MLB Discussion July 10 - Tanaka returns
- Thread starter mrpickem
- Start date
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Take Tanaka and Yanks: https://goo.gl/fEVgkm
Home team after loss of 8 or more averaging <= 4.4 runs per game in AL last 10+ years loses 63.4% and fading them returns 22.8% on investment
View attachment 33258
Home team after loss of 8 or more averaging <= 4.4 runs per game in AL last 10+ years loses 63.4% and fading them returns 22.8% on investment
View attachment 33258
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Letsgettothe Astro game. Am
I betting on it. Uncertain. Do I think they win. Yes. Yesterday Oakland had their top night pitcher going on a 5-2 day of week. Houston is now playing at home with Verlander with a 4-0 with him ump and a superior pen
Scary trend. Oakland is 5-1 after a shutout. I have the true value about minus 65 to 70 cents so the price seems high.
Leans to Milwaukee, Seattle seem fairly clear and I would guess Boston when I look at it. Trend based look at Arizona. Decision after ump. Tampa seems a little high but Boyd 1-4 with a middle 6 ERA. Yanks need to look more. Mostly need to look more
I betting on it. Uncertain. Do I think they win. Yes. Yesterday Oakland had their top night pitcher going on a 5-2 day of week. Houston is now playing at home with Verlander with a 4-0 with him ump and a superior pen
Scary trend. Oakland is 5-1 after a shutout. I have the true value about minus 65 to 70 cents so the price seems high.
Leans to Milwaukee, Seattle seem fairly clear and I would guess Boston when I look at it. Trend based look at Arizona. Decision after ump. Tampa seems a little high but Boyd 1-4 with a middle 6 ERA. Yanks need to look more. Mostly need to look more
Edit. Click the three dots next to Report
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Just saw this
r ROI Trend of the Day The Athletics are 7-0 SU as a road dog off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent. Oakland was an average of +156.4 on the moneyline in these seven wins and all were by multiple runs. The last time this was active was yesterday. The SDQL text is: team=Athletics and AD and p
and p:HR>po:HR and date>=20180515 Monster Margin
r ROI Trend of the Day The Athletics are 7-0 SU as a road dog off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent. Oakland was an average of +156.4 on the moneyline in these seven wins and all were by multiple runs. The last time this was active was yesterday. The SDQL text is: team=Athletics and AD and p
and p:HR>po:HR and date>=20180515 Monster Margin
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Another 70% winning trend returning over 20% ROI that fits YANKEES
Away conf favorite with win streak of 1 or worse after may in regular season with opp that has lost at least 7 of last 8 and below 50% wins
View attachment 33276
Away conf favorite with win streak of 1 or worse after may in regular season with opp that has lost at least 7 of last 8 and below 50% wins
View attachment 33276
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
HOU under
Home cong fav before AUG after game when total score < 4 and series game > 1
month < 8 and HCF and p:runs + op:runs < 4 and SG > 1
SU: 519-362 (0.40, 58.9%) avg line: -149.3 / 136.7 on / against: -$73 / -$4,162 ROI: -0.1% / -4.7%
RL: 283-450 (-0.99, 38.6%) avg line: 148.1 / -163.2 on / against: -$4,290 / +$215 ROI: -5.7% / +0.2%
OU: 341-484-53 (-0.19, 41.3%) avg total: 8.3 over / under: -$18,342 / +$10,712 ROI: -19.2% / +11.0%
Near 60% with 11% ROI and large sample size
and if you shorten it to last 3+ years it looks even better with still over 200 sample and 14/3% ROI
month < 8 and HCF and p:runs + op:runs < 4 and SG > 1 and season > 2014
SU: 142-99 (0.37, 58.9%) avg line: -153.0 / 140.8 on / against: -$147 / -$962 ROI: -0.4% / -4.0%
RL: 100-140 (-1.10, 41.7%) avg line: 144.4 / -160.2 on / against: +$70 / -$1,545 ROI: +0.3% / -4.0%
OU: 92-139-9 (-0.31, 39.8%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: -$5,882 / +$3,822 ROI: -22.4% / +14.3%
Home cong fav before AUG after game when total score < 4 and series game > 1
month < 8 and HCF and p:runs + op:runs < 4 and SG > 1
SU: 519-362 (0.40, 58.9%) avg line: -149.3 / 136.7 on / against: -$73 / -$4,162 ROI: -0.1% / -4.7%
RL: 283-450 (-0.99, 38.6%) avg line: 148.1 / -163.2 on / against: -$4,290 / +$215 ROI: -5.7% / +0.2%
OU: 341-484-53 (-0.19, 41.3%) avg total: 8.3 over / under: -$18,342 / +$10,712 ROI: -19.2% / +11.0%
Near 60% with 11% ROI and large sample size
and if you shorten it to last 3+ years it looks even better with still over 200 sample and 14/3% ROI
month < 8 and HCF and p:runs + op:runs < 4 and SG > 1 and season > 2014
SU: 142-99 (0.37, 58.9%) avg line: -153.0 / 140.8 on / against: -$147 / -$962 ROI: -0.4% / -4.0%
RL: 100-140 (-1.10, 41.7%) avg line: 144.4 / -160.2 on / against: +$70 / -$1,545 ROI: +0.3% / -4.0%
OU: 92-139-9 (-0.31, 39.8%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: -$5,882 / +$3,822 ROI: -22.4% / +14.3%
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Over def where I’m looking in atl, Teheran not good in this park, jays bombed him in a start last season. Can’t imagine stroman will get away with walks here either.
Minnesota totally overvalued tonite i feel
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
Hard to undervalue KC. Since trading away their closer they easily have the absolute worst pen talent wise in the history of the sport.
1st 5 is Minny a rip off? Probably yes.
Good point. KC‘s pen is abysmal. But Sleger with that chalk is nuts.
No doubt about it. They continue to send out Maurer who literally has like a 13+ ERA. That’s a problem
