September-October (Regular Season)

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----

LAST - [7-8 +0.28u]
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u]
AUG - [150-184 -65.77u]

Gave back lots of profit in August, but still up decently on the year.

Thursday:

• 4/2.92 Dodgers -137
• 3.50/2 BRAVES -1½ -175
• 4/6.08 Tigers +152
• 3/2.73 TIGERS u7½ -110
• 2/3.24 ORIOLES +162
• 4/6.00 Rangers +150
• 2/2.70 Brewers -1½ +135
• 2/1.55 BREWERS -129
• 3/3.12 ATHLETICS +104

Pend: KC, MIL & 1', OAK

CHASIN THE LINE...
LAST ML - 3-2
7 Years ML - 59.6% +4.8% ROI
LAST RLF- 2-3
7 Years RLF- 50.3% +2.5% ROI
LAST UN - 3-1
7 Years UN - 56.8% +9.1% ROI
LAST OV - 2-1
7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.1% ROI
Today:
ML: LAD, ATL
RLF: LAD, ATL
UNDER: DET
OVER: NYM

 

[2daBank]

certainly not trying to tell you what to do but personally i almost always cut back the amount of plays i make in aug/sept, we pretty similar with volume in the 1st half the season but i feel like lines start getting tighter as we get past the asb and into august as books have a lot more to work with. for most part i think they getting things a lot more "right" now, with the exception of the chi sox who continue to get lined like they a playoff team despite 3/4 a season of evidence that says otherwise!! lol

 

[2daBank]

i was just saying in another thread how much i love Bradish, his stuff is light years better than his surface stats., all kinds of value on him and his underrated squad!! rangers and tigers look interesting as well. only one i lean oppo is milw..debating between snakes or over tho.. gl

 

[mrpickem]

certainly not trying to tell you what to do but personally i almost always cut back the amount of plays i make in aug/sept, we pretty similar with volume in the 1st half the season but i feel like lines start getting tighter as we get past the asb and into august as books have a lot more to work with. for most part i think they getting things a lot more "right" now, with the exception of the chi sox who continue to get lined like they a playoff team despite 3/4 a season of evidence that says otherwise!! lol

I typically cut way back in Sept after callups although it may still look similar here as what I adjust is unit value. The way I have been posting for quite some time now, 4 units posted = 1 actual betting unit for me. I have 3 levels of picks A+, A & A- that I post as 5u, 4u, and 3u when in reality for me they are 1.25u / 1u / .75u plays. All my plays are based on risk although I will adjust amounts a bit for big FAV or big DOG. I have adjusted my unit value to approximately 40% of what it was yesterday starting today. I'm not looking to get rich, just trying to keep my head above water and stay entertained. That's a general gist of how I post and determine wager amounts, but there is a little more thought that sometimes clouds my decisions.

Love Bradish today as he may be the first guy I remember ever have a return over 100% ROI on different scenarios with at least 7 starts. ( 7-0 +122.3% OUTSIDE DIVISION AND 6-1 +102.1% IN AWAY GAMES). I have him as 3u play but since he was big dog (>=160) I only played 2u.

I tracked the teams I made\lost the most on when played this season (SU plays only)


Also the ones I did best/worse fading



I just love this shit! :cheers3:

 

[2daBank]

I split bradish between O’s ml and Cleveland Ff tt un2.5, just in case Beibs out duels him. Gl today!!

 

[2daBank]

I wish I was more organized, that pretty cool. I have a notebook full of plays it would take a week to sort out, didn’t even mark w/l or the date on some of them! Lol. My record keeping is non existent. It be wise for me to change that, maybe that can be my next goal!!

Without even figuring out im sure I’m right with you down betting the tigers, they killed me early on!! Pretty confident im really good on or against fish, for some reason I have bet their games a ton last few years! Im always up making plays on cardinals games. Pretty much always down betting those assholes from the Bronx! lol. I’d guess I’m up a good chunk mostly against CWS since asb but I prob lost a lot the 1st half on them, kept thinking they turned corner, now I know they suck and it shocks me they continued being lined like a playoff team!!

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [3-6 -11.03u]
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] (THROUGH AUG31)
SEPT - [3-6 -11.03u]

Friday:

• 3/6.27 CUBS +209
• 5/3.16 Dodgers -158
• 4/2.55 Orioles -157
• 3/4.86 Rangers +162
• 3/2.94 RANGERS o10 -102
• 4/2.96 Mariners -135
• 3/2.80 TIGERS -107
• 4/3.31 Rays -121
• 3/6.60 PIRATES +220

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 2-2​

7 Years ML - 59.6% +4.8% ROI​

LAST RLF- 1-1​

7 Years RLF- 50.3% +2.5% ROI​

LAST UN - 1-0​

7 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 1-0​

7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.1% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: LAA, LAD ​

RLF: LAD​

UNDER: LAD ​

OVER: BOS, AZ​

 

[mrpickem]

add

• 2/3.30 MARLINS +165

Not in love with the fish, but this line just seems way too high IMO. As seen a couple of post back I've lost more betting on MIA than any other team this season....so there is that as well.

​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [4-5-1 -4.38u]
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] (THROUGH AUG31)
SEPT - [7-11 -15.41u]

Saturday:

• 4/3.51 Phillies -114
• 3/1.80 METS -1½ -167
• 4/7.36 CUBS +184
• 3/1.65 Braves -182
• 4/2.40 Brewers -167
• 4/1.96 DODGERS -204
• 3/2.44 Rays -123
• 3/2.88 Tigers -104
• 3/2.36 White Sox -127
• 4/3.51 Angels -114

Pend: PIT & O, BAL

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 1-2​

7 Years ML - 59.6% +4.8% ROI​

LAST RLF- 1-1​

7 Years RLF- 50.3% +2.5% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-0-1​

7 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-1​

7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.0% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: PHI, PIT, BAL, CHC, CHW, NYM, MIL, LAA, LAD​

RLF: BAL, NYM, MIL, LAA, LAD​

UNDER: NA ​

OVER: NA​

randoms...
SD: Darvish shuts out Dodgers for seven in victory
KC: X-rays return negative for Salvador Perez (hand)
TB: Jeffrey Springs K's seven in win over Yankees
ATL: Travis d'Arnaud homers twice, Braves rout Marlins
MIA: Alcantara allows three homers Friday in loss
NYY: Andrew Benintendi (wrist) heading for MRI Saturday
MIN: Sonny Gray leaves start with tight right hamstring
KC: X-rays return negative for Salvador Perez (hand)
NYM: Eduardo Escobar homers, plates three vs. Nationals
TOR: Bo Bichette has three hits and homers vs Pirates
SEA: Raleigh homers twice as Mariners top Guardians

 

[2daBank]

Man, those some nice trends for Braves but you paying a lot of juice to take a mediocre journeyman vs a young stud pitcher. I’m not playing fish tho, I like Cabrera k prop instead.

 

[mrpickem]

Man, those some nice trends for Braves but you paying a lot of juice to take a mediocre journeyman vs a young stud pitcher. I’m not playing fish tho, I like Cabrera k prop instead.

The Marlins have been my nemesis all year, can win with them or against them, but hard to fade the Braves the way they have been dealing even though my model still sides with the fish -smk...I over-ruled :rofl:

 

[2daBank]

The Marlins have been my nemesis all year, can win with them or against them, but hard to fade the Braves the way they have been dealing even though my model still sides with the fish -smk...I over-ruled :rofl:

lol. Marlins a goofy team but I like them cause I like pitching more than offense., their lineup yesterday didn’t have 1 guy w dd home runs! Think Braves hit as many in that game as fish have all year! I can’t back them here even tho I want to, I just think the kid pitching for them today is filthy and don’t think Braves have seen him yet, unlike most fish other pitchers they have faced a lot. Braves can win 10-0 for all I care long as Cabrera is good enough to stay in gm long enough to get me 6 strike outs! Something Braves do a lot when they not bashing hr’s!

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 4/1.91 ORIOLES -209
• 2/3.00 Pirates +150
• 3/3.00 Pirates o½ +100

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [7-6 -2.77u]
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] (THROUGH AUG31)
SEPT - [14-17 -18.18u]

Sunday:

• 2/5.26 NATIONALS +263
• 3/2.56 Giants -117
• 3/2.88 GIANTS u7½ -104
• 4/5.60 PADRES +140
• 4/2.37 RANGERS +1½ -169
• 3/2.33 ATHLETICS +1½ -129
• 4/5.72 YANKEES -1½ +143
• 5/5.60 Twins +112
• 3/2.86 White Sox o8½ -105
• 4/2.74 GUARDIANS +1½ -146
• 3/1.89 Astros -159
• 3/2.94 BLUE JAYS o8 -102

Pend: CIN 1'

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 6-5​

7 Years ML - 59.6% +4.7% ROI​

LAST RLF- 5-3​

7 Years RLF- 50.3% +2.6% ROI​

LAST UN - 1-0​

7 Years UN - 56.9% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 1-1​

7 Years OV - 55.2% +6.0% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: TOR, CIN, ATL, NYY, WA, SF, HOU, AZ, SD​

RLF: TOR, CIN, ATL, NYY, HOU, AZ​

UNDER: ATL, SF ​

OVER: CHW, LAA​

 

[2daBank]

Most teams I prefer to play on or pass when they appear to be on a hot streak but feel like CWS usually doesn’t go much past 4 games and then they lose bout 3-4-5 in a row, lol. Maybe the fact their drunken washed up moron manager is gone (at rehab probably) things will be different?

 

[2daBank]

That kid for marlins pitched his ass off, got my k prop, yet atl still managed to win it in the 9th! Everyone wins!!

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [4-8 -14.62u]

2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] (THROUGH AUG31)
SEPT - [18-25 -32.8u]

Monday:

• 3/5.61 Dbacks +187
• 4/5.92 Rangers +148
• 3/5.49 GIANTS +183
• 4/3.60 ROYALS u7½ -111
• 4/4.36 NATS +1½ +109
• 2/3.84 Pirates +192
• 3/4.56 Twins +152
• 4/2.05 WHITE SOX +1½ -195

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 6-1​

7 Years ML - 59.6% +4.8% ROI​

LAST RLF- 3-1​

7 Years RLF- 50.4% +2.6% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-3​

7 Years UN - 56.8% +9.0% ROI​

LAST OV - 3-1​

7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.1% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: NYM, SD​

RLF: NYM, SD​

UNDER: KC​

OVER: NA​

...she's taking all my heat​

​

:injuredhockeyplayer:​

 

[mrpickem]

taking a shot with the birds early

• 3/4.80 Orioles +160

 

[2daBank]

taking a shot with the birds early

• 3/4.80 Orioles +160

Like it, I think they get at least one the double dip so might as well!

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [4-4 +3.51u]
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] (THROUGH AUG31)
SEPT - [22-29 -29.29u]

Tuesday:

• 2/3.86 PIRATES +193
• 5/2.28 PHILLIES -219
• 3/2.61 Phillies u7 -115
• 5/2.07 CARDINALS -242
• 4/2.20 Brewers -182
• 4/2.58 Padres -155
• 4/4.20 Padres u7 +105
• 5/3.40 Rays -147
• 2/3.54 Twins +177
• 3/2.65 YANKEES u7 -113
• 5/2.69 GUARDIANS -186
• 1/2.28 RANGERS +228
• 3/3.90 Tigers +130
• 4/4.20 White Sox u7 +105
• 5/4.03 BRAVES -1½ -124

Pend: CHC 1'

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 0-1​

7 Years ML - 59.6% +4.8% ROI​

LAST RLF- 0-1​

7 Years RLF- 50.3% +2.6% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-1​

7 Years UN - 56.7% +9.0% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-0​

7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.1% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: NYM, TB, PHI, NYY, CLE, HOU, MIL, DET, AZ, SEA ​

RLF: NYM, TB, PHI, NYY, CLE, HOU, MIL, SEA​

UNDER: PHI, NYY, SD​

OVER: NA​

 

[2daBank]

I find it interesting Cleveland has a winning record vs lhp the last year seeing how only the marlins have a worse ops than them facing lhp this year. Under makes the most sense to me, gl today

 

[mrpickem]

adding

• 3/4.20 Cubs -1½ +140
• 2/5.40 GIANTS +270

​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] -THRU AUG
LAST - [10-5-2 +12.17u]
SEPT - [32-34 -17.12u]

Wednesday:

• 4/3.33 ROCKIES +1½ -120
• 2/4.40 GIANTS +220
• 4/4.92 PHILLIES -1½ +123
• 3/3.15 MARLINS o8 +105
• 1/2.60 NATIONALS +260
• 4/2.03 PADRES -197
• 4/2.14 Mariners -187
• 3/2.50 Mariners u7½ -120
• 4/3.92 ORIOLES u7½ -102
• 3/2.86 Rays u7 -105
• 3/6.66 Rangers +222
• 5/5.85 Royals +117
• 5/3.38 BRAVES -1½ -148

Pend: 2-PIT & O

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 4-5​

7 Years ML - 59.6% +4.7% ROI​

LAST RLF- 3-4​

7 Years RLF- 50.3% +2.5% ROI​

LAST UN - 1-1​

7 Years UN - 56.7% +9.0% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-0-1​

7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.1% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: ATL, LAA, SEA, SF, TB, MIA, TOR, SL, SD​

RLF: ATL, LAA, SEA, TB, TOR, SL, SD​

UNDER: OAK, TB, BAL​

OVER: SD, PHI​

 

[2daBank]

Love the rox today, gl

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 3/6.45 PIRATES GM-1 +215
• 2/3.66 TIGERS +183

​

 

[mrpickem]

...one more

• 5/3.13 RAYS -160

Even though I didn't play earlier at better odds, I've decided to go ahead and back the Rays to get the sweep tonight. It's looking like Boston may have mailed it after back-to-back losses at Tampa. Bogaerts will sit today after leaving the game yesterday with back spasms, JD Martinez hasn't played since Sat with his own back issues and is doubtful. OF Cordero was placed on the 10-day injured list Tuesday with an ankle issue and is expected to miss the rest of the season. Operation Shutdown is a GO. Rays' Jeffrey Springs has a 1.91 ERA at home while TB has shelled Pivetta to the tune of a 10.13 ERA in 10.2 inn. Spring has allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of the last 6 starts. Pivetta has allowed 5, 7, 4, and 3 in the last 4 starts vs TB all losses.

-BOS 18-38 -34.1% in DIV this season.
-BOS 15-30 -28.4% vs teams w/winning record since the break (RL: 18-27 -26.7%)
-TB 23-10 +28.1% @home in DIV this season.
-TB 33-15 +21% w/total is 7 or less this season KillerSports.com
-TB 38-16 +11.9% ROI AS HOME FAV -120 OR MORE THIS SEASON KillerSports.com

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] -THRU AUG
LAST - [7-8-1 +1.24u]
SEPT - [39-42 -15.93u]

Thursday:

• 4/3.31 Phillies -121
• 3/5.01 Athletics +167
• 3/1.10 CARDINALS -273

Pend: NYY

LAST - [7-8-1 +1.24u]
SEPT - [39-42 -15.93u]

 

[2daBank]

Oh yea, you a dirty little bitch ain’t ya! Don’t worry, daddy won’t tell. I know just what you need.




Oh fuck, don’t mind me, forgot where I was for a minute. Anyways, I gotta go!! Gl today

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 3/2.24 Cubs -134
• 3/2.19 YANKEES -137
• 2/3.52 1-GIANTS GM-1 +176

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] -THRU AUG
LAST - [0-6 -18u] :curse:
SEPT - [39-48 -33.93u]

Friday:

• 4/2.08 CARDINALS -192
• 3/3.06 REDS o8½ +102
• 3/2.86 Rockies -105
• 4/3.23 Orioles -124
• 4/2.70 Blue Jays -148
• 4/3.48 TWINS u8 -115
• 4/7.88 ANGELS +197
• 5/7.20 Athletics +144
• 3/3.12 Mariners +104

Pend: MIA U, SF 1'

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 2-0​

7 Years ML - 59.6% +4.8% ROI​

LAST RLF- 0-0​

7 Years RLF- 50.3% +2.5% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-0​

7 Years UN - 56.6% +8.8% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-1​

7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.1% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: BAL, CIN, OAK​

RLF: BAL​

UNDER: COL​

OVER: MIL​

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 3/3.75 Giants -1½ +125
• 3/4.29 Marlins +143
• 4/3.54 MARLINS u7½ -113
• 3/3.21 Diamondbacks +107

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] -THRU AUG
LAST - [5-8 -13.86u]
SEPT - [44-56 -47.79u]


Saturday:

• 5/2.20 Phillies -227
• 4/4.20 PIRATES +1½ +105
• 3/3.00 ROCKIES +100
• 3/2.80 DBACKS o11½ -104
• 4/4.00 Rays +100
• 5/8.25 ATHLETICS +165
• 3/2.83 Royals -106
• 5/6.35 Angels +127
• 4/4.16 ASTROS u7 +104
• 3/2.36 Braves -127

Pend: BAL

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 1-3​

7 Years ML - 59.6% +4.8% ROI​

LAST RLF- 0-1​

7 Years RLF- 50.3% +2.5% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-1​

7 Years UN - 56.6% +8.8% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-0-1​

7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.1% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: PHI, TOR, LAA, MIL​

RLF: PHI, TOR, MIL​

UNDER: HOU​

OVER: COL​

 

[2daBank]

I think ya gotta like the over if ya like pirates. Cards have mostly mashed Brubaker every time they seen him (besides his mlb debut, he dominated that one, then never again! Lol).

Mad bum gonna get bum rushed! Lol. Gl today

 

[mrpickem]

View attachment 68377adding

• 2/3.30 PIRATES +165
• 2/1.89 CARDINALS o7½ -106
• 4/3.77 ORIOLES -106

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] -THRU AUG
LAST - [4-8-1 -14.56u]
SEPT - [48-64 -62.35u]

Sunday:

• 2/5.24 NATIONALS +262
• 3/3.15 Phillies u8 +105
• 5/2.55 CARDINALS -196
• 4/3.42 MARLINS u7½ -117
• 2/4.84 REDS +242
• 5/3.07 DBACKS -163
• 4/3.81 Dbacks -1½ -105
• 4/6.48 ORIOLES -1½ +162
• 5/4.63 ASTROS -1½ -108
• 3/2.03 Royals -148
• 4/2.60 White Sox -154
• 5/4.63 BRAVES o8½ -108

Pend: TEX & U

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 4-0​

7 Years ML - 59.6% +4.8% ROI​

LAST RLF- 3-0​

7 Years RLF- 50.4% +2.6% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-1-1​

7 Years UN - 56.6% +8.7% ROI​

LAST OV - 1-1​

7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.1% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: PHI, SL, HOU, MIL, KC, TEX, AZ, CHC​

RLF: PHI, SL, HOU, MIL, KC, AZ​

UNDER: PHI, TEX​

OVER: HOU, SEA​

 

[2daBank]

I can’t believe rich hill has a good record vs anybody, think this a different O’s team but it don’t matter, the weather looks crappy there. I was interested in Sox Ff tt ov 1.5 but just passing. Gl today

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] -THRU AUG
LAST - [6-6 +1.72u]
SEPT - [54-70 -60.63u]

Monday:

• 3/7.44 CUBS +248
• 3/5.97 DBACKS +199
• 4/4.16 DODGERS o9 +104
• 4/2.33 Braves -172
• 4/2.03 Astros -197
• 5/4.50 ASTROS -1½ -111

Pend: TEX G2, TOR

​

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 5-0​

7 Years ML - 59.7% +4.9% ROI​

LAST RLF- 4-1​

7 Years RLF- 50.4% +2.7% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-1​

7 Years UN - 56.6% +8.6% ROI​

LAST OV - 2-1​

7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.1% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: NA​

RLF: NA​

UNDER: NA​

OVER: NA​

randoms...

• STREAKS: NONE OVER 3
• OVERS IN AZ 17-11 +13.9% LAST 10 WEEKS
• UNDERS IN CLE 17-10 +20% LAST 10 WEEKS
• UNDERS IN CIN 18-13 +21.4% LAST 10 WEEKS
• NYM ON MONDAY IN 2022: SU 9-4 +22.8% / RL 10-3 +38%
• HOU ON MONDAY IN 2022: SU 5-8 -36.4% / RL 3-10 -52%, FADE RL FOR +37.1%
• MIA ON MONDAY IN 2022: FADE SU FOR 11-4 +42% & FADE RD FOR 10-5 +31.2%
• ATL 28-3 +26.5% VS TEAMS w/LOSING RECORD SINCE BREAK (19-1 LAST 20)
• ATL 36-8 +19.5% WHEN AVG > 10% MORE RUNS THAN OPP SINCE 5/15
• LAD 65-24 +8.6% WHEN AVG > 10% MORE RUNS THAN OPP SINCE 5/15
• TOR 25-26 -22.9% WHEN AVG > 10% MORE RUNS THAN OPP SINCE 5/15
• BERRIOS IS 14-1 +42.1% @home last 360 days
• ANDERSON 13-5 both SU & RL away from home last 13 months...ROI 23.2% / 33.9%

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 4/2.60 Blue Jays -154
• 3/2.54 RANGERS GM2 -118

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] -THRU AUG
LAST - [4-4 +2.57u]
SEPT - [58-74 -58.06u]

Tuesday:

• 5/5.70 WHITE SOX -1½ +114
• 5/6.10 Angels +122
• 4/3.25 Marlins -123
• 3/5.91 Tigers +197
• 4/2.63 Yankees -152
• 5/2.91 Twins -172
• 4/2.72 Orioles -147
• 4/3.81 Mariners -105
• 3/2.63 METS u7 -114
• 3/2.61 ASTROS o8 -115

Pend: CIN G1 U, SL

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 0-1​

7 Years ML - 59.7% +4.8% ROI​

LAST RLF- 0-1​

7 Years RLF- 50.4% +2.6% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-0​

7 Years UN - 56.6% +8.6% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-1​

7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.0% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: NYM, NYY, KC, SL, OAK, SF​

RLF: NYM, NYY, SL​

UNDER: CIN, NYM, BOS, SL, AZ​

OVER: DET, SF​

​

​

​

​

 

[mrpickem]

add

• 3/2.22 Reds Gm 1 135

 

[2daBank]

Seems like Braves have crazy good trends pointing at them every day!! I really think If anyone like atl tonight they be better off playing the over 7.5, I expect San Fran can Plate some runs off wright so Braves gonna need 5+ imo. Certainly possible if not likely, not the juice on the over there is on atl. Just a thought, I passed cause I had more than enough plays already!!

 

[mrpickem]

adding

• 1.15/4 Cubs +347
• 2/1.52 REDS GM-2 -132

cubs may be a reach but at these odds, I can't resist a little

 

[2daBank]

I thought real hard bout playing cubs Ff tt ov .5 runs, just 1 freaking run to cash! No matter how good degrom is somebody could run into 1!

 

[2daBank]

Years ago I used to fade degrom all the time on ml of taking the +1.5, used to be Mets didht give him any support then pen often let him down after he leave! One year his record was crazy bad for being the best pitcher in baseball! Mets have changed tho, havnt tried him this year. Can’t blame ya tho,

 

[mrpickem]

I thought real hard bout playing cubs Ff tt ov .5 runs, just 1 freaking run to cash! No matter how good degrom is somebody could run into 1!

I know I probably let lots of value go but I rarely play props and stick almost exclusively with reduced juice option. Most times team totals are dealt at 30 cents or higher vig and IMHO it's not wise for someone playing as much as I do. I like playing dime lines and even get nickel lines at BAS before 8AM EST. Everybody has their own angle and that's one of mine, reduced juice. I use BAS, LooseLines and sportsbetting.ag...but 5dimes was always my favorite and way back pinnacle when it was still available. If anyone knows any other low juice books that are fairly trustworthy, I'd appreciate any tip.

 

[chipnotized]

I know I probably let lots of value go but I rarely play props and stick almost exclusively with reduced juice option. Most times team totals are dealt at 30 cents or higher vig and IMHO it's not wise for someone playing as much as I do. I like playing dime lines and even get nickel lines at BAS before 8AM EST. Everybody has their own angle and that's one of mine, reduced juice. I use BAS, LooseLines and sportsbetting.ag...but 5dimes was always my favorite and way back pinnacle when it was still available. If anyone knows any other low juice books that are fairly trustworthy, I'd appreciate any tip.

Have a look at Heritage @mrpickem ...they've got a 'reduced juice-cash back' model. Plus they deal 4 cent mlb overnights.

 

[mrpickem]

Have a look at Heritage @mrpickem ...they've got a 'reduced juice-cash back' model. Plus they deal 4 cent mlb overnights.

Thanks, I will revisit Heritage as I used them for a while a few years back. I believe at that time they were mostly 14 cents across the board. But thanks for the tip :shake:

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] -THRU AUG
LAST - [7-6 +4.2u]
SEPT - [65-80 -53.66u]

Wednesday:

• 3/2.91 REDS u8 -103
• 4/4.20 GIANTS +105
• 3/2.73 MARLINS u7½ -110
• 4/3.25 PHILLIES -123
• 3/2.07 ASTROS -1½ -145
• 3/3.12 RAYS +104
• 5/4.17 YANKEES -120
• 3/3.09 YANKEESo9 +103
• 6/3.26 TWINS -184
• 3/1.99 RANGERS -151
• 3/2.88 A'S o8½ -104
• 5/7.35 MARINERS -1½ +147
• 6.78/3 WHITE SOX -226
• 4/3.42 WHITE SOX u7½ -117

Pend: CHC & U, CLE

​

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 2-2​

7 Years ML - 59.7% +4.8% ROI​

LAST RLF- 1-3​

7 Years RLF- 50.4% +2.6% ROI​

LAST UN - 2-1​

7 Years UN - 56.6% +8.7% ROI​

LAST OV - 1-1​

7 Years OV - 55.3% +6.0% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: HOU, CHW, SEA, PHI, CHC, MIL, TEX​

RLF: HOU, CHW, SEA, PHI, TEX​

UNDER: CIN, CHW, MIN​

OVER: AZ, MIN​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
2022 - [643-702 +45.68u] -THRU AUG
LAST - [8-6 +9.48u]
SEPT - [73-86 -44.18u]

Thursday:

• 3/2.33 PHILLIES -129
• 4/3.51 METS -1½ -114
• 4/3.17 CARDINALS -1½ -126
• 5/6.30 RAYS +126
• 4/3.25 ROYALS +156
• 3/2.73 ROYALS o8½ -110
• 5/7.00 Guardians +140

Pend: HOU 1'

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 3-3​

7 Years ML - 59.7% +4.8% ROI​

LAST RLF- 2-3​

7 Years RLF- 50.4% +2.6% ROI​

LAST UN - 2-1​

7 Years UN - 56.6% +8.7% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-1​

7 Years OV - 55.2% +6.0% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: CHW, TOR, HOU, KC, PHI, SL 1'​

RLF: CHW, KC, HOU​

UNDER: NA​

OVER: MIN​

randoms...
STREAKS: CLE 6, PHI 5, HOU 4, PIT 4, NYY 4, LAA -4, DET -4, WA -5, CIN -6
UNDERS IN HOU 19-11 +20.3% LAST 10 WEEKS
UNDERS IN TOR 16-10 +16.9% LAST 10 WEEKS
UNDERS IN CLE 17-12 +11.7% LAST 10 WEEKS
HOU ON THURSDAY IN 2022: SU 15-1 +53.1% / RL 12-4 +50.5%
AZ ON THURSDAY IN 2022: SU 7-3 +47.2% / RL 8-2 +39.1%
NYM ON THURSDAY IN 2022: SU 11-2 +45.5% / RL 9-4 +44.4%
MIA ON THURSDAY IN 2022: 10-3 +45%
CHW ON THURSDAY IN 2022: 4-13 BOTH SU & RL, FADE FOR +60.5% & +47.2%
PHI 32-11 +21% WHEN AVG > 10% MORE RUNS THAN OPP SINCE 5/15
TOR 28-27 -20% WHEN AVG > 10% MORE RUNS THAN OPP SINCE 5/15
BRUBAKER 3-27 -74.3% AWAY FROM PIT ALLTIME (25 MONTHS)
MIKOLAS 10-3 +31.9% @HOME THIS SEASON (9-1 IN LAST 10)

 

[mrpickem]

couple more...

• 5/7.55 DBACKS +151
• 3/2.19 ASTROS -1½ -137