Saturday 02/09/13 NBA discussion thread

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The Spurs can suck my manhood
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[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL BASKETBALL - SAT 2/9[/h][/TD]
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[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MORE[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sat 2/9[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]501[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Denver Nuggets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-6 2.020[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 215 1.943[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]502[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Cleveland Cavaliers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+6 1.885[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 215 1.962[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sat 2/9[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]503[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Charlotte Bobcats[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+9 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 189 2.010[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]504[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Philadelphia 76ers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-9 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 189 1.901[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sat 2/9[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]505[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Golden State Warriors[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+5.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 209.5 1.926[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]05:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]506[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Dallas Mavericks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-5.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 209.5 1.980[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sat 2/9[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]507[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Detroit Pistons[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+6.5 1.990[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 202 1.962[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]508[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Milwaukee Bucks [/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-6.5 1.917[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 202 1.943[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sat 2/9[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]509[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Utah Jazz[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+1 1.926[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 197.5 1.990[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]07:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]510[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Sacramento Kings[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-1 1.980[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 197.5 1.917[/TD]
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Interesting future view. Cleveland on no rest 3-12 SU and 7-7-1 ATS
They are playing worst 3 in four after a high energy game.
Denver 21-8 su on 1 days rest and 18-11 ATS. They are on good rest since they had 02, 03 and 04 off. They win and likely cover and THEN
They play at Boston on Sunday. Tend to think the Denver streak ends Sunday.
 
Hopefully the nuggets can get to Boston on Sunday. Should be cleared up by then.

FYI, the Knicks are staying over Friday night in Minnesota due to the storm in the northeast. Will be headed back in the morning and there is a storm about to hit Minnesota as well. Knicks don't play until Sunday
 
Pretty chalk oriented day I am afraid. GS 8-2 over on Saturday.
 
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Playing slow in the first half was common for Denver in the past in first game of a b-b on the road but I am not seeing it looking at the box scores this year.
 
Thinking of Dallas + Sixers ML parlay. The odds aren't great (1.70), but I would say that the chances of winning here are about 70%.
May add Bucks for very nice odds parlay that has around 55% - 60% chance of winning imho.
 
I really like Cleveland bet as many others today, but will stay away for number of reasons.
1) Two of the refs really like Denver.
2) I like the match ups here for Denver. Iggy can guard Irving and Lawson also just as quick as him and Denver has huge advantage in the paint. Cleveland are deep, but Denver also pretty deep and with Denver playing 4 games in 5 nights, all on the road in the East, against Cleveland, Boston, Toronto and Brooklyn, it's obvious that this is their best chance for a win for quality of rival wise and fatigue wise.
 
Did the same parlay. Dallas has over time been a big winner at home on Saturday and the team relationships make a massive effort by them a given.
 
Been on a shitty run of late, think the cloudiness is starting to clear up a bit. Locked in:

GS +6
over 210
under Philly 188

4units each. Think we see max effort from GS tonite. Need something positive from their current 4 gm road trip. GS has faired well against Dallas. Shit fest of a game in Philly, see Charlotte in the mid 80's with Philly in mid 90's.

gl on yer plays!
 
Trying to think about game in Cleveland.
Any thoughts on the total?

The total is really high, but I have almost zero doubt that both teams will score 100+ points.
The only question is how much above 100 points they will score.
Can Denver get to 113 - 115? Can Cleveland get to 106 - 110 points?

The trends really support the Over here:
[h=3]OU Trends[/h][TABLE="class: data, width: 100%"]
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[TD="class: datahead, bgcolor: #9FAFBD, colspan: 2"]Denver[/TD]
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  • Over is 8-0 in Nuggets last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
  • Over is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Over is 13-3 in Nuggets last 16 overall.
  • Over is 21-8 in Nuggets last 29 games following a S.U. win.
  • Over is 20-8 in Nuggets last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 14-6 in Nuggets last 20 vs. NBA Central.
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[TABLE="class: data, width: 100%"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: datahead, bgcolor: #9FAFBD, colspan: 2"]Cleveland[/TD]
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[TD="class: datacell, colspan: 2"]
  • Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 overall.
  • Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 home games.
  • Over is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games following a S.U. win.
  • Over is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Over is 8-2 in Cavaliers last 10 Saturday games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. Western Conference.
  • Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
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Sixers will win this one. They must finish their homestand on a high note and I actually really like them.
If they played the Heat, I wouldn't back them as 1.22 odds favorite, but against Charlotte? They would win this game 90 out of 100 times, so the odds should have been 1.10 at the most...
 
teams a mess though. jrue is a monster, yes, but other than that they have zilch. Thad was a huge piece to that puzzle and losing him is huge. All the Bynum shit, talk of Collins maybe having run his course in Philly, embarassing news stories of guys buying 18 tickets on stubhub for under a dollar....its just not good right now
 
Has occurred twice this season I think, 1st a 97-104 loss to Detroit as a 1 point home dog in December and 2nd a 104-112 loss to Houston as a 6 point home dog in January...
 
Both Wiz and Cavs new teams since Wall returned and Irving became an MVP candidate... plus Speights and Ellington, worthy additions
 
Could say Denver has become a 'new' team with the emergence of Gallo and return of Chandler also...
 
Gallo is playing well, no doubt. Getting great PG play, too.
 
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TV: League Pass


Sacramento Kings fans have made a huge push to sell our Sleep Train Arena tonight, turning up in masses to show the NBA and the other 29 teams in the league that Sacramento is still a viable NBA market. The fans have dubbed tonight’s game against the Utah Jazz “Here We Buy Night” as they remain hopeful that the NBA will allow Mayor Kevin Johnson and his team to come up with a local buyer to keep the team in the capitol of California. “We want to make sure we can put on a good show,” coach Keith Smart said before the game. “That’s the plan, to have a good show and for our guys to really, really show these people here that they are still excited. With all the things that are going on with our basketball team and our city, that they still want to showcase themselves as a good basketball team.”
Gordon Hayward (right shoulder sprain) and Mo Williams (right thumb surgery) will miss another game tonight due to injuries. Hayward has missed the teams last six games, but is expected back soon, while Williams has missed 13 straight after surgery and will be out for a while. “He’s getting better,” Tyrone Corbin said of Hayward during his pre-game press scrum. “I can’t say how far, but he’s getting better everyday. He’s working hard to get back out on the floor. We want to make sure that he is ready to go when he gets back and not take a chance of getting him hurt further.”
 
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