CollegeKingRex
CTG Regular
Those of you wanting a play before these games start, well, sorry, you're in the wrong place.
Nothing for me today at these levels, although from reading the markets, I think billy is trying to jack TCU up to 4 and then bet on Ole Miss. That should be his side even if the line has topped out.
I also think that the sharpest money should come for Boise later, but I'm not sure.
Would seem that GT is the sharp side as well in the late game, with UNDER the total also getting the majority of the money I chart.
The Atlanta Bowl has been a Dec. 31 staple for as long as I can remember, although this will be the first time they play it in the daytime for an equally long amount of time I can remember. It will be weird for sure (why not swap the Miami Bowl and Atlanta Bowl so we can have some semblance of consistency in all this chaotic change?)
The hardest thing to judge in spots like this, in the first game particularly, is motivation. What sort of effort can you expect today from a Texas Christian team that was temporarily "given" a No. 3 ranking in an arbitrary "poll" the week before blasting an overmatched conference foe and then being summarily dumped out of the top 4 despite that win? The Horned Frogs did everything asked of them by the committee when earning that ranking safely inside the top four in the final poll before the playoffs were announced. They did nothing to lose their spot, yet find themselves playing in the AM hours (local time) on New Year's Eve... a far cry from the late afternoon or prime time spot they were coveting tomorrow. Chopping the league title hurt them, as did losing to that team they split it with.
There were several occasions this year where I was far from impressed with TCU's effort on both sides of the ball (they were outplayed by Oklahoma at home for long stretches in a game where i had to sweat it to the end) but that said, the only game that Toads lost, they scored 58 points and led by three touchdowns with less than 12 minutes left. I think the Big XII's round robin schedule is as fair as anything going in college football. Wouldn't the SEC be more fun if they chopped the divisions and literally drew out of a hat for the next year? Keep the Egg Bowl, the World's Largest Cocktail Party, the Iron Bowl etc etc (maybe as many as 3 division games with 5 left up in the air by a blind draw the season before, literally they could have done it on Christmas Day for more eyeballs since there were no bowls this year). Tangent over, TCU and Baylor won league titles and won't be playing in the playoffs, which hardly seems fair given the mediocrity of the Big 10, ACC, the SEC East and the Pac XII North.
So how does Patterson circle the troops and get a rousing effort out of them? That's the big question; the Toads are laying more than a field goal and the game is in SEC country. If they don't bring a top effort, Owe Miss might well beat them senseless. The SEC is 4-1 ATS and SU in bowls already this season, and the Rebels were 7-0 SU and ATS this season and thumped a 10-1 Mississippi State team by two touchdowns in the Egg Bowl to keep their hated in-state foes out of the playoffs. The "Land Shark" Rebel defense led the nation in allowing just 13.8 ppg. The Rebs also yielded just 3.4 yards per carry and intercepted 19 passes. TCU QB Trevone Boykin had a good enough season to throw his name into the hat for early 2015 Heisman Trophy contender; that's what happens when you go from a subpar 7/7 touchdown-to-INT ratio last season to 30/7 in 2014. This will be the most fun offensive-vs-defensive matchup in any bowl game to this point.
It's tough to say whether you'll get the "good" or "bad" Bo Wallace for Owe Miss, another thing to keep me off this game. The 4-2-5 Patterson D could well keep him guessing. TCU has the kicking game edge, was second in the nation in takeaways and second with a +18 turnover margin. The Rebs are 6-0 SU and ATS in their last six bowls and 11 of the last 16 Atlanta Bowl outright winners have gone to the dog. Gun to head, I'll call for TCU to win by 1 to 3 in an UNDER-type game (high 40s to low 50s total pts scored) on a late field goal.
Back with writeups on the other two shortly...
:shake:
Nothing for me today at these levels, although from reading the markets, I think billy is trying to jack TCU up to 4 and then bet on Ole Miss. That should be his side even if the line has topped out.
I also think that the sharpest money should come for Boise later, but I'm not sure.
Would seem that GT is the sharp side as well in the late game, with UNDER the total also getting the majority of the money I chart.
The Atlanta Bowl has been a Dec. 31 staple for as long as I can remember, although this will be the first time they play it in the daytime for an equally long amount of time I can remember. It will be weird for sure (why not swap the Miami Bowl and Atlanta Bowl so we can have some semblance of consistency in all this chaotic change?)
The hardest thing to judge in spots like this, in the first game particularly, is motivation. What sort of effort can you expect today from a Texas Christian team that was temporarily "given" a No. 3 ranking in an arbitrary "poll" the week before blasting an overmatched conference foe and then being summarily dumped out of the top 4 despite that win? The Horned Frogs did everything asked of them by the committee when earning that ranking safely inside the top four in the final poll before the playoffs were announced. They did nothing to lose their spot, yet find themselves playing in the AM hours (local time) on New Year's Eve... a far cry from the late afternoon or prime time spot they were coveting tomorrow. Chopping the league title hurt them, as did losing to that team they split it with.
There were several occasions this year where I was far from impressed with TCU's effort on both sides of the ball (they were outplayed by Oklahoma at home for long stretches in a game where i had to sweat it to the end) but that said, the only game that Toads lost, they scored 58 points and led by three touchdowns with less than 12 minutes left. I think the Big XII's round robin schedule is as fair as anything going in college football. Wouldn't the SEC be more fun if they chopped the divisions and literally drew out of a hat for the next year? Keep the Egg Bowl, the World's Largest Cocktail Party, the Iron Bowl etc etc (maybe as many as 3 division games with 5 left up in the air by a blind draw the season before, literally they could have done it on Christmas Day for more eyeballs since there were no bowls this year). Tangent over, TCU and Baylor won league titles and won't be playing in the playoffs, which hardly seems fair given the mediocrity of the Big 10, ACC, the SEC East and the Pac XII North.
So how does Patterson circle the troops and get a rousing effort out of them? That's the big question; the Toads are laying more than a field goal and the game is in SEC country. If they don't bring a top effort, Owe Miss might well beat them senseless. The SEC is 4-1 ATS and SU in bowls already this season, and the Rebels were 7-0 SU and ATS this season and thumped a 10-1 Mississippi State team by two touchdowns in the Egg Bowl to keep their hated in-state foes out of the playoffs. The "Land Shark" Rebel defense led the nation in allowing just 13.8 ppg. The Rebs also yielded just 3.4 yards per carry and intercepted 19 passes. TCU QB Trevone Boykin had a good enough season to throw his name into the hat for early 2015 Heisman Trophy contender; that's what happens when you go from a subpar 7/7 touchdown-to-INT ratio last season to 30/7 in 2014. This will be the most fun offensive-vs-defensive matchup in any bowl game to this point.
It's tough to say whether you'll get the "good" or "bad" Bo Wallace for Owe Miss, another thing to keep me off this game. The 4-2-5 Patterson D could well keep him guessing. TCU has the kicking game edge, was second in the nation in takeaways and second with a +18 turnover margin. The Rebs are 6-0 SU and ATS in their last six bowls and 11 of the last 16 Atlanta Bowl outright winners have gone to the dog. Gun to head, I'll call for TCU to win by 1 to 3 in an UNDER-type game (high 40s to low 50s total pts scored) on a late field goal.
Back with writeups on the other two shortly...
:shake:
