Thursday 12/03/15 NBA discussion thread

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[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL - THU 12/3[/h][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Thu 12/3[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Oklahoma City Thunder[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-2 1.952[/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:05 PM[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Miami Heat[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+2 1.952[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Thu 12/3[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Denver Nuggets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+10.5 1.925[/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]704[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Toronto Raptors[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-10.5 1.980[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Thu 12/3[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]705[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Orlando Magic[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+6 2.000[/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]06:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]706[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Utah Jazz[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-6 1.909[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Thu 12/3[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]707[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]San Antonio Spurs[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-1.5 1.943[/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]06:35 PM[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Memphis Grizzlies[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+1.5 1.961[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Thu 12/3[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]709[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Boston Celtics[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-2 1.952[/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]07:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]710[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sacramento Kings[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+2 1.952[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Thu 12/3[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]711[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Indiana Pacers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-1.5 1.884[/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]07:05 PM[/TD]
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[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Portland Trail Blazers [/TD]
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[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+1.5 2.020[/TD]
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[divol]

I like tonight's games...

Thunder should win this one. I can't say that the line is wrong, but if you believe that Thunder should win it, this is an easy bet to make.
I hope Kanter plays big minutes. Kanter can really take Whiteside away from the paint, especially teaming up with Ibaka. If Hassan is out of the paint or in foul trouble, the way to the rim is wide open for Durant and RW. I also really like the match ups here. Ibaka is the perfect counter for Bosh and if I'm Heat fan, the thought of 48 minutes of Dragic and Udrih guarding RW, makes me really uncomfortable. If there is a game they are really going to miss Deng, is tonight, when you got Green on Durant. Everything that Green gives a team with his athletic abilities, he takes back with very low basketball IQ.

Memphis... I like Memphis tonight, but I like them almost every time they play the Spurs, since they always look to be undervalued by bookies almost always and I'm right about 50% of the times (actually it's 3 - 4 so far...)

Boston shouldn't be favorites on paper in Sacramento, especially since Rondo and Cousins actually had a good talk with Carl. Only worry is that Boston forces turnovers, like no one in the league and usually abuses teams that lose the ball too often and Kings are in Top 10 (or bottom 10 actually) in that area. Thunder, Wizards and Sixers have two things in common. All three are Top 3 in turnovers per game and all three have yet to win Boston (0 - 5). Have yet to play Phoenix and GSW who are up next on that list, but 6th place - Rockets - also can join that club of teams that have yet to win Boston this season. Today they meet 7th place in turnovers per game... Still like the Kings, but that worries me of course.

Also leaning Utah.

Interesting note. 5 out of 6 games are cross conferences (that's really a lot!). East been destroying the West so far. 53% SU wins in East favor (57% the last week), 56.8% ATS (57.1% the last week). Road dogs are especially good spot so far (26 - 9 - 1) 74.3%. At home though, EC teams struggle to get that cover, especially HF (37.5% ATS only).

Last year, on the same date, EC teams had only 41% SU wins rate and 49.8% ATS and road dogs from EC against WC rivals had 50.3% ATS...

Curious how today's game are going to play out...

 

[divol]

Game between Kings and Boston is in Mexico... Just now noticed it...

 

[divol]

Gobert is out, so now I'm not leaning Utah for sure. Maybe the other way even...

 

[tuck321]

The Green Durant match up does stink.

 

[tuck321]

Looking at Toronto as a 8,5 fav at home 7-2 under in 2015. Denver last 4 averaging 84 points. 7-24 under in December. Moderately under refs. Toronto is siting at home b-b with a day to rest before GOLDEN STATE. Toronto 1-6 under this season after a 10 point win. 7-12 under this season. Got 192 for starting late
Last 6 between these 2 over is 5-1. So---the bottom line here is with GS coming in Toronto has a real reason for lowering tempo.

 

[tuck321]

After Utah Orlando plays at the Clippers. Last 3 all in 2014 they are 0-3.
By 28
by 24
By 20
This creates some lean to under but a tough game to analyze so far.

 

[nbafan88]

Yeah I cant think of a reason to take miami... the line doesn't seem to be out of wack or anything.

 

[Zecco]

The Green Durant match up does stink.

Justise

 

[BJPLAYER]

watched mia last game and whiteside looked like he was not in sync at all....actually got sat late as the c's ran the heat off the court late....bosh doesn't impress and wade although still good is aging....like thunder a lot and can see westbrook having a night if his shot is falling

interesting turnover stats by divol and can see why boston takes it to turnover prone teams as they are pesky (bradley and smart) (although smart still out) and once they turn it over they run and fast but more than that i see demarcus schooling them....not sure if i play sac but not playing boston

pacers>blazers

wrong again on the spurs last night....i am so stupid to bet them...or against them as i am wrong every freakin time...it defies logic

would like jazz but majic current form just too good right now....expecting it to turn but will wait till they cool off

so okc and indy i guess

 

[hugh613]

Here's one tuck will like, although it doesn't really jive with the way the Magic have been playing (although, having said that, doing well at home, and doing well on the road are two completely different things)...

NBA

(705) ORLANDO @ (706) UTAH | 12/03/2015 - 9:05 PM
Play ON UTAH against the spread in All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 43 Wins and 14 Losses for the last two seasons (+27.60 units)

 

[emkee]

Early in the season but Billy Donovan is a bad pro coach.

 

[nbafan88]

Early in the season but Billy Donovan is a bad pro coach.

and Westbrick continues to be the reason Durant is not in the spotlight.... Wasting his career being with RW