-68.5[/TD]
[TD]-65.5[/TD]
[TD]-3[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]2nd time facing option[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]24[/TD]
[TD]Arkansas State/Toledo over 57.5[/TD]
[TD]-57.5[/TD]
[TD]-61[/TD]
[TD]3.5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]25[/TD]
[TD]VT/ECU under 52[/TD]
[TD]52[/TD]
[TD]52[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
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[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
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[TR]
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[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
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[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Total Variance[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 3"]Weekly Record[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Average Variance[/TD]
[TD]0.64[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100.0%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
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[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 3"]Previous Record[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]54[/TD]
[TD]39[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]58.1%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
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[TD][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 3"]Overall Record[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]55[/TD]
[TD]39[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]58.5%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
It's not as bad as I thought on the line movement. I guess I just focused on a few of them.

The Ok State one I really just thought I could get down on them and decide later what to do with my minus 6.5/7 or more. I didn't have a love for it. I debated with a few guys on the pr relationship between Cal and Ok St. .... they were right and i was wrong apparently. So it goes ... though maybe it moves up on gameday.



I just cannot for the life of me understand money on idaho and under. It makes no sense to me ... pretty sure I will have a half pt the best of that one by kickoff on the side ... I mean I can make a case for any ga southern covers in a high scoring game (which i think happens), idaho covers in a high scoring game, or even ga southern covers in a lower scoring game... i can't came up with the scenario where ga southern doesnt score other than fumbles (and i am not wasting my time worrying about that).

I probably should have been more patient in regards to Indiana. I could have probably found a 3.5 somewhere after it started moving to 3's. .... which brings me to another dilemma I sometimes run into. I just bet when i think something is good and figure over the long haul that they are going to move the lines closer to my numbers. And it seems to work good .. and I do try to couple that with some market predicting. But sometimes i just fire at the line ... and i think maybe with a team like kansas that no one wants to back, it might have been wiser to just wait .... I can't be upset with the process as a whole but i think it could be fine tuned to be a little bit better.
 
he's also a QB injury and a lucky 4th qtr away from being an awful 1-2 instead of an unfortunate 1-2
 
What do you say, or has anyone discussed before, about doing a 'dollar cost average' or whatever they call it in the investment world when buying or selling?

If you like a game for say 2u, maybe you put some or half your amount in at open, and the remainder or another portion as the lines move, which might be in your favor or the other way?

They say nobody can time the market when buying and selling equities, it seems equally hard to do when playing pointspreads. I guess the difference is if you trust your numbers and PRs you expect to beat the market on the spreads. But you can lock some portion of the wager in early and then wait to see if your read is accurate?

I don't know, just wondering if anyone plays like this. I bet with a local 30 min before the first game, so it isn't an option for me. But when i was in Vegas I would place bets 3-4 times on the same team throughout the week to ensure I got some of the good numbers rather than getting stuck with less desirable numbers.
 
s--k said:
What do you say, or has anyone discussed before, about doing a 'dollar cost average' or whatever they call it in the investment world when buying or selling?

If you like a game for say 2u, maybe you put some or half your amount in at open, and the remainder or another portion as the lines move, which might be in your favor or the other way?

They say nobody can time the market when buying and selling equities, it seems equally hard to do when playing pointspreads. I guess the difference is if you trust your numbers and PRs you expect to beat the market on the spreads. But you can lock some portion of the wager in early and then wait to see if your read is accurate?

I don't know, just wondering if anyone plays like this. I bet with a local 30 min before the first game, so it isn't an option for me. But when i was in Vegas I would place bets 3-4 times on the same team throughout the week to ensure I got some of the good numbers rather than getting stuck with less desirable numbers.
Click to expand...
We should start a thread with this, would lead to great discussion.
 
s--k said:
What do you say, or has anyone discussed before, about doing a 'dollar cost average' or whatever they call it in the investment world when buying or selling?

If you like a game for say 2u, maybe you put some or half your amount in at open, and the remainder or another portion as the lines move, which might be in your favor or the other way?

They say nobody can time the market when buying and selling equities, it seems equally hard to do when playing pointspreads. I guess the difference is if you trust your numbers and PRs you expect to beat the market on the spreads. But you can lock some portion of the wager in early and then wait to see if your read is accurate?

I don't know, just wondering if anyone plays like this. I bet with a local 30 min before the first game, so it isn't an option for me. But when i was in Vegas I would place bets 3-4 times on the same team throughout the week to ensure I got some of the good numbers rather than getting stuck with less desirable numbers.
Click to expand...

If they are not moving in our favor a majority of the time, then we are not doing good work and it doesn't matter what we do. If we are dollar cost averaging, theoretically we can only do that with the ones that are moving against us (sort of). If we are doing it on those games that move against us we are getting more invested on our least valuable plays. I am not a huge fan of playing back into my good investments while laying five or ten cents juice either.
 
Even in the market .. it is tough to Dollar Cost Average over the course of a seven day period before mandatory fruition of the investment.
 
But I probably shouldn't answer that way before giving it a lot more thought SK... which I haven't.
 
clowncar said:
If they are not moving in our favor a majority of the time, then we are not doing good work and it doesn't matter what we do. If we are dollar cost averaging, theoretically we can only do that with the ones that are moving against us (sort of). If we are doing it on those games that move against us we are getting more invested on our least valuable plays. I am not a huge fan of playing back into my good investments while laying five or ten cents juice either.
Click to expand...
I love this response and feel the same. If I have the best number, I don't think it's wise to go back for more unless your pr still has that number value. I have no problem going back for 2nds or 3rdS if confident in my pr for that game and now getting a better number, as well as live (big part of my game), or even 2H.
 
My perspective is a little different since all my bets are done on gameday. So I grab what I think is a good number as soon as I can, or put half my total amount on it early, then watch and see what it moves like later, either hoping for movement in my favor or getting the rest of the wager in after the numbers have moved.

I know it is totally different with everyone who bets on opening numbers and early in the week. Perhaps 3/4 of the total wager would go on open and the last 1/4 would be determined by line movement which may go on your favor.

Last week I was rewarded by waiting on Ole Miss, UTEP until closer to kickoff. UTEP went from 3 to 2.5 which obviously is the difference between pushing and winning. I also waited on Pitt, Colorado and San Jose hoping for better numbers (I lost value on both Pitt and SJ), which those went 1-1-1 and neither of the early or later number would've mattered, unless somehow CU would've dropped to 2.5 (don't think it ever did last Saturday), if I had bet CU earlier at 3 early in the day and it closed at 2.5 I'd be upset pushing when I could've won. I will sometimes put a .5u on a game early and then withhold another.5u later in case the line moves in my favor. I guess since I've been betting like this for 20 years I am used to waiting and seeing if I can get a better number later on gameday than earlier.

Of course if you can grab a dog at +8 on Sunday and it closes towards 6 than the point of doing this hurts the cause.
 
Iowa State was another game I waited until kickoff on and got 7 when it was 6.5 earlier that day. Again though, if somebody had 7.5 from earlier in the week then waiting made no sense pushing when the 7.5 would've won.

Maybe it is more valuable to withhold some portion of the wager if the line is around a key number as a half pt here or there can help considerably in the long run.
 
Thanks all.

Adding two more and understand these are barely qualifying for me and I have gone back and forth about playing them all week.

GT -7 -115
LSU -24
 
clowncar said:
Thanks all.

Adding two more and understand these are barely qualifying for me and I have gone back and forth about playing them all week.

GT -7 -115
LSU -24
Click to expand...
hope u didnt follow my ass on these two losers, but the worse loss of the day was Tenn :enraged:
 
B.A.R. said:
Woah! I think I just saw a ghost.

From the UM side..

Some are very optimistic this week having seen the gradual improvements.

The same people are prolly optimistic after the Taysom injury without really knowing about the backup.

Others are freaking out about Rudock(6 turns in 3 games).

Very interesting game...all situational aspects point UM way.

Good to see ya sir.
Click to expand...

Nice to see ya BAR. Hope you cashed in on that ass kicking today. I certainly enjoyed watching it.
 
A few games under .500 for the week. I had a bad feeling all week about it. Not horribly handicapped though so that part wasn't too bad. Not much in the way of good breaks. Some bad plays like Fresno State, the Toledo over, and lsu ... and vt/ecu. Thing with VT/ECU is that it was a weather play and they played in horrible weather, it is just that the weather was not as horrible as the defenses were. Probably four to six boxscores that make it hard to believe I couldn't cash .. Boston College (gave up around 150 yards to niu but gave up a kickoff return td late after a fg), Oklahoma state (had a 27-11 first down edge and maybe 200ish more yards?), and so on yesterday ... the under in the florida/vols game was hard to take. FAU held charlotte offense scoreless but couldn't score but ten offensive of their own... against charlotte defense ... no charlotte. Ga southern and Idaho settled for too many fg's .. the yardage is there for the total. Box score will say tcu was the right play but I know better because I watched the game. Dukes defense dominated GTECH .. got a kick return td and kick return to the 1 and that kept gt out of it most of the game. Kansas lost their starting qb in the first half . plenty olf blown chances by Rutgers to put them away and plenty of chances by Kansas to backdoor ...

bad numbers on Kansas and ok st did in fact come back to haunt. Tough week. I have work today and am not handicapping so I will see you all on Monday.
 
CC watched the whole VT game as a VT fan. That game reminded me of a couple years ago when I bet the Over in a Eagles/Lions game and when I turned the TV on it was Static White with snow. Everyone was laughing at me and shit haha. They scored nearly 60 points that game because the conditions were so bad they favored the offense. Kind of felt the same here. The defenses couldnt plant or anything to make tackles. VT also had like 3 interceptions they dropped in the rain. Ugly ugly game
 
ksimpsc said:
CC watched the whole VT game as a VT fan. That game reminded me of a couple years ago when I bet the Over in a Eagles/Lions game and when I turned the TV on it was Static White with snow. Everyone was laughing at me and shit haha. They scored nearly 60 points that game because the conditions were so bad they favored the offense. Kind of felt the same here. The defenses couldnt plant or anything to make tackles. VT also had like 3 interceptions they dropped in the rain. Ugly ugly game
Click to expand...


The wind was really, really bad too. You could actually see the ball moving because of it. Did you see the catch in the third quarter by the ecu guy for the Td. Amazing play by that young man, unfortunately. I believe it was on fourth down too .. felt like if that fell incomplete that the thing still stood a shot despite the first half barrage but nope.
 
[TABLE="class: mod-data"]
<thead>[TR="class: header"]
[TH]Matchup[/TH]
[TH]
i
[/TH]
[TH]
i
[/TH]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody>[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]1st Downs[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]3rd down efficiency[/TD]
[TD]4-12[/TD]
[TD]4-14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]4th down efficiency[/TD]
[TD]0-1[/TD]
[TD]0-0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Total Yards[/TD]
[TD]326[/TD]
[TD]389[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Passing[/TD]
[TD]270[/TD]
[TD]188[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Comp-Att[/TD]
[TD]29-41[/TD]
[TD]20-28[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Yards per pass[/TD]
[TD]6.6[/TD]
[TD]5.9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Interceptions thrown[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Rushing[/TD]
[TD]56[/TD]
[TD]201[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Rushing Attempts[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]50[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Yards per rush[/TD]
[TD]2.7[/TD]
[TD]4.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Penalties[/TD]
[TD]4-30[/TD]
[TD]6-40[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Turnovers[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Fumbles lost[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Interceptions thrown[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Possession[/TD]
[TD]23:50[/TD]
[TD]36:10[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Auburn blew too many scoring chances to win the game. Box score may be a bit deceiving in Auburn's favor as Miss St had no impetus to be aggressive the entire second half of the game. Not a horrible investment but certainly not a good one in retrospect.

Grade C-/D+
 
[TABLE="class: mod-data"]
<thead>[TR="class: header"]
[TH]Matchup[/TH]
[TH]
i
[/TH]
[TH]
i
[/TH]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody>[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]1st Downs[/TD]
[TD]27[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]3rd down efficiency[/TD]
[TD]9-17[/TD]
[TD]4-16[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]4th down efficiency[/TD]
[TD]0-0[/TD]
[TD]1-2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Total Yards[/TD]
[TD]395[/TD]
[TD]290[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Passing[/TD]
[TD]292[/TD]
[TD]119[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Comp-Att[/TD]
[TD]24-36[/TD]
[TD]9-17[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Yards per pass[/TD]
[TD]7.5[/TD]
[TD]5.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Interceptions thrown[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Rushing[/TD]
[TD]103[/TD]
[TD]171[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Rushing Attempts[/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD]42[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Yards per rush[/TD]
[TD]2.2[/TD]
[TD]4.1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Penalties[/TD]
[TD]7-40[/TD]
[TD]16-128[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Turnovers[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Fumbles lost[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Interceptions thrown[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Possession[/TD]
[TD]34:07[/TD]
[TD]25:53[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Ok State was the correct side. Two defensive TD's for Horns and the dropped punt snap by Texas hurt the wager too. They had a little less of a yardage advantage than I thought (and posted about above) but I would certainly take them again if given the opportunity.

Grade B+
 
[TABLE="class: mod-data"]
<thead>[TR="class: header"]
[TH]Matchup[/TH]
[TH]
i
[/TH]
[TH]
i
[/TH]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody>[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]1st Downs[/TD]
[TD]38[/TD]
[TD]32[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]3rd down efficiency[/TD]
[TD]11-19[/TD]
[TD]7-15[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]4th down efficiency[/TD]
[TD]1-1[/TD]
[TD]2-3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Total Yards[/TD]
[TD]750[/TD]
[TD]607[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Passing[/TD]
[TD]503[/TD]
[TD]392[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Comp-Att[/TD]
[TD]35-56[/TD]
[TD]25-45[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Yards per pass[/TD]
[TD]9.0[/TD]
[TD]8.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Interceptions thrown[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Rushing[/TD]
[TD]247[/TD]
[TD]215[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Rushing Attempts[/TD]
[TD]47[/TD]
[TD]39[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Yards per rush[/TD]
[TD]5.3[/TD]
[TD]5.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Penalties[/TD]
[TD]10-110[/TD]
[TD]3-32[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Turnovers[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Fumbles lost[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Interceptions thrown[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Possession[/TD]
[TD]34:57[/TD]
[TD]25:03[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
The boxscore says TCU was the right play, especially if you subtract out the "hail mary=pitch yards". They failed to finish a couple drives and missed some chip shot field goals. With that said, I watched that game (isn't football imo) and never felt that TCU would cover the 7 points at any moment in the game. The backdoor would have been so wide open that it would boggle the mind even if they had been covering late. Still 143 yard edge and closer to 200 in reality because of that last weird pitch play... so hard to say it was an awful investment.

Grade C-
 
[TABLE="class: mod-data"]
<thead>[TR="class: header"]
[TH]Matchup[/TH]
[TH]
i
[/TH]
[TH]
i
[/TH]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody>[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]1st Downs[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]3rd down efficiency[/TD]
[TD]3-14[/TD]
[TD]7-19[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]4th down efficiency[/TD]
[TD]0-1[/TD]
[TD]0-0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Total Yards[/TD]
[TD]153[/TD]
[TD]326[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Passing[/TD]
[TD]81[/TD]
[TD]92[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Comp-Att[/TD]
[TD]11-25[/TD]
[TD]5-14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Yards per pass[/TD]
[TD]3.0[/TD]
[TD]6.1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Interceptions thrown[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Rushing[/TD]
[TD]72[/TD]
[TD]234[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Rushing Attempts[/TD]
[TD]31[/TD]
[TD]63[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Yards per rush[/TD]
[TD]2.3[/TD]
[TD]3.7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Penalties[/TD]
[TD]7-45[/TD]
[TD]5-55[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Turnovers[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Fumbles lost[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: indent"]
[TD]Interceptions thrown[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: highlight"]
[TD]Possession[/TD]
[TD]22:09[/TD]
[TD]37:51[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
If any game hurt me yesterday it was boston college. Up mid fourth they had a first and goal situation. I was begging for them to punch it in or miss the fg attempt. I knew I did not want a made fg there. I didn't want a prevent defense when the defense had been dominating the entire game. Instead they made the FG and promptly gave up a kick return TD. It really hurt my feelings. I really need to figure out why I handicap special teams and turnovers so poorly. It has been too consistent a failing over the years to just be as random as I like to believe. Ironically, I handicap kickers, punters, kick coverages and kick return games. Maybe I shouldn't.
 
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