Week 10 Writeups and Hopefully Feedback

[twinkie13]

A well deserved day Br@ss

 

[M.W.]

14. @Clemson -10 v Louisville: Deciding late on this one. Louisville strikes me as a team this year that finds ways to not succeed. They have good players, they have a good scheme, but they go for it on 4th down in tough spots and Brohm forgets what he's doing with his play calls, they turn the ball over, etc. Clemson has run roughshod over everyone since their opening loss to Georgia, but admittedly it's against about the weakest lineup of ACC teams you could conjure up. But even with that being the case, they haven't really been challenged, and I think the nighttime crowd will be ready for this game, and so will the players. Klubnik has looked much better, but the main reason I like Clemson here is that I don't think Louisville will be able to stop Phil Mafah, and I don't like Louisville's chances to stop Clemson at all. They rank 98th in yards per pass attempt against, they rank 62nd against the run and they can't pressure the QB. Klubnik should have time to throw and should be able to be at his best. As for the Clemson defense, they've given up some yards, but almost all of them seem to be in garbage time. They've been good on 3rd down, and they've played good enough defense to allow their offense to be comfortably ahead in every game. This is more of a feel, but I have a feeling we aren't going to see a good performance out of Louisville tonight.

We did see a good performance from Louisville tonight. Clemson had strange game. They held on to the ball, converting 5 4th downs, but they took so long they limited the number of possessions they had, and they missed 2 FGs to boot. Louisville had 6.2 yards per play to Clemson's 4.45. Klubnik was dink and dunked Clemson right out of the game.

That was a weird game. I didn't have a side, as teams that manage to win with really bad TO margins generally play well and cover the next week. See SMU/Pitt for an even better example. This week, you need to fade Clemson. My play will be large but limited by the mental anguish that comes with betting against my team, but if I were advising a friend I would suggest making this a very large bet. And if VPI wins outright you will want to do the same thing the next week. Good luck, and congrats on a winning week.

 

[M.W.]

What a weird game.

I've watched UL, their defense is not good.

How did Clemson struggle so much is wild to me.

It was the Tennessee bowl game all over again, with a different OC but the same QB. Look at that box score. 100 plays. A million first downs (39?).

And be sure to fade Clemson this week.

 

[B.A.R.]

It was the Tennessee bowl game all over again, with a different OC but the same QB. Look at that box score. 100 plays. A million first downs (39?).

And be sure to fade Clemson this week.

Great comparison

That orange bowl was so frustrating.

 

[Br@ssknux]

That was a weird game. I didn't have a side, as teams that manage to win with really bad TO margins generally play well and cover the next week. See SMU/Pitt for an even better example. This week, you need to fade Clemson. My play will be large but limited by the mental anguish that comes with betting against my team, but if I were advising a friend I would suggest making this a very large bet. And if VPI wins outright you will want to do the same thing the next week. Good luck, and congrats on a winning week.

It was definitely a weird box score. Outgained Louisville in yards but not close in yards per play. Converted almost every series of downs and no turnovers, but missed 2 FGs and chewed all the clock while Louisville didn’t have to get to third or 4th down very often and when they did they made field goals. You don’t see games like that every day.

 

[M.W.]

It was definitely a weird box score. Outgained Louisville in yards but not close in yards per play. Converted almost every series of downs and no turnovers, but missed 2 FGs and chewed all the clock while Louisville didn’t have to get to third or 4th down very often and when they did they made field goals. You don’t see games like that every day.

The field goal attempts were blocked, by the way.