gamblinjunkie
Pretty much a regular
To win both you would need pats to win by 1 or 2?
Super Bowl Discussion Rams vs Pats @Atlanta Stadium
- Thread starter braves
- Start date
I serious doubt more than Peyton. Cmon. He STILL does it to this day and he isn't even playing.
And Brady can be tempted by a hot wife
Its almost like BJ‘s Patriot love is showing lmao!
Right. Pats win by three and i win the +325 and push the other. So i profit with Pats win by 1-3 points. Smaller profit with win by 4-6.
Also, could break even or go 0-2.
True break even if Rams win or Pats win by touchdown +
Basically, biggest thing is that Pats don't win by more than 6. Laying value on history here.
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Super Bowl Sundae.
Turn it up.
Patriots are 0-8 in Super Bowls first quarter
What about the '96 game and '85 game?
For some reason I don‘t find it relevant
Shit, I don't find the 2001 game relevant either...or 2004...or...
God idk maybe the whole Brady/Belichik combo is consistent each time? Why‘d you even respond to my post lol it‘s an interesting trend with a long data sample. Thx for the constructive criticism
You're welcome.
guaranteeed
Pretty much a regular
8 is a long data sample?
8 is the definition of small sample size
8 is the definition of small sample size
Thats what she said
Uh 8 Brady/Bel super bowls. Can you get a better sample size lmao? Im talking about the B/B Pats, Teed, not super bowls in general. Not sure you caught that
Teapot9
Not from 63rd
What does SF/Miami have to do with Patriots/Rams?
Well done. 85 bears played in 86 game vs Patriots.What does SF/Miami have to do with Patriots/Rams?
guaranteeed
Pretty much a regular
I did, and 8 things is not a sample size
By inferring that this is some type of trend
You are making assumptions that 8 quarters of football doesnt show
Most people I would hope believe that teams dont want to be trailing after 15 minutes
So you are assuming that the Patriots, a team widely recognized as having excellent coaching and preparation, is poor at it in the super bowl, not all games, not all playoff games, not all games off 2 weeks rest, just this one game called the super bowl
You are doing this based off of 2 constants, albeit constants with a higher value than others, and hundreds of variables. How many coaches and players have been involved in all 8 quarters, 7?, 6? Etc.
Secondly you are missing the variables on things like who recieved the ball first, the weather
Thirdly, with so little sample size, you are allowing for individual outliers to have an extreme effect on the data set. Over 1000 events this will even out, but in 8 events, 1 slip, 1 bad penalty call, etc etc etc... has a massive effect
For instance
2 of the last 3 super bowl 1st quarters ended 0-0
The Patriots got deeper into opposition territory in both of them, including to the 6 yard line in one before an interception
In another, vs the giants, they lost the 1st quarter 3-0
Did you know they scored a td on the first play of the 2nd quarter?
Wanting to bet on the rams 1st q is fine, in have no opinion on it
But using 0-8 to justify it makes no sense
Better way to view the angle in this one (1st Quarters) is that the Pats have scored a combined 3 points in all their SB appearances with Hoodie.
This gets to the heart of how the Pats NORMALLY approach this game...don't worry about the start, focus on the finish. BUT...I think they receive if they win the toss today and want to play from ahead....its a stay away from me, but GL whatever you gents play
This gets to the heart of how the Pats NORMALLY approach this game...don't worry about the start, focus on the finish. BUT...I think they receive if they win the toss today and want to play from ahead....its a stay away from me, but GL whatever you gents play
spongerat
Pretty much a regular
You're right it is a trend. Whether it is a predictive trend with causation is another question. The team composition and strategy has changed greatly over those 8 superbowls so I would lean toward not relying on this trend as predictive.
spongerat
Pretty much a regular
That's a nice middle setup! I have similar plays so lets hope for the close game either way!
Prob not going to play it myself, just thought the continuity over time was interesting. Pats mentality seems pretty composed and business-like. Seems like underdogs like Atlanta come out with a lot more fire. I would think along those lines.
Good news
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I'm liking the thought process that NE would receive, LA would defer. I can't find a who gets the ball first prop
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
I have a +390 pre conference championship on Rams to win super bowl. In my heart, I want the Patriots to win. In my opinion a big majority are on the Pats. Since this is the biggest bet game of the year and the Pats opened as dog it is relevant to me.
If they break trend and score to go up in 1st quarter, as Scarf suggests, things will get interesting, it will get very interesting if they get up 2 scores with ball, at that point I'm jumping on Rams ats with as much as I can bear.
If they break trend and score to go up in 1st quarter, as Scarf suggests, things will get interesting, it will get very interesting if they get up 2 scores with ball, at that point I'm jumping on Rams ats with as much as I can bear.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Super Bowl 9-8 O/U L17:
50+ points: 9-0
49 or fewer: 0-8
Pats/Rams u49½ +221
50+ points: 9-0
49 or fewer: 0-8
Pats/Rams u49½ +221
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Pats/Rams 1H u21 +299
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Halftime margin in BB 10 playoff losses: 15,6,4,1,-7,-8,-10,-10,-11,-17
1st half winning margin - Rams win by 7-12 +475
1st half winning margin - Rams win by 7-12 +475
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Mcvay bided his time 1st half, 2nd half he gets bold
bones
We Must Protect Our Democracy
girl power...they can play anytime they want. You need to understand that she is as good as those players
skanless13
Fly, Eagles, Fly!
What a strange Fing Superbowl!
Sammy Meatballs
Sammy Meatballs? Never Heard of Her
Rams never had a chance.
But on defense how hard was it to stop 2 marginally average players like Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks? It was fairly easy.
To be fair, Gilmore and Lattimore are probably the 2 best corners playing today. Gilmore is fucking outstanding and probably the No.1 guy in the league IMO
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
The Dolphins should be extremely happy with their new HC.
Gandolf
Leader of the Van Buren Boys
Tying up a couple of loose ends:
1. The Patriots have become a rival of the Cowboys, Steelers and Packers in terms of a nationwide fan base. Never would've thought the building would be 80% Pats even though the Rams have a pretty small base. After three SBs the previous four years, plus the Red Sox success, I figured the crowd would be at worst 50-50 based on fatigue alone.
2. I don't mind Edelman getting the MVP, although his big 1st half had only a minimal effect on the scoreboard. But a game with that kind of defensive effort really deserved a defensive MVP. Some combo of Gilmore, Hightower and Van Noy would've been reasonable.
3. Said right after the Conference Finals that the game would turn on two things. 1) Can Rams get pressure on Brady and make him throw under duress. They actually did OK in that regard. 2) Will the early season Gurley show up? That didn't happen at all. Goff was left on an island and not surprisingly did not rise to the occasion. Hoodie shut down those intermediate crossing routes with a combination of great pressure and a confusing mixture of zones and man schemes. Without their best player and their best play call the result was inevitable barring a total 41 year old collapse.
1. The Patriots have become a rival of the Cowboys, Steelers and Packers in terms of a nationwide fan base. Never would've thought the building would be 80% Pats even though the Rams have a pretty small base. After three SBs the previous four years, plus the Red Sox success, I figured the crowd would be at worst 50-50 based on fatigue alone.
2. I don't mind Edelman getting the MVP, although his big 1st half had only a minimal effect on the scoreboard. But a game with that kind of defensive effort really deserved a defensive MVP. Some combo of Gilmore, Hightower and Van Noy would've been reasonable.
3. Said right after the Conference Finals that the game would turn on two things. 1) Can Rams get pressure on Brady and make him throw under duress. They actually did OK in that regard. 2) Will the early season Gurley show up? That didn't happen at all. Goff was left on an island and not surprisingly did not rise to the occasion. Hoodie shut down those intermediate crossing routes with a combination of great pressure and a confusing mixture of zones and man schemes. Without their best player and their best play call the result was inevitable barring a total 41 year old collapse.
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