In New Orleans tonite Still leaning towards and Under and the home dog. What scares me is not the offensive capabilities as mucg as the lack of defense. We all remember how clueless looked in the 1st H vs Det and ontop ofthat few teams have scored les then 90 points versus them. Usally when they won SU they were able to keep them around high 80's and low 90's. If you do the math though that means NO wins SU and the game goes over..
Right now I have enjoyed fading Denver as I hit for 10 units ( double best bet) on Saturday with Utah.
So my first play when I feel the line has topped out and it might not break 4 is Milwaukee +4 (+155).
No special information here:
Bucks +4 -104 or better {5units} ML +155{1unit}
Tough for me to figure out what exactly DEN lines should be but I would have this at closer to a PK w/o Redd. The Nuggets are struggling and IMO really dont have an identity. Bucks in a mini slump losing 3 of 4 but I think will look to rise up w/o Redd here.
I think Milw has a nice edge in the backcourt as AI is slumping: 10 for 36 past 2....
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=yspsctbg align=middle><TD class=ysptblhdr align=left colSpan=6 height=18>Regular Season</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg noWrap width=1 rowSpan=200><SPACER type="block" height="1" width="1"></TD><TD class=ysptblhdr colSpan=4>FG</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg noWrap width=1 rowSpan=200><SPACER type="block" height="1" width="1"></TD><TD class=ysptblhdr colSpan=4>3PT</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg noWrap width=1 rowSpan=200><SPACER type="block" height="1" width="1"></TD><TD class=ysptblhdr colSpan=4>FT</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg noWrap width=1 rowSpan=200><SPACER type="block" height="1" width="1"></TD><TD class=ysptblhdr colSpan=4>Rebounds</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg noWrap width=1 rowSpan=200><SPACER type="block" height="1" width="1"></TD><TD class=ysptblhdr colSpan=7>Misc</TD></TR><TR class=ysptblthbody1 align=right><TD class=yspdetailttl align=left height=18>Date</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl align=left height=18>Opponent</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl align=left height=18>Score</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl height=18>GS</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl height=18>Min</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>M</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>A</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Pct</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>M</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>A</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Pct</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>M</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>A</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Pct</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Off</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Def</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Tot</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Ast</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>TO</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Stl</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Blk</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>PF</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Pts</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>Jan 6</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>UTH</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>
L 84-96</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>44:19</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>5</TD><TD class=yspscores>19</TD><TD class=yspscores>26.3</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>7</TD><TD class=yspscores>14.3</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>11</TD><TD class=yspscores>12</TD><TD class=yspscores>91.7</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>5</TD><TD class=yspscores>5</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>8</TD><TD class=yspscores>5</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>22</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>Jan 5</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>@ LAL</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>
L 104-123</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>36:38</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>5</TD><TD class=yspscores>17</TD><TD class=yspscores>29.4</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>0.0</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>6</TD><TD class=yspscores>8</TD><TD class=yspscores>75.0</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>5</TD><TD class=yspscores>3</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>16</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>Jan 2</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>PHI</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>
L 97-108</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>43:46</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>10</TD><TD class=yspscores>24</TD><TD class=yspscores>41.7</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>6</TD><TD class=yspscores>33.3</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>8</TD><TD class=yspscores>10</TD><TD class=yspscores>80.0</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>4</TD><TD class=yspscores>5</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>9</TD><TD class=yspscores>7</TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>30</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD></TR><TR class=ysptblthbody1 align=right><TD class=yspdetailttl align=left height=18>Date</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl align=left height=18>Opponent</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl align=left height=18>Score</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl height=18>GS</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl height=18>Min</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>M</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>A</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Pct</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>M</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>A</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Pct</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>M</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>A</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Pct</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Off</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Def</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Tot</TD><TD></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Ast</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>TO</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Stl</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Blk</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>PF</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>Pts</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>Dec 31</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>DAL</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>
L 85-89</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>42:03</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>10</TD><TD class=yspscores>17</TD><TD class=yspscores>58.8</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>0.0</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>8</TD><TD class=yspscores>8</TD><TD class=yspscores>100.0</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>8</TD><TD class=yspscores>5</TD><TD class=yspscores>7</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>3</TD><TD class=yspscores>28</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>Dec 29</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>@ NOK</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>
L 89-99</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>45:01</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>6</TD><TD class=yspscores>22</TD><TD class=yspscores>27.3</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>0.0</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>9</TD><TD class=yspscores>10</TD><TD class=yspscores>90.0</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>3</TD><TD class=yspscores>5</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>3</TD><TD class=yspscores>21</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>Dec 28</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>SEA</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>
W 112-98</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>43:07</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>17</TD><TD class=yspscores>29</TD><TD class=yspscores>58.6</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>50.0</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>9</TD><TD class=yspscores>12</TD><TD class=yspscores>75.0</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>3</TD><TD class=yspscores>3</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>10</TD><TD class=yspscores>9</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>4</TD><TD class=yspscores>44</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>Dec 26</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>BOS</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>
W 116-105</TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>43:47</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>9</TD><TD class=yspscores>22</TD><TD class=yspscores>40.9</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>1</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>50.0</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>9</TD><TD class=yspscores>13</TD><TD class=yspscores>69.2</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>13</TD><TD class=yspscores>6</TD><TD class=yspscores>4</TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>28</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right height=16><TD class=yspscores align=left>Dec 22</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>SAC</TD><TD class=yspscores align=left>
L 96-101</TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>39:25</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>9</TD><TD class=yspscores>15</TD><TD class=yspscores>60.0</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>3</TD><TD class=yspscores>66.7</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>6</TD><TD class=yspscores>33.3</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class=yspscores>10</TD><TD class=yspscores>2</TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>0</TD><TD class=yspscores>3</TD><TD class=yspscores>22</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
The only wins DEN can show is beating a Pierce-less Bostn team who has struggled on the road and a Lewis-less Sonics team who has also struggled on the road. So maybe that qualifies Milw as a team to beat since they are Redd-less.
I dont doubt Denver can win just doubt that the way they are playing will suddenly turn it around. Especially with guys like Skinner and Patterson playing strong defense. That Den shooting pct can suffer more. AI was 32 of 80 1st 3 games vs MILW last year befora 9/17 performance in his last game vs them.
Simply put at the end of the day I feel most dont realize how bad Denver really is thanks to AI's names in the lineup and that help keeps value in fading them IMO... might add more! Like the under as well....