What I perceived as flawed I thought was clear. Warriors only managed to win in regulation after the series defining lineup adjustment by Kerr for G4 was made.
Until that adjustment was made, the Warriors proved themselves incapable of beating Cleveland in regulation, whether they were playing off a win or off a loss in the previous game. What's flawed is to think that adjustment gets made as soon as G2 just because of a narrow loss in G1. Kerr only went to that adjustment after 3 poor performances forced him to, not 1 (keeping in mind Bogut had his best all-round performance of the series in G1). Didn't instigate it for G3 after the first 2 games screamed out at him that the side he was starting just wasn't performing up to previous standards, and he didn't have a 2-0 cushion ("he could afford to lose") to excuse his tardiness. Coming off a loss made no difference to Kerr re his G3 lineup, so why would it suddenly have been different in his mind for his G2 lineup off a G1 loss? (On paper his adjustment
wasn't without risk. They were already getting beat badly on the offensive boards, going small ran the risk of their taking a hiding on that front, which would've been fatal for their long term chances had it transpired. Kerr understood that was the risk involved in such a move, and that's why it took his team having their back to the wall - facing a 3rd straight loss - for him to finally see it as a risk worth taking on).
If someone is going to assert the Warriors beat the Cavs in G2 after losing G1, then they need to make the case for Kerr making the adjustment he did for G4 much sooner, because what basis otherwise is there to say the 'non-adjusted Warriors' win a game in regulation after losing G1,
when in reality they proved they were incapable of such a feat, off a win or a loss? There is no basis, because they never managed it.
The earliest I can accept Kerr making any starting lineup changes is G3 down 0-2, and then you have to deal with the amount of energy brought to that affair by the Cavs players (given it was Cleveland's first home finals game in approaching a decade). Frankly my failing to bet their ml for that game I consider to be my worst miss of the year to date (will probably remain so come Dec. 31st), because Cleveland was never losing that game. So 0-2 becomes 0-3, Kerr's adjustment being instigated or not (in keeping with this pov: a Cavs team running on fumes was 2 pts up inside the last 7 mins of the 4th quarter in a road G5, and that was playing the 'new look' Warriors lineup. That they collapsed to lose by 13 pts just speaks to their paying the price for being so thin, since that game was otherwise close right up until its last stanza. They showed that even running on fumes they could live with the 'new look' Warriors, so there's little basis in reality to think they couldn't have delivered a similar G3 performance against the 'new look' Warriors as they actually did against the 'old look' lineup).
And with all of that said, G1 was blown by Cleveland in regulation (most immediately with their last possession decision; more widely considered over the last 4 mins). Irving got injured in OT. Had the Cavs won G1 like I suppose, then OT never gets played and Irving is present for at least 1 more game before potentially (given he wasn't fully healthy anyway) playing no more. Everything gets
harder for the 'old look' Warriors playing off a G1 loss in regulation, and yet I'm expected to believe they win one of the next 2 games under such harder circumstances where they couldn't manage the same feat under the 'easier' circumstances they actually faced (namely facing a thinner Cavs lineup & having the luxury of being able to play loose off being victorous in G1)? That's a flawed expectation.
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I don't see the latter assertion brooking any dissension.