MistaFlava
Cheerleader
2006 CFB Record: 48-33-2 (+30.20 Units)
2006 CFB ATS Record: 38-26-2 ATS (+28.00)
2006 CFB O/U Record: 10-7 (+2.20 Units)
PLAYS OF THE WEEK: 4-3 (+3.50 units)
PLAY OF THE MONTH: 0-0 (+0.00 Units)
PLAYS OF THE YEAR: 0-0 (+0.00 Units)
29-9-2 ATS in Football the last three weeks
I am 1-1 so far this week with the loss being BG +7.5 last night. Should have been a night off for me but I had to have some action and it cost me. We now move on to Friday Night Lights as well as some weekend action to keep things rolling.
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Friday, October 20
Connecticut Huskies +23 (5 Units) ***PLAY OF THE MIDWEEK***
I know it sounds stupid and I know it doesn't look possible but yes West Virginia is quite capable of letdowns and yes the public is still quite capable of getting burned even though they cleaned house last night (Utah lost but the big cash was on UVA). The Mountaineers come into this Friday Night Lights showcase game (supposed to be a showcase) ranked #4 in the Country. However, a lot of experts still doubt their defense and doubt that they can stop a team like Louisville once they meet in about a month or so. I don't exactly disagree with those experts because I think West Virgnia has a ton of flaws that we don't see with the naked eye and those might somehow find a way to rear their ugly heads. Do you all remember the last time we saw WVU on National Television? It was on Thursday Night September 14 on ESPN. Sure the Mountaineers ran out of the gates with a massive lead but for those of you who watched it, you remember quite well that it came down to the last drive of the game and Maryland was threatening to score their 3rd or 4th straight touchdown to close the gap and almost cover the spread. WVU doesn't have the juices to go four full quarters. The Mountaineers average 41.5 points per game this season on 466.0 total yards of offense and 7.3 yards per play but average only 34.5 points per game on the road and 387.5 yards per game away from home. That's huge. UConn's defense has however had some good performances and are allowing only 19.8 points per game at home on only 339.8 total yards and 5.4 yards per play. On the ground, WVU's rushing attack is as good as it gets but they average less than UConn does at home with 233.5 rushing yards per game on the road and 5.4 yards per carry in those games. UConn's defense is horrendous against the run at home but that's because they have played some run-based teams and the numbers have been affected. We all know WVU can score anytime they want on the ground so the key will be stopping them when they throw. QB Pat White has been good this season and his numbers are huge. He completes almost 70% of his passes on the road for 9.1 yards per pass attempt. However, UConn allows opposing road QB's to complete only 46.7% of their passes this year when they come to Storrs. In his two road games, Pat White has thrown 3 interceptions which could be trouble because the Huskies have 1.3 interceptions per home game this season and are going to pressure White into making mistakes. WVU can win this game by 30+ points but they tend to lack the killer instinct and if they let UConn hang around too long, this game will end closer than we think.
The UConn Huskies are only 2-4 this season (2-3 ATS) but this is by far their biggest game of the season and the crowd at Rentschler Field is going to be rocking. This is not quiet crowd as many of you have mentioned and the 40 000+ that are going to be going nuts tonight are quite possibly going to help us steal a cover in this game. The last time the Mountaineers were here, they won 31-19 in 2004 but that was as a 7 point favorite as opposed to the 23 they are getting in this game. So the last time WVU was here they were ranked #17 and a seven point fav but now that they are ranked #4 in the Nation, that deserves an additional 16 points of being favored. Wow...that's news to me. UConn are coming off a confidence boosting win over Army last week here in Storrs, and although I don't expect them to win this game straight up, I do expect them to either keep it close from the getgo or to turn things on in the second half and swing by with a big time Moose cover. The Huskies are very well coached under Randy Edsall and I think coach Edsall can definitely get the best out of most of his players in games like this one. Sure they looked like crap in just about all their games this year but this is the one game they should definitely be jacked up. The Huskies average a respectable 25.8 points per game at home on 399.8 total yards of offense (higher than WVU's road total) and 5.9 yards per play. Now I know West Virginia's defense is tough but they do allow 311.5 total yards of offense per road game but only 4.4 yards per play. That means that in order to keep WVU's offense off the field, UConn is going to have to put together long and effective drives. That starts with running the ball which they do very well. RB Terry Caulley is a Senior and he has rushed for 588 yards and 5.9 yards per carry. RB Lou Allen has rushed for 222 yards on 4.6 per carry and 4 TD's while RB Donal Brown II has rushed for 200 yards on 6.9 per carry and two touchdowns. The Huskies are #12 in the Nation rushing wise and average 234.5 rushing yards per home game on 5.6 yards per carry. I know WVU allows only 48.5 rushing yards per game on the road but that was against ECU and Mississippi State who can't run for shit. The Mountaineers have to respect the running game which should setup QB Matt Bonislawski for some success in the air. Bonislawski needed the game against Army to get back on track and back to business. He is completing 50.0% of his passes at home for 6.4 yards per pass attempt but regardless of what the score is, I don't see him throwing much more than a few dump passes in this game. WVU are going to bring pressure all night but the good news is that Bonislawski is mobile and he gets sacked only 1.8 times per home game. I expect coach Edsall to start six freshmen, three of them true freshmen. That's a challenge in itself but as much as WVU should walk in here and demolish the Huskies, I think some of the UConn guys step up and possibly grab us a moose touchdown at the end of this game. I'll take the win even if it comes with 10 seconds left in the game.
Vegas has everyone setup for this one. Everyone came out a winner last night with UVA, CMU and some winning OVER/UNDER plays. Everyone has a little bit of extra cash to spend for the time being and since this is the only sport worth betting on this Friday Night, I am guessing a huge amount of people are going to be on WVU. How could you not be? They are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 midweek televised games or something like that and they have one of the most lethal attacks in the Country. So why take UConn you ask? It's all about using your gambling head, mixing thoughts with theory, mixing theory with reality and coming up with a pick.
Trend of the Game: UConn is 5-0 ATS in their last five games that follow a 200+ rushing yard performance.
West Virginia 41, UConn 24
:cheers:
2006 CFB ATS Record: 38-26-2 ATS (+28.00)
2006 CFB O/U Record: 10-7 (+2.20 Units)
PLAYS OF THE WEEK: 4-3 (+3.50 units)
PLAY OF THE MONTH: 0-0 (+0.00 Units)
PLAYS OF THE YEAR: 0-0 (+0.00 Units)
29-9-2 ATS in Football the last three weeks
I am 1-1 so far this week with the loss being BG +7.5 last night. Should have been a night off for me but I had to have some action and it cost me. We now move on to Friday Night Lights as well as some weekend action to keep things rolling.
-------------------------------------
Friday, October 20
Connecticut Huskies +23 (5 Units) ***PLAY OF THE MIDWEEK***
I know it sounds stupid and I know it doesn't look possible but yes West Virginia is quite capable of letdowns and yes the public is still quite capable of getting burned even though they cleaned house last night (Utah lost but the big cash was on UVA). The Mountaineers come into this Friday Night Lights showcase game (supposed to be a showcase) ranked #4 in the Country. However, a lot of experts still doubt their defense and doubt that they can stop a team like Louisville once they meet in about a month or so. I don't exactly disagree with those experts because I think West Virgnia has a ton of flaws that we don't see with the naked eye and those might somehow find a way to rear their ugly heads. Do you all remember the last time we saw WVU on National Television? It was on Thursday Night September 14 on ESPN. Sure the Mountaineers ran out of the gates with a massive lead but for those of you who watched it, you remember quite well that it came down to the last drive of the game and Maryland was threatening to score their 3rd or 4th straight touchdown to close the gap and almost cover the spread. WVU doesn't have the juices to go four full quarters. The Mountaineers average 41.5 points per game this season on 466.0 total yards of offense and 7.3 yards per play but average only 34.5 points per game on the road and 387.5 yards per game away from home. That's huge. UConn's defense has however had some good performances and are allowing only 19.8 points per game at home on only 339.8 total yards and 5.4 yards per play. On the ground, WVU's rushing attack is as good as it gets but they average less than UConn does at home with 233.5 rushing yards per game on the road and 5.4 yards per carry in those games. UConn's defense is horrendous against the run at home but that's because they have played some run-based teams and the numbers have been affected. We all know WVU can score anytime they want on the ground so the key will be stopping them when they throw. QB Pat White has been good this season and his numbers are huge. He completes almost 70% of his passes on the road for 9.1 yards per pass attempt. However, UConn allows opposing road QB's to complete only 46.7% of their passes this year when they come to Storrs. In his two road games, Pat White has thrown 3 interceptions which could be trouble because the Huskies have 1.3 interceptions per home game this season and are going to pressure White into making mistakes. WVU can win this game by 30+ points but they tend to lack the killer instinct and if they let UConn hang around too long, this game will end closer than we think.
The UConn Huskies are only 2-4 this season (2-3 ATS) but this is by far their biggest game of the season and the crowd at Rentschler Field is going to be rocking. This is not quiet crowd as many of you have mentioned and the 40 000+ that are going to be going nuts tonight are quite possibly going to help us steal a cover in this game. The last time the Mountaineers were here, they won 31-19 in 2004 but that was as a 7 point favorite as opposed to the 23 they are getting in this game. So the last time WVU was here they were ranked #17 and a seven point fav but now that they are ranked #4 in the Nation, that deserves an additional 16 points of being favored. Wow...that's news to me. UConn are coming off a confidence boosting win over Army last week here in Storrs, and although I don't expect them to win this game straight up, I do expect them to either keep it close from the getgo or to turn things on in the second half and swing by with a big time Moose cover. The Huskies are very well coached under Randy Edsall and I think coach Edsall can definitely get the best out of most of his players in games like this one. Sure they looked like crap in just about all their games this year but this is the one game they should definitely be jacked up. The Huskies average a respectable 25.8 points per game at home on 399.8 total yards of offense (higher than WVU's road total) and 5.9 yards per play. Now I know West Virginia's defense is tough but they do allow 311.5 total yards of offense per road game but only 4.4 yards per play. That means that in order to keep WVU's offense off the field, UConn is going to have to put together long and effective drives. That starts with running the ball which they do very well. RB Terry Caulley is a Senior and he has rushed for 588 yards and 5.9 yards per carry. RB Lou Allen has rushed for 222 yards on 4.6 per carry and 4 TD's while RB Donal Brown II has rushed for 200 yards on 6.9 per carry and two touchdowns. The Huskies are #12 in the Nation rushing wise and average 234.5 rushing yards per home game on 5.6 yards per carry. I know WVU allows only 48.5 rushing yards per game on the road but that was against ECU and Mississippi State who can't run for shit. The Mountaineers have to respect the running game which should setup QB Matt Bonislawski for some success in the air. Bonislawski needed the game against Army to get back on track and back to business. He is completing 50.0% of his passes at home for 6.4 yards per pass attempt but regardless of what the score is, I don't see him throwing much more than a few dump passes in this game. WVU are going to bring pressure all night but the good news is that Bonislawski is mobile and he gets sacked only 1.8 times per home game. I expect coach Edsall to start six freshmen, three of them true freshmen. That's a challenge in itself but as much as WVU should walk in here and demolish the Huskies, I think some of the UConn guys step up and possibly grab us a moose touchdown at the end of this game. I'll take the win even if it comes with 10 seconds left in the game.
Vegas has everyone setup for this one. Everyone came out a winner last night with UVA, CMU and some winning OVER/UNDER plays. Everyone has a little bit of extra cash to spend for the time being and since this is the only sport worth betting on this Friday Night, I am guessing a huge amount of people are going to be on WVU. How could you not be? They are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 midweek televised games or something like that and they have one of the most lethal attacks in the Country. So why take UConn you ask? It's all about using your gambling head, mixing thoughts with theory, mixing theory with reality and coming up with a pick.
Trend of the Game: UConn is 5-0 ATS in their last five games that follow a 200+ rushing yard performance.
West Virginia 41, UConn 24
:cheers:
