If it stayed 7 and moved very little I might have very well played the under . I am totally ADMITTING I did nothing here but play the total . The play was it seemed off and bet the illogical way . Simple as that . Thats all I did . Hoping it would find a way to cash ...
Thursday MLB Discussion
- Thread starter BetCrimes1984
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If it stayed 7 and moved very little I might have very well played the under . I am totally ADMITTING I did nothing here but play the total . The play was it seemed off and bet the illogical way . Simple as that . Thats all I did . Hoping it would find a way to cash ...
True in a sense . Which is why PUBLIC unders and UNDERDOGS are always the worst to play .......I think TB , STL , BALT , WSOX were "public" dogs and probaly under nats , under texas , under Cle , and under mets were all public unders ..
BY public I mean overwhelming perception these made logical sense and had value .........not so much as in betting %s:cheers:
jimbo1227
Nice around mics, word to pippen
"Which is why PUBLIC unders and UNDERDOGS are always the worst to play"
you are very right and i should have known better because you know me i am the first guy looking for ways to fade the public. that game miraculously found a way to get over that total. i was truely baffled.
you are very right and i should have known better because you know me i am the first guy looking for ways to fade the public. that game miraculously found a way to get over that total. i was truely baffled.
LOB @ Wash = 35 .
Nats are the worst offense in baseball and Zona just might be one of the worst as well . Bergmann is not a no namer to sports bettors . Everyone reads his stats and sees great outing after great outing and they see Haren shut Nats out already and is lights out lately. Plus a series with 7 runs and 2 shutouts and you think people took the side . The under was so obvious it should have never opened at 7.5 and thats all I used to make a play ........
It 's not benefiting me to convince you . I know how it works . I bet accordingly and well thats 2 games that were extremely UNLIKELY to go OVER that I hit in a matter of a month so I am a happy camper who is just trying to share his logic . If you dont believe me thats fine ...
Again it doesnt need to be logical . Not everything is logical thats why everything today is a conspiracy cause nobody can accept shit just happens without reason ...
:shake:
Think about what a half run is on a 7.5 total though ...its worth alot more then a half on a 9 total
If I am Lucky then why did Balt ML lose? Again its not personal . The outcome has nothing to do with you or I . If you had correct for 24 outs it doesnt matter because we dont get paid on 24 outs . The right side is the one that cashes which doesnt mean you were wrong logically .
You know the term ......just when yo least expect it ....bingo!
Just to show illogical the game was ...T10
2 quick outs then an infield single ..
Tracey doubles on a 2-1 pitch , Reynolds fall behinds 0-2 gets to 2-2 doubles and Montero falls behind 0-2 and singles .....
Which was after the Nats had bases loaded no out scored 2 in the 9th on a error to tie ...make 2 outs ...still TIED ....get another Reynolds error which loads the bases but doesnt score another run.....Lyons falls behind 2-0 to Berdinha the it goes 3-2 bunch of fouls and he groundsout ....almost impossible that ona didnt blow that game.....
again ALMOST ...
2 quick outs then an infield single ..
Tracey doubles on a 2-1 pitch , Reynolds fall behinds 0-2 gets to 2-2 doubles and Montero falls behind 0-2 and singles .....
Which was after the Nats had bases loaded no out scored 2 in the 9th on a error to tie ...make 2 outs ...still TIED ....get another Reynolds error which loads the bases but doesnt score another run.....Lyons falls behind 2-0 to Berdinha the it goes 3-2 bunch of fouls and he groundsout ....almost impossible that ona didnt blow that game.....
again ALMOST ...
M
Moneyline_Monster
Guest
Jimbo, I hope you didn't lose to much on the wager, but don't think too much into it dude, shit happens like this all the time, don't let it affect your day tommorrow, come back strong. :cheers:
he's obviously not going to, just agree to disagree guys...
on to other matters----> So is the opening of 7.5 on Halladay/Joba going to be an obviosu PUBLIC under 2morrow? I would think yes since it's two aces and two sometimes anemic offenses. I think based on SN's logic, I'm really tempted to go OVER...
Bro , are your reading what I type?? I never said you were WRONG . In fact I said 1 thousand times right and wrong are not the correct phrases to use . I said what happened was completely illogical . I said the tipoff was the game opening at 7.5 as being a caution sign . I posted that well before the game started for everyone to read . I said 1 billion times its not about right or wrong . I am saying the game had shit to do with your or I .
So where I am telling you that I am right and you are wrong . The only thing wrong is thinking your play should have won because it was 2-0 . I am trying to emphasize that logical things dont always occur . As evidenced by the LAD game a few weeks back . Hell was it logical that the Yankees blew a 3-0 series lead to Boston ? Just when it looked over the unimagineable happened ......
I am simply trying to show you there was a warning sign for the future when situations like this occur . How you win or lose doesnt matter .
To be specific about how many times Zona could have scored look at the game -
4th inning 1st and 2 , 1 out Reynolds and Tracey up - nada
6th inning - single , double - Jackson makes out only 1 run
7th inning - 1 run in , 2nd and 3rd 1 out - Haren hits makes out as does Young ....
8th inning - Jackosn singles with 2 outs and Tracey makes out
9th inning -1st and 2 , 1 out- again lets haren hit and bunts to 2and 3rd ...then Young makes out ....
1 out with 2 on three times and didnt score ....look at the Cle game Indians scored 5 and 7 because they hit with MOB....
Its not about should all I said is there were MOB . Someone hits a HR with 2 on its 3 quick runs on a 7 total thats all I was implying . Saying the game could have changed on any 1 pitch . It didnt though . It changed in the 9th inning .
I am sorry you LOST. I was simply explaining the situation. Again it does me no good to waste my time if you think I am gloating about some bet with you. I am doing my best to show there was a warning sign and it 's far from the 1st time or the last time it will show up ....That simple and honest . Thats all . I am done with this .
M
Moneyline_Monster
Guest
Good, I need your assistance in Friday's thread. :smiley_acbe:
Fine thats your opinion . So why do you fade the public then ? By fading the public your saying this game is LOST because so and so amount of wagers are placed on it . So tell me the difference in what I said and what you do ??
You cant because thats exactly your logic. The game is lost because the public is on out ....thats what your thinking is .
So everytime you say your FADING the PUBLIC remember thats nonsense because the game hasnt started and well you already know its a loss because the public is on it.
If you have 2 examples of a play losing here with Wash and previously with LAD well the chances are it will happen again.....and I will give you another example....Harden vs Ervin Santana....obvious under opened 7 bet to 6.5 ......
