$$$'s chase and other picks thread

10/12/07

System Record: 9-0 (+9.0 Units) Running total 9-2 ---> (+6.891 Units)
Other plays: 0-0 (0 Units)

System:

Flames Under 5 -110 (series 2/3) Risking 2.1 to win 1.909 Units
Islanders Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 2.2 Units

Other plays pending:

2 10-18-07 Play on Devils PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-18-07 Play on Florida PL +1 1/2 **
2 10-19-07 Play on Pittsburgh PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-19-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Chicago PL +1 1/2 **
3 10-20-07 Play on Montreal PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 (Same game as below) *
3 10-20-07 Play on Philadelphia PL +1 1/2 (Same game as above) *
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really hope we hit the flames game.
otherwise, they play again tomorrow, and we may not see kipper if he starts tonight.
 
10/13/07

System Record: 9-0 (+9.0 Units) Running total 9-2-1 ---> (+6.891 Units)
Other plays: 0-0 (0 Units)

System:

Flames Under 5 1/2 -135 (series 3/3) Risking 2.578 to win 1.909 Units
Islanders Under 6 -115 (series 2/3) Risking 2.53 to win 2.2 Units
Wild Under 5 +105 (series 1/3) Risking 0.952 to win 1.0 Units
Hurricanes Under 6 -130 (series 1/3) Risking 1.3 to win 1.0 Units
Oilers Under 5 +110 (series 1/3) Risking 0.909 to win 1.0 Units

Other plays pending:

2 10-18-07 Play on Devils PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-18-07 Play on Florida PL +1 1/2 **
2 10-19-07 Play on Pittsburgh PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-19-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Chicago PL +1 1/2 **
3 10-20-07 Play on Montreal PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 (Same game as below) *
3 10-20-07 Play on Philadelphia PL +1 1/2 (Same game as above) *

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$$$$inmywallett said:
10/13/07

System Record: 9-0 (+9.0 Units) Running total 9-2-1 ---> (+5.891 Units)
Other plays: 0-0 (0 Units)

System:

Flames Under 5 1/2 -135 (series 3/3) Risking 2.578 to win 1.909 Units
Islanders Under 6 -115 (series 2/3) Risking 2.53 to win 2.2 Units
Wild Under 5 +105 (series 1/3) Risking 0.952 to win 1.0 Units
Hurricanes Under 6 -130 (series 1/3) Risking 1.3 to win 1.0 Units
Oilers Under 5 +110 (series 1/3) Risking 0.909 to win 1.0 Units

Other plays pending:

2 10-18-07 Play on Devils PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-18-07 Play on Florida PL +1 1/2 **
2 10-19-07 Play on Pittsburgh PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-19-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Chicago PL +1 1/2 **
3 10-20-07 Play on Montreal PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 (Same game as below) *
3 10-20-07 Play on Philadelphia PL +1 1/2 (Same game as above) *

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Click to expand...

$$$inmywallet,

Continue with the system and you'll end up with a very fine season.

:cheers: :cheers: :cheers:
​
 
10/14/07

System Record: 11-1 (+7.513 Units) Running total 11-3-3 ---> (+7.513 Units)
Other plays: 0-0 (0 Units)

System:

Wild Under 5 -115 (series 2/3) Risking 1.15 to win 1.0 Units
Oilers Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.0 Units
Red Wings Under 5 1/2 -105 (series 1/3) Risking 1.05 to win 1.0 Units

Other plays pending:

2 10-18-07 Play on Devils PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-18-07 Play on Florida PL +1 1/2 **
2 10-19-07 Play on Pittsburgh PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-19-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Chicago PL +1 1/2 **
3 10-20-07 Play on Montreal PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 (Same game as below) *
3 10-20-07 Play on Philadelphia PL +1 1/2 (Same game as above) *
 
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$$$, are you going to redistribute the loss on the calgary series over the rest of the remaining series, or just take the loss against the winnings?
 
10/15/07

System Record: 13-1 (+9.513 Units) Running total 13-3-3 ---> (+9.513 Units)
Other plays: 0-0 (0 Units)

System:

Oilers Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units

Other plays pending:

2 10-18-07 Play on Devils PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-18-07 Play on Florida PL +1 1/2 **
2 10-19-07 Play on Pittsburgh PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-19-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Chicago PL +1 1/2 **
3 10-20-07 Play on Montreal PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 (Same game as below) *
3 10-20-07 Play on Philadelphia PL +1 1/2 (Same game as above) *
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10/16/07

System Record: 13-1 (+9.513 Units) Running total 13-3-3 ---> (+9.513 Units)
Other plays: 0-0 (0 Units)

System:

Oilers Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units
Panthers Under 5 1/2 +100 (series 1/3) Risking 1.1 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays pending:

2 10-18-07 Play on Devils PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-18-07 Play on Florida PL +1 1/2 **
2 10-19-07 Play on Pittsburgh PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-19-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Chicago PL +1 1/2 **
3 10-20-07 Play on Montreal PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 (Same game as below) *
3 10-20-07 Play on Philadelphia PL +1 1/2 (Same game as above) *

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Great job $$$$ but i got some questions for you! Under "other plays" you are going to start playing puck line but I don't understand why those games, what's number 2 and 3 in front and stars at the end, and Carolina and Philadelphia play each other on 10-20-07.
Thanks in advance!
 
odjebaus said:
Great job $$$$ but i got some questions for you! Under "other plays" you are going to start playing puck line but I don't understand why those games, what's number 2 and 3 in front and stars at the end, and Carolina and Philadelphia play each other on 10-20-07.
Thanks in advance!
Click to expand...

It is a system, but I am not quite revealing it yet. That is why you would play both Carolina and Philadelphia on 10-20-07. The amount of the * represent how strong the play is.
 
10/17/07

System Record: 14-1 (+10.613 Units) Running total 14-3-3 ---> (+10.613 Units)
Other plays: 0-0 (0 Units)

System:

Oilers Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units
Predators Under 5 1/2 -135 (series 1/3) Risking 1.485 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays pending:

2 10-18-07 Play on Devils PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-18-07 Play on Florida PL +1 1/2 **
2 10-19-07 Play on Pittsburgh PL +1 1/2 *
2 10-19-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Chicago PL +1 1/2 **
3 10-20-07 Play on Montreal PL +1 1/2 *
3 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 (Same game as below) *
3 10-20-07 Play on Philadelphia PL +1 1/2 (Same game as above) *
 
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frank, I believe he is redistributing the loss of the earlier Calgary series over the remaining series wagers. If another complete series were to lose, those total lost units on the series would be redistributed over the remaining series and the 1.1 would go up to 1.2 or whatever.
 
$$$, how many remaining series are left?
You are redistributing 0.1 unit to all remaining games right?
I am trying to figure out how to divide up my losses as well.
 
slim5150 said:
frank, I believe he is redistributing the loss of the earlier Calgary series over the remaining series wagers. If another complete series were to lose, those total lost units on the series would be redistributed over the remaining series and the 1.1 would go up to 1.2 or whatever.
Click to expand...

You are correct

:cheers:
 
The distribution doesn't seem right to me. You only lost 2.578 units on that series. Divide that up over the remaining 186 series left and you get .01386 etc. So I dunno why you've added .1 unit to your plays. You should be playing to win around 1.014 units right?
 
albyman32 said:
The distribution doesn't seem right to me. You only lost 2.578 units on that series. Divide that up over the remaining 186 series left and you get .01386 etc. So I dunno why you've added .1 unit to your plays. You should be playing to win around 1.014 units right?
Click to expand...

1.1 just makes it easier and it would give me a little cushion. Not too worried if I go over my goal :tiphat:
 
10/18/07

System Record: 15-1 (+11.713 Units) Running total 15-3-3 ---> (+11.713 Units)
Other plays: 0-0 (0 Units)

System:

Oilers Under 5 1/2 -115 (series 2/3) Risking 1.265 to win 1.1 Units
Rangers Under 5 1/2 -115 (series 1/3) Risking 1.265 to win 1.1 Units
Devils Under 5 1/2 -120 (series 1/3) Risking 1.32 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

2 10-18-07 Play on Devils PL +1 1/2 -180 Risking 3.6 to win 2 units
2 10-18-07 Play on Florida PL +1 1/2 -250 Risking 6.25 to win 2.5 units

Other plays pending:

2 10-19-07 Play on Pittsburgh PL +1 1/2 **
2 10-19-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 **
3 10-20-07 Play on Chicago PL +1 1/2 ***
3 10-20-07 Play on Montreal PL +1 1/2 **
3 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 (Same game as below) **
3 10-20-07 Play on Philadelphia PL +1 1/2 (Same game as above) **
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10/19/07

System Record: 16-1 (+12.813 Units) Running total 16-5-3 ---> (+10.283 Units)
Other plays: 1-1 (-1.1 Units)

System:

Oilers Under ? ??? (series 3/3) Risking ??? to win 2.365 Units
Rangers Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 2.365 Units
Avalanche Under 5 1/2 (series 1/3) Risking 1.265 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

2 10-19-07 Play on Pittsburgh PL +1 1/2 -340 Risking 6.8 to win 2.0 units against Hurricanes
2 10-19-07 Play on Columbus PL +1 1/2 -155 Risking 3.1 to win 2.0 units against Sabres
2 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 ?? Risking ??? to win 5.6 units against Flyers

Other plays pending:

3 10-20-07 Play on Chicago PL +1 1/2 ***
3 10-20-07 Play on Montreal PL +1 1/2 **
3 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 (Same game as below) **
3 10-20-07 Play on Philadelphia PL +1 1/2 (Same game as above) **

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10/20/07

System Record: 16-1 (+12.813 Units) Running total 16-6-3 ---> (+9.018 Units)
Other plays: 3-1 (+2.9 Units)

System:

Oilers Under 5 1/2 -120 (series 3/3) Risking 2.838 to win 2.365 Units
Rangers Under 5 1/2 -110 (series 2/3) Risking 2.602 to win 2.365 Units
Avalanche Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 2.365 Units
Thrashers Under 6 -130 (series 1/3) Risking 1.43 to win 1.1 Units
Sabres Under 6 -125 (series 1/3) Risking 1.375 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

2 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 -215 Risking 12.04 to win 5.6 units against Flyers (2/3)
3 10-20-07 Play on Chicago PL +1 1/2 -175 Risking 4.375 to win 2.5 units against Maple Leafs (1/3)
3 10-20-07 Play on Montreal PL +1 1/2 -280 Risking 5.6 to win 2 units against Sabres (1/3)
3 10-20-07 Play on Hurricanes PL +1 1/2 -215 Risking 4.3 to win 2 units against Flyers (1/3)
3 10-20-07 Play on Philadelphia PL +1 1/2 -400 Risking 8 to win 2 units against Hurricanes (1/3)

Other plays pending:

None
 
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10/21/07

System Record: 18-1 (+15.013 Units) Running total 18-7-4 ---> (+12.318 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Avalanche Under 5 1/2 -120 (series 2/3) Risking 2.838 to win 2.365 Units
Thrashers Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 2.53 Units
Sabres Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units
Canucks Under 5 -110 (series 1/3) Risking 1.21 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

None
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10/22/07

System Record: 19-1 (+16.113 Units) Running total 19-7-5 ---> (+14.683 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Thrashers Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 2.53 Units
Sabres Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units
Canucks Under 5 1/2 -120 (series 2/3) Risking 1.32 to win 1.1 Units
Sharks Under 5 +105 (series 1/3) Risking 1.05 to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

None

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Question: Doesn't it concern you that the empty net goals at the end of a game could push the goals over the total? I have seen that a few times this year. I would think that would be the only drawback to the under system. I wonder if you had any stats from last year as to how many games went over because of the empty net goals. Just an observation. Thanks. Again great job thus far.
 
AgainstThePublic said:
Question: Doesn't it concern you that the empty net goals at the end of a game could push the goals over the total? I have seen that a few times this year. I would think that would be the only drawback to the under system. I wonder if you had any stats from last year as to how many games went over because of the empty net goals. Just an observation. Thanks. Again great job thus far.
Click to expand...

Trust me, I definitely think of this and it sucks when it happens, but when trends going back 2 years, before the Shootout rule went into effect, I stick with the trends.
 
10/23/07

System Record: 20-1 (+17.213 Units) Running total 20-7-6 ---> (+15.783 Units)
Other plays: 8-1 (+17 Units)

System:

Thrashers Under 6 1/2 +115 (series 2/3) Risking 2.2 to win 2.53 Units
Sabres Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units
Sharks Under ? ??? (series 2/3) Risking ??? to win 1.1 Units

Other plays active:

None

Other plays pending:

None
 
Last edited:
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