redbearde
Pretty much a regular
ML dogs: 46-71, 39.32%, +7.105 units
spreads: 51-43-5, 51.52%, +23.064 units
Lookin at tomorrow, and this is before the ML numbers are out, off the top of my head, my thoughts are as follows...
Bobcats - no way. The Bullets are very very well-conditioned. Even if you think the B2B is significant, they're both on it. May and Knight are both expected to be out as of now...if this changes, maybe the outlook changes. Honestly, The Bullets chalk looks pretty tastey to me.
Hawks - Cleveland on the road is suspect. Hawks without Josh Smith. Childress should be back, but several others sat out last game and are questionable. The line strikes me as being about right if all the Hawks players are in...Opinions on this one would be welcome. My guess is I won't play it, but one would think after the absolute shellacking the Hawks took from the Pistons they might want to come out and show their fans something this time.
Knicks home to Detroit after the stones had a damned satisfying win last night. I'm not a believer in the Knicks, tho. I think I'll look and see what Killa and BAR say about this one before I consider a move...Situationally a good spot for the Knicks, though. But, perhaps too much rest for them?
The Heat at the Bulls. That's fucking interesting dude...there might be some worthwhile value there. Sure, the bulls are insane at home, but the Heat have been playing well, and I think playing on the 25th will keep them in the flow where while the break might have the bulls come out flat. I can see several angles where this might turn the Heat's way...or at LEAST the Wades will be competitive...Miami is certainly a possible.
76ers at Kings. Philly isn't quite as bad without AI as I would like them to be...There seems to be some disquiet with the Fucking Crybaby in Sacramento. His knee is sore but there's no evidence. If he didn't have the sore pussy rep, well, maybe the idea that he's being a bitch wouldn't cross the team's mind. The point is that there's NO telling what's going through his or the SACK team's minds right now. There may be some value here on the 76ers. It's not like they played poorly tonight...it's just that GSW tends to be shooting 60%+ at home nowadays. If the Kings have a human day tomorrow, which they may very well, then this is a situation where the 76ers could spring a surprise on them...
I ignored the tiny dogs. No reason to bother with value betting there, and one's a Twolves game.:down:
Hornets/Blazers currently offline. Blazers should be favored. Not sure how I could put money on the Hornets right now...I heard the phrase "pargo takes over the point" against Seattle. Oh yeah. PARGO's gonna get it done.
right.
thoughtful comments and criticisms welcome.
'an_horse'
spreads: 51-43-5, 51.52%, +23.064 units
Lookin at tomorrow, and this is before the ML numbers are out, off the top of my head, my thoughts are as follows...
Bobcats - no way. The Bullets are very very well-conditioned. Even if you think the B2B is significant, they're both on it. May and Knight are both expected to be out as of now...if this changes, maybe the outlook changes. Honestly, The Bullets chalk looks pretty tastey to me.
Hawks - Cleveland on the road is suspect. Hawks without Josh Smith. Childress should be back, but several others sat out last game and are questionable. The line strikes me as being about right if all the Hawks players are in...Opinions on this one would be welcome. My guess is I won't play it, but one would think after the absolute shellacking the Hawks took from the Pistons they might want to come out and show their fans something this time.
Knicks home to Detroit after the stones had a damned satisfying win last night. I'm not a believer in the Knicks, tho. I think I'll look and see what Killa and BAR say about this one before I consider a move...Situationally a good spot for the Knicks, though. But, perhaps too much rest for them?
The Heat at the Bulls. That's fucking interesting dude...there might be some worthwhile value there. Sure, the bulls are insane at home, but the Heat have been playing well, and I think playing on the 25th will keep them in the flow where while the break might have the bulls come out flat. I can see several angles where this might turn the Heat's way...or at LEAST the Wades will be competitive...Miami is certainly a possible.
76ers at Kings. Philly isn't quite as bad without AI as I would like them to be...There seems to be some disquiet with the Fucking Crybaby in Sacramento. His knee is sore but there's no evidence. If he didn't have the sore pussy rep, well, maybe the idea that he's being a bitch wouldn't cross the team's mind. The point is that there's NO telling what's going through his or the SACK team's minds right now. There may be some value here on the 76ers. It's not like they played poorly tonight...it's just that GSW tends to be shooting 60%+ at home nowadays. If the Kings have a human day tomorrow, which they may very well, then this is a situation where the 76ers could spring a surprise on them...
I ignored the tiny dogs. No reason to bother with value betting there, and one's a Twolves game.:down:
Hornets/Blazers currently offline. Blazers should be favored. Not sure how I could put money on the Hornets right now...I heard the phrase "pargo takes over the point" against Seattle. Oh yeah. PARGO's gonna get it done.
right.
thoughtful comments and criticisms welcome.
'an_horse'
