These games tonight like good entertainment. Short lines for a reason, think they can go either way.
CMich flipped from dog to favorite. Think they are generally better, but don't believe they are that much better to be road favorites. Were as high as +2.5, then as low as -2.5. Ball State continues to be mysterious in bad ways. Central Michigan kind of has an "it" factor.
NIU is another team with an "it" this year and Buffalo ultimately has turned out to be what a lot of people expected preseason. NIU D is pretty bad though, not that UB's is good, UB does some things better with their pressure and playing behind the LOS (3.3 sacks per game/7.1 TFLs per game, NIU D just 1.1 sacks per game/3.9 TFLs per game), otherwise the Ds look almost equally bad. NIU run D is allowing a MAC worst 6.2 ypc in MAC play, UB isn' that much better at 5.3 ypc allowed. UB has had the benefit of playing the weaker east teams for the most part and NIU has had to face the Toledo's, Central Michigan and Eastern Michigan types which are better in one way or the other vs some of the East teams. NIU also played Kent. So maybe all of that strength of schedule skews the stats to paint NIU in a more favorable light and Buffalo in a worse one.
Both games seem tough to me.