NHL - 3 Game Road Trip, fade system

[Cass7206]

just wanted to say when i first saw this I really liked the idea but didnt feel like looking through schedules for 3 game road trips all the time, but with you posting them on here I'm gonna go ahead and jump on the bandwagon, should be fun nice play, and lets win the moneys!

 

[albyman32]

Cass, I've been following this as well and charvik has a very nice spreadsheet that he sent me. It has all the road trips listed. I've been using that to follow the system and its been helpful. You might want to read some of the Q&A and charvik's initial explanation at the beginning of this thread.

 

[RSMS9999]

kings tonight

 

[charvik]

Wednesday's series:

Rangers ML -130, play against Predators 2.40 units to win 1 (leg 2/3)
Ducks ML -133, play against Red Wings 2.35 units to win 1 (leg 2/4)
Maple Leafs ML -140, play against Avs 1.40 units to win 1 (leg 1/3)
Kings ML +122, play against Wild 0.82 units to win 1 (leg 1/3)

:drink:

YTD: 13-0, +14u

Thursday:
Devils ML -134, play against Predators 5.69 units to win 1 (leg 3/3)
Senators ML -215, play against Avs 5.16 units to win 1 (leg 2/3)

 

[charvik]

just wanted to say when i first saw this I really liked the idea but didnt feel like looking through schedules for 3 game road trips all the time, but with you posting them on here I'm gonna go ahead and jump on the bandwagon, should be fun nice play, and lets win the moneys!

Send me an email if you want the spread sheet...

charvik (at) gmail.com

 

[charvik]

YTD: 13-0, +14u

Thursday:
Devils ML -134, play against Predators 5.69 units to win 1 (leg 3/3)
Senators ML -215, play against Avs 5.16 units to win 1 (leg 2/3)

Lost a heartbreaker in the Shootout and that's the first series loss of the season.

YTD: 13-1, +4.06

Here's where it gets tricky. The remaining series of the year has to absorb the loss on the Preds.

155 series remaining to absorb the 9.94 unit loss. New goal per series is 1.07 units. So from here on out, the stakes are modified to win 1.07 units per series.

Friday:

Sabres ML -170, play against Hurricanes 18.25 units to win 1.07 (leg 4/5) :nervous:
Blues ML -104, play against Canucks 1.11 units to win 1.07 (leg 1/4) Start of 2nd series of road trip
Ducks ML -150, play against Wild 2.84 units to win 1.07 (leg 2/3)

 

[charvik]

Lost a heartbreaker in the Shootout and that's the first series loss of the season.

YTD: 13-1, +4.06

Friday:

Sabres ML -170, play against Hurricanes 18.25 units to win 1.07 (leg 4/5) :nervous:
Blues ML -104, play against Canucks 1.11 units to win 1.07 (leg 1/4) Start of 2nd series of road trip
Ducks ML -150, play against Wild 2.84 units to win 1.07 (leg 2/3)

whew... The Sabres won...:wacka wacka:

YTD: 14-1, +6.20

 

[charvik]

Saturday:

Predators ML -160, play against Canucks 3.49 units to win 1.07 (leg 2/4)
Canadiens ML -138, play against Avs 10.53 units to win 1.07 (leg 3/3)
Bruins ML +130, play against Sabres 0.82 units to win 1.07 (leg 1/3)

 

[charvik]

Saturday:

Predators ML -160, play against Canucks 3.49 units to win 1.07 (leg 2/4)
Canadiens ML -138, play against Avs 10.53 units to win 1.07 (leg 3/3)
Bruins ML +130, play against Sabres 0.82 units to win 1.07 (leg 1/3)

1-2 tonight:

YTD: 15-1, +7.27

 

[charvik]

Monday:

Stars ML -170, play against Canucks ? units to win 1.07 (leg 3/4)
Canadiens ML +114, play against Sabres ? units to win 1.07 (leg 2/3)
Avs ML -177, play against Kings ? units to win 1.07 (leg 1/4)
Blue Jackets ML +150, play against Sharks ? units to win 1.07 (leg 1/5)
Panthers ML +113, play against Thrashers 3.49 units to win 1.07 (leg 1/5)

I don't have my sheet on this laptop, so I will have to update the amounts to bet later this afternoon...

 

[tuck321]

Markie Mark over at the RX has passed on both the Buffalo and Sharks road series as too dangerous. Just mentioning this as hopefully constructive feedback. GL:shake:

 

[charvik]

Markie Mark over at the RX has passed on both the Buffalo and Sharks road series as too dangerous. Just mentioning this as hopefully constructive feedback. GL:shake:

Yeah, I agree... I should've done that too in retrospect... Thanks man

 

[charvik]

Monday:

Stars ML -170, play against Canucks ? units to win 1.07 (leg 3/4)
Canadiens ML +114, play against Sabres ? units to win 1.07 (leg 2/3)
Avs ML -177, play against Kings ? units to win 1.07 (leg 1/4)
Blue Jackets ML +150, play against Sharks ? units to win 1.07 (leg 1/5)
Panthers ML +113, play against Thrashers 3.49 units to win 1.07 (leg 1/5)

I don't have my sheet on this laptop, so I will have to update the amounts to bet later this afternoon...

YTD 16-1, +9.41

 

[charvik]

Wednesday:

Red Wings ML -106, play against Sharks 1.86 units to win 1.07 (leg 2/5)
Hurricanes ML -130, play against Thrashers 2.67 units to win 1.07 (leg 2/5)
Avs ML -185, play against Capitals 1.98 units to win 1.07 (leg 1/4)
Rangers ML -201, play against Panthers 2.15 units to win 1.07 (leg 1/3)

 

[charvik]

Wednesday:

Red Wings ML -106, play against Sharks 1.86 units to win 1.07 (leg 2/5)
Hurricanes ML -130, play against Thrashers 2.67 units to win 1.07 (leg 2/5)
Avs ML -185, play against Capitals 1.98 units to win 1.07 (leg 1/4)
Rangers ML -201, play against Panthers 2.15 units to win 1.07 (leg 1/3)

YTD: 18-1, +11.55u

Thursday:

Islanders ML +173, play against Sabres 2.10 units to win 1.07 (leg 3/3)
Devils ML -248, play against Panthers 7.99 units to win 1.07 (leg 2/3)

Two big plays today... The end of the Sabres series, and the second night in a row with the Panthers going up against a -200+ home favorite...

 

[charvik]

YTD: 18-1, +11.55u

Thursday:

Islanders ML +173, play against Sabres 2.10 units to win 1.07 (leg 3/3)
Devils ML -248, play against Panthers 7.99 units to win 1.07 (leg 2/3)

Two big plays today... The end of the Sabres series, and the second night in a row with the Panthers going up against a -200+ home favorite...

The Sabres series ended up a loss, not surprising... Luckily they were heavy favorites each night, so it wasn't too expensive...

YTD: 19-2, +6.89

The total loss on the Sabres series, 5.73units, is to be divided up on the remaining 146 series... which gives us 0.04u, and that brings the new series goal to 1.11u

 

[charvik]

Friday:

Canucks ML -175, play against Capitals 5.41 units to win 1.11 (leg 2/4)
Wild ML -128, play against Ducks 1.42 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/3)

 

[charvik]

Friday:

Canucks ML -175, play against Capitals 5.41 units to win 1.11 (leg 2/4)
Wild ML -128, play against Ducks 1.42 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/3)

YTD: 21-2, +9.11u

Saturday:
Flyers ML -126, play against Penguins 1.40 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/4)
Flames ML -148, play against Predators 1.64 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/5)
Coyotes ML +118, play against Rangers 0.94 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/4)

:cheers:

 

[MECHBULL]

loving the results charvik could you email me the sheet to
ice8@mchsi.com

looks like tonights card wont hurt so much on the favs
i think ill stay away from playing against a select few teams such as buffalo although i think they will fall soon

 

[charvik]

YTD: 21-2, +9.11u

Saturday:
Flyers ML -126, play against Penguins 1.40 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/4)
Flames ML -148, play against Predators 1.64 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/5)
Coyotes ML +118, play against Rangers 0.94 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/4)

:cheers:

All of the series continues to the next round... No games today.

Mechbull, I've sent you the sheet. :drink:

 

[MECHBULL]

1 question charvik
if lets say you win on the first bet do you continue to bet against that team any further during there road trip also do you ever not play against a team traveling such as buffalo, minn if they are on a soft schedule at that time?

ps thank you for the spread sheet

 

[charvik]

Monday:

Kings ML +125, play against Rangers 1.64 units to win 1.11 (leg 2/4)

 

[charvik]

1 question charvik
if lets say you win on the first bet do you continue to bet against that team any further during there road trip also do you ever not play against a team traveling such as buffalo, minn if they are on a soft schedule at that time?

ps thank you for the spread sheet

Yes, I do continue to bet against the road team, if they have 4 or more games remaining on their road trip.

I probably should avoid some of the hotter teams right now, but I haven't so far... maybe that's a mistake, but since I incorporate the losing series units in the units to win, it shouldn't matter too much. The losing Sabres series lately costs me 0.04u per series, so one or two extra losses shouldn't matter too much...

:drink:

 

[charvik]

Kings/Rangers still in progress...

Tuesday:
Canucks ML -125, play against Predators 3.44 units to win 1.11 (leg 2/5)

 

[charvik]

Monday:

Kings ML +125, play against Rangers 1.64 units to win 1.11 (leg 2/4)

YTD: 22-2, +10.22u

 

[Whatashot]

At first glance, this is almost like betting double or nothing but really it's not. Its worse. Your team goes on a 3 game road trip, wins all three, you've bet all three losers, the action is over and you're sucking wind....thanks but no thanks

 

[MECHBULL]

At first glance, this is almost like betting double or nothing but really it's not. Its worse. Your team goes on a 3 game road trip, wins all three, you've bet all three losers, the action is over and you're sucking wind....thanks but no thanks

re read the first post
if that happens you increase your unit size accordingly for the rest of the season from say 1 unit to 1.06 1.13 etc etc......

 

[charvik]

At first glance, this is almost like betting double or nothing but really it's not. Its worse. Your team goes on a 3 game road trip, wins all three, you've bet all three losers, the action is over and you're sucking wind....thanks but no thanks

No problem. I don't care what you do. I have seen this system make people money the last two seasons and wanted to try it myself. It can certainly get expensive and is not to be recommended for people that can't muster playing 600 bucks to eek out a measly $50 profit over 5 games...

I have faith in the system, you don't. That's fine.:cheers:

 

[charvik]

oh, and sorry for being late with tonights plays:

Red Wings ML -165, play against Flames 1.85 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/3)
Lightning ML -145, play against Leafs 1.61 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/3)
Kings ML +106, play against Penguins 2.37 units to win 1.11 (leg 2/4)
Oilers ML -154, play against Predators 9.54 units to win 1.11 (leg 3/5)

 

[charvik]

Thursdays plays:

Panthers ML -119, play against Leafs 3.24 units to win 1.11 (leg 2/3)
Flyers ML -132, play against Lightning 1.47 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/4)

 

[charvik]

Thursdays plays:

Panthers ML -119, play against Leafs 3.24 units to win 1.11 (leg 2/3)
Flyers ML -132, play against Lightning 1.47 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/4)

YTD: 24-2, +12.44u

Friday:

Oilers ML -113, play against Stars 1.25 units to win 1.11 (leg 1/4)

 

[charvik]

Saturday is a ridiculous day for the system... VERY expensive...

Sharks ML -193, play against Penguins 9.41 units to win 1.11 (leg 3/4)
Wild ML -146, play against Predators 22.97 units to win 1.11 (leg 4/5)
Bruins ML -102, play against Lightning 2.63 units to win 1.11 (leg 2/4)

:nervous:

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Jesus - you wouldnt consider a parlay and what ever loses, then go for that alone the next game?

 

[charvik]

You would think I should... LOL... but I have set aside 100units to try this out and have committed myself, no matter how silly it gets... somebody has to try the waters...:spank:

 

[albyman32]

charvik, are you gonna play the last game of the Preds road trip? Its kind of a weird one since they have 6 days off and I'm sure they're gonna go home in between. Kinda goes against the long road trip idea and makes that game a tossup. Maybe we should call it a series and absorb the hit for the rest of the year.

 

[charvik]

Yeah, I was just thinking about that too... and I think that's the right call. 6 days is definitely enough to rest after a tough road trip. Let's take the hit and keep going forward. Tough loss... :spank:

 

[charvik]

Tough beat on the Preds for the system...

YTD: 26-3, -24.04

New series goal is 1.39u to eat the loss...

Monday:

Canucks ML +113, play against Stars 2.34 units to win 1.39 (leg 2/4)
Capitals ML +117, play against Senators 1.19 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/4)

 

[charvik]

Tuesday:

Canadiens ML -140, play against Oilers 1.95 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/5)
Sharks ML -144, play against Wild 2.00 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/5)

sorry for not posting earlier... I'm in Oklahoma City working and this is the first time I have internet access...

YTD: 28-3, -21.26u (Goal per series: 1.39):down:

 

[charvik]

Plays for Wednesday:

Red Wings ML -185, play against Oilers 2.57 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/4) 2nd series
Panthers ML +110, play against Rangers 1.26 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/3)

 

[albyman32]

Any thoughts on laying off this Sharks series? Pretty good team playing some weak competition on this 4 game trip, including the Kings twice.

 

[charvik]

I was thinking about that, but I'll just let it ride... I think... If they go to double digit units I'll lay off though...

Flyers ML -118, play against Islanders 1.64 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/5)
Kings ML +162, play against Sharks 0.86 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/4)

 

[charvik]

Friday:

Thrashers ML -152, play against Rangers 4.03 units to win 1.39 (leg 2/3)

 

[charvik]

4 games for Saturday:

Kings ML +153, play against Wild 0.91 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/4) second series
Capitals ML -108, play against Rangers 7.22 units to win 1.39 (leg 3/3)
Coyotes ML +197, play against Sharks 1.65 units to win 1.39 (leg 2/4)
Maple Leafs ML +109, play against Canadiens 1.28 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/4)

 

[charvik]

Just one game for Sunday:

Ducks ML -172, play against Wild 3.95 units to win 1.39 (leg 2/4) second series

record for the year so far:

YTD: 32-3, -14.31u

 

[charvik]

Monday:

Kings ML +189, play against Sharks 2.59 units to win 1.39 (leg 3/4)
Penguins ML -183, play against Flyers 2.54 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/4)

 

[charvik]

Tuesday:

Flames ML -224, play against Blues 3.11 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/5)
Canucks ML +127, play against Red Wings 1.09 units to win 1.39 (leg 1/3)

 

[charvik]

Wednesday:

Stars ML -222, play against Islanders 6.73 units to win 1.39 (leg 2/5)

 

[Jambruins]

charvik, its Jambruins from WCS. I am glad to see that you are playing the system I posted at WCS last year. Is anyone posting the system plays at WCS? I am playing it this year and noticed that you are not playing the subseries. By subseries I mean if a team losses a road game but still has 3 or more left you start another series. MON and PHI are plays today if you were doing that. Did you decide against this or just forget?

 

[albyman32]

Charvik has been playing subseries but only if there are 4 or more games left. I've been following the system and thats what I've been doing too.

 

[Santacapper]

Jam, good to see you man...