$$$'s chase and other picks thread

[Retburj13]

like the under as well

gl tonite

 

[Pincher]

Hey $$$ nice work, I forgot about this from last year...would you see any issues jumping into the system now in late Oct as I missed the start?

 

[frankiegotti]

We were so close to hitting that San Jose game last night, oh well, GL on them with you.

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

Hey $$$ nice work, I forgot about this from last year...would you see any issues jumping into the system now in late Oct as I missed the start?

Nope. Just don't go overboard with your units.

 

[Satyr]

Good luck man :shake:

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

10/24/07

System Record: 20-1 (+17.213 Units) Running total 20-8-6 ---> (+13.583 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Thrashers Under ? ??? (series 3/3) Risking ??? to win 4.73 Units
Sabres Under 6 -115 (series 2/3) Risking 1.265 to win 1.1 Units
Sharks Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units
Flyers Under 5 1/2 +100 (series 1/3) Risking 1.1 to win 1.1 Units
Wild Under 5 +100 (series 1/3) Risking 1.1 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

2 10-31-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 ***
3 11-02-07 Play on San Jose PL +1 1/2 ***<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

 

[Joe Public]

Hey, $$$$, I thought about something last night when the Sharks pushed.

I have no idea as to the answer to this question.

Did you happen to look at what would happen if you counted ties where you pushed the number as the end of that string of bets.

For example, let's say in game 2 of 3 in the series, the team pushes the under number and so instead of betting the third game for two units, you laid off all together.

Yes, this would put you down a unit for the series, but I wonder if it might keep you in a better money management situation overall.

Thoughts?

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

Hey, $$$$, I thought about something last night when the Sharks pushed.

I have no idea as to the answer to this question.

Did you happen to look at what would happen if you counted ties where you pushed the number as the end of that string of bets.

For example, let's say in game 2 of 3 in the series, the team pushes the under number and so instead of betting the third game for two units, you laid off all together.

Yes, this would put you down a unit for the series, but I wonder if it might keep you in a better money management situation overall.

Thoughts?

Never thought of it, but I have thought about placing bets at 5dimes since you can buy a 1/2 goal over there. I would only buy if the original number was set at a number where there could be a push instead of an actual winner.

 

[frankiegotti]

on them with you, GL.

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

on them with you, GL.

:cheers:

 

[stickbit]

10/24/07

System Record: 20-1 (+17.213 Units) Running total 20-8-6 ---> (+13.583 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Thrashers Under ? ??? (series 3/3) Risking ??? to win 4.73 Units
Sabres Under 6 -115 (series 2/3) Risking 1.265 to win 1.1 Units
Sharks Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units
Flyers Under 5 1/2 +100 (series 1/3) Risking 1.1 to win 1.1 Units
Wild Under 5 +100 (series 1/3) Risking 1.1 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

2 10-31-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 ***
<!-- / message --><!-- sig --> 3 11-02-07 Play on San Jose PL +1 1/2 ***

Hey $$, jsut verifying this is a play on Columbus PL to win 2 units and San Jose to win 3 units?

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

Hey $$, jsut verifying this is a play on Columbus PL to win 2 units and San Jose to win 3 units?

Close, it will be on Columbus to win 2 and San Jose to win 2.5. The numbers to the left mean something else for me to remember.

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

10/25/07

System Record: 20-1 (+17.213 Units) Running total 20-11-6 ---> (+10.118 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Thrashers Under 6 -110 (series 3/3) Risking 5.203 to win 4.73 Units
Sabres Under ? ??? (series 3/3) Risking ??? to win 2.365 Units
Sharks Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units
Flyers Under 6 -115 (series 2/3) Risking 2.53 to win 2.2 Units
Wild Under 5 -105 (series 2/3) Risking 2.31 to win 2.2 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

2 10-31-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 ***
3 11-02-07 Play on San Jose PL +1 1/2 ***<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

 

[frankiegotti]

On them with you, GL.

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

10/26/07

System Record: 21-1 (+18.313 Units) Running total 21-13-6 ---> (+10.008 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Sabres Under 6 -115 (series 3/3) Risking 2.72 to win 2.365 Units
Sharks Under 5 1/2 -135 (series 2/3) Risking 1.485 to win 1.1 Units
Flyers Under ? ??? (series 3/3) Risking ??? to win 4.73 Units
Wild Under ? ??? (series 3/3) Risking ??? to win 4.51 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

2 10-31-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 ***
3 11-02-07 Play on San Jose PL +1 1/2 ***<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

 

[Joe Public]

Been a tough couple of nights for the under system.

Go System.

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

Been a tough couple of nights for the under system.

Go System.

Things happen, as long as we get the 3/3 games

 

[patternseeker]

i appreciate you posting/tracking the system.

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

i appreciate you posting/tracking the system.

No problem, that is why we are all here.

:cheers:

 

[frankiegotti]

on the tonight, GL.

 

[Retburj13]

lets grind it out $$$

:cheers:

 

[twoface]

anyone else notice the lower totals this year as well??

 

[twoface]

Pushed on buffalo game.
So that's a series loss right?

At least it was for only 1 unit.

 

[frankiegotti]

Pushed on buffalo game.
So that's a series loss right?

At least it was for only 1 unit.

I believe thats the case.

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

I believe thats the case.

Yeah, 2 pushes and an over. If I am going to have to get losses, that is not a bad way to get it.

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

10/27/07

System Record: 21-2 (+17.048 Units) Running total 21-14-7 ---> (+8.523 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Sharks Under 5 +110 (series 3/3) Risking 2.35 to win 2.585 Units
Flyers Under 5 1/2 +100 (series 3/3) Risking 4.73 to win 4.73 Units
Wild Under ? ??? (series 3/3) Risking ??? to win 4.51 Units
Thrashers Under 5 1/2 +105 (series 1/3) Risking 1.048 to win 1.1 Units
Capitals Under 5 1/2 -110 (series 1/3) Risking 1.21 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

2 10-31-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 ***
3 11-02-07 Play on San Jose PL +1 1/2 ***<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

 

[frankiegotti]

$$$, Does the chance of recouping your buffalo chase play diminish significantly after the third game? In other words, would it be a bad idea to continue to chase the buffalo game tonight?

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

10/28/07

System Record: 24-2 (+20.348 Units) Running total 24-15-7 ---> (+15.728 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Wild Under 5 1/2 -105 (series 3/3) Risking 4.736 to win 4.51 Units
Capitals Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 2.31 Units
Red Wings Under 5 +115 (series 1/3) Risking .957 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

2 10-31-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 ***
3 11-02-07 Play on San Jose PL +1 1/2 ***
? 11-04-07 Play on Chicago
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->2 11-05-07 Play on Washington PL +1 1/2 **
3 11-08-07 Play on Tampa Bay PL +1 1/2 **

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

$$$, Does the chance of recouping your buffalo chase play diminish significantly after the third game? In other words, would it be a bad idea to continue to chase the buffalo game tonight?

In my opinion, no. I am just limiting myself to three games this season.

 

[frankiegotti]

In my opinion, no. I am just limiting myself to three games this season.

Oh ok, thanks.:cheers:

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

10/29/07

System Record: 25-2 (+21.448 Units) Running total 25-15-8 ---> (+20.238 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Capitals Under 6 -105 (series 2/3) Risking 2.426 to win 2.31 Units
Red Wings Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units
Lightning Under 5 1/2 -110 (series 1/3) Risking 1.21 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

2 10-31-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 ***
3 11-02-07 Play on San Jose PL +1 1/2 ***
? 11-04-07 Play on Chicago
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->2 11-05-07 Play on Washington PL +1 1/2 **
3 11-08-07 Play on Tampa Bay PL +1 1/2 **
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

 

[slim5150]

$$$$, loving the under system, thanks for the work in researching this.

I have found thus far, using a reduced juice book, ala matchbook, can significantly reduce the risk associated with some of these plays. Even tho there is far less risk playing totals rather than sides, any further risk reduction could prove to be beneficial over the course of the season.

by paying less for chalky unders and getting greater dog under lines, the potential loss on a series is far less, thus less one could potentially have to recoup on future series plays.

granted one usually has to wait till morning to get a bet filled, altho a $100 per unit player could get their line right now. food for thought.

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

I totally agree that any advantage one can get is great, but I need to make sure my book has mobile betting. Bookmaker has this through my iden phone. Any other books out there that have good mobile betting?

 

[twoface]

ouch!
this caps game is looking nasty right now.
Already 4-1...
pretty sure the bleeding is not gonna stop. ugh...

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

10/30/07

System Record: 26-2 (+22.548 Units) Running total 26-16-8 ---> (+18.912 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Capitals Under ? ??? (series 3/3) Risking ??? to win 4.736 Units
Red Wings Under 5 1/2 -130 (series 2/3) Risking 1.182 to win 1.1 Units
Predators Under 6 -140 (series 1/3) Risking 1.54 to win 1.1 Units
Penguins Under 5 1/2 -115 (series 1/3) Risking 1.265 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

2 10-31-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 ***
3 11-02-07 Play on San Jose PL +1 1/2 ***
? 11-04-07 Possible Play on Chicago ******
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->2 11-05-07 Play on Washington PL +1 1/2 ** (same game as below)
2 11-05-07 Play on Carolina PL +1 1/2 *** (same game as above)
3 11-06-07 Play on Atlanta PL +1 1/2 ***
3 11-08-07 Play on Tampa Bay PL +1 1/2 **
? 11-10-07 Possible Play on Toronto ******
<!-- / message --><!-- sig --><!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

 

[GridironGems]

Hope it keeps working out for ya...not pay attention to NHL really, but seems like there's lots of high scoring games going on lately.

 

[twoface]

crap,
i got the preds at Under 5.5.....

 

[frankiegotti]

on them as well, GL. pens game missed by .5 goal, i was watching when crosby got on a break away, oh well it's a long season.

 

[AU_Blaaaaake]

This may be a dumb question, but how exactly are you keeping your record? What I mean by that is, why are some of your plays under "System" losing and not affecting you systems win-loss total?

What determines if the loss is counted as a system loss or a "running total" loss?

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

10/31/07

System Record: 27-2 (+23.648 Units) Running total 27-17-9 ---> (+18.747 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Capitals Under ? ??? (series 3/3) Risking ??? to win 4.736 Units
Predators Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units
Penguins Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 2.365 Units

Other plays active:

2 10-31-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 -240 Risking 6 to win 2.5 Units

Other plays pending:

3 11-02-07 Play on San Jose PL +1 1/2 ***
? 11-04-07 Possible Play on Chicago ******
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->2 11-05-07 Play on Washington PL +1 1/2 ** (same game as below)
2 11-05-07 Play on Carolina PL +1 1/2 *** (same game as above)
3 11-06-07 Play on Atlanta PL +1 1/2 ***
3 11-08-07 Play on Tampa Bay PL +1 1/2 **
? 11-10-07 Possible Play on Toronto ******
<!-- / message --><!-- sig --><!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

This may be a dumb question, but how exactly are you keeping your record? What I mean by that is, why are some of your plays under "System" losing and not affecting you systems win-loss total?

What determines if the loss is counted as a system loss or a "running total" loss?

Not stupid questions, but here you go. The first record is the end result record. If 1 of the 3 games are under, then it counts as a win. If none of the 3 games are under, then it counts as a loss.

The second record is a game-by-game record to see how the system works on an individual basis.

The third record are totally separate from the first two.

Hope this helps.

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

crap,
i got the preds at Under 5.5.....

sorry about that, it turned out to be the difference though. It shouldn't have been, should've been 5 and not 6. :moose:

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

on them as well, GL. pens game missed by .5 goal, i was watching when crosby got on a break away, oh well it's a long season.

We'll get them.

:cheers:

 

[AU_Blaaaaake]

Ok now it makes sense.. started tailing your bets a week ago and already making some decent money :cheers: Thanks for posting this!

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

Ok now it makes sense.. started tailing your bets a week ago and already making some decent money :cheers: Thanks for posting this!

No problem man. Glad to help.

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

11/01/07

System Record: 27-2 (+23.648 Units) Running total 27-17-9 ---> (+18.747 Units)
Other plays: 9-1 (+19.5 Units)

System:

Capitals Under 5 1/2 -125 (series 3/3) Risking 5.92 to win 4.736 Units
Predators Under 5 1/2 -125 (series 2/3) Risking 1.375 to win 1.1 Units
Penguins Under 6 1/2 +110 (series 2/3) Risking 2.15 to win 2.365 Units
Flyers Under 5 1/2 +100 (series 1/3) Risking 1.1 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

3 11-02-07 Play on San Jose PL +1 1/2 ***
? 11-04-07 Possible Play on Chicago ******
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->2 11-05-07 Play on Washington PL +1 1/2 ** (same game as below)
2 11-05-07 Play on Carolina PL +1 1/2 *** (same game as above)
2 11-05-07 Play on Pittsburgh PL +1 1/2 **
3 11-06-07 Play on Atlanta PL +1 1/2 ***
3 11-08-07 Play on Philadelphia PL +1 1/2 **
3 11-08-07 Play on Tampa Bay PL +1 1/2 **
? 11-10-07 Possible Play on Toronto ******
<!-- / message --><!-- sig --><!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

 

[frankiegotti]

on them as well, GL.

 

[AU_Blaaaaake]

Question $$$$- The 3/3 series games are the ones you are most confident in winning, right?

 

[$$$$inmywallett]

I wish, but these are the ones where the first two were either losses, pushes or a combination. That's it.

 

[AU_Blaaaaake]

Got ya.. well I went with my instinct and won big on your Capitals system bet haha =) Keep up the solid work money;