time to post my bowl card so far

RetroVK

RetroVK

This claim is disputed
1-3 the last week of the year and the two sides were not close to coming in. Hope to replicate last years bowl season and a little fortune to go along with it. I will have at least one play every bowl game. I put extra time in on them and have to warrant it ... it means some of the edges are tiny. I took some things at the Wynn to start my bowl circus. Might change the format of the thread later to make it chronological but for now ...
New Mexico Bowl 1-1 ( 1-1 )
Washington state -3 loser
Washington State/csu over66 Win
Las Vegas Bowl 2-0 (3-1)
usc -6 win
usc/fresno st over 61.5 win
Idaho potato bowl 1-1 ( 4-2)
sdsu +1 win
sdsu/buff under 53 loss
New Orleans Bowl 1-1 ( 5-3 )
Tulane -2 loss
Tulane/ull under 50 win
Beef O'brady bowl 1-0 ( 6-3 )
Ohio/ECU under 62.5 less than normal unit
Hawaii Bowl 1-1 ( 7-4 )
Oregon state -1.5 win
orst/boise st over 64 loss
Little Caesars bowl 1-1 ( 8-5 )
pitt +6 win
pitt/bg under 50 loss
Poinsettia bowl 1-0 ( 9-5 )
niu/Utah st under 58.5 win
Military bowl 1-1 (10-6 )
marshall -2.5 win
marshall/terps over 63 loss
Texas Bowl 1-0 ( 11-6 )
Syracuse/Minnesota under 47.5 win
Fight Hunger Bowl 0-1 ( 11-7 )
Washington vs byu over 61 less than a normal unit loss
pinstripe bowl 0-1 (11-8)
ndame/Rutgers over 53 loss
belk throw up in my mouth bowl 1-0 (12-8 )
unc -2.5 win
Russell athletic bowl 1-0 ( 13-8 )
Louisville -3 win
buffalo wild wings bowl 1-1 ( 14-9 )
Michigan / ksu under 56.5 win
ADD Michigan Wolverines +7.5 -120 loss
Armed forces bowl 1-2 ( 15-11)
navy -6 win
navy/mtsu over 55 loss
mtsu 2h 3 loss
Music city bowl 0-1 ( 15-12 )
GTECH +3.5 loss
Alamo Bowl 0-1 15-13
texas 14 loss
holiday bowl 0-1 15-14
texastech/asu over 71 loss
advocare v100 bowl really? 0-2 ( 15-16 )
boston college 7.5 loss
bc 1h 4 loss
sun bowl 0-1 ( 15-17 )
Virginia tech 7.5 loss
liberty bowl 2-0 ( 17-17 )
Mississippi st -6.5 -120 ( souring )
msu rice over 50
chik fil a bowl 2-0 ( 19-17 )
duke 13 win
duke/tamu over 75 win
gator bowl 1-0 (20-17)
Nebraska 9
heart of dallas bowl 1-1 (21-18)
unlv 7 -120 loss
unlv/unt under 56 win
outback bowl 1-0 (22-18 )
iowa 7.5 ( lord have mercy ) win
capital one bowl 1-0 (23-18 )
s Carolina 1.5 win
rose bowl2-1 ( 25-19)
mich st 4 ( whoops and knew better ) win
msu/tree under 43 lose
msu/tree over 42.5 ( post bullough suspension bail ) win
fiesta bowl 1-0 ( 26 - 19 )
ucf 17 win
sugar bowl 0-1 (26-20 )
Bama -16.5 loss
cotton bowl 3-1 ( 29-21 )
mizzou -1 win
okst/mizz over 60 win
Missouri/okie lite under 61loss
Mizzou team total over 30 win
orange bowl 1-0 ( 30-21 )
Clemson/tosu over 67 win
compass bowl 0-1 30-22
Houston +3 wrong team favored loss
godaddy bowl
Ball State -1/North Dakota State -10.5 6pt tease -120
ndsu in, bsu pending
last game
aub/fsu over 65.5



okst/mizz over 60
texastech/asu over 71
orst/boise st over 64
Washington State -3
Oregon State -1.5
Pitt +6
North Carolina -2.5
Louisville -3
Navy -6
unlv +7 -120
South Carolina +1.5
Iowa +7.5
central florida +17
Missouri -1
Auburn/fsu over 65.5
Houston +3
Mississippi state -6.5 -120

Also, while I wont have time for the extensive write-ups on them all ,,, I will have some bowl write-ups.

I promised myself not to take favorites early as most bowl line movement traditionally favors taking dog early and waiting on favorites...but I did anyway and in most cases it was because the number hovered around the 3 or because I was somewhere that I could grab a good number so even if it slides ( wazzu and orst come to mind ) I doubt I can take much the worst of it.
 
Last edited:
I love washingtons matchup with byu .... problem is I have to figure out how the coaching deal effects huskies
 
clowncar said:
1-3 the last week of the year and the two sides were not close to coming in. Hope to replicate last years bowl season and a little fortune to go along with it. I will have at least one play every bowl game. I put extra time in on them and have to warrant it ... it means some of the edges are tiny. I took some things at the Wynn to start my bowl circus. Might change the format of the thread later to make it chronological but for now ...

Washington State -3
Oregon State -1.5
Pitt +6
North Carolina -2.5
Louisville -3
Navy -6
unlv +7 -120
South Carolina +1.5
Iowa +7.5
central florida +17
Missouri -1
Auburn/fsu over 65.5
Houston +3
Mississippi state -6.5 -120

Also, while I wont have time for the extensive write-ups on them all ,,, I will have some bowl write-ups.

I promised myself not to take favorites early as most bowl line movement traditionally favors taking dog early and waiting on favorites...but I did anyway and in most cases it was because the number hovered around the 3 or because I was somewhere that I could grab a good number so even if it slides ( wazzu and orst come to mind ) I doubt I can take much the worst of it.
Click to expand...

We're going to be at this game!!!!
 
Doggle said:
Do you see any value with Army at the current #.
Click to expand...

no. Other team is the real deal. Though you can sometimes throw that stuff out and expect a closer than normal game. I won't be on it but Navy is much the better and where Navy struggles is pass defense and I don't think Army can take advantage.
 
gynecologist said:
why is so.carolina dogged?

That line trips me out.
Click to expand...


It should close at the "pick a winner" level anyway. Statistically ( not accounting for schedules ) you have a Wisconsin team that likes to run and a south Carolina team that likes to run and Wisconsin has both the better rush offense and rush defense. Wisconsin dropped a close one to Stanford in the Rose last year while their coach moved on to Arkansas and South Carolina won a close one against big ten Michigan when Clowney made that hit right after the fourth down measurement that was short of the line to gain but somehow resulted in a first down. So there could me some motivation edge for Wisconsin though I will look into it. Also, if Clowney is taking off plays in normal situations you have to fear he will protect himself in this one. South Carolina is sort of limping to the finish line offensively as well. Wisconsin threw 53 times against penn state so that was just an abnormal game. But I think South Carolina has played a much tougher schedule, and I think Wisconsin thrives on dominating at the point of attack and that seems unlikely to me in this matchup. I think South Carolina is more balanced and has the speed edges. Basically, I see similar teams and styles and prefer the athletes on South Carolina.
 
yeah so.carolina is an extremely athletic team, they have more team speed in many positions. I think this is a bad matchup for Wisky..

Thanks for your response.
 
clowncar said:
I love washingtons matchup with byu .... problem is I have to figure out how the coaching deal effects huskies
Click to expand...

Same. UW superior to the zoobs by a long shot, how does Sark's departure affect them is the only question. BYU just isn't that good imo
 
ADD

Michigan State +4 ( decent chance this closes higher than this but went ahead and took it ). Not sure there is a defense that matches up more perfectly against Stanford's offense. I will most likely be on the under whenever it comes out as well and I see the pts mattering in this game.
 
clowncar said:
ADD

Michigan State +4 ( decent chance this closes higher than this but went ahead and took it ). Not sure there is a defense that matches up more perfectly against Stanford's offense. I will most likely be on the under whenever it comes out as well and I see the pts mattering in this game.
Click to expand...

will prolly be oppo here. but wanted a flat 3 for stanford.
yeah, their offense doesn't match up all that great. but imo, the spartan offense will have even more trouble. big boy lines...
 
clowncar said:
ADD

Michigan State +4 ( decent chance this closes higher than this but went ahead and took it ). Not sure there is a defense that matches up more perfectly against Stanford's offense. I will most likely be on the under whenever it comes out as well and I see the pts mattering in this game.
Click to expand...


Just like I did in the ohio st game, I'm going to tease MSU and the under..
 
Yanks27Sox8 said:
will prolly be oppo here. but wanted a flat 3 for stanford.
yeah, their offense doesn't match up all that great. but imo, the spartan offense will have even more trouble. big boy lines...
Click to expand...

I took the position that Stanford was over rated to start the year. I believe I undervalued them but I also believe they have been overvalued through out the season. MSU seems to be playing with a chip on the shoulder and I doubt they lay down. I tend to agree that Stanford poses similar problems for the MSU offense but getting 4 not giving it in what should be a low scoring hard fought game. Stanford does seem to get up for the big games though. It certainly is not a fade of the Tree.
 
Johnnyonthespot said:
FWIW, I am dreaming of putting an outrageous amount of money on Pitt +6 on SOS alone. Happy Holidays Kyle. I hope their good.
Click to expand...

Happy Holidays sir.

Yes, the strength schedule is very different. Cashed Pitt season wins under but it was a bet that their schedule was too tough for them to get over the hump on. BG losing the head coach has to be important as well. Better offense, similar defense and getting that many was too much for me to pass on.
 
gynecologist said:
Florida ST tt over should be ez $
Click to expand...


You would think so. I backed the over since Auburn's offense has been lights out as well. We may see a game where one of the two teams comes out rusty or where the opponent has prepared properly to stop them but I have to take a shot at it.
 
Fondybadger said:
Seniors have never won a bowl game either.
Click to expand...

I suppose that could be a positive .. or it could be indicative of a team that is either easy to prepare for with time or that tends to not care as much about their bowl game.

Also, the PSU game was a throw away game and Wisconsin played it as such. I wouldn't read too much into it. Had the game had any significance at all they would have beaten Penn State.
 
clowncar said:
no. Other team is the real deal. Though you can sometimes throw that stuff out and expect a closer than normal game. I won't be on it but Navy is much the better and where Navy struggles is pass defense and I don't think Army can take advantage.
Click to expand...
Thanks that helped make the decision easier.:shake:
 
add

sdsu +1
buffalo/sdsu under 53
mtsu/navy over 55
unlv/unt under 56
msu/Stanford under 43
Clemson/tosu over 67
mich/ksu under 56.5
cuse/minny under 47.5
 
Utah state niu one of the more difficult bowl handicaps in recent memory. Having a hard time making heads or tails of the game.
 
ADD

USC TROJANS -6
USC/FRESNO STATE OVER 61.5

some fear that carr gets zero time to throw early and starts releasing the ball too soon and fresno can't contribute to the number and some fear the offensive injuries for usc keep them out of the forties .... but on paper this is a sick matchup in favor of usc ( if they try )
 
Also, I will be adding Tulane and the under today ... don't post until I pull trigger and have to drive across town to get a better number so wont post until later .....
 
Are you concerned about Buffalos weather advantage with the game likely being played in freezing temps?
 
It isn't even the only possible venue advantage ... leaving buffalo to g o anywhere is appealing. leaving san diego to go almost anywhere is unappealing .... but certainly boise is. also ... if buffalo is allowed to wear their blue jerseys it is a hidden advantage. I assume they will be in white for just that reason but you never know. However, buffalo just hasn't beaten anyone and even some of the sdsu defeats were promising ... orst and fresno st come to mind as games they probably should have won. The finale against unlv is forgivable imo because they were off a huge win against boise st and had nothing to play for. Buffalo has to run to be successful and sdsu has a nice run defense to put out on the field .. held 5 opponents to under 100 yards rushing this year and rank 22nd in the nation against the run despite facing three teams ranked in the top 15 in rushing offense. If buffalo can pass to success then I tip the cap ..
 
Kyle- Are you going to place a side AND a total in every game or just some games?
And the rest you will place one or the other but not both?
Thanks and good luck.
 
at least some involvement in every game ( some side and total, some side only, some some total only, and might combine three bowl games I am least confident in into a single teaser ). I put more time in per game and get pretty detailed and it worked so well last year ....

got to run and get my Tulane action in and cash some rsw stuff... be back tonight
 
drove across town and then the number on my screen did not match the actual number offered at the casino. happens but frustrating.. found a good total # anyway...

Tulane -2
Tulane/ull under 50
 
I made that total about a FG lower than the current number without Broadway. Have to figure his being out, along with motivational questions all around for the offensive-minded squad in this matchup, is conducive to the under...gotta figure that dips some leading up to kick.
 
lindetrain said:
I made that total about a FG lower than the current number without Broadway. Have to figure his being out, along with motivational questions all around for the offensive-minded squad in this matchup, is conducive to the under...gotta figure that dips some leading up to kick.
Click to expand...


Just a lot here in favor of Tulane defense imo ... they should shut down the receivers and if ull just runs wild on Tulane I will pay to see it.
 
A little upset because I had a sense that market would push the Stanford line upward ( think I mentioned it ) and impatiently took the 4 because I really wanted the 4.
 
Really like that Marshall play; Tulane too.
Raised my eyebrows on B C. Would welcome your commentary there.

Interested also in your Texas-Oregon play. Win one for the Macker ?
 
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