SF you really think Houston can down the Lakers in a 7-game series? Come on man. No way. When was the last time Houston even won a playoff series?
I don't think Spurs can beat LA either, but Houston definitely can't IMO.
I also agree with whoever said that LA would rather play Cleveland than Boston. But if they have HCA vs. Boston and don't have it vs. Cleveland, I think that changes.
I think whoever has HCA wins the title. The 2-3-2 format is just too favorable to the home team to overcome. The road team has to win 3 straight at home just to hold serve and that's nearly impossible. It's almost a lock for the team with HCA to come back home up 3-2 with 2 home games to win it. Or, worst case, down 3-2, with a 2-0 needed to win it. VERY tough for the road team to win in this format IMO.
I have kind of changed my mind, but earlier this season, I thought Houston could beat LA if things worked out.
On paper, Houston is the best defensive team individually in the league. Now, they havnt put it all together whether it be because not enough time together, coaching, personalities, whatever. IF they could get it together, they have/had what it takes to beat LA and win it all. Mixed feelings about Tmac leaving- on one side he didn't seem to have the heart of a champion (Yag phrase, but its true) and he's a 1st rd virgin likely for a reason, but on the other side the POTENTIAL of what houston could be with a motivated Tmac was scary. His absence hurts their potential, but it may help them out (if that didn't make sense, I could try to explain it further although it would take more typing)
to answer your question: at this point, no I don't think Houston would have a shot at beating LA if they played a 7 game series today. Things could change in a month or two and if they live up to their potential, they can beat the Lakers even when LA has HCA. Mainly from a matchup perspective
Battier limits and frustrates Kobe
Yao limits Pau, and Pau watches as Yao owns him
Brooks burns Fisher (can't defend the quick PGs)
I guess it leaves Artest guarding Odom- Odom gets shut out, beat up, and embarassed
Lakers deep bench (Farmar, Vujabitch, Ariza, Powell) doesn't have the edge on Houston's bench (Lowry, Barry, Wafer, Hayes, Landry, Mutumbo)
Battier frustrates and limits Kobe