Super Bowl Champion

[Loves2kickass]

That's in danger zone right now. Pretty crazy.

This year could be a 2nd-3rd tier season. A lot of game left

 

[Loves2kickass]

UPDATE

Remaining Teams
2ND TIER - 3
3RD TIER - 1

NFC
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (2ND TIER) NFC #2
----------
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (3RD TIER) NFC #6

AFC
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (2ND TIER) AFC #1
BUFFALO BILLS (2ND TIER) AFC #2
----------

SUPER BOWL PARTICIPANT L21 YEARS
1ST TIER 29/42, 69%
2ND TIER 9/42, 21%
3RD TIER 4/42, 10%
4TH-7TH TIER 0/42, 0%

SUPER BOWL CHAMPION L21 YEARS
1ST TIER 16/21, 76%
2ND TIER 3/21, 14%
3RD TIER 2/21, 10%
4TH-7TH TIER 0/21, 0%

 

[HUNT]

UPDATE

Remaining Teams
2ND TIER - 3
3RD TIER - 1

NFC
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (2ND TIER) NFC #2
----------
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (3RD TIER) NFC #6

AFC
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (2ND TIER) AFC #1
BUFFALO BILLS (2ND TIER) AFC #2
----------

SUPER BOWL PARTICIPANT L21 YEARS
1ST TIER 29/42, 69%
2ND TIER 9/42, 21%
3RD TIER 4/42, 10%
4TH-7TH TIER 0/42, 0%

SUPER BOWL CHAMPION L21 YEARS
1ST TIER 16/21, 76%
2ND TIER 3/21, 14%
3RD TIER 2/21, 10%
4TH-7TH TIER 0/21, 0%

You still feel strongly on Buffalo beating KC? What data is that based on besides the tiers?

 

[twinkie13]

Refs missing 3 fgs, leaving Kelce open all day and getting sacked 8 times def helped.

The first roughing has been called like that for years. The crown hit the face mask. It’s roughing. Second one as a ball carrier I woulda preferred not called.

This site is like 98 percent “fuck your feelings” maga so I’m surprised everyone gets so upset about the officiating when the actual data does not support this. Josh Allen gets significantly more roughing and PI and nary a whisper here.

Chiefs will continue to be one of the more penalized teams in the league and everyone will still cry outrage just like we all did for the Patriots for years. Someone just needs to beat them. Then everyone can be happy again.

Nothing against u specifically hunt it’s just hearing this every day is tiresome. Officiating is bad. We are on tv every week. Ur gonna see bad calls with us more than most teams.

Go Rams/Ravens parlay today

Do you realize only you and Chiefs fans feel this way?

 

[Capaholic]

Do you realize only you and Chiefs fans feel this way?

Chiefs were called for the most holding calls in the league.

They are middle of the pack in roughing the passer and pass int.

There was a graph yesterday that in the 4th quarter there was no increase of benefiting from penalties for them.

Now. I am also realistic. I’m giving you facts. When it was the Patriots, I felt like you. The Chiefs are on almost every week. They are on commercials. They have Taylor Swift.

There is serious Chiefs fatigue and I get it. And when the whole world tunes in and there are questionable calls, clearly it’s going to fees into a bias argument.

Those of us who watch even the shittiest teams regularly don’t take to the internet to say “damn the Panthers get all the calls” Officiating is bad. Across the board.

There’s been countless posts on twitter detailing calls against KC and that other teams benefit far more than them. (Hint; they play one this week)

But long story short, I get why anyone would be tired of the Chiefs in their faces at all times and looking like they benefit from the refs.

 

[Loves2kickass]

You still feel strongly on Buffalo beating KC? What data is that based on besides the tiers?

My personal opinion is still the winner of the BAL/BUF game should be the Champion. It's pretty close between BUF and KC as you can see by the futures odds (BUF +230/KC +230) and like most other playoff games will be determined by turnovers. Besides Tiers I use several proven team data factors from previous playoff results.

Although the system didn't provide a 1st Tier champion it did continue to predict NO 4th Tier - 7th Tier team as the champion. Also, of the 4 remaining teams, 3 of them are 2nd Tier teams. 2nd Tier and 3rd Tier teams have now been a Super Bowl participant a combined 15/44, 34% and a Super Bowl Champion 6/22, 27% for the last 22 seasons.

Ist Tier champion predictions aren't bullet proof and being there were only 2 teams in that category at the start of the playoffs and the fact of how close the top 6 teams were that I mentioned pre playoffs I'm not surprised of the 4 teams remaining, besides 3rd Tier Washington.

At this point BUF v PHI appears to be the Super Bowl matchup but that's obviously not going to come easily and not as strong of a prediction if BAL or DET would have advanced to this point.

Speaking of WAS, if they happen to make it to the Super Bowl I'd feel real confident with a Side (ATS) and game total opinion based solely on past 3rd Tier Super Bowl results and previous Wild Card participant Super Bowl results.

As we've seen this season and previous seasons, predicting Super Bowl futures is a hard nut to crack and changes weekly after each playoff round but the Tiers normally help narrow the field down to just a few teams.

 

[HUNT]

Chiefs were called for the most holding calls in the league.

They are middle of the pack in roughing the passer and pass int.

There was a graph yesterday that in the 4th quarter there was no increase of benefiting from penalties for them.

Now. I am also realistic. I’m giving you facts. When it was the Patriots, I felt like you. The Chiefs are on almost every week. They are on commercials. They have Taylor Swift.

There is serious Chiefs fatigue and I get it. And when the whole world tunes in and there are questionable calls, clearly it’s going to fees into a bias argument.

Those of us who watch even the shittiest teams regularly don’t take to the internet to say “damn the Panthers get all the calls” Officiating is bad. Across the board.

There’s been countless posts on twitter detailing calls against KC and that other teams benefit far more than them. (Hint; they play one this week)

But long story short, I get why anyone would be tired of the Chiefs in their faces at all times and looking like they benefit from the refs.

It's not the amount of calls. It's WHEN you get the calls during the game. An important 3rd down, red zone, etc.

 

[Capaholic]

It's not the amount of calls. It's WHEN you get the calls during the game. An important 3rd down, red zone, etc.

Again, I get what the perception is. Despite the data showing that it’s not the case. Time of game, down etc.

Case in point. Everyone remembered in week 2 that Cincy got rightfully called for PI on 4th and 16th, giving the Chiefs life and they eventually won. Damn refs.

Nobody remembers that the play before on 4th and 6, the Chiefs got a first down and it was called back for holding. Making it 4th and 16.

There has yet to be one single data point that shows KC getting advantageous calls at optimal times. There are data points that support that for the Bills. But we aren’t ready for that conversation or have gotten tired of them yet.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Prior to the playoffs I did post 6 potential SB winning teams with 3 in bold (BAL, BUF & MIN). I bet SB futures with all three of those teams defeating all possible playoff opponents with the exception of the 6th Tier Los Angeles Rams and solo SB future bets.

My last hope with my remaining futures are BUF def WASH and BUF def PHI. I also have a SB future with BUF remaining (BAL/MIN tickets eliminated) prior to the start of the playoffs so I may hedge that bet and my 2 futures. Those are BUF def PHI +2100 & BUF def WAS +16500. I mentioned this as an example of how I bet the Tier system.

I've lost a lot more tickets than I've won (SB, Division futures and single playoff bets) from the start of week 5 until today but as far as money is concerned I show a very slight profit so far. For transparency purposes I've posted several of those bets in this thread but not all. My largest win was mentioned in this thread with TB +800 to win division when they were 3 games behind Atlanta. Below is the screenshot of the odds when I made a few wagers that still remain.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Again, I get what the perception is. Despite the data showing that it’s not the case. Time of game, down etc.

Case in point. Everyone remembered in week 2 that Cincy got rightfully called for PI on 4th and 16th, giving the Chiefs life and they eventually won. Damn refs.

Nobody remembers that the play before on 4th and 6, the Chiefs got a first down and it was called back for holding. Making it 4th and 16.

There has yet to be one single data point that shows KC getting advantageous calls at optimal times. There are data points that support that for the Bills. But we aren’t ready for that conversation or have gotten tired of them yet.

I agree with you in the aspect of penalties with the Chiefs games are magnified due to their success over the past 4-5 seasons.

 

[Capaholic]

I agree with you in the aspect of penalties with the Chiefs games are magnified due to their success over the past 4-5 seasons.

That’s all I’m saying. Like I get how it looks because everyone’s shouting it at the same time. But it doesn’t make it so.

 

[HUNT]

Again, I get what the perception is. Despite the data showing that it’s not the case. Time of game, down etc.

Case in point. Everyone remembered in week 2 that Cincy got rightfully called for PI on 4th and 16th, giving the Chiefs life and they eventually won. Damn refs.

Nobody remembers that the play before on 4th and 6, the Chiefs got a first down and it was called back for holding. Making it 4th and 16.

There has yet to be one single data point that shows KC getting advantageous calls at optimal times. There are data points that support that for the Bills. But we aren’t ready for that conversation or have gotten tired of them yet.

It happens every year in the playoffs cap. There wouldn't be players speaking out about it or memes created out of thin air. This shit is real. They get the calls at the times that benefit them the most every damn playoff game almost.

I know you love your chiefs and you still have your 92 starter jacket which is fresh as hell but you guys got a 12th man in that field bro!

 

[Capaholic]

It happens every year in the playoffs cap. There wouldn't be players speaking out about it or memes created out of thin air. This shit is real. They get the calls at the times that benefit them the most every damn playoff game almost.

I know you love your chiefs and you still have your 92 starter jacket which is fresh as hell but you guys got a 12th man in that field bro!

I still got that Chiefs Zubaz outfit from the early 90’s somewhere in the house