Saturday 03/19/16 NBA discussion thread

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The Spurs can suck my manhood
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[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL - SAT 3/19[/h][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MORE[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sat 3/19[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]501[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Denver Nuggets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+10 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 5.500[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 217.5 1.970[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]03:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]502[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Charlotte Hornets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-10 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.186[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 217.5 1.934[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sat 3/19[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]503[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Oklahoma City Thunder[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-3.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.625[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 210.5 1.961[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]04:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]504[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Indiana Pacers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+3.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 2.440[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 210.5 1.943[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sat 3/19[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]505[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Brooklyn Nets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+8.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 4.580[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 210.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]506[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Detroit Pistons[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-8.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.240[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 210.5 1.952[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sat 3/19[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]507[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]New York Knicks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+8 1.925[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 3.950[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 206.5 1.961[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]04:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]508[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Washington Wizards[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-8 1.980[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.296[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 206.5 1.943[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sat 3/19[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]509[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Cleveland Cavaliers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-3 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.680[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 207 1.884[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]510[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Miami Heat[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+3 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 2.330[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 207 2.020[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sat 3/19[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]511[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Houston Rockets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+7 1.934[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 3.560[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 214.5 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]512[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Atlanta Hawks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-7 1.970[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.344[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 214.5 1.909[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sat 3/19[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]513[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Utah Jazz[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+2 1.943[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 2.139[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 194.5 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]514[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Chicago Bulls[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-2 1.961[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.793[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 194.5 2.000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sat 3/19[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]515[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Los Angeles Clippers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-10 1.980[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.186[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 199.5 1.970[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]516[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Memphis Grizzlies[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+10 1.925[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 5.500[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 199.5 1.934[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sat 3/19[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]517[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Golden State Warriors[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+4.5 1.990[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 2.660[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 217 1.884[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]05:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]518[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]San Antonio Spurs[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-4.5 1.917[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.540[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 217 2.020[/TD]
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The Rockets are 11 Over - 4 Under b2b, with the last 8 of these in a row going over...
 
Added a bit on Spurs -3 and took Under 209 in Miami. Both almost max bets. Will write thoughts on games a bit later on.
 
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Miami - Cleveland match ups held in Miami since Bron left Florida are 3 - 0 in Under favor.
Cleveland in B2B spots on the road this season are 6 - 2 in Under favor this season (one of the Over results was off double OT game).

Heat playing off an Over game, with total higher than 205 points are 4 - 2 in Under favor the last two seasons.
Heat playing off an Over, when previous total was higher than 205 points is 5 - 1 in Under favor.
 
Btw, Cleveland playing on the road off an Over on the road are 6 - 3 in Under favor this season. If the total is higher than 200 points, it's 4 - 1 in Under favor.
 
GS is 5-10 ATS this season off a game in which they scored 125+ points (1-5 ATS vs. teams w/records at least 4 games over .500).
 
like IND+3: OKC has a losing record in B2B and lost@home vs pacers this seson. MIA+3 alos tempting, CLE off a 4 game road trip with second back away and now other away game in B2B. very tough to swallow
of course CLE-IND U209, both previous meetings went U and CLE is 10-5 U in B2B
 
My two plays in the NBA today, love them.

You Love them. OK, I am barely started but I do lean Spurs based on logic. Betting against GS is serious but there are logical reasons to support it. Have not looked at most of the games yet.
 
Who isn't on the Spurs, they're a sexier pick than Boston was last night.

Have seen too many all-in's on the Spurs across the internet, SA has the advantages in the front-court but not in the back-court.

Francois v Scurry is a mismatch as is Mills v Scurry, Klay can get his v Kawhi because of his shooting mechanics.

Bogut, Festus and Iggy are big outs in the scheme of things and would lean and may play Spurs purely because of this.

But for a team that likes to prove points, no bigger point will be proven than winning in the Alamo under such circumstances.
 
Who isn't on the Spurs, they're a sexier pick than Boston was last night.

Have seen too many all-in's on the Spurs across the internet, SA has the advantages in the front-court but not in the back-court.

Francois v Scurry is a mismatch as is Mills v Scurry, Klay can get his v Kawhi because of his shooting mechanics.

Bogut, Festus and Iggy are big outs in the scheme of things and would lean and may play Spurs purely because of this.

But for a team that likes to prove points, no bigger point will be proven than winning in the Alamo under such circumstances.

Number has gotten away ML at 5d -178 -3.5 -132 that's just about right and could get -2.5 -155 which is also just about right both a slight over pay. May wait for LBing or half-time wherever the opportunity shows if at all.
IMO you can't lay -4.5/-5 in this game. To tough to take to tough to lay
 
Spurs should win relatively comfortably in all honesty given the 'advantages' (Dubs' injuries and rest).

Also Timmay didn't play when the Spurs got shit-whipped last time out.

Still debating, hate seeing all the SA love is all. Same shit happened when the Dubs played the Cavs awhile back.
 
It's generally better to avoid the heavily bet marquee games as they're the ones that get the most 'Vegas' attention.

It's clear the 'all the money' is on San Antonio.

I have it lined at 5 by my numbers, so nothing wrong with the spread apart from where it opened, using CRIS as the 'guide'.
 
The Spurs are a completely different team defensively without Duncan. They should destroy the Warriors in the paint without bogus/ezeli/iggy. Popovich called the Spurs boys after their 30 point loss in Oakland.
 
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Now I'm realizing (after the fact) that if the Spurs were going to win, they were going to have to slow things down to a crawl -- it probably would have been better to bet on the under than on the Spurs...
 
Amazing defense. 2 down. 2 to go. Although Warriors are the better team when healthy on a neutral court IMO
 
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