Damn, I thought Sandoval slow start woulda got us a better number on him, based off his results this year his k number probably should only be 3.5 or 4.5 w minimal juice. They did a good job having the guts to set his number at 5.5. Nothing we can really do with that, I believe he the same k per 9 or slightly higher pitcher he has been in his career so he likely to have sone better strike out games coming. This a good one for that, Yankees have struggled vs lhp thus far, he had a fantastic 7 inning outing with 6 k’s vs them last year but that was in la. It’s a bit tougher to project him going 6 in this bandbox, he does get ground balls at a very nice clip along with a solid enough swing and miss. It not out the question he could go 6 innings here but that would be him at his best, if he does complete 6 innings then plus money on 5.5 k’s a decent bet as I believe he would fan 6+ a good 75% the time. Where the number gets tricky is how likely is he to have a good enough start to get thru 6? Yankees offense isn’t exactly clicking right now, I’d say he has a decent chance of going 6 and there is always the possibility he fans 6 a lot sooner than 6 innings as he did against Boston last time out, yanks can be some free swingers.
I do think there might be a bigger edge playing his out total, 16.5 outs means we cash if he goes 5.2 innings. He been a slightly better pitcher in day games, he has never pitched in the bronx but his style should play well here as he keeps the ball out the air, if you eliminate his 1st couple starts last year (as I do for every pitcher cause of the shortened spring) he was able to go 5.2 or longer in 52% his starts (counting the 7 inning gem vs Yankees). With -125 juice no real edge on surface but I do think he matches up well with a lineup struggling vs lhp right now and w his ability to keep the ball on the ground. Of course the question then becomes if we like Sandoval to have a strong outing would playing the halo’s Ff make more sense at plus money? I have a terrible time figuring cortes out, he been his best in day games and he totally dominated laa for 7 innings last year/. 1st 5 under might be the play here.
