BJPLAYER
Pretty much a regular
excellent article....describes the matchups very well
***Super Bowl LI Discussion: Atlanta vs New England***
- Thread starter B.A.R.
- Start date
excellent article....describes the matchups very well
Frank Costanza
Co-Inventor of the Man's Bra
Chump change per David Purdum below...Guessing we'll hear something on Mayweather's bet tomorrow.
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Wikeman
A Winner in Life
A lot of money is wagered on the SB, no book will risk to take a side. Individual books will get unbalanced action, but not the market as a whole. The Super Bowl may be the game of the year where the line is truly set by the public.
The books with unbalanced action will then seek to hedge it, maybe the big books even have a kind of a clearing house where they can swap risk with each other.
Local bookies probably simply place bets on the other side if they feel they are too exposed to some outcome.
There could be an exception if the books feel certain that the line is going to move in one direction, but it still seems very risky. What if a key player has an accident etc.
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Frank Costanza
Co-Inventor of the Man's Bra
As much as I comb through things I come back to the same conclusion: who do I trust more to play better red zone defense? That's the Pats, easily. Neither team is likely to punt much but feels like Atlanta may be forced to settle for 3s in some situations where New England may not. Just way too much youth on that Atlanta defense, especially on this stage against the best QB the game has ever seen.
BetCrimes1984
CTG Big Brother
13 Super Bowls have been decided by the following margins: 10, 12, 14 & 17 pts.
12 Super Bowls have been decided by the following margins: 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11 & 13 pts.
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Not reading the whole thread, but I presume someone's already noted that with Brady at the helm,
- the Pats have never scored a single 1st quarter point in the Super Bowl.
1Q results: 3 losses, 3 ties
2Q results: 4 wins, 2 ties
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In the last 11 Super Bowls, the NFC team has led at half-time just twice.
In the last 16 Super Bowls, no NFC team has led at half-time when scoring 19 pts or less.
12 Super Bowls have been decided by the following margins: 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11 & 13 pts.
---------
Not reading the whole thread, but I presume someone's already noted that with Brady at the helm,
- the Pats have never scored a single 1st quarter point in the Super Bowl.
1Q results: 3 losses, 3 ties
2Q results: 4 wins, 2 ties
---------
In the last 11 Super Bowls, the NFC team has led at half-time just twice.
In the last 16 Super Bowls, no NFC team has led at half-time when scoring 19 pts or less.
ArizonaKid
Pretty much a regular
Just heard on Fox sports radio that Alex Mack will play but the Falcons are unsure how long he can go as he has a fractured fibula.
edou1x
Pretty much a regular
Teams winning the 2nd quarter and scoring 14+ points win the super bowl 94.4 % of the time. (http://www.bettingexpert.com/facts-...eason-mirrors-past-superbowl-champions-trends)
Frank Costanza
Co-Inventor of the Man's Bra
Pain killing injection. You think?
http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/...-mack-play-super-bowl-li-fracture-left-fibula
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bones
We Must Protect Our Democracy
This is interesting and cud be helpful for 2H wager
ArizonaKid
Pretty much a regular
Well he only missed one play before sitting out the final series during the NFC Championship game so maybe it isn't as big a deal as it sounds.
Frank Costanza
Co-Inventor of the Man's Bra
Pats defensive front not the same as GB's.
spanishshark
Youngest guy on the forum
Pats play to the level of the competition and do just enough to win. Unless the opposing team really sucks, then they run the score on you.
eggman
Pretty much a regular
THE SINGLE BIGGEST MISTAKE PEOPLE ARE MAKING IS CLAIMING THAT THE PATS WILL WIN BECAUSE THEY WILL TAKE JULIO OUT OF THE GAME. I'm so tired of hearing it. Has everyone forgotten Freeman, Coleman, Sanu, etc? They are not a one dimensional team. Stop making stupid comments because Joe Buck commented about how Bill always takes out the biggest asset of the other team. You make look like sheep.
Will the Pats win? Maybe. But it won't be for one singular reason. It will be because they shut down Ryan, and the run.
Will the Pats win? Maybe. But it won't be for one singular reason. It will be because they shut down Ryan, and the run.
ArizonaKid
Pretty much a regular
Sanu is a slow possession receiver, wish people would stop referring to him as a weapon. Julio will get his but I don't think the Falcons will find a running game and in games where they had 90 years or less rushing they were only 3-3.
This shocks me. I will play their 1Q TT Under today.
I believe ATL is +.5 -120 1Q as of now.
P-Unit
Beacon of Calmness
This will be the first year in at least 12 years that I don't have a single wager on the SB and I feel pretty good about it. Just going to watch and hope for a good game. I think I've been on the right side of the outcome only 1 time in the past 6-7 years so I'm probably saving myself some money.
nbafan88
Pretty much a regular
Don't do it
From rotoworld
The Falcons have scored an opening-drive touchdown in eight straight games, while this game’s total suggests 5.9 points should be scored every six minutes. Incredibly, New England has failed to score a single point in the first quarter of all six Super Bowls quarterbacked by Tom Brady, a statistic of which the Patriots are acutely aware. “Coach Belichick has reminded me about ten times in the last ten days,” Brady told reporters when asked about the scoreless first-quarter streak this week. Added OC Josh McDaniels, “It’s obviously something we’d like to change.”
Longtime Bill Belichick confidante Mike Lombardi stated this week that he anticipates the Patriots prioritizing grabbing an early lead and beating the typically fast-starting Falcons at their own game. “Belichick’s mandate all week: ‘Start Fast,’” Lombardi wrote in his Super Bowl preview for The Ringer. "Belichick's first quarter will be all about building a lead and learning Atlanta's plan." While such a strategy may be easier planned than accomplished, it would be a means of forcing Atlanta out of its comfort zone and creating positive game script for New England, allowing the Patriots to stay balanced. The Pats traditionally defer when they win the coin toss. If they win the opening flip in this game, I expect New England to take the ball.
nbafan88
Pretty much a regular
i'm thinking to do the same thing.... although i already locked in the blount over yards prop and im thinking to take the pats tt over..... will avoid looking all the other props.... way too much temptation
P-Unit
Beacon of Calmness
Pats always want the ball to start the 2nd half too. That could change this game if they win the toss. Didn't they also take the ball first after winning the toss in one of the playoff games this year?
T
tipyerbartender1
Guest
Pussing out on a side, unless my local hangs a juicier Atlanta money line out there. Was happy to see the game total drop. Going with ...
Over 56.5
OT yes +800
Trump tweets at the winner -165
New record for passing yards (415+ yds) +325
Bennett 1st TD +1200
Longest FG over 46.5 -115
First score under 5-1/2 minutes +100
Good luck everybody!
Over 56.5
OT yes +800
Trump tweets at the winner -165
New record for passing yards (415+ yds) +325
Bennett 1st TD +1200
Longest FG over 46.5 -115
First score under 5-1/2 minutes +100
Good luck everybody!
T
tipyerbartender1
Guest
And think I'll go under on the anthem.
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