Saturday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
May 1 Sat 2021

12:05 PM
965Detroit TigersS. Turnbull -R+1½
-115		+184O 8½
-110
966New York YankeesJ. Tallion -R+1 Markets-1½
-105		-200U 8½
-110
1:10 PM
967Kansas City RoyalsD. Duffy -L+1½
-195		+108O 8
-117
968Minnesota TwinsM. Shoemaker -R+1 Markets-1½
+170		-118U 8
-103
3:05 PM
969Cleveland IndiansT. McKenzie -R+1½
-135		+159O 7½
-130
970Chicago White SoxL. Lynn -R+1 Markets-1½
+115		-173U 7½
+110
3:07 PM
971Baltimore OriolesM. Harvey -R+1½
-130		+168O 8
-120
972Oakland AthleticsJ. Luzardo -L+1 Markets-1½
+110		-183U 8
+100
3:10 PM
953Chicago CubsZ. Davies -R+1½
-140		+150O 8½
-105
954Cincinnati RedsL. Castillo -R+1 Markets-1½
+120		-163U 8½
-115
5:05 PM
955New York MetsT. Walker -R+1½
-205		-105O 8
-103
956Philadelphia PhilliesZ. Wheeler -R+1 Markets-1½
+175		-105U 8
-117
5:35 PM
957St. Louis CardinalsJ. Flaherty -R-1½
+130		-143O 7
-120
958Pittsburgh PiratesT. Cahill -R+1 Markets+1½
-150		+132U 7
+100
6:05 PM
975Boston Red SoxE. Rodriguez -L-1½
-110		-175O 8½
-107
976Texas RangersJ. Lyles -R+1 Markets+1½
-110		+161U 8½
-113
6:10 PM
959Los Angeles DodgersD. May -R-1½
+150		-123O 7
-115
960Milwaukee BrewersB. Woodruff -R+1 Markets+1½
-170		+113U 7
-105
7:10 PM
961Colorado RockiesA. Gomber -L+1½
-135		+168O 8½
+103
962Arizona DiamondbacksZ. Gallen -R+1 Markets-1½
+115		-183U 8½
-123
7:40 PM
963San Francisco GiantsA. Desclafani -R+1½
-155		+148O 7
-117
964San Diego PadresB. Snell -L+1 Markets-1½
+135		-161U 7
-103
8:10 PM
977Los Angeles AngelsG. Canning -R-1½
+110		-147O 8½
-115
978Seattle MarinersL. Newsome -R+1 Markets+1½
-130		+136U 8½
-105
 
i missed the number today, but the Dodgers are playing with what feels like half the team they'll have as they enter the postseason. Lineup is never great even at full strength, but what they're trotting out there is replacement level right now considering injuries. I may be exaggerating, but they're going to surely make trades and bring in better hitters and relievers because this team is trash.

MIL can't hit, but i've let that keep me off too many wins so far. Not even sure Hader being down tomorrow is that big of a deal, MIL has the arms to close it out as Williams didn't work today then Suter can cover a few innings if needed
 
Dodgers were 2nd in the league last year in OPS and #1 slugging team. When they're healthy they are pretty much the best offense in baseball.
 
Inspekdah said:
Dodgers were 2nd in the league last year in OPS and #1 slugging team. When they're healthy they are pretty much the best offense in baseball.
Click to expand...

they're not healthy, those numbers are from having a threat from all batters 1-8 and they don't have that now
 
Really unsure about these lines for Seattle especially with Canning on the bump for the A’s. Do I just close the series for me after the W yesterday, just seems so tempting.
 
^ I’m beginning to sound like banksy and “hard to pass on fish” after 2 Seattle games
 
Lynn I assume is healthy to be back so soon.... had 10 Ks vs. Indians last time out. Indians pitcher has a questionable WHIP seems lucky to date
 
gsro said:
kc, cubbies over, jays over, gigantes ml/under, brewers
Click to expand...
I like the royals here, but I don’t like Minor or Duffy or whatever his name is. He’s got the best ERA in baseball and it screams regression like Heaney yesterday.

edit: what’s interesting is he pitched better his last two than in his first two.
 
Last edited:
gsro said:
Really unsure about these lines for Seattle especially with Canning on the bump for the A’s. Do I just close the series for me after the W yesterday, just seems so tempting.
Click to expand...

all Canning has is a fastball and SEA has been playing above their expectations. Newsome was great in relief recently, can't expect him to dominate and LAA will provide a test but the SEA pen has been lights out. Never can trust Iglesias and the bullpen to get to him is sketchy: Guerra? Mayers in high leverage for the first time in his life? Watson who was a FA until LAA had no bullpen a few days before opening day
 
Smokeshow99 said:
I like the royals here, but I don’t like Minor or Duffy or whatever his name is. He’s got the best ERA in baseball and it screams regression like Heaney yesterday.

edit: what’s interesting is he pitched better his last two than in his first two.
Click to expand...

he's got the tools, always has had good stuff just can't get in big trouble because his wipeout slider and high fastball is not always enough to get out of jams
 
Smokeshow99 said:
I like the royals here, but I don’t like Minor or Duffy or whatever his name is. He’s got the best ERA in baseball and it screams regression like Heaney yesterday.

edit: what’s interesting is he pitched better his last two than in his first two.
Click to expand...
I think Duffy has been going well enough at those odds which make it a play for me as well. Goodluck if you join
 
GWarner27 said:
all Canning has is a fastball and SEA has been playing above their expectations. Newsome was great in relief recently, can't expect him to dominate and LAA will provide a test but the SEA pen has been lights out. Never can trust Iglesias and the bullpen to get to him is sketchy: Guerra? Mayers in high leverage for the first time in his life? Watson who was a FA until LAA had no bullpen a few days before opening day
Click to expand...
yea, I'm not sure yet will have to dig a little deeper here, but if there's dumpster fire it's Canning
 
Duffy 7 r in 14 ip last year vs MIN, went 8 IP allowing 3 in first start in 2019 and got blasted for 8 runs in his other

Feel like he's gotten smarter with his pitch usage, and like i've said he always has the stuff. Been somewhat fortunate with who he's faced this year, but still had to get through LAA, TB along with toothless CLE, DET

KC bullpen is better, lineup weaker but MIN going Polanco Garlick Garver (struggling) Kiriloff (LvL) Simmons Arraez (RISP machine) 4-9 does not look that difficult if he can get through smoking hot Buxton and Cruz
 
+130 dog getting 70% of the bets. Doesn't necessarily matter much in bases, though.

I'll be on Twins if they get through the top half of the 1st.
 
Cubs over seems too easy...If I bet it, old Castillo will show up and Davies will have one of his big games
 
Tigers will always find a new way to disappoint. There goes any chance for FF winner. Base runner bit by batted ball. Just great
 
GWarner27 said:
Shoe is so up and down, don't think there are too many amateurs grinding baseball everyday for six months and that's if you can trust those %
Click to expand...
I thought the bet was less about if Duffy regresses and more about Shoe, who hasn't looked good this year.
 
gsro said:
Bit of both no? Duffy maybe not regressing as much as ppl expecting and shoe being shit
Click to expand...
Yea, but it was a good bet. When you dig into the numbers, Duffy has (imo) gotten better as the year has gone on. Shoe's best pitching has been against DET & PIT. He's gotten shelled against any lineup with a pulse.
 
i know there's mixed feelings about SEA on this board, but Shoe was coasting against them and everything went to hell late which i don't think he's getting enough credit for
 
Chicago/Cleveland over 8 125/100

Buying the 1/2 run down to 8 just for a little insurance, but I don't think it will matter. I don't see either starter going too deep with Lynn just coming off the IL, and in McKenzie's 4 starts, he's only gone 3.2, 4.0, 5.0, and 4.0. Also looks like a good hitter's day from what I'm seeing from the weather report, with temps in the mid 70's and a stiff 21mph wind blowing out to left.
 
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