NBA Wednesday Thoughts

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
Last night was pretty nice. Anytime you can take home a profit you need to be happy. A 2-0-1 night never hurts and it was waiting too long that cost me an outright win on the first total. Congrats to those who got the line when you should have. Glad my man BDK finally nabbed a close one. Hopefully its a the start of a streak for him in his quest to the kill(a) the curse(lol).

The last fourteen days of capping have been amazing. I honestly wasn't goping to play much this month. I was going to relax a bit and take things in. I saw a situation two weeks ago tonight I had to play. Then a few days later Kilal pointed out a situation that I just always love. Since then its been on. I was up in the mid 40's unit wise at end of November. Slipped back to low 30's in December as I always do. Now, we are peaking over 60 units. This is pretty neat. A unit for me is 200 bones. Last year, I would play 200-2000 a game(with a unit prolly being 400ish). This year I have played basically 1-5 units execpt the Detroit play last week. So, this is my most satisfying first half of a season. I compare the same point last year when i was up 9600...but that was bigger plays. So, we all strive to improve each year. I think I have. Its no coincidence that my best CFB and NBA stuff has come with being here at CTG(promotional plug ;)).

Detroit @ Charlotte

Double revenge situation here for the Stons. The Bobcats nipped them at the Palace when Billups was out a few weeks ago. Morrison made some big plays and Detroit was basically lifeless for much of the game.

Detroit slowly is showing signs of life. I think we will see them go on a nice little run here into all-star break. The schedule isn't imposing and the Webber arrival has put some life into the club. Chris has done very nicely on offense. Flip pointed out that he has prolly gotten screwed out of 9-10 assists in three games because teammates are not used to such a skilled pasing big man. Number 84 even did a little damage in paint against Wolves(lol). I like the inside out possibilties with him and Rasheed. If they both comply, it can work. Rip should get a few more easy buckets a game. He benefits most from Chris. Now on defense, we'll just not talk about big ole 84.

Teams that fare well against Detroit can rebound well. Thats why a team like Utah will always have Detroit's number. The Bobcats are a fairly solid rebounding team in my estimation. Detroit has the bodies...just not fight for each ball like they used to. Thats what makes me hesitant on the side somewhat.

I look for a classic Detroit road game. They sport the best road record in east at 12-8. I think Billups controls the tempo and Detroit is very efficient. No way the Bobcats win 3 in a row against us. Detroit should control from start to finish.

Detroit -6 -110
Detroit under 185.5 -110 (2.5 units)

I do not like playing both sides in a game but feel I have a really good feel for this game.

GL
 
gl I like it. I hope Det jumps out to big lead so the want give char any life.

Only thing is that the bobcats play det tough have to think on it
but love the under


also do you think Mcdyess out will hurt Det? Hopefully Wallace and Webber can step up. But I think now you will see teams try to push getting close to break.


I like Spurs first half just something to look into. Rockets gave it to the Spurs last time. Also the spurs didnt close out well in Boston But I see Spurs kickin ass tomorrow start to finish
 
luvthemcowboys said:
gl I like it. I hope Det jumps out to big lead so the want give char any life.

Only thing is that the bobcats play det tough have to think on it
but love the under
Detroit jumps out to big lead and under is quite safe. They will get real conservative. Detroit will score on road..against likes of GSW, PHX and Washington for example. In games like these they simply will control tempo and make it a DET game.

GL buddy:cheers:
 
This is basically another version of tonites Suns @ Wiz game. You look at this line and are like -6??? You know after lsoing both times Pistons will be focused here and that blowout vs Sac after the OT game tells me this team is ready to roll....tend to agree with the under 80-85 range for Charlotte...BOL
 
SportsNut said:
This is basically another version of tonites Suns @ Wiz game. You look at this line and are like -6??? You know after lsoing both times Pistons will be focused here and that blowout vs Sac after the OT game tells me this team is ready to roll....tend to agree with the under 80-85 range for Charlotte...BOL

Glad to hear you agree. That game Saturday night told me a lot of which direction this team is going.
 
Well Copps...

Michigan has notoriously struggled at Kohn Center. I think one year they lost late and rest are ugly. Many will see UM record and hit them is my thought. Michiagn always has 2 wild cards. Can Courtney stay outta foul trouble and will Harris shoot well? Thats always 50.50 unfortuanly. I see a game close to number
 
I think the Stones have finally got their shit together and are about to go on a run as well now that they got their floor general back they have seem to have a little more life to them...You Gotta love Mr. Big Shot:smiley_acbe:...BOL with the Stones tommorow night BAR:shake:
 
Gl, The points are a bit high on this game. I guess I'll go for a small play to cheer alongside you! what scares me the most is a backdoor cover.
 
Detroit has lost too many close games lately.

I like the under play here as I believe they step it up and play some defensive ball which is their bread and butter.

BOL on the plays.
 
I like your boys to roll here BAR, GL with the pick. I think you have a strong case with the revenge/statement game for the Pistons, they keep their streak alive here I think. :cheers:
 
I dunno, I hate to go against you here, but does any Eastern Conference team deserve to be laying more than one possession on the road against any other Eastern Conference team? I think I'll be considering that in every play I make from here on out this season, just like the way I considered it in the NFC playoffs.

The fact that a 12-8 road record is not only the best in the Eastern Conference, but the fact that they're the only team in the conference with a road record above .500, I think tells you more about the conference than it does the Pistons.
 
DuY! said:
Gl, The points are a bit high on this game. I guess I'll go for a small play to cheer alongside you! what scares me the most is a backdoor cover.

Backdoors always need to be feared...that being said..Detroit bench is quite deep right now..so if they get ahead double d's....I wouldn't worry as much.
 
flounder101 said:
Maybe a 1st quarter play is in order?

Generally I would never touch a DET 1st qtr. They have been horid in first qtr starts for 2+ years now
 
Satyr said:
I like your boys to roll here BAR, GL with the pick. I think you have a strong case with the revenge/statement game for the Pistons, they keep their streak alive here I think. :cheers:

always good to have you on the same side my man.:drink:
 
wildcatmatt said:
I dunno, I hate to go against you here, but does any Eastern Conference team deserve to be laying more than one possession on the road against any other Eastern Conference team? I think I'll be considering that in every play I make from here on out this season, just like the way I considered it in the NFC playoffs.

The fact that a 12-8 road record is not only the best in the Eastern Conference, but the fact that they're the only team in the conference with a road record above .500, I think tells you more about the conference than it does the Pistons.

I agree somewhat. The road record does state how bad the East is. No, Detroit is a veteran team and has won in places like LA, MIA, ORL, DAL, NJ and CLE so far this year. They know how to win on road. Combine that with situational aspect and thats why I am on the favorites side.

I cannot argue with your East theory tho..lol

GL tonight MaTT
 
... and I can't argue that the Pistons have been solid overall on the road the last few years.

Just some stuff to think about from here on out. If I wasn't lazy, I'd be tracking how Eastern Conference dogs of one possession or more fare against Eastern Conference opponents, both at home and on the road.
 
B.A.R. said:
I agree somewhat. The road record does state how bad the East is. No, Detroit is a veteran team and has won in places like LA, MIA, ORL, DAL, NJ and CLE so far this year. They know how to win on road. Combine that with situational aspect and thats why I am on the favorites side.

I cannot argue with your East theory tho..lol

GL tonight MaTT


They also know how to lose on the road to losing teams. These veterans have already lost @ SAC by 13 points, GS by 32, CHA by 8, NY by 6 and ATL by 6.

In the last 5 trips to Charlotte, Detroit has only won by 7+ one time.
 
H.R. Pufnstuf said:
They also know how to lose on the road to losing teams. These veterans have already lost @ SAC by 13 points, GS by 32, CHA by 8, NY by 6 and ATL by 6.

In the last 5 trips to Charlotte, Detroit has only won by 7+ one time.

Very good point as well.

Now, lets debunk a few of those.

GS-no rip
AtL-no billups
NY-triple OT
 
BAR,

I got UNDER last night @ 185.5. The total has moved to 186.5, I should have waited. Also, should we be concerned with the line move on the total?
 
Tex...don't worry. Totals tend to move a lot. They are not as sharp as a side. Remember, public loves overs as well.
 
--------------------------ADDING-------------------------


Memphis-Utah Under 220 -110 2 units

Back around 7:30 pm
 
H.R. Pufnstuf said:
Thanks. By the way, if you noticed I never said Detroit wouldn't smash Charlotte tonight. LOL.

lol..I gotcha..

Always great to get more opinions on games.:smiley_acbe:
 
BAR,

Not worried @ all. Just thought I would ask. As a matter a fact, I might add more b4 tip off. Depends how I feel. lol
 
My guy gave me the Det under @ 186.5 and Utah @ 219.5

What kinda moron isn't tailing Big Al on this run he's on....I'm about to just give you my bookie's number and have you call in my action just to save me time...LOL
 
First half recap...DET-CHA

My fear is being realized. The Bobcats are all over the offensive glass. I believe 2nd chance points were 17-4 in first half. Thats only reason game is close. Detroit hasn't shot well but leads by 1. A barrage of points in last 5 minutes didn't help our chances of an under. We will need Bobcats to have one qtr in teens in 2nd half to ensure the under and hopefully both. On pace for 178 right now.
 
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