KJ FA Cup

[KJ]

Quit betting on the league stuff, I just can't get a handle on games in these leagues. Not sure the final count but was down somewhere either north or south of 100 units...it's why I separated that from European competition where things have gone monumentally better. Going to micro it more and simply do a thread for FA Cup, trying to see if tournaments are just a better fit. Might add threads for some of the other countries down the road but just FA Cup for now, might do League Cup in England now that it's semis...

On to today.

20336 Liverpool/Everton BTTS -110 4*
13601 Liverpool/Everton o2.75 -119 2*
13604 Man United/Derby o3 -118

 

[KJ]

+3.82

1/6

13608 Leicester -1 -116 2*
13611 Sunderland +1 -115

 

[KJ]

Looks like a couple losers. Fleetwood outplayed Leicester no doubt, Leicester lucky they get the replay.

13613 Aston Villa ML -172 2*
13613 Aston Villa -1 +100
13616 Birmingham ML +110
13623 Huddersfield ML +117 2*
13625 Bournemouth/Wigan o2.5 -121
13631 Cardiff -1.25 +101
13635 Sheffield Wednesday ML -108
13638 Stoke City ML -161 2*
13638 Stoke City -.75 -123
13646 Fulham +.25 -115
13646 Fulham ML +200 .5*
13652 Man City -2.25 -112 2*
13658 Newcastle -1.25 -115
13667 Watford/Bristol City o2.75 -125 2*
13670 Wolves ML -113 2.5*

 

[VirginiaCavs]

GL KJ

 

[KJ]

Oy, Villa know how to fuck things up and red card against Wolves was just superb

13679 Norwich/Chelsea u2.75 -119 2*

 

[KJ]

13691 Nottingham Forest +1 -112 2*
13693 Nottingham Forest/Arsenal draw +275 .5*

 

[KJ]

+0.33

Gonna throw league cup stuff in here as well, only 5 matches left no need for a different thread and my thoughts on City should be simple. I expect them to field a strong, strong lineup tomorrow and put this tie on ice so as not to have to expend much in the rematch in a couple weeks at Bristol. Obviously Bristol City will try to bottle up City but I expect an early goal or at least a 2nd one early in the 2h will loosen it up and the 4-5 goal win comes in to play. With so many matches upcoming and CL around the corner, gotta expect they want to put this thing to bed tomorrow so the rematch is irrelevant.

1/8

FA Cup

13694 Brighton pk +101 3*
13694 Brighton ML +186

1/9

League Cup

11001 Man City -2.5 -107 7*
11001 Man City/Bristol City o3.5 -114 3.5*

 

[KJ]

No striker for City, total instantly moved from 3.75 back to 3.5...this will be so lopsided in possession it's just gonna be about a couple finishes. Kun can come on later if necessary but looks like Sterling up top to start. Gonna add.

11001 Man City -2.5 -135 2*
11001 Man City/Bristol City o3.5 -125 2*

 

[gunner4ever]

3-0 is my guess for this match. Good luck :cheers3:

 

[KJ]

Thx

Walker and Delph on bench, won't be surprised to see a concession. Don't like seeing Fernandinho out the lineup but he does need a break.

 

[KJ]

-11.46

FA Cup

Gotta take a measured approach to these cup matches, clearly league play matters more to the bigger clubs (and I've no clue on that stuff). Makes one of these next bets easy as Brighton are in 14th in EPL but only a couple points out of the relegation zone and not sure why Coventry can't win.

13611 Coventry +1.5 -116 5*
13611 Coventry ML +850

Other game in the time slot, both teams in the relegation zone currently in EPL but one is dealing with 4 guys that just got popped for stealing a taxi in Spain? Sounds like an awesome night out....West Brom are a mess.

13614 Southampton -.25 +105 4*
13614 Southampton ML +143 2*

Just gonna expect goals in this last one, Huddersfield prolly give them all up but they're capable of scoring on United as well

13616 Huddersfield/Man United o2.5 -121 4*

 

[KJ]

Fuck VAR

 

[KJ]

Seriously that phony VAR review that took down the goal for United, how do they justify using it?

Guess I'll pay to see Spurs score 4 here, this gonna be a low grade pitch and gonna go out on a limb and guess Rochdale don't score. So grats Dylan in advance, that means they see 2.

2/18

Rochdale/Spurs u3.25 -120 8*

 

[KJ]

-25.64 in this shit. Yes, that was a stoppage goal for Rochdale, and yes, VAR draws crooked lines. So might as well fuck my own team.

City are in a position to basically cinch a semifinal spot, win here in the derby and host Southampton...so curious to see how this works out. Should see goals, and rest. Jesus back in training as well...gonna guess Wigan get one but City get four or so.

13622 Wigan Athletic/Man City o2.75 -109 10*
13622 1h Wigan/City o1.5 +105 4*

 

[RetroVK]

Gl brah