Kiffin has to be licking his chops right now. He can smell the dub…I mean, you have to consider Ole Miss right now. Though I do think Milroe gives Alabama the much better chance to win
Pitt is #2 in the country in passing yards allowed....they should match up well against Drake Maye.UNC @ Pitt: Think I might have a found a possibly live home dog for this weekend. I have a 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS revenge angle (see pic 1 below.) One of the losses was South Carolina to my own Wildcats. I remember that game and my Cats were jacked to go play that one as there was some serious trash talk going on in the off-season leading up to that game. Are the Heels really all that jacked to go play at Pitt? Maybe @carolinablue can add some color commentary to that question. The other loss was in that heated Iowa State/Iowa in-state rivalry which doesn't apply here. Coach Mack Brown is 8-1 SU however only 1-7-1 ATS (see pic 2 below) in this situation which is having won the previous meeting and coming off a home win where they won ATS. Only 1 of those SU wins did not come from his time at Texas. That 1-7-1 ATS angle is a strong one indicating this week is a good time to fade a Mack Brown coached team. Meanwhile Pat Narduzzi coming off of 2 straight losses and as a home dog has gone 2-1 SU & 2-1 ATS (see pic 3 below)....his only loss was to the 2020 Notre Dame squad which lost twice that season only to Clemson & Alabama. I'll have some of my lunch money this week on Pitt ML.
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Jaxson Dart #6 in the country at passing efficiency with a 202 rating....no Bama QB is even making the cut LOL. Scoring defense for Bama is 14ppg and for Ole Miss 16ppg........somebody please try and talk me out of backing Ole Miss ML.Kiffin has to be licking his chops right now. He can smell the dub…
I won't try to talk you out of Ole Miss, but I think the under may be the best playJaxson Dart #6 in the country at passing efficiency with a 202 rating....no Bama QB is even making the cut LOL. Scoring defense for Bama is 14ppg and for Ole Miss 16ppg........somebody please try and talk me out of backing Ole Miss ML.
I definitely think it’s worth a shot. Just counterpoint for my own sake. Tulane hung with em pretty good with a back up QB( that in reality might be as good as what Bama appears to have as of now). But Ole Miss players/staff probably feeling pretty good right now on their chances…Jaxson Dart #6 in the country at passing efficiency with a 202 rating....no Bama QB is even making the cut LOL. Scoring defense for Bama is 14ppg and for Ole Miss 16ppg........somebody please try and talk me out of backing Ole Miss ML.
Ole Miss also was in a one score game with Georgia Tech mid 4th quarter, so the score is a little deceiving there too. Bottom line, if Alabama can play like they did against MTSU and the first 3 quarters against Texas, I think they win and probably cover. if the defense implodes like it did against Texas in the 4th quarter, and the offense does whatever that was against USF, they'll loseI definitely think it’s worth a shot. Just counterpoint for my own sake. Tulane hung with em pretty good with a back up QB( that in reality might be as good as what Bama appears to have as of now). But Ole Miss players/staff probably feeling pretty good right now on their chances…
Pitt is #2 in the country in passing yards allowed....they should match up well against Drake Maye.
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There’s a good chance UNC will play like crap….this is a good spot to fade Mack Brown.Pitt is so bad my dude. I havnt looked at this game at all, honestly didn’t know they were playing till coming in here, lol. I just dunno if I can get behind pitt vs anyone right now. That offense is painful to the eyes to watch! Not sure how they score as I think heels d is somewhat better this year?
There’s a good chance UNC will play like crap….this is a good spot to fade Mack Brown.
Games I'll be looking into
Purdue
SMU
Tulsa
WKU
Ole Miss
UTSA w/ Frank
Wash ST
ND
Is this the year where we Fade Alabama?Ol miss is def interesting, seems crazy to think bama will lose again at home, I’m not sure I can wrap my head around that! Then again the way they have looked is nothing like the bama we used to.
I guess my problem is more with ol miss, I havnt been all that impressed w them lately, they have not been able to get Judkins off either the last 2 weeks against tulane then Gtech, bama may be struggling but one thing I’m fairly confident in is you not gonna line up and beat them running the ball! Especially if you struggled doing it against tulane, dart did go off running vs Gtech but it more concerning to me Judkins been bottled up, I guess it safe to assume gtech might have sold out on judkins why dart had a crazy rushing day? You wouldn’t expect bama to have to do that tho: just not sure the Rebs can throw the ball down the field which was texas path to success. Dart has great yards per completion but I dunno how much of that is wide open guys downfield and/or short passes that get lot of yac? Again not something I’d expect either happening against bama. Can Dart and his wrs make plays down the field? Last year ol miss ran it damn near 50x but for under 4ypc, prior year less than 3yoc, Even w bama having issues im just not sure this Rebs offense is built in a way to have success against bama d?
Is this the year where we Fade Alabama?
They were such money machines last few years in the 1Q and 1H……
Air Force @ San Jose State: Coach Brent Brennan is 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS on Fridays. 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS at home on Fridays. Coach Troy Calhoun is 3-1 SU but 0-4 ATS as a road fav on Fridays. See below. This game is the lowest line for Calhoun in this situation.
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I am on AF Thinking about a St Jose St TT Under...if you have any thoughtsI would play air force on friday night. San Jose State is gassed, guys...just getting back from a LONG road trip to Toledo, Ohio, and now a short week to try to prepare for the triple option. these conference foes havent faced off since 2020 so at this point seeing the option keys on D and playing assignment football will not be familiar for the Spartans. 1-3 Jose has not looked great this season, getting blown out against USC (backdoor cover) and crushed at home against Oregon State, and then ran out of gas last week after being up 17-7 and then punt, punt, INT, punt, downs, punt. weak effort. Now they have a WR and TE out, and AF can key in on Nash. Here is an interesting fact, with all of the mountain west football Chevon Cordeiero has played in his career, he has NEVER played against AF...
Not worried at all about motivation given that Pitt beat us the last couple times we played em there, coupled with the fact that we have only gone 4-0 once in the 40 years, plus this is the first conference game of the season.UNC @ Pitt: Think I might have a found a possibly live home dog for this weekend. I have a 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS revenge angle (see pic 1 below.) One of the losses was South Carolina to my own Wildcats. I remember that game and my Cats were jacked to go play that one as there was some serious trash talk going on in the off-season leading up to that game. Are the Heels really all that jacked to go play at Pitt? Maybe @carolinablue can add some color commentary to that question. The other loss was in that heated Iowa State/Iowa in-state rivalry which doesn't apply here. Coach Mack Brown is 8-1 SU however only 1-7-1 ATS (see pic 2 below) in this situation which is having won the previous meeting and coming off a home win where they won ATS. Only 1 of those SU wins did not come from his time at Texas. That 1-7-1 ATS angle is a strong one indicating this week is a good time to fade a Mack Brown coached team. Meanwhile Pat Narduzzi coming off of 2 straight losses and as a home dog has gone 2-1 SU & 2-1 ATS (see pic 3 below)....his only loss was to the 2020 Notre Dame squad which lost twice that season only to Clemson & Alabama. I'll have some of my lunch money this week on Pitt ML.
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UCLA may win if Rising doesn't play. That being said, SLC hasn't been too kind to the bears.UCLA
Cincy
UTSA
My contest picks. Won't be shocked if all 3 win. Obviously UTSA might be short handed but I'm counting on Harris to play and that game has no business being 21 points
I actually think UCLA is built for road gamesUCLA may win if Rising doesn't play. That being said, SLC hasn't been too kind to the bears.
I like sdsu as well. Boise isn't your grandmother's Boise.
They may be, we shall see.I actually think UCLA is built for road games
Whole Saturday is full of incredible games, attention span is going to be in for a treat. Prolly need to sleep on a bag of ice Sat night
Crazy tangentThey may be, we shall see.
It’s one of only two games this week where the dog has both the better QB and better scoring defense. A shoutout to @dilaudid8Not fun being against Utah but I think this is where they might trip up
What stat are you using to compare QBs? I'm not sure UCLA have the better QB but it's more a matter of discretion for me.It’s one of only two games this week where the dog has both the better QB and better scoring defense. A shoutout to @dilaudid8
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QBRWhat stat are you using to compare QBs? I'm not sure UCLA have the better QB but it's more a matter of discretion for me.
We really don't even know if Rising is going to start yet
Not worried at all about motivation given that Pitt beat us the last couple times we played em there, coupled with the fact that we have only gone 4-0 once in the 40 years, plus this is the first conference game of the season.
Definitely don’t see lack of motivation being an issue as this team has a chip (get it) on it’s shoulder as the doubters though we would come out flat against South Carolina in the opener and they also thought we wouldn’t be able handle Minny’s physicality, but we handled business on both counts.
I expect more of the same this weekend. Won’t be easy, but I think we get it done by at least 6-8 points minimum, but would love to see us get up early and play a complete game across all facets, leading to a blowout win heading into the bye week.
UCLA
Cincy
UTSA
My contest picks. Won't be shocked if all 3 win. Obviously UTSA might be short handed but I'm counting on Harris to play and that game has no business being 21 points
I'm seeing a couple trends that back your Cincy pick. Venables is 0-2 SU and 0-2 ATS in road games vs. teams with a winning record. Not much I know but it is something. In addition, I have a bounceback trend active on Cincy this week that has a 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS records.....I've said this before >50% odds SU is not bad when trying to pick SU dog winners.
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ArkansasVanderbilt.
Arkansas
Oklahoma State