JUNE BASES ~ ⚾

FRIDAY
✅3/2.62 NATIONALS -114
✅2/2.70 Nationals -1½ +135
✅3/2.06 PADRES -146
✅2/2.90 Padres -1½ +145
✅4/2.86 White Sox +1½ -140
⛅4/3.64 Rangers u8 -110
❌5/3.28 ORIOLES -152
❌2/2.10 Orioles -1½ +105
❌4/2.52 Twins -159
❌6/5.45 Athletics u8½ -110
✅4/6.68 Braves -1½ +167
✅4/3.49 Braves o7½ -114
❌6/3.71 MARINERS -162
❌3/2.72 Red Sox -110
❌2/3.06 Red Sox -1½ +153
✅4/3.48 Reds u9½ -115
❌4/4.60 Dodgers -1½ +115
60/56.1 -107

JUNE [193-205 -71.52u]
LAST [8-8-1 -5.21u]️

SATURDAY​

  • 4/7.60 Cardinals -1½ +190
  • 4/6.92 Cubs -1½ +173
  • 5/2.21 PHILLIES -226
  • 4/3.64 Phillies u9 -110
  • 3/2.75 Nationals -109
  • 2/2.80 Nationals -1½ +140
  • 4/2.65 Tigers -151
  • 4/4.20 Tigers u8½ +105
  • 4/3.48 Rangers u8½ -115
  • 6/5.45 Athletics u8 -110
  • 3/2.08 Orioles -144
  • 2/2.40 Orioles -1½ +120
  • 6/5.45 Astros u8 -110
  • 3/2.88 Rays -104
  • 2.15/1 Rays +1½ -215
  • 4/4.00 Pirates u8 +100
  • 4/3.48 Marlins +1½ -115
  • 3/2.51 Red Sox -120
  • 4/5.20 Red Sox -1½ +130
  • 4/4.00 Reds u9½ +100
  • 4/5.80 Yankees -1½ +145
  • 4/4.20 Braves o9 +105
  • 6/1.69 DODGERS -356
  • 4/3.64 Dodgers u8½ -110
93.15/90 -1.04​

randoms...
  • HOME TEAMS ON ML 54-37 +9.8% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ON ML 17-14 +26.9% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ON RL 22-9 +28.4% LAST 7 DAYS
  • UNDERS 44-39-3 +53% OVER LAST 7 DAYS
  • GILBERT w/FAV -150 OR MORE 2023-24: ML 7-11 RL 4-14 FADE HAS RETURNED 54.2% & 42.8%

168586.jpg


1719024114223998-1.png
 
1719151438933.png

SATURDAY
✅4/7.60 Cardinals -1½ +190
✅4/6.92 Cubs -1½ +173
✅5/2.21 PHILLIES -226
❌4/3.64 Phillies u9 -110
❌3/2.75 Nationals -109
❌2/2.80 Nationals -1½ +140
❌4/2.65 Tigers -151
✅4/4.20 Tigers u8½ +105
✅4/3.48 Rangers u8½ -115
❌6/5.45 Athletics u8 -110
❌3/2.08 Orioles -144
❌2/2.40 Orioles -1½ +120
✅6/5.45 Astros u8 -110
❌3/2.88 Rays -104
✅2.15/1 Rays +1½ -215
✅4/4.00 Pirates u8 +100
❌4/3.48 Marlins +1½ -115
✅3/2.51 Red Sox -120
❌4/5.20 Red Sox -1½ +130
✅4/4.00 Reds u9½ +100
✅4/5.80 Yankees -1½ +145
✅4/4.20 Braves o9 +105
✅6/1.69 DODGERS -356
❌4/3.64 Dodgers u8½ -110
93.15/90 -1.04

1719152129397.png

SUNDAY
  • 3/5.70 Diamondbacks +190
  • 2/1.90 Diamondbacks +1½ -105
  • 4/4.44 GIANTS +111
  • 3/2.78 Cubs -108
  • 2/3.70 Cubs -1½ +185
  • 4/3.64 Cubs u8½ -110
  • 3/2.46 Nationals -122
  • 2/2.60 Nationals -1½ +130
  • 4/4.20 Nationals o11 +105
  • 4/3.15 Padres -127
  • 4/3.49 PADRES u8 -114
  • 6/4.80 White Sox +1½ -125
  • 4/4.20 Tigers u8½ +105
  • 3/3.39 Orioles +113
  • 2/1.08 Orioles +1½ -185
  • 4/5.36 Royals +134
  • 6/5.40 Rangers u8½ -111
  • 4/3.64 Athletics +1½ -110
  • 6/6.00 Athletics u8 +100
  • 4/4.08 Braves o9 +102
  • 4/2.61 PIRATES -153
  • 4/3.54 PIRATES u8 -113
  • 4/3.48 Reds u9½ -115
  • 4/2.47 Mariners -162
  • 4.04/4 MARLINS u7½ -101
94/92.1 -102

randoms...
  • STREAKS: TOR -5
  • HOME TEAMS ON ML 54-37 +11.2% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ON ML 15-14 +18.6% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ON RL 20-9 +24.5% LAST 7 DAYS
  • SCHERZER 14-3 +33.9% VS KC LAST DECADE
  • FREELAND 6-2 +13.8% ALLTIME VS NATS w/2.31 ERA
  • KIKUCHI 0-5 ALLTIME VS CLE w/2.45 & 0.915

395148873_1404516653488328_2893765716236352958_n.jpg.40c31ab93da46818e4cf3eb3c1389c68.jpg
 
SUNDAY
❌3/5.70 Diamondbacks +190
❌2/1.90 Diamondbacks +1½ -105
❌4/4.44 GIANTS +111
❌3/2.78 Cubs -108
❌2/3.70 Cubs -1½ +185
✅4/3.64 Cubs u8½ -110
✅3/2.46 Nationals -122
❌2/2.60 Nationals -1½ +130
❌4/4.20 Nationals o11 +105
❌4/3.15 Padres -127
⛅4/3.49 PADRES u8 -114
❌6/4.80 White Sox +1½ -125
❌4/4.20 Tigers u8½ +105
❌3/3.39 Orioles +113
❌2/1.08 Orioles +1½ -185
❌4/5.36 Royals +134
✅6/5.40 Rangers u8½ -111
❌4/3.64 Athletics +1½ -110
✅6/6.00 Athletics u8 +100
❌4/4.08 Braves o9 +102
❌4/2.61 PIRATES -153
✅4/3.54 PIRATES u8 -113
❌4/3.48 Reds u9½ -115
❌4/2.47 Mariners -162
❌4.04/4 MARLINS u7½ -101
94/92.1 -102

JUNE [211-235 -101.44u]
LAST [5-19-1 -44.00u]️ (｡•́︿•̀｡)

MONDAY​

  • 5/5.40 Pirates +108
  • 2/2.96 PIRATES -1½ +148
  • 4/3.48 Reds u10 -115
  • 4/5.60 Braves -1½ +140
  • 3/3.15 Cubs +105
  • 3/3.24 GUARDIANS +108
  • 4/2.11 Guardians +1½ -190
  • 4/3.64 Rays u7½ -105
  • 4/2.94 Red Sox -136
  • 5/5.75 Athletics +115
  • 2/1.14 Athletics +1½ -175
  • 4/3.08 Dodgers -130
  • 4/3.51 WHITE SOX u8 -114
  • 4/1.77 Royals -226
  • 4/4.08 MARLINS o9½ +102
  • 6/3.92 Brewers -153
62/55.9 -111​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: HOU, CLE 5, SF -5, TOR -6
  • HOME DOGS ON ML 16-17 +9.7% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ON RL 22-11 +20.7% LAST 7 DAYS
120019.jpg
 
MONDAY
❌5/5.40 Pirates +108
❌2/2.96 PIRATES -1½ +148
❌4/3.48 Reds u10 -115
❌4/5.60 Braves -1½ +140
❌3/3.15 Cubs +105
✅3/3.24 GUARDIANS +108
✅4/2.11 Guardians +1½ -190
✅4/3.64 Rays u7½ -105
✅4/2.94 Red Sox -136
❌5/5.75 Athletics +115
❌2/1.14 Athletics +1½ -175
✅4/3.08 Dodgers -130
✅4/3.51 WHITE SOX u8 -114
✅4/1.77 Royals -226
❌4/4.08 MARLINS o9½ +102
✅6/3.92 Brewers -153
62/55.9 -111

JUNE [219-243 -106.23u]
LAST [8-8 -4.79u]️

TUESDAY​

  • 3/3.00 Reds u8 +100
  • 3/3.60 Cardinals +120
  • 3/2.11 Cardinals +1½ -142
  • 7/6.79 Nationals -103
  • 2/2.04 Giants +102
  • 2/1.31 Giants +1½ -153
  • 3/3.15 Orioles u9 +105
  • 2/2.20 Rays +110
  • 2/1.38 Rays +1½ -145
  • 3/1.65 Jays +1½ -182
  • 3/3.00 Jays o9 +100
  • 8.40/7 ANGLES -120
  • 2/2.26 Tigers +113
  • 2/1.29 Tigers +1½ -155
  • 3/2.73 Tigers u7½ -110
  • 3/2.78 Yankees o8½ -108
  • 3/3.54 White Sox +1½ +118
  • 3/3.30 White Sox u9 +110
  • 8/4.26 Royals -188
  • 2/2.00 Royals -1½ +100
  • 3/2.86 Royals u9½ -105
  • 8/3.19 ASTROS -251
  • 3/5.01 Brewers -1½ +167
  • 3/3.09 Rangers o9 +103
  • 4/4.36 Diamondbacks +109
  • 4/2.58 Diamondbacks +1½ -155
92.4/79.9 -116​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: HOU 5, CLE 6, TOR -7
  • HOME TEAMS ON ML 54-39 +8.5% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ON ML 17-18 +9.8% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ON RL 23-12 +19.6% LAST 7 DAYS
Another losing night just befuddles me. Crazy thing is, if I had bet nothing but my model plays all season, I would be up decently.
This is the record from model all season, with standard plays on left and extra plays on the right. -SMH
WLUnitsROIWINSLOSSESUNITSROI
SEASON10910313.316.28%1.15531209.3018.23%
YESTERDAY311.1929.85%210.093.14%
LAST 7 DAYS1411-1.56-6.24%640.393.92%
LAST 14 DAYS33221.352.45%1482.8512.94%

Note: The standard plays include the extra plays, it's just the extra play reach a higher threshold.

Where before I valued every metric at 1, not I will value model much higher (4/5). See how it goes moving forward, sucks that 1st night model has 3 extra plays and 2 are big chalk, but whatever, played! Let's fckn go!

168639.jpg
 
1719406539305.png

TUESDAY
❌3/3.00 Reds u8 +100
⛅3/3.60 Cardinals +120
⛅3/2.11 Cardinals +1½ -142
❌7/6.79 Nationals -103
✅2/2.04 Giants +102
✅2/1.31 Giants +1½ -153
❌3/3.15 Orioles u9 +105
✅2/2.20 Rays +110
✅2/1.38 Rays +1½ -145
✅3/1.65 Jays +1½ -182
✅3/3.00 Jays o9 +100
✅8.40/7 ANGLES -120
✅2/2.26 Tigers +113
✅2/1.29 Tigers +1½ -155
✅3/2.73 Tigers u7½ -110
✅3/2.78 Yankees o8½ -108
✅3/3.54 White Sox +1½ +118
✅3/3.30 White Sox u9 +110
❌8/4.26 Royals -188
❌2/2.00 Royals -1½ +100
✅3/2.86 Royals u9½ -105
✅8/3.19 ASTROS -251
✅3/5.01 Brewers -1½ +167
⛅3/3.09 RANGERS o9 +103
✅4/4.36 Diamondbacks +109
✅4/2.58 Diamondbacks +1½ -155
92.4/79.9 -116

JUNE [237-248 -76.77u]
LAST [18-5-3 +29.48u]️

1719386360990101-1.gif


WEDNESDAY​

  • 8/4.52 PADRES -177
  • 4/3.48 Nationals o7½ -115
  • 4/3.56 MARINERS -112
  • 4/3.33 Mariners o7 -120
  • 7/11.9 Tigers +170
  • 2/2.00 Tigers +1½ +100
  • 3/5.82 MARLINS +194
  • 3/3.00 Marlins +1½ +100
  • 3/3.30 Astros -1½ +110
  • 2/2.34 1-Cardinals +117
  • 2/1.38 1-Cardinals +1½ -145
  • 4/3.46 1-CARDINALS u8 -116
46/48.1 +105​

...night games coming later

1719406685697.png
randoms...
  • STREAKS: HOU 6, CLE 7, BAL -5
  • HOME TEAM ML 55-37 +9.6% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME TEAM RL 49-43 +10.2% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ML 20-14 +29.9% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS RL 24-10 +27.2% LAST 7 DAYS
Model plays:
SEA
BOS
*SD
*DET

post-85913-0-1446116537-81489.jpg
 
night slate...

  • 3/2.61 Giants -115
  • 3/5.28 Guardians +176
  • 6/4.14 Red Sox -145
  • 4/4.20 Yankees o8½ +105
  • 2/1.18 DODGERS -170
  • 4/3.81 Dodgers -1½ -105
  • 4/3.46 DODGERS o8 -116
  • 2/2.18 DIAMONDBACKS +109
  • 2/1.38 Diamondbacks +1½ -145
  • 6/5.71 Diamondbacks u9 -105
  • 2/2.18 2-Cardinals +109
  • 2/1.29 2-Cardinals +1½ -155
  • 4/4.20 2-CARDINALS u8½ +105
44/41.6 -106​
 
WEDNESDAY
✅8/4.52 PADRES -177
✅4/3.48 Nationals o7½ -115
✅4/3.56 MARINERS -112
⛅4/3.33 Mariners o7 -120
❌7/11.9 Tigers +170
❌2/2.00 Tigers +1½ +100
❌3/5.82 MARLINS +194
❌3/3.00 Marlins +1½ +100
✅3/3.30 Astros -1½ +110
❌2/2.34 1-Cardinals +117
❌2/1.38 1-Cardinals +1½ -145
⛅4/3.46 1-CARDINALS u8 -116
✅3/2.61 Giants -115
❌3/5.28 Guardians +176
⛅6/4.14 Red Sox -145
✅4/4.20 Yankees o8½ +105
✅2/1.18 DODGERS -170
✅4/3.81 Dodgers -1½ -105
❌4/3.46 DODGERS o8 -116
❌2/2.18 DIAMONDBACKS +109
❌2/1.38 Diamondbacks +1½ -145
❌6/5.71 Diamondbacks u9 -105
✅2/2.18 2-Cardinals +109
✅2/1.29 2-Cardinals +1½ -155
✅4/4.20 2-CARDINALS u8½ +105
90/89.7 +100

JUNE [248-259 -78.44u]
LAST [11-11-3 -1.67u]️

THURSDAY​

  • 8/2.75 PHILLIES -291
  • 3/2.57 PHILLIES u8 -117
  • 2/2.40 Jays +120
  • 2/1.48 Jays +1½ -135
  • 3/2.73 Angels +1½ -110
  • 6/5.61 Diamondbacks -107
  • 3/2.73 DIAMONDBACKS u9 -110
  • 6/1.04 Braves -295
33/22.3 -148 😵‍💫​

licensed-image


randoms...
  • STREAKS: HOU 7, OAK -5
  • HOME TEAM ML 55-37 +9.5% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME TEAM RL 50-42 +10.1% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ML 18-16 +12.9% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS RL 22-12 +16.3% LAST 7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *PHI, ATL, ARI
1e2llounay8d1.jpeg
 
THURSDAY
❌8/2.75 PHILLIES -291
❌3/2.57 PHILLIES u8 -117
✅2/2.40 Jays +120
✅2/1.48 Jays +1½ -135
✅3/2.73 Angels +1½ -110
❌6/5.61 Diamondbacks -107
❌3/2.73 DIAMONDBACKS u9 -110
❌6/1.04 Braves -295
33/22.3 -148 😵

JUNE [251-264 -97.83u]
LAST [3-5 -19.39u]️

FRIDAY​

  • 5/2.46 Phillies -203
  • 6/3.28 Braves -183
  • 5/5.00 Pirates o9 +100
  • 3/2.33 BREWERS -129
  • 3/3.00 Brewers u8½ +100
  • 6/6.90 Reds +115
  • 8.56/8 Giants -107
  • 2/1.96 ROYALS -102
  • 2/1.29 Royals +1½ -155
  • 3/2.97 ROYALS u9½ -101
  • 3/2.61 Tigers o9 -115
  • 8/5.30 Rays -151
  • 3/2.33 White Sox -129
  • 3/2.50 Rockies o8½ -120
  • 3/1.81 DIAMONDBACKS -166
  • 3/2.86 Athletics o9 -105
66.6/ 52.5 -127​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: HOU 7, OAK -5
  • HOME TEAM ML 58-35 +14.0% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME TEAM RL 52-41 +10.8% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ML 21-15 +28.9% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS RL 24-12 +17.2% LAST 7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *PHI, *SF, CIN. TB. ATL

post-86734-0-1446105262-39005.jpg
 
FRIDAY
✅5/2.46 Phillies -203
✅6/3.28 Braves -183
❌5/5.00 Pirates o9 +100
✅3/2.33 BREWERS -129
✅3/3.00 Brewers u8½ +100
❌6/6.90 Reds +115
✅8.56/8 Giants -107
✅2/1.96 ROYALS -102
✅2/1.29 Royals +1½ -155
❌3/2.97 ROYALS u9½ -101
❌3/2.61 Tigers o9 -115
✅8/5.30 Rays -151
✅3/2.33 White Sox -129
❌3/2.50 Rockies o8½ -120
❌3/1.81 DIAMONDBACKS -166
✅3/2.86 Athletics o9 -105
66.6/ 52.5 -127

1719670086603.png
1719670152980.png

SATURDAY​

  • 3/2.40 Reds +1½ -125
  • 3/3.00 Reds o8 +100
  • 9/3.75 PHILLIES -240
  • 6/4.17 Braves -144
  • 2/2.90 Braves -1½ +145
  • 3/3.15 Pirates o7½ +105
  • 3/2.75 Brewers -109
  • 3/2.61 Dodgers -1½ -115
  • 3/3.33 JAYS +111
  • 3/2.73 Jays u8½ -110
  • 3/3.15 Royals u7½ +105
  • 5/3.45 Rangers +1½ -145
  • 3/2.73 Rangers o9 -110
  • 5/5.50 Angels +110
  • 5.10/5 TWINS o7½ -102
  • 2/1.98 Rockies -101
  • 2/2.94 ROCKIES -1½ +147
  • 3/2.44 Rockies o8½ -123
  • 3/3.15 Red Sox u8½ +105
  • 4/4.04 Mets +101
  • 2/1.25 Mets +1½ -160
  • 8/4.15 Diamondbacks -193
  • 6/4.61 Rays -130
89.1/75.2 -118​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: LAA 5, MIL 5, TEX -5
  • HOME TEAM ML 62-32 +18.7% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME TEAM RL 54-40 +14.6% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ML 18-13 +27.0% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS RL 21-10 +19.5% LAST 7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *PHI, *ARI, ATL, TB
  • PHI @HOME VS RIGHTIES LAST 365 DAYS: ML 31-18 +15.8% & RL 29-20 +16.8%
  • PHI VS RIGHTIES THIS SEASON: ML 34-13 +20% & RL 28-19 +17.5%
  • PHI @HOME VS RIGHTIES THIS SEASON: ML 21-6 +22.8% & RL 16-11 +19.5%
  • NOLA W/FAV -150 OR MORE 2023-24: ML 21-4 +25% / RL 15-10 +16.7%
  • NOLA W/FAV -150 OR MORE 2018-24: ML 50-10 +24.1% / RL 36-24 +22.1% with 0.922 WHIP
  • GLASNOW AWAY W/FAV -150 OR MORE 2018-24: ML 16-6 +13% / RL 14-8 +20.8% with 0.963 WHIP
1719634901425-png.239078
 
nTBRrb7Ec.png

SATURDAY
✅3/2.40 Reds +1½ -125
✅3/3.00 Reds o8 +100
❌9/3.75 PHILLIES -240
✅6/4.17 Braves -144
❌2/2.90 Braves -1½ +145
❌3/3.15 Pirates o7½ +105
❌3/2.75 Brewers -109
✅3/2.61 Dodgers -1½ -115
✅3/3.33 JAYS +111
❌3/2.73 Jays u8½ -110
❌3/3.15 Royals u7½ +105
✅5/3.45 Rangers +1½ -145
✅3/2.73 Rangers o9 -110
✅5/5.50 Angels +110
❌5.10/5 TWINS o7½ -102
❌2/1.98 Rockies -101
❌2/2.94 ROCKIES -1½ +147
✅3/2.44 Rockies o8½ -123
❌3/3.15 Red Sox u8½ +105
❌4/4.04 Mets +101
❌2/1.25 Mets +1½ -160
✅8/4.15 Diamondbacks -193
❌6/4.61 Rays -130
89.1/75.2 -118

JUNE [271-283 -101.34u]
LAST [10-13 -13.32u]️

SUNDAY​

  • 3/2.61 Pirates +1½ -115
  • 3/3.00 Braves u9 +100
  • 4/1.67 PHILLIES -239
  • 5/2.93 Brewers -170
  • 5/4.76 Cubs o8 -105
  • 3/2.97 Reds -101
  • 3/3.66 Giants +122
  • 3/2.86 Giants u9 -105
  • 3/4.29 Rangers +143
  • 3/2.86 Rangers o9 -105
  • 2/1.96 JAYS -102
  • 2/1.22 JAYS +1½ -164
  • 3/2.86 Jays u8 -105
  • 6/5.71 Angels -105
  • 5/4.55 Twins o7 -110
  • 3/1.76 Padres +1½ -170
  • 3/2.86 Red Sox u10½ -105
  • 3/2.31 Nationals +1½ -130
  • 5/4.76 Nationals o8 -105
  • 3/3.00 Astros o9 +100
  • 3/1.61 White Sox -186
  • 5/5.25 Rockies o7½ +105
78/69.5 -112​

randoms...
  • STREAKS: LAA 6, SD 5, TEX -6, COL -5
  • HOME TEAM ML 57-37 +8.5% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS ML 17-12 +28.0% LAST 7 DAYS
  • HOME DOGS RL 18-11 +8.1% LAST 7 DAYS
  • MODEL PLAYS: *PHI, *MIL, LAA, CHW
  • MIA AWAY VS LEFTIES LAST 365 DAYS: ML 4-21 / RL 6-19, FADE FOR +38.5% / 71.6%
  • PHI @HOME VS RIGHTIES LAST 365 DAYS: ML 31-18 +15.8% & RL 29-20 +16.8%
  • PHI VS RIGHTIES THIS SEASON: ML 34-14 +16.2% & RL 28-20 +14.9%
  • PHI @HOME VS RIGHTIES THIS SEASON: ML 21-7 +16.9% & RL 16-12 +14.7%
  • PHILLY MANAGED TO FUCK ME AGAIN, BUT I'M BACK WITH THEM AGAIN
  • SEA ONLY TEAM WITH AVG TOTAL UNDER 8 ON THE YEAR (7.7) ... LEAGUE LOWEST@HOME ALSO (7.3)
75

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