Thursday 03/27/14 NBA discussion thread

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The Spurs can suck my manhood
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[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL BASKETBALL - THU 3/27[/h][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesColumns"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MORE[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Thu 3/27[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]801[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Portland Trail Blazers [/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-4.5 1.971[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.549[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 207.5 1.971[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]802[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Atlanta Hawks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+4.5 1.935[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 2.640[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 207.5 1.935[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Thu 3/27[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]803[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Los Angeles Lakers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+3 1.926[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 2.290[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 219 1.971[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]804[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Milwaukee Bucks [/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-3 1.980[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.699[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 219 1.935[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Thu 3/27[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]805[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Philadelphia 76ers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+20 1.885[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 26.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 215 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]806[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Houston Rockets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-20 2.020[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.017[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 215 2.000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Thu 3/27[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]807[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Los Angeles Clippers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-1 1.971[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.917[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 210.5 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]808[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Dallas Mavericks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+1 1.935[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.990[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 210.5 1.909[/TD]
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Last edited:
Bucks -1.5? I find this one laughable...thing is they have actually played decent basketball lately. Not sure if the same can be said about LA....any team that gives Sacre the amount of minutes they do is going to struggle to win games on the road.
 
I am frequently on the Bucks but asking them to WIN a game. This is not exactly in their best interests.
 
Dallas has gone a season high 7 home games without suffering a SU loss in regulation. Their previous longest home streaks avoiding a SU reg. loss this season have been (brackets = the streak ending result) -

4 games (lost by 9 as a Dog)
3 games (lost by 14 as a Fav)
3 games (lost by 16 as a Dog)
3 games (lost by 11 as a Dog)
0-4 ATS

They've also gone a season high 7 straight games w/out suffering a SU loss in regulation. Their previous longest overall streaks avoiding a SU reg. loss this season have been (brackets = the streak ending result) -

5 games (lost by 25 away as a Fav)
4 games (lost by 9 @home as a Fav)
4 games (lost by 2 away as a Dog)
3 games (lost by 15 away as a Fav)
3 games (lost by 7 @home as a Dog)
3 games (lost by 15 away as a Dog)
3 games (lost by 2 away as a Dog)
2-5 ATS

Prior to their current streaks, Dallas @home averaged 1 reg. loss every 3.2 games, and overall averaged 1 reg. loss every 2.5 games.
 
Time to get them back on track. Off topic but based on my reading at Pounding the Rock Denver gets a possibly easy home win vs the Spurs. Apparently no one is going to that one.
 
Last game of the season for Bucks is home vs Atlanta. Wild guess but think currently that they might save their last win of the season for that game.
 
Ersan Ilyasova (foot, ankle) is not expected to play for the remainder of the 2013-14 season.

LaMarcus Aldridge (back) will play against the Hawks on Thursday night.

Samuel Dalembert (stiff back) will be a game-time decision for Thursday's game against the Clippers.

Steve Nash (leg) will miss the Lakers' two-game road trip.

Mo Williams (knee) will fight through a sore left knee and suit up against the Hawks Thursday night.
Williams described his knee as "severely sore" after injuring it almost two weeks ago, but is committed to playing against the Hawks Thursday night. If the Trail Blazers weren't in a fight for playoff seeding (and even a playoff spot), Williams said he wouldn't play.
 
Might be a little blind in Bucks game. A lot of smart people like them tonight. Just watching
 
I don't know what to think about Bucks - Lakers game.
Bucks could have secured last place, just by losing to the Sixers in Philly, but won in style, so not sure how much they are tanking.
On the other hand, they do understand that given the way Sixers are playing, they can win no more than one game, if their goal is to secure last place in the league.

I do like Portland tonight. Sense of urgency is there with both LA and Mo playing injured, because they feel they must stop the bleeding.
I think I will be on them tonight.

Skipping Dallas - LAC game. IF Clippers would have won in NO, would have taken Mavs, but given the loss and the poor game by CP3, I would worry about them playing a lot better tonight.
Still, Dallas in a must win game, after losing twice to LA already and playing them in LA later this season - kind of a must win for them.

Dallas or nothing for me, probably the later.

I do like Under in Houston tonight. All the teams recently been playing nice with the Sixers. Keeping the pace low and not trying to beat them by 40+ points. Very obvious Under lean here.
 
PHILADELPHIA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 95.9, OPPONENT 118.5.
 
LAC is 12-0 to Under the L12 games they haven't scored more than 112 pts in.

But they are 13-7 To Over L20 away vs. 12-8 to Under L20 @home. With 4 road games against "Over teams" on deck, almost impossible to think this Under streak survives their current trip. 4 games is 1 too many for me to chase, but if they go under tonight then I'll delve seriously into the stats for the background to considering such.
 
Vince Carter been sipping from the fountain of youth. Can't let him and Dalembert beat you, LAC...
 
Mavs 19-4 SU at home when leading at the half.

Clips 6-12 SU when trailing on the road at halftime.
 
Question is who fades first, Clips on the 2nd night of a back to back or Mavs off a 4 in 7, 3 OT stretch.
 
Game of run, counter-run. Game virtually mirroring the Mavs v OKC game from Tuesday night.
 
Would appear the Mavs are gonna get another one. Bounce of the ball has been on their side since the OKC game.
 
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